• 제목/요약/키워드: Ordinary least square Method

검색결과 70건 처리시간 0.024초

Distribution and Determinants of Out-of-pocket Healthcare Expenditures in Bangladesh

  • Mahumud, Rashidul Alam;Sarker, Abdur Razzaque;Sultana, Marufa;Islam, Ziaul;Khan, Jahangir;Morton, Alec
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제50권2호
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    • pp.91-99
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    • 2017
  • Objectives: As in many low-income and middle-income countries, out-of-pocket (OOP) payments by patients or their families are a key healthcare financing mechanism in Bangladesh that leads to economic burdens for households. The objective of this study was to identify whether and to what extent socioeconomic, demographic, and behavioral factors of the population had an impact on OOP expenditures in Bangladesh. Methods: A total of 12 400 patients who had paid to receive any type of healthcare services within the previous 30 days were analyzed from the Bangladesh Household Income and Expenditure Survey data, 2010. We employed regression analysis for identify factors influencing OOP health expenditures using the ordinary least square method. Results: The mean total OOP healthcare expenditures was US dollar (USD) 27.66; while, the cost of medicines (USD 16.98) was the highest cost driver (61% of total OOP healthcare expenditure). In addition, this study identified age, sex, marital status, place of residence, and family wealth as significant factors associated with higher OOP healthcare expenditures. In contrary, unemployment and not receiving financial social benefits were inversely associated with OOP expenditures. Conclusions: The findings of this study can help decision-makers by clarifying the determinants of OOP, discussing the mechanisms driving these determinants, and there by underscoring the need to develop policy options for building stronger financial protection mechanisms. The government should consider devoting more resources to providing free or subsidized care. In parallel with government action, the development of other prudential and sustainable risk-pooling mechanisms may help attract enthusiastic subscribers to community-based health insurance schemes.

공간지리 가중회귀모형(GWR)을 이용한 유역 녹지비율과 하천수질의 비균질적 관계 검증 (Testing Non-Stationary Relationship between the Proportion of Green Areas in Watersheds and Water Quality using Geographically Weighted Regression Model)

  • 이상우
    • 한국조경학회지
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 낙동강 대권역에서 공간지리 가중회귀모형을 이용하여 녹지지역과 BOD, TN, TP를 포함하는 수질과의 지역적 비균질적 관계를 검증하고자 수행되었다. 대부분 기존의 상관분석 혹은 회귀분석은 OLS (Ordinary Least Square)기법에 기초한 균질적 관계의 분석에 초점을 두어 왔다. 이러한 녹지지역과 수질의 균질적 관계에 기초한 분석은 지역적으로 변화를 고려하지 않는 단점이 있다. 연구대상지는 낙동강 대권역내 146개 지점이며, 수질자료와 토지피복 자료는 환경부 자료를 활용하였다. BOD, TN, TP에 대하여 일반 회귀모형과 모델과 GWR 모델을 추정하여 비교하였다. 비교결과, BOD와 TN의 GWR 모델이 OLS 모델에 비하여 우수한 것으로 나타났다. GWR 모델의 $R^2$와 녹지지역의 계수 값의 기초통계량을 분석한 결과, 지역적으로 큰 변동이 확인되었다. 이러한 결과는 유역 토지이용과 수질과의 관계가 공간적으로 비균절적이라는 것을 입증하여 주었다.

공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석 (Busan Housing Market Dynamics Analysis with ESDA using MATLAB Application)

