• Title/Summary/Keyword: Ordinary least square Method

Search Result 70, Processing Time 0.025 seconds

The Impact of Climate Factors, Disaster, and Social Community in Rural Development

  • FARADIBA, Faradiba;ZET, Lodewik
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.7 no.9
    • /
    • pp.707-717
    • /
    • 2020
  • Global warming affects climate change and has an overall impact on all aspects of life. On the other hand, community behavior and disaster aspects also have an important role in people's lives. This will also have an impact on regional development. This study aims to find the effect of climate, disaster, and social community on rural development. This study uses data on the potential of rural development from PODES 2014, and 2018 data collection on climate conditions and regional status is sourced from relevant ministries. This research uses Ordinary Least Square (OLS) Regression Analysis method, then continued with CHAID analysis to find the segmentation of the role of climate, disaster, and social factors on rural development. The results of this study found that all research regressor variables significantly influence the Rural Development Index (IPD2018), with an R-squared value of 32.9 percent. Efforts need to be taken in order to implement policies that are targeted, effective, and efficient. The results of this study can be a reference for the government in determining policies by focusing on rural development that have high duration of sunshine, cultivating natural disaster warnings, especially in areas prone to natural disasters, and need to focus on underdeveloped areas.

Corruption, Terrorism and the Stock Market: The Evidence from Iraq

  • ASAAD, Zeravan Abdulmuhsen;MARANE, Bayar MohamedRasheed
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.7 no.10
    • /
    • pp.629-639
    • /
    • 2020
  • The current study explains how corruption, terrorism, political stability and oil price has an effect on on the Iraq stock exchange utilizing corruption perception index as a proxy of corruption, global terrorism index as proxy for terrorism, political stability and oil price with ISX60 index as proxy of stock market for the period (2005-2019) using Ordinary Least Square method. The results show that the level of corruption, terrorism activities and political stability coefficient is significantly positive with Iraq stock exchange. In contrast, the oil price coefficient is significantly negative with Iraq stock exchange, which means that lower levels of corruption, less terrorism activities and more stability in political system have strong influence on stock market development in Iraq. The study concludes that the explanatory variables are important for Iraq stock exchange. Hence, the study suggests the policy makers to develop stock market by implementing policies and strategies to overcome high level of corruption, terrorism activities especially after ISIS/ISIL announcement has been made public. There is a need for transparency and creating stable political environment through good governance practices in order to attract more foreign investment and promote economic development. Factors like terrorism and corruption make economic and political systems unstable and has an adverse effect on on Iraq's stock exchange performance.

Estimation for the Distribution of Creep Crack Growth Coefficients by Probabilistic Assessment (확률적 방법에 의한 크리프 균열성장 계수의 분포 추정)

  • Lee, Sang-Ho;Yoon, Kee-Bong;Choe, Byung-Hak;Min, Doo-Sik;Ahn, Jong Seok;Lee, Gil Jae;Kim, Sun-Hwa
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
    • /
    • v.48 no.9
    • /
    • pp.791-797
    • /
    • 2010
  • The creep crack growth rate (da/dt) of the Cr-Mo steels tested by pre-crack and the voltage (or resistance) variables were related into fracture parameter (Ct), crack growth coefficient (H), and an exponent (q) in the parts of Base, weld and HAZ. The fracture parameter (Ct) has various variables relating to the specimen and crack shape, applied stress, and creep strain curve. The H and q was inferred by OLS regression (ordinary least square method), and the H values were solved in statistics and probability assessment, which were attained fromPDF's distributions (probability density function). The HAZ part has the highest value of q by OLS regression and the widest distribution of H by PDF of WEIBULL, which means that the crack sensitivity of HAZ should be cautioned against the creep crack growth and failure.

