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로짓분석을 통한 중소기업 정책자금 지원의 위험예측력에 대한 연구 (The Study on the Risk Predict Method and Government Funds Supporting for Small and Medium Enterprises)

  • 최창열;함형범
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구에서는 중소기업 정책자금을 지원받는 상장기업을 대상으로 위험 예측모형을 제시하고자 한다. 정책자금을 지원하는 기관 입장에서는 대상기업의 위험성을 판단하는 것은 자산의 건전한 운용을 위해 중요한 과제일 것이다. 리스크 예측 방법은 J.P.Morgon의 CreditMetrics를 이용한 보증기관의 경제자본 측정과 신용자산배분, 극단적 상황에서 이용할 수 있는 스트레스 테스팅(stress testing)기법, 판별 분석 모형, 로짓분석 등 다양한 방법이 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 로짓분석을 통해 정책자금의 건전한 운용을 위해 정책자금 지원 기관에 대한 부실위험을 살펴본다. 분석을 위해 먼저 기존 연구에 대한 검토와 최근 기업도산의 상황을 감안하여 14개의 재무지표를 선정한 다음 수행한 로짓회귀분석의 결과 추정계수로 로짓반응함수와 로지스틱 반응함수를 구성할 수 있다. 여기서는 정상기업/도산기업에 있어서 자기자본대타인자본비율, 매출액경상이익율, 총자산영업이익율, 총자산회전율, 매출채권회전율, 재고자산회전율만이 도산가능성을 예측하는데 유용한 변수로 선택되었다. 이는 재무비율 상호간의 높은 상호간 관계로 인하여 다수의 재무비율이 지닌 정보의 대부분이 소수의 재무비율에 의하여 파악될 수 있음을 의미한다. 또한 부실기업/도산기업의 구분에 있어서는 모든 비율이 두 그룹을 구분 짓는데 설명력이 높음을 나타내고 있다. 또한 총자산이익잉여금율이 높은 기업일수록 도산가능성이 낮다는 것을 두 그룹 모두에서 보여주고 있으며 회귀계수의 유의수준도 가장 높다. 금융비용부담율 또한 그 비율이 높은 기업일수록 도산가능성이 높다는 것을 제시하고 있다. 순운전자본비율, 자기자본비율, 매출액순이익율, 총자산영업이익율, 총자산회전율, 재고자산회전율은 도산기능성에 기대된 (-)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타나고 있다.

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BSC와 EVA를 이용한 TDABC 통합시스템의 개발 (Development of Integrated System of Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing(TDABC) Using Balanced Scorecard(BSC) and Economic Value Added(EVA))

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.451-469
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to implement and develop the integrated Economic Value Added (EVA) and Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing (TDABC) model to seek both improvement of Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Tax (NOPLAT) and reduction of Capital Charge (CC). Net Operating Profit Less Adjusted Tax (NOPLAT) can be maximized by reducing the indirect cost of an unused resource capacity increased by Cost Capacity Ratio (CCR) of TDABC. On the other hand, Capital Charge (CC) can be minimized by improving the efficiency of Invested Capital (IC) considered by Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) of EVA. In addition, the integrated system of TDABC using Balance Scorecard (BSC) and EVA is developed by linking between the lagging indicators and the three leading indicators. The three leading indicators include customer, internal process and growth and learning perspectives whereas the lagging indicator includes NOPLAT and CC in terms of financial perspective. When the Critical Success Factor (CSF) of BSC is cascading as a cause and an effect relationship, time driver of TDABC and capital driver of EVA can be used efficiently as Key Performance Indicator (KPI) of BSC. For a better understanding of the proposed EVA/TDABC model and BSC/EVA/TDABC model, numerical examples are derived from this paper. From the proposed model, the time driver of TDABC and the capital driver of EVA are known to lessen indirect cost from comprehensive income statement when increasing the efficiency of operating IC from the statement of financial position with unified KPI cascading of aligned BSC CSFs.

MECHAINSED RICE SHARE FARMING IN PERMATANG PAUH SEBERANG PERAI,MALAYSIA-A MANAGEMENT EXPERIENCE

  • Hussain, M.D
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농업기계학회 1993년도 Proceedings of International Conference for Agricultural Machinery and Process Engineering
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    • pp.538-545
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    • 1993
  • Individual farming involving small land parcel (0.5 to 1.0ha) is declining because it is uneconomic and unable to incorporate modern technological innovation to improve its production efficiency. A centrally managed medium scale mechanised rice share farming was implemented at Permatang Pauh, Sebeerang Perai, Malaysia in 1988-1991 for eight seasons on a contiguous 57 ha rice land rented from 100 owners. Ten participants were chosen to participate in this project which perpetuated from revolving fund of MR 165.000. The objective of the project was to overcome problem of production efficiency and to provide a stable income to farmers operating on a medium and full time basis. Mechanisation was given prime emphasis to optime and reduce labour requirement and meeting the targeted crop scheduling. Direct seeding and mechanical transplanting methods of crop establishment were adopted. Land preparations, crop establishment and crop care were done using machineries purchased by the group. Selected participants were trained to operate machineries which composed 2 and 4 wheel tractors, mechanical transplanters, motorised seeders and sprayers. Harvesting and transportation of rice to the mills were done on contractual basis using combine harvesters and bulk handling via 3-4 ton lorries respectively. The net clean yield (less 10-20 percent deduction at rice mills) obtained in such project has contributed to stabilise the production and income of participating farmers.

