• Title/Summary/Keyword: Observation Confidence

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Evidence of Difference on the Results of VAR Analysis Impacted the Time Frequency and Time Span of Time Series Data (시계열 자료의 관찰빈도 및 기간이 VAR 분석결과에 미치는 영향 차이 검증 - 한국 환율과 주가를 중심으로 -)

  • Hwang, Yun Seop;Yoo, Seung Jick;Kim, Soo Eun
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.81-102
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    • 2009
  • The discussion of the relationship between macro-economic variables is very important research topic. the most economic variables discussed in connection with the liberalization of capital is the exchange rate and stock prices and these two variables have a relationship of mutual influence are identified. However, the results on the time frequency and the time span of a variable appear differently. Therefore, the purpose of this research describes a cause that the result of prior research varied and presents more reliable research methodology. In this research, when the time frequency and span varied, the VAR analysis of the exchange rate and stock prices appeared differently. So, we use the Monte Carlo simulation method in order to performing our purpose. Our research supports the existing research said the ratio that each coefficient VAR model contained 95% confidence interval of estimated coefficient in Monte Carlo simulation is higher when it is applied more the long term and frequent observation.

The Effect of Breast Cancer Survivors' Participation in Line Dance: A Phenomenological Study (유방암 생존자의 라인댄스 참여효과에 대한 현상학적 연구)

  • Kang, Min Jae;Byeon, Ji Yong;Park, Ji Hye;Yu, Mi-seong;Hwang, Seo-Hyeon;Jeon, Justin Y.
    • 한국체육학회지인문사회과학편
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.541-559
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to understand breast cancer survivors' line dance program participation experience and their perceived effects. Nine participants