• Title/Summary/Keyword: Overestimate

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Does a Debiasing Manipulation Reduce Over-estimation of Emotional Reaction to Risky Objects? (위험 대상에 대한 충격 편향은 탈 편향 조작에 의해 감소하는가?)

  • Yoon, Ji-Won;Lee, Young-Ai
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.39-55
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    • 2011
  • People tend to overestimate their emotional reactions to events such as physical handicap and buying a new car in the future. Students overestimate their reactions to a future grade as compared to their reactions after receiving the grade. Impact bias refers to people's tendency to overestimate the intensity and the duration of emotional reactions to a future event. The present study explored whether impact bias occurs to risky objects such as nuclear energy, genetically engineered food, and mobile phone. Participants were asked to predict their emotional reactions at three time points, that is, at the present, a week after, and a year after. They predicted their reactions before and after two debiasing tasks. The present study demonstrated a different pattern of impact bias at three time points: A largest bias was observed a week after the present. A defocalism manipulation has eliminated the impact bias whereas an adaptation manipulation has not. Several points were discussed regarding the difference between the previous and the present work.

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Factors Affecting Body Image Distortion in Adolescents: Using Data from the 16th (2020) Korea Youth Risk Behavior Survey (청소년의 신체이미지 왜곡에 영향을 미치는 요인: 제16차(2020년) 청소년건강행태조사를 이용)

  • Yun, Hyun Jung;Park, Sungwon
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.139-148
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    • 2022
  • We attempted to determine how adolescents' general characteristics, appearance stress, and anxiety affect adolescents' body image distortion using data from the 16th Korea Youth Risk Behavior Survey. We confirmed Body image distortion in 38.2% of the subjects, and the results of underestimated body image in 19.9% and overestimation in 18.3%. Appearance stress and anxiety were found to have an effect in both underestimate and overestimate groups. We confirmed that demographic characteristics such as gender, economic level, and academic level influence different aspects in the underestimation and overestimation groups. Therefore, we suggested that comprehensive evaluation by subdividing the subjective perception of adolescents' weight into cases of overestimation and underestimation will be an important factor in determining mental health and weight control behavior in the future.

J_{Ic}$ evaluation of smooth and side-grooved CT specimens in submerged arc-welded SB 41 (SB41강 潛弧熔接部의 平滑 및 側面을 CT試驗片의 J_{Ic}$ 評價)

  • 오세욱;안광주;이태종
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 1986
  • The elastic-plastic fracture toughness J_{Ic}$ of submerged arc welded structural steel $SB_{41}$ which has the properties of low strength and high ductility was discussed, especially paying attention to a comparison between two methods recommended by ASTM and JSME. $J_{IC}$ tests were carried out with compact specimens by means of R-curve, SZW, ultrasonic and electric potential methods. Based on the investigations in this study, the results obtained are as follows; (1) The JSME R-curve method gave the smallest $J_{IC}$ values which were physically closest to the crack initiation and seemed to be more practical and stable procedure between the two R-curve methods. (2) The JSME SZW method tended to slightly overestimate the $J_{IC}$ values at initiation of ductile tearing. (3) The ultrasonic and electric potential methods which also had a tendency to overestimate these $J_{IC}$ values were confirmed to be applicable and useful in determining these values. (4) The $J_{IC}$ values by the JSME R-curve method were 18.06 kgf/mm and 17.25kgf/ mm for the smooths and the side grooved CT specimen respectively.

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Physician Factors Associated with the Blood Pressure Control among Hypertensive Patients (진료를 받는 고혈압 환자의 혈압 조절과 관련된 의사 요인)