  • 정건섭
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문의 목적은 공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석으로써 MATLAB toolbox M-file을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 사용된 자료는 2006년부터 2009년 2분기까지 공개된 부산지역 아파트 실거래가 64,530개 자료를 기준으로 법정동을 분류하여 각 평균값을 분석에 이용하였다. 주택시장분석에 많이 이용되는 헤도닉가격 모형은 도시주택경제 분야에서 주택시장 다이나믹스를 설명하는데 강력한 분석기법의 하나이다. 그럼에도 불구하고 전통적인 헤도닉가격 모형은 공간적자기상관의 영향력을 반영하지 않는 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 공간자기상관 관계를 반영한 다양한 공간계량모형, 예를 들어, 공간자기회귀모형(SAR), 공간오차모형(SEM), 일반공간모형(SAC) 등을 보통최소자승법을 이용한 전통적 헤도닉가격 모형과 비교하고자 한다. 이를 위해 결정계수($R^2$), 분산(${\sigma}^2$), 우도함수(Likelihood)의 값 등의 지표들을 이용하였다. 분석결과 공간자기상관을 고려한 공간계량모형이 전통적 헤도닉모형에 비해 높은 설명력을 보여주고 있다. 공간계량모형에서는 공간오차모형(SEM)과 일반공간모형(SAC)이 공간자기회귀모형(SAR) 보다 우수한 설명력을 보이고 있다.

A Study on Growth and Development Information and Growth Prediction Model Development Influencing on the Production of Citrus Fruits

  • Kang, Heejoo;Lee, Inseok;Goh, Sangwook;Kang, Seokbeom
    • Agribusiness and Information Management
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the growth prediction model that can predict growth and development information influencing on the production of citrus fruits. The growth model was developed to predict the floral leaf ratio, number of fruit sets, fruit width, and overweight fruits depending on the main period of growth and development by considering the weather factors because the fruit production is influenced by weather depending on the growth and development period. To predict the outdoor-grown citrus fruit production, the investigation result for the standard farms is used as the basic data; in this study, we also understood that the influence of weather factors on the citrus fruit production based on the data from 2004 to 2013 of the outdoor-grown citrus fruit observation report in which the standard farms were targeted by the Agricultural Research Service and suggested the growth and development information prediction model with the weather information as an independent variable to build the observation model. The growth and development model for outdoor-grown citrus fruits was assumed by using the Ordinary Least Square method (OLS), and the developed growth prediction model can make a prediction in advance with the weather factors prior to the observation investigation for the citrus fruit production. To predict the growth and development information of the production of citrus fruits having a great ripple effect as a representative crop in Jeju agriculture, the prediction result regarding the production applying the weather factors depending on growth and development period could be applied usefully.

Does Disposition Effect Appear on Investor Decision During the COVID-19 Pandemic Era: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia

  • ASNAWI, Said Kelana;SIAGIAN, Dergibson;ALZAH, Salam Fadillah;HALIM, Indra
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2022
  • Disposition Effect (DE) is one of the many investment biases, wherein the investors sell the profitable stocks rather quickly and they tend to hold on the loss making stocks. Various factors related to the DE are the character of investors applying risk management which is also influenced by the social media, Salient Shock (COVID-19), and in the specific case of Indonesia, the phenomenon of rumor stocks wherein the price can rise as much as up to 8500%. The study aims to provide empirical evidence regarding the DE with specific explanatory factors, namely investor behavior and rumors. Data was obtained through a questionnaire sent to 248 Indonesian Stock Exchange Investors (IDX) during the period October-November 2021 by using Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method. The results show: Generation Z, women, and investors with a low education has a greater DE, risk-takers tend to have lower DE, and professionals have negative DE. Implementation of risk management will reduce DE. Social Media and the COVID-19 situation positively affect DE. Especially on stock rumors, there is evidence that investors who own rumor stocks will have a low DE. The results indicate the need for: (i) risk management, especially for Z Generation, women and low education Investors, (ii) to provide positive information so that information on social media can be responded to positively.

크라우드펀딩 성공을 위한 실증분석 (An Empirical Study on Ssuccessful Crowdfunding)

