• Title/Summary/Keyword: Option Volatility

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Evaluation of Investment Value of Renewable Energy and Decision Making for Market Entry Using the Idle Space of Public Enterprises (공기업 유휴공간을 활용한 신재생에너지 투자사업에 대한 실물옵션기반 의사결정방안)

  • Na, Seoung Beom;Jang, Woosik;Kim, Kyeongseok;Kim, Byungil;Lee, Harry;Lee, Changgeun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.168-175
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    • 2020
  • Recently, there has been an increasing need to expand the supply of renewable energy as a solution to greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore, as a measure to promote domestic renewable energy investment and gradual expansion, this study analyzed the investment value of renewable energy projects utilizing the unoccupied spaces of public enterprise's facilities and presented a strategic decision-making framework to support efficient national land development and government measures. The NPV was estimated to be 286 million won if the expansion of the facility was not considered, but it is reasonable to postpone the expansion decision because the value of -130 million won was calculated if the expansion was considered. On the other hand, the real-option value was estimated to be 444 million won, taking SMP uncertainty, expansion, and abandonment options into account, and an additional value of 288 million won was calculated from an analysis of the expansion project using the existing NPV analysis.