• Title/Summary/Keyword: Outdoor temperature prediction

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Actual Energy Consumption Analysis on Temperature Control Strategies (Set-point Control, Outdoor Temperature Reset Control and Outdoor Temperature Predictive Control) of Secondary Side Hot Water of District Heating System (지역난방 2차측 공급수 온도 제어방안(설정온도 제어, 외기온 보상제어, 외기온 예측제어)에 따른 에너지사용량 실증 비교)

  • Cho, Sung-Hwan;Hong, Seong-Ki;Lee, Sang-Jun
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2015
  • In this study, the actual energy consumption of the secondary side of District Heating System (DHS) with different hot water supply temperature control methods are compared. Three methods are Set-point Control, Outdoor Temperature Reset Control and Outdoor Temperature Prediction Control. While Outdoor Temperature Reset Control has been widely used for energy savings of the secondary side of the system, the results show that Outdoor Temperature Prediction Control method saves more energy. In general, Outdoor Temperature Prediction Control method lowers the supply temperature of hot water, and it reduces standby losses and increases overall heat transfer value of heated spaces due to more flow into the space. During actual energy consumption monitoring, Outdoor Temperature Prediction Control method saves about 7.1% in comparison to Outdoor Temperature Reset Control method and about 15.7% in comparison to Set-point Control method. Also, it is found that at when partial load condition, such as daytime, the fluctuation of hot water supply temperature with Set-point Control is more severe than Outdoor Temperature Prediction Control. Therefore, it proves that Outdoor Temperature Prediction Control is more stable even at the partial load conditions.

The Effects of Prediction and Reset Control of Outdoor Air Temperature on Energy Consumption for Central Heating System (외기온도 예측 및 보상제어가 난방시스템의 에너지 소비량에 미치는 영향)

  • Ahn, Byung-Cheon;Hong, Sung-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2016
  • In this study, the effects of prediction and reset control of outdoor air temperature on energy consumption for central heating system are researched by using TRNSYS program package, and the control performances with the suggested methods of prediction and reset control of outdoor air temperature are compared with the existing ones. As a result, the value of coefficient of determination $R^2$ for the predicted outdoor temperatures is improved and the suggested control method shows maximum 21.8% energy saving in comparison with existing control ones.

Application Study on the Outdoor Air Temperature Prediction Control for Continuous Floor Heating System (연속바닥난방시스템에 대한 외기예측제어적용 연구)

  • 태춘섭;조성환;이충구
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.836-844
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    • 2001
  • For the radiant floor heating system, the possibility of suboptimal prediction control was investigated by computer simulation and experiment. For this study, TRANSYS program was used and an experimental facility consisting of two rooms (3$\times$4.4$\times$2.8m) was built. The facility enabled simultaneous comparison of two different control strategies which implemented in a separate room. Results showed that outdoor air temperature prediction control was superior to the conventional outdoor air temperature compensation control for radiant floor heating system. However, more research for fine prediction of outside air temperature was required in the future.

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A Study on Correlation of Outdoor Environmental Condition about Cooling Load (냉방부하에 영향을 미치는 외기 환경조건의 상관관계에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Je-Myo
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.11
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    • pp.759-766
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    • 2012
  • To estimate the cooling load for the following day, outdoor temperature and humidity are needed in hourly base. But the meteorological administration forecasts only maximum and minimum temperature. New methodology is proposed for predicting hourly outdoor temperature and humidity by using the forecasted maximum and minimum temperature. The correlations for normalized outdoor temperature and specific humidity has been derived from the weather data for five years at Seoul, Daejeon and Pusan. The correlations for normalized temperature are independent of date, while the correlations for specific humidity are linearly dependent on date. The predicted results show fairly good agreement with the measured data. The prediction program is also developed for hourly outdoor dry bulb temperature, specific humidity, dew point, relative humidity, enthalpy and specific volume.

A Study on Prediction of Temperature and Humidity for Estimation of Cooling Load (냉방부하 추정을 위한 온도와 습도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Lee, Je-Myo;Han, Kyou-Hyun;Han, Seung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.394-402
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    • 2007
  • To estimate the cooling load for the following day, outdoor temperature and humidity are needed in hourly base. But the meteorological administration forecasts only maximum and minimum temperature. New methodology is proposed for predicting hourly outdoor temperature and humidity by using the forecasted maximum and minimum temperature. The correlations for normalized outdoor temperature and specific humidity has been derived from the weather data for five years from 2001 to 2005 at Seoul, Daejeon and Pusan. The correlations for normalized temperature are independent of date, while the correlations for specific humidity are linearly dependent on date. The predicted results show fairly good agreement with the measured data. The prediction program is also developed for hourly outdoor dry bulb temperature, specific humidity, dew point, relative humidity, enthalpy and specific volume.

A Study on Building Energy Saving using Outdoor Air Cooling by Load Prediction (부하예측 외기냉방에 의한 건물에너지 절약에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Kim, Myung-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to develop a control algorithm for outdoor air cooling based on the prediction of cooling load, and to evaluate the building energy saving using outdoor air cooling. Outdoor air conditions such as temperature, humidity, and solar insolation are predicted using forecasted information provided by the meteorological agency, and the building cooling load is predicted from the obtained outdoor air conditions and building characteristics. The air flow rate induced by outdoor air is determined by considering the predicted cooling loads. To evaluate the energy saving, the benchmark building is modeled and simulated using the TRNSYS program. Energy saving by outdoor air cooling using load prediction is found to be around 10% of the total cooling coil load in all locations of Korea. As the allowable minimum indoor temperature is decreased, the total energy saving is increased and approaches close to that of the conventional enthalpy control.

Real-Time Building Load Prediction by the On-Line Weighted Recursive Least Square Method (실시간 가중 회기최소자승법을 사용한 익일 부하예측)

  • 한도영;이재무
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.609-615
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    • 2000
  • The energy conservation is one of the most important issues in recent years. Especially, the energy conservation through improved control strategies is one of the most highly possible area to be implemented in the near future. The energy conservation of the ice storage system can be accomplished through the improved control strategies. A real time building load prediction algorithm was developed. The expected highest and the lowest outdoor temperature of the next day were used to estimate the next day outdoor temperature profile. The measured dry bulb temperature and the measured building load were used to estimate system parameters by using the on-line weighted recursive least square method. The estimated hourly outdoor temperatures and the estimated hourly system parameters were used to predict the next day hourly building loads. In order to see the effectiveness of the building load prediction algorithm, two different types of building models were selected and analysed. The simulation results show less than 1% in error for the prediction of the next day building loads. Therefore, this algorithm may successfully be used for the development of improved control algorithms of the ice storage system.

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A Controller Design for the Prediction of Optimal Heating Load (최적 난방부하 예측 제어기 설계)

  • 정기철;양해원
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.441-446
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents an approach for the prediction of optimal heating load using a diagonal recurrent neural networks(DRNN) and data base system of outdoor temperature. In the DRNN, a dynamic backpropagation(DBP) with delta-bar-delta teaming method is used to train an optimal heating load identifier. And the data base system is utilized for outdoor temperature prediction. Compared to other kinds of methods, the proposed method gives better prediction performance of heating load. Also a hardware for the controller is developed using a microprocessor. The experimental results show that prediction enhancement for heating load can be achieved with the proposed method regardless of the its inherent nonlinearity and large time constant.

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Application of the Outdoor Air Temperature Prediction Control for Intermittent Heating Residences (간헐난방주택에 대한 외기온도 예측제어 적용 연구)

  • 태춘섭;조성환;이충구
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.13 no.8
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    • pp.682-691
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    • 2001
  • Most of radiant floor heating systems are operated in the intermittent heating mode in Korea. The application possibility of predictive suboptimal control for Koran residential house was investigated by computer simulation and experiment. For this study, TRNSYS program was used and an experimental facility consisting of tow rooms ($3\times4.4\times2.8 m$) identical in construction was built. The facility enabled simultaneous comparison of two different control method. And real multi residential hose was investigated. Results showed that outdoor air temperature prediction control was superior to the conventional control for radiant floor heating system operated in the intermittent heating mode. New control system resulted in good thermal environment and les energy consumption.

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Framework for improving the prediction rate with respect to outdoor thermal comfort using machine learning

  • Jeong, Jaemin;Jeong, Jaewook;Lee, Minsu;Lee, Jaehyun
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2022.06a
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 2022
  • Most of the construction works are conducted outdoors, so the construction workers are affected by weather conditions such as temperature, humidity, and wind velocity which can be evaluated the thermal comfort as environmental factors. In our previous researches, it was found that construction accidents are usually occurred in the discomfort ranges. The safety management, therefore, should be planned in consideration of the thermal comfort and measured by a specialized simulation tool. However, it is very complex, time-consuming, and difficult to model. To address this issue, this study is aimed to develop a framework of a prediction model for improving the prediction accuracy about outdoor thermal comfort considering environmental factors using machine learning algorithms with hyperparameter tuning. This study is done in four steps: i) Establishment of database, ii) Selection of variables to develop prediction model, iii) Development of prediction model; iv) Conducting of hyperparameter tuning. The tree type algorithm is used to develop the prediction model. The results of this study are as follows. First, considering three variables related to environmental factor, the prediction accuracy was 85.74%. Second, the prediction accuracy was 86.55% when considering four environmental factors. Third, after conducting hyperparameter tuning, the prediction accuracy was increased up to 87.28%. This study has several contributions. First, using this prediction model, the thermal comfort can be calculated easily and quickly. Second, using this prediction model, the safety management can be utilized to manage the construction accident considering weather conditions.

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