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병원재정 평가를 위한 비율분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Ratio Analysis as a Tool for Evaluating Financial Performance)

  • 채영문;윤정현;이해종
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.213-223
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    • 1986
  • Ratio analysis allows a hospital to evaluate its own performance over time and to compare its performance with that of other hospitals. For this study, three types of ratio analysis were conducted based on some data on hospitals in Massachusetts. First, Key ratios influencing financial performance were identified using discriminant analysis. Second, the financial structures of the teaching and the non-teaching hospitals were compared using ratios and multiple comparison method. Third, the effects of the prospective reimbursement law of the state on financial performance were examined using ratios and paired t-test. The purpose of the law is to reduce hospital costs by setting the revenue ceiling prior to the effective budget year. The findings of this study were as follows: 1) When hospitals were divided into three groups, according to their operating income, only profitability ratios showed a consistent difference among the groups. 2) In the discriminant analysis, five ratios were selected: current ratio, operating margin, return on assets, fixed assets turnover, and inventory turnover. They are the key ratios to be monitored periodically for the purpose of evaluating the financial performance of hospitals. 3) When teaching hospitals were compared with non-teaching hospitals, acid ratio, days of cash on hand, and inventory turnover were statistically significant before the law went into effect, whereas only fixed assets turnover and inventory turnover were significant afterward. Contrary to previous studies, profitability ratios of teaching hospitals were higher than those of non-teaching hospitals, although the differences were not statistically significant. 4) When the ratios between the two periods (before and after the law) were compared, three profitability ratios (operating margin, return on assets, and return on equity) were significant for teaching hospitals, whereas three activity ratios (total assets turnover, fixed assets turnover, current assets turnover) were significant for non-teaching hospitals. Furthermore, while both total operating revenue and expenses were decreased, net operating income was increased, due to a greater decrease in total operating expenses. This shows that the law can indeed, simultaneously, achieve both a reduction in costs as well as an improvement in the financial situation of hospitals.

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Relationship Between the Audit Committee and Earning Management in Listed Companies in Vietnam

  • NGO, Diem Nhat Phuong;LE, Anh Thi Hong
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to examine the impact of audit committee characteristics on income management of companies listed on the Stock Exchange of Vietnam. Research data was collected from all 745 listed companies on Vietnam's stock market over four years, from 2015 to 2018. After excluding companies that did not qualify, there were 216 companies with 864 observations. With the help of dedicated software Stata 15, the impact of audit committee characteristics (through independent variables and control variables such as Audit Committee Independence, Auditing Committee size, Auditing Committee Expertise, Auditing Committee Meeting Frequency, Company Size, Financial Leverage, and Operating Cash Flow) to earning management through a multivariate regression model was determined. Research results from Vietnamese listed companies during this period show that the size and expertise of the audit committee are inversely related to the discretionary accruals representing earning management. At the same time, the research results also identify a positive relationship between firm size and earning management, and the inverse relationship between financial leverage, net cash flow from operating operations and earning management. However, the multivariate regression results do not find clear evidence of a relationship between audit committee independence and the audit committee meeting frequency to earning management.

A Study on the Business Feasibility of Marine Leisure Ship

  • Jung-Suk Choi;Kyoung-Hoon Choi
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.288-295
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the feasibility of the new marine leisure ships. In order to achieve the research purpose, the cost and income were calculated based on the operating of other marine leisure ships, and the feasibility of the project was empirically analyzed. This study established a research model that applies the values derived by empirically analyzing ships with similar specifications, to the new marine leisure ships. We then calculated the cost-benefit analysis, net present value, and internal return, and evaluated the feasibility of the project based on this. As a result of the business feasibility analysis of investing in marine leisure ship, it was found that economic feasibility exists with a B/C of 1.042 and 1.049 for new and secondhand ships, respectively; however, considering the stability of the ship and the publicity and continuity of the business operation, it is recommended to invest in new ships compared to secondhand ships. The total benefit over the 10-year operating period using a social discount rate of 4.5% was evaluated to be about KRW 292.0 billion, which is higher than the total cost of KRW 256.6 billion. In conclusion, the profitability analysis showed that the B/C was 1.042, the NPV was KRW 193 billion, and the IRR was 2.1%, which indicates that profitability is weakly secured.