The Impact of the Covid-19 Crisis on the 21st General Election in Korea

  • LEE, EURI
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
    • /
    • v.12 no.12
    • /
    • pp.25-33
    • /
    • 2021
  • Purpose: This paper estimates the impact of the epidemic crisis on election outcomes through investigating the effect of Covid19 crisis on election results of 21st General Election held in April 15th 2020 in Korea. Research design, data and methodology: This study employs Ordinary Least Square (OLS) method using district-level data from Seoul and Gyeonggi province available at National election data in Korea. Results: Despite the current crisis in Korea, Covid-19 has had positive effects on voter turnout on average, after controlling for other factors. On the other hand, the effect of Covid-19 on the voter turnout was negative in districts with a larger aging population and higher health insurance premiums. In addition, Covid-19 negatively impacted vote shares for the incumbent party, while its rival party saw gains in their votes. Conclusion: The effect of Covid-19 election outcomes in Korea is distinct from other countries due to the nationwide acknowledgment of the Korean government's achievement in managing the epidemic. This implies that the crisis management ability of a government is crucial in gaining support for an incumbent party in future elections. Countries facing upcoming elections need to implement acceptable Covid-19 restriction policies as well as economic support for compensation to reap similar benefits.

The Influence of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Returns in Indonesia Stock Exchange

  • HERWANY, Aldrin;FEBRIAN, Erie;ANWAR, Mokhamad;GUNARDI, Ardi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.39-47
    • /
    • 2021
  • This research aims to confirm if the COVID-19 pandemic has had an impact on existing sectors, and how that affects the Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) market returns. The research method used is an event study employing market models in nine sectors of the Exchange with purposive sampling technique, and supported by Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression. Based on the calculation of abnormal returns in the period of 30 days before up to 30 days after, the financial property, real estate, and construction sector results show a decreased abnormal return value. The infrastructure, utilities, and transportation sectors also show an abnormal return value that tends to be constant, while the abnormal return value increases in other sectors. Judging from the cumulative value of abnormal returns, the most affected sector is financials, followed by the trade, service, and investment sectors. The consumer goods and mining industry sectors are still optimistic, while other sectors show temporary negative sentiment. Overall, the stocks on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) were affected by the COVID-19 pandemic with a cumulative negative value of the average abnormal return sample. The results using OLS regression also strengthen the relationships between the COVID-19 pandemic, and negative and significant market returns.

Relationship Between Profitability and Corporate Social Responsibility Disclosure: Evidence from Vietnamese Listed Banks

  • TRAN, Quoc Thinh;VO, Thi Diu;LE, Xuan Thuy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • v.8 no.3
    • /
    • pp.875-883
    • /
    • 2021
  • In view of integration and development, compliance with regulations on information disclosure has important implications for users. Corporate social responsibility disclosure (CSRD) is an increasing concern of the community and society. CSRD always poses many challenges for the profitability of banks. The article uses the ordinary least square method to examine this relationship and employs timeseries data of five years from 18 Vietnamese listed banks from 2015 to 2019. The analysis is informed by Jensen and Meckling's Agency theory, Freeman's Stakeholder theory, and Dowling and Pfeffer's Legitimacy theory. The study results show that, with the CSRD dependent variable, return on assets (ROA) and net interest margin (NIM) have an opposite influence, but return on equity (ROE) has no effect on CSRD, while on the profitability dependent variable, CSRD has a different influence from ROA, ROE, and NIM. To enhance the relationship between CSRD and profitability, Vietnamese listed banks need to comply with CSRD as well as demonstrate responsibility to the community and society. Managers need to have clear development policies and strategies to ensure both profitability and responsibility regarding social and community activities. The State Securities Commission of Vietnam should enforce strict sanctions, conduct inspection, and complete evaluation criteria for Vietnamese listed banks.

Methods of Combining P-values for Multiple Endpoints of Various Data Types (제 3상 임상시험에서 여러 형태 반응변수의 다변량 검정법인 P값 병합법)

  • Kim, Su-Young;Song, Hae-Hiang
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.21 no.1
    • /
    • pp.35-51
    • /
    • 2008
  • Comparative studies in Phase III clinical trials quite often involve two or more equally important endpoints, and one cannot select primary endpoint from them. O'Brien(1984) proposed for continuous endpoints the OLS and GLS statistics as milti-variate test statistics. Pocock et al. (1987) mentioned the possibility of analyzing a mixture of data types, such as quantitative, binary and survival data types, with the OLS and GLS statistics, but the authors did not explore problems in combining several endpoints of different types. Furthermore, they did not perform a simulation study to assess the efficiencies of the OLS and GLS statistics for endpoints of a mixture of data types. In this paper, we propose the combining methods of correlated P-values for the analysis of multiple endpoints, and compare the efficiencies of this method with those of OLS and GLS statistics for a mixture of data types with a simulation study. Among the several methods of combining P-values that are more advantageous than combining of OLS and GLS statistics, method B maintains nominal significance levels and is more efficient, while method F and G have type I error rates that are larger than the specified significance levels, which might occasionally lead to a wrong conclusion.