  • 최석웅;이두연;김원준;강재원
    • 벤처창업연구
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2017
  • 최근 크라우드펀딩은 창업 성장을 위한 자금 조달에 어려움을 겪고 있는 중소 벤처기업의 새로운 자금 조달 수단으로 주목받고 있다. 크라우드펀딩이란 기업이 다수의 대중으로부터 자금을 모으는 직접 금융방식으로써, 유망한 사업 아이템에 대한 일반인의 소액자금 투자를 가능하게 하는 새로운 투자 플랫폼이다. 본 논문은 크라우드펀딩의 성공요인 분석을 위하여 모집 형태, 방식, 기간 등이 성공 가능성과 목표금액 대비 실제 투자액에 미치는 영향을 실증 분석을 실시하였다. 자료는 국내에서 크라우드펀딩 플랫폼 운영하는 3개 업체를 이용하여 2012년부터 2014년 10월까지 자금을 모집한 총 239개의 프로젝트로 구성되어 있다. 회귀분석 결과 All or Nothing 방식의 경우 투자 모집 기간이 상대적으로 짧을수록 성공 확률이 높았고, Keep It All 방식은 투자 모집 기간 뿐만 아니라 참여자 수에 따라 투자성과가 변화하였다. 한편, 목표금액은 크라우드펀딩 성공에 영향을 미치지 않았고, 투자형 크라우드펀딩 형태가 후원 기부형 형태보다 성공률과 목표달성도 모두 높음을 확인하였다. 두 방식 모두를 고려하였을 때는, All or Nothing 방식이 Keep It All 방식의 프로젝트 보다 더 많은 목표금액 대비 투자금 유치에 성공한 것으로 나타났다. 또한 투자액은 실제 참여자 수에 대해 비선형적으로 증가하는 모습을 보였으며, 모집기간이 짧을수록 더 좋은 성과를 보여 주었다.

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시계열 자료를 이용한 도시가스의 수요함수 추정 (Estimation of city gas demand function using time series data)

  • 이승재;어승섭;유승훈
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.370-375
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구에서는 1981년부터 2012년까지의 시계열 자료를 이용하여 도시가스의 수요함수를 추정하고자 한다. 도시가스의 수요함수는 수용가의 도시가스 수요행태에 대한 정보를 제공하여 가격과 같은 주요 정책변수의 효과를 사전적으로 진단하는 데, 그리고 수요예측을 하는 데 유용하게 활용된다. 시계열 데이터를 효과적으로 활용하기 위하여 내생시차변수 모형을 활용하였고, 수요함수의 모수에 대한 강건한 추정치를 얻기 위해 최소자승법 추정법을 사용하였다. 단기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -0.522 및 0.874로 추정되었으며 유의수준 1%에서 통계적으로 유의하였다. 단기 가격탄력성은 가격에 비탄력적인 도시가스수요의 특징을 보여주고 있으며, 단기 소득탄력성 역시 비탄력적으로 추정되어 소득 증감에 따라 도시가스의 수요가 크게 변화지 않음을 알 수 있다. 반면, 장기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -2.155 및 3.607로 나타나 탄력적임을 알 수 있다.

농경지 토양탄소량 결정모형 추정 및 요인별 영향력 계측 (Estimation in a Model for Determining the Amount of Carbon in Soil and Measurement of the Influences of the Specific Factors)

  • 서정민;조재환;손병구;강점순;홍창오;김운원;박정호;임우택;진경호
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제23권11호
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    • pp.1827-1833
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    • 2014
  • This study has been carried out to present the valuation system of soil carbon sequestration potentials of soil in accordance with the new climate change scenarios(RCP). For that, by analyzing variation of soil carbon of the each type of agricultural land use, it aims to develop technology to increase the amount of carbon emissions and sequestration. Among the factors which affects the estimation of determining the soil carbon model and influence power after the measurement on soil organic carbon, under the center of a causal relationship between the explanatory variables this study were investigated. Chemical fertilizers (NPK) decreased with increasing the amount of soil organic carbon and as with the first experimental results, when cultivating rice than pepper, the fact that soil organic carbon content increased has been found out. The higher the carbon dioxide concentration, the higher the amount of organic carbon in the soil and this result is reliable under a 10% significance level. On the other hand, soil organic carbon, humus carbon and hot water extractable carbon has been found out that was not affected the soils depth, sames as the result of the first year. The higher concentration of carbon dioxide, the higher carbon content of humus and hot water extractable carbon content. According to IPCC 2006 Guidelines and the new climate change scenario RCP 4.5 and the measurement results of the total amount of soil organic carbon to the crops due to abnormal climate weather, 1% increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration was found to be small when compared to the growing rate of increasing 0.01058% of organic carbon in the soil.