  • Kim, So-Young;Cho, In-Sook;Lee, Jae-Ho;Kim, Ji-Hyun;Lee, Eun-Jung;Park, Jong-Hyock;Lee, Jin-Seok;Kim, Yoon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.40 no.6
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    • pp.487-494
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    • 2007
  • Objectives : Little is known about the physician-related factors that are associated with the management of Hypertension. The purpose of this study was to determine the physician-related factors associated with blood pressure control in hypertensive patients. Methods : We surveyed 154 physicians at 117 public health (subhealth) centers in Gyeonggi-do, Forty-one physicians completed the survey (response rates : 26.6%) and 31 physicians were finally included as the study subjects. Using the information obtained from the self-reported survey, we measured the physician-related factors associated with hypertension control, including their perception of hypertension, prescription patterns (combination prescription rates, specific antihypertensives prescription rates among patients with diabetes mellitus), and sociodemographic factors. We then collected data on blood pressure and medication use in patients seen by these physicians from the health center#s information system. We compared the physicians# perceived hypertension control rates with the actual rates, and then evaluated the rate of high overestimation (overestimation by more than 25% of the median degree of hypertension control rate overestimation) among the physicians. The physicians# antihypertensive prescription patterns were also evaluated. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the independent association between hypertension control and physician-related factors. Results : The physicians tended to overestimate the proportion of their patients with controlled blood pressure (79.5% perceived vs. 57.8% actual). The percentage of physicians with high overestimation was 35.5% (11 physicians). The physicians with lower control rates were more likely to highly overestimate their patients# control rates. Physicians with below-median actual control rates tended to prescribe fewer combination treatments for patients with uncontrolled blood pressure and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors or fewer angiotensin receptor blockers for patients with diabetes mellitus. The rate of high overestimation by physicians was 1.31 times higher in patients with uncontrolled blood pressure than in patients with other conditions (OR=1.31, 95% CI : 1.17-1.48). Conclusions : Physicians have a tendency to overestimate the rates of hypertension control in their patients. Because physicians have a direct role in treatment outcomes, physicians# overestimation about hypertension management contributes to inadequate blood pressure control. Thus, interventions for improving physician# awareness regarding the management of patients with hypertension are needed.

Seismic Design and Deformability of Interior flat Plate-Column Connections Subjected to Unbalanced Moment (불균등 휨모멘트를 받는 플랫 플레이트-기둥 접합부의 변형능력과 내진설계방법)

  • 최경규;박홍근
    • Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.117-122
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    • 2002
  • Flat Plate structures subjected to lateral load are susceptible to the brittle failure, therefore deformability of plate-column connections should be ensured to resist against earthquake. However, according to previous study, existing experiments overestimate the deformability of connections and current design provision do not accurately explains them. In the present study, parametric study using nonlinear finite element analysis was performed. Based on the numerical results, seismic design method considering the deformability of connections was developed.

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Unbiased Balanced Half-Sample Variance Estimation in Stratified Two-stage Sampling

  • Kim, Kyu-Seong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.459-469
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    • 1998
  • Balanced half sample method is a simple variance estimation method for complex sampling designs. Since it is simple and flexible, it has been widely used in large scale sample surveys. However, the usual BHS method overestimate the true variance in without replacement sampling and two-stage cluster sampling. Focusing on this point , we proposed an unbiased BHS variance estimator in a stratified two-stage cluster sampling and then described an implementation method of the proposed estimator. Finally, partially BHS design is explained as a tool of reducing the number of replications of the proposed estimator.

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Radiobiological mechanisms of stereotactic body radiation therapy and stereotactic radiation surgery

  • Kim, Mi-Sook;Kim, Wonwoo;Park, In Hwan;Kim, Hee Jong;Lee, Eunjin;Jung, Jae-Hoon;Cho, Lawrence Chinsoo;Song, Chang W.
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.265-275
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    • 2015
  • Despite the increasing use of stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) and stereotactic radiation surgery (SRS) in recent years, the biological base of these high-dose hypo-fractionated radiotherapy modalities has been elusive. Given that most human tumors contain radioresistant hypoxic tumor cells, the radiobiological principles for the conventional multiple-fractionated radiotherapy cannot account for the high efficacy of SBRT and SRS. Recent emerging evidence strongly indicates that SBRT and SRS not only directly kill tumor cells, but also destroy the tumor vascular beds, thereby deteriorating intratumor microenvironment leading to indirect tumor cell death. Furthermore, indications are that the massive release of tumor antigens from the tumor cells directly and indirectly killed by SBRT and SRS stimulate anti-tumor immunity, thereby suppressing recurrence and metastatic tumor growth. The reoxygenation, repair, repopulation, and redistribution, which are important components in the response of tumors to conventional fractionated radiotherapy, play relatively little role in SBRT and SRS. The linear-quadratic model, which accounts for only direct cell death has been suggested to overestimate the cell death by high dose per fraction irradiation. However, the model may in some clinical cases incidentally do not overestimate total cell death because high-dose irradiation causes additional cell death through indirect mechanisms. For the improvement of the efficacy of SBRT and SRS, further investigation is warranted to gain detailed insights into the mechanisms underlying the SBRT and SRS.