FMOLS 모형을 이용한 상업은행 수익성에 대한 연구 : 금리 시장화의 시각에서 (A Study on the Profitability of the Commercial Bank in Terms of Interest Rate Marketization : Based on FMOLS Model)

  • 하육강
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제9권8호
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - As an important participant in the financial markets, the commercial bank will be impacted by the interest rate marketization. Owing to the special condition of China, this paper tries to explore the impact of operating mechanisms between interest rate marketization and the profitability of the commercial Bank. Research design, data and methodology - This paper applies time series data from 2005 to 2016. Due to the short period of time series, autocorrelation often occurs. Therefore, the fully modified least squares(FMOLS) will be used to conduct an empirical analysis. The reason is that it can move off the autocorrelation between variables and disturbance term. And FMOLS also can make estimated cointegrating parameters closed to normal distribution. More importantly, in order to avoid spurious regressions, the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test will be used to verify the stationarity of all variables. The total return of asset is treated as the profitability of commercial bank. The net interest spread is treated as a measurement of interest rate marketization. Both are regarded as dependent variables. The non-interest income or gross revenues and impaired loans or gross loans are treated as independent variables. The sixteen representative listed commercial banks are divided into three categories (state-owned, share-holding and city-owned) to conduct an estimation. Results - Via empirical analysis, the findings show that the net interest spread has a positive effect on the profitability of the commercial bank. More specifically, 1% increase in the net interest spread will lead 0.157% increase in the profitability of state-owned commercial bank, 0.269% increase in the profitability of share-holding commercial bank and 0.263% increase in the profitability of city-owned commercial bank. If regarding the sixteen listed commercial city as a whole, 1% increase in the net interest spread will lead 0.267% increase in the profitability of the commercial bank. Conclusions - As the interest rate marketization, the importance of interest rate on the profitability of commercial bank has become more and more significant. The empirical evidences also prove that the net interest spread can bring about the change of the commercial bank's profitability. Therefore, policy-makers of commercial banks should fully understand the operating mechanism between them.

경기변동과 주택형태별 수익률에 관한 소고(小考) (The Cross-Sectional Dispersion of Housing and Business Cycle)

  • 김종권
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2009년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.305-308
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    • 2009
  • According to the returns of Housing and business cycle over the period 1992 to 2007, it is a measure of the total volatility faced by investors in Housing properties. First, it isn't a distinct difference from business cycle contrary to U.S. Second, the rise of purchase price in total apartments moves up the consumer price index. According to the cross-sectional dispersion of returns and growth in net operating income (NOI) of apartments, industrial, retail and office properties using panel data for U.S. metropolitan areas over the period 1986 to 2002, it is a measure of the total volatility faced by investors in commercial real estate. To the extent that most of that volatility is difficult to diversify, cross-sectional dispersion may be an appropriate measure of risk.

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LCD 장비 산업의 경영 효율성에 관한 연구 (A study on the managemnet Efficiency of LCD Equipment Industry)

  • 김창수;정백운
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제9권5호
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    • pp.125-133
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    • 2007
  • Everyone knows how much the company business goal is achieved is the most important to all companies. In order to maximize the business performance, many companies have introduced a diversity of management innovation activities. The effect of business performance is important in the business activity, but an efficiency of output-to-input concept is significantly important. Each year, companies have managed the business through a sum of performance. In terms of the efficiency of business performance, the management is importantly managed. In the efficiency of business performance, there are the main items including the total assets, employees, and operating expenses as the input. As the output, there are the main items of sales, current term's net income. This study is intended to calculate the business efficiency through DEA analysis for companies' business performance, and to study in order for the efficiency of business performance to be considered when the companies establish the mid and long term business plan.

국내 물류기업의 효율성과 물류네트워크 내 영향력에 관한 연구 : 2자 물류기업과 3자 물류기업 비교를 중심으로 (A Study on the Efficiency of Domestic Logistics Companies and their Influence in Logistics Networks : Focusing on the comparison of second-party logistics companies and third-party logistics companies)

  • 노윤진
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권5호
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    • pp.31-47
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    • 2021
  • Recently, third-party logistics and second-party logistics are well known as a form of logistics service. However, there are several opinions about the effectiveness of second-party logistics and third-party logistics. In this study, the efficiency of second-party logistics companies and third-party logistics companies, which are the main providers of logistics services, was compared and the sales impact on the logistics market was measured. Efficiency was measured using DEA's CCR and BCC models. Debt and equity were used as input variables, and sales, operating profit, and net income were used as output variables. As a result of measuring the efficiency of logistics companies, the efficiency of third-party logistics companies was higher than that of second-party logistics companies in 2019 and 2020, and it had a positive effect on the rate of change in sales.