Analysis of Static Crack Growth in Asphalt Concrete using the Extended Finite Element Method (확장유한요소법을 이용한 아스팔트의 정적균열 성장 분석)

  • Zi, Goangseup;Yu, Sungmun;Thanh, Chau-Dinh;Mun, Sungho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.30 no.4D
    • /
    • pp.387-393
    • /
    • 2010
  • This paper studies static crack growth of asphalt pavement using the extended finite element method (XFEM). To consider nonlinear characteristics of asphalt concrete, a viscoelastic constitutive equation using the Maxwell chain is used. And a linear cohesive crack model is used to regularize the crack. Instead of constructing the viscoelastic constitutive law from the Prony approximation of compliance and retardation time measured experimentally, we use a smooth log-power function which optimally fits experimental data and is infinitely differentiable. The partial moduli of the Maxwell chain from the log-power function make analysis easy because they change more smoothly in a more stable way than the ordinary method such as the least square method. Using the developed method, we can simulates the static crack growth test results satisfactorily.

A Comparative Study on the Goodness of Fit in Spatial Econometric Models Using Housing Transaction Prices of Busan, Korea (부산시 실거래 주택매매 가격을 이용한 공간계량모형의 적합도 비교연구)

  • Chung, Kyoun-Sup;Kim, Sung-Woo;Lee, Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
    • /
    • v.15 no.1
    • /
    • pp.43-51
    • /
    • 2012
  • The OLS(ordinary least squares) method is widely used in hedonic housing models. One of the assumptions of the OLS is an independent and uniform distribution of the disturbance term. This assumption can be violated when the spatial autocorrelation exists, which in turn leads to undesirable estimate results. An alterative to this, spatial econometric models have been introduced in housing price studies. This paper describes the comparisons between OLS and spatial econometric models using housing transaction prices of Busan, Korea. Owing to the approaches reflecting spatial autocorrelation, the spatial econometric models showed some superiority to the traditional OLS in terms of log likelihood and sigma square(${\sigma}^2$). Among the spatial models, the SAR(Spatial Autoregressive Models) seemed more appropriate than the SAC(General Spatial Models) and the SEM(Spatial Errors Models) for Busan housing markets. We can make sure the spatial effects on housing prices, and the reconstruction plans have strong impacts on the transaction prices. Selecting a suitable spatial model will play an important role in the housing policy of the government.

Ordinary Kriging of Daily Mean SST (Sea Surface Temperature) around South Korea and the Analysis of Interpolation Accuracy (정규크리깅을 이용한 우리나라 주변해역 일평균 해수면온도 격자지도화 및 내삽정확도 분석)

  • Ahn, Jihye;Lee, Yangwon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.40 no.1
    • /
    • pp.51-66
    • /
    • 2022
  • SST (Sea Surface Temperature) is based on the atmosphere-ocean interaction, one of the most important mechanisms for the Earth system. Because it is a crucial oceanic and meteorological factor for understanding climate change, gap-free grid data at a specific spatial and temporal resolution is beneficial in SST studies. This paper examined the production of daily SST grid maps from 137 stations in 2020 through the ordinary kriging with variogram optimization and their accuracy assessment. The variogram optimization was achieved by WLS (Weighted Least Squares) method, and the blind tests for the interpolation accuracy assessment were conducted by an objective and spatially unbiased sampling scheme. The four-round blind tests showed a pretty high accuracy: a root mean square error between 0.995 and 1.035℃ and a correlation coefficient between 0.981 and 0.982. In terms of season, the accuracy in summer was a bit lower, presumably because of the abrupt change in SST affected by the typhoon. The accuracy was better in the far seas than in the near seas. West Sea showed better accuracy than East or South Sea. It is because the semi-enclosed sea in the near seas can have different physical characteristics. The seasonal and regional factors should be considered for accuracy improvement in future work, and the improved SST can be a member of the SST ensemble around South Korea.