Finite element modeling of RC columns made of inferior concrete mix strengthened with CFRP sheets

  • Khaled A. Alawi, Al-Sodani;Muhammad Kalimur ,Rahman;Mohammed A., Al-Osta;Omar S. Baghabra, Al-Amoudi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.403-417
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    • 2022
  • Reinforced concrete (RC) structures with low-strength RC columns are rampant in several countries, especially those constructed during the early 1960s and 1970s. The weakness of these structures due to overloading or some natural disasters such as earthquakes and building age effects are some of the main reasons to collapse, particularly with the scarcity of data on the impact of aspect ratio and corner radius on the confinement effectiveness. Hence, it is crucial to investigate if these columns (with different aspect ratios) can be made safe by strengthening them with carbon fiber-reinforced polymers (CFRP) sheets. Therefore, experimental and numerical studies of CFRP-strengthened low-strength reinforced concrete short rectangular, square, and circular columns were studied. In this investigation, a total of 6 columns divided into three sets were evaluated. The first set had two circular cross-sectional columns, the second set had two square cross-section columns, and the third set has two rectangular cross-section columns. Furthermore, FEM validation has been conducted for some of the experimental results obtained from the literature. The experimental results revealed that the confinement equations for RC columns as per both CSA and ACI codes could give incorrect results for low-strength concrete. The control specimen (unstrengthened ones) displayed that both ACI and CSA equations overestimate the ultimate strength of low-strength RC columns by order of extent. For strengthened columns with CFRP, the code equations of CSA and ACI code overestimate the maximum strength by around 6 to 13% and 23 to 29%, respectively, depending on the cross-section of the column (i.e., square, rectangular, or circular). Results of finite element models (FEMs) showed that increasing the layer number of new commonly CFRP type (B) from one to 3 for circular columns can increase the column's ultimate loads by around eight times compared to unjacketed columns. However, in the case of strengthened square and rectangular columns with CFRP, the increase of the ultimate loads of columns can reach up to six times and two times, respectively.

Forecasting the KTX Passenger Demand with Intervention ARIMA Model (개입 ARIMA 모형을 이용한 KTX 수요예측)

  • Kim, Kwan-Hyung;Kim, Han-Soo;Lee, Sung-Duk;Lee, Hyun-Gi;Yoon, Kyoung-Man
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.1715-1721
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    • 2011
  • For an efficient railroad operations the demand forecasting is required. Time series models can quickly forecast the future demand with fewer data. As well as the accuracy of forecasting is excellent compared to other methods. In this study is proposed the intervention ARIMA model for forecasting methods of KTX passenger demand. The intervention ARIMA model may reflect the intervention such as the Kyongbu high-speed rail project second phase. The simple seasonal ARIMA model is predicted to overestimate the KTX passenger demand. However, intervention ARIMA model is predicted the reasonable results. The KTX passenger demands were predicted to be a week units separated by the weekday and weekend.

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Numerical Analysis of Hydrodynamic Performance of a Movable Submerged Breakwater Using Energy Dissipation Model (에너지 소산 모델을 이용한 잠수된 가동식 방파제의 유체동역학적 성능 수치해석)

  • Kim, Do-Hyun;Koo, Weon-Cheol
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2012
  • Hydrodynamic performance of a movable submerged breakwater was analyzed using energy dissipation model. Based on two-dimensional boundary element method the equation of motion including a viscous dissipation term proportional to velocity squared was solved by Newton-Raphson method. Energy dissipation coefficients as well as reflection and transmission coefficients of a submerged flat plate were calculated with various plate lengths and thickness. Both real and imaginary components of body displacement and forces were used to solve the motion of breakwater accurately. The effect of the magnitude of dissipation coefficient on the body displacement was evaluated. The results from the potential theory with no dissipation term were found to be an overestimate in resonance frequency.