기온이 전력수요에 미치는 영향 분석 (The effect of temperature on the electricity demand: An empirical investigation)

  • 김혜민;김인겸;박기준;유승훈
    • 에너지공학
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 2005년부터 2013년 동안의 분기별 평균기온자료와 소득, 전력가격, 전력사용량 자료를 사용하여 전력수요함수를 추정하였다. 시계열 데이터의 효과적 활용을 위하여 내생시차변수 모형을 활용하였고, 수요함수의 모수에 대한 강건한 추정치를 얻기 위해 최소자승법 추정법을 사용하였다. 전력수요의 단기 가격탄력성 및 소득탄력성은 각각 -0.569, 0.631로 추정되었으며 유의수준 1%에서 통계적으로 유의하였다. 또한 전력수요의 장기 소득 탄력성과 가격탄력성은 각각 1.589, -1.433으로 소득탄력성과 가격탄력성 모두 탄력적인 것으로 추정되었으며 이 또한 유의수준 1%에서 통계적으로 유의한 것으로 나타났다. 기온과 전력수요와의 관계는 여러 선행 연구들에 의해 U자 모양을 갖는 것으로 추정된 바 있으며, 본 연구에서 추정한 임계기온은 $15.2^{\circ}C$인 것으로 나타났다. 내생시차변수모형을 이용한 경우 이중로그모형을 이용하여 추정했을 때 보다 통계적 설명력이 높고 적합도 또한 높아지는 것으로 나타났다.

Revisiting the Role of Imported Inputs in Asian Economies

  • Woocheol Lee
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.113-136
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - Global production chains and their impacts on economic growth have drawn extensive attention from researchers. Close relationships among global production chains, export and economic growth have been illuminated, as evidenced by the fast and stable economic growth of East Asian economies. These economies perform various roles within global production chains using offshoring, in which the impact of import on domestic gross output is as strong as that of export. The impact of import on economic growth would depend on whether imported inputs substitute or complement domestic inputs production, which is likely to vary according to individual countries' functions within global production chains. The economic growth of concerned countries would also be diverse. However, little attention has been paid to the impact brought by imports compared to its significance. Design/methodology - The principal methodology used in this paper is structural decomposition analysis (SDA), widely chosen to elucidate the impact of various factors on domestic gross output using input-output tables. This paper extracts trade data of six Asian economies from the World Input-Output Database (WIOD) 2016 release that covers 43 countries for the period 2000-2014. The extracted data is then categorised into 37 sectors. First, this paper calculates the Feenstra-Hanson Offshoring Index (OSI) of each country. It then applies SDA to measure the changes in each economy's gross output, export, import input coefficients, and domestic input coefficients. Finally, after taking the first difference from pooled time-series data, it estimates the correlations between imported input coefficients and OSI using the ordinary least square (OLS) method. Findings - The main findings of this paper can be summarised as follows. Firstly, all six countries have increasingly engaged in global production chains, as evidenced by the growing size of OSI. Secondly, there are negative correlations in five countries except Japan, with sectoral differences. Thirdly, changes in import input coefficients are not negative in all six countries, indicating that offshoring does not necessarily substitute for domestic inputs production but does complement it and, therefore, fosters their economic growth. This is observed in China, Indonesia, Korea and Taiwan. Offshoring has led to an increase in the use of imported inputs, which has, in turn, stimulated domestic inputs production in these countries. Originality/value - While existing studies focus on the role of export in evaluating the impact of participating global production chains, this paper explicitly examines the unexplored impact of import on domestic gross output by considering both the substitution and the complementary effect, using the WIOD. The findings of this paper suggest that Asian economies have achieved fast and stable economic growth not only through successful export management but also through effective import management within global production chains. This paper recommends that the Korean government and enterprises carefully choose offshoring strategies to minimise disruption to domestic production chains or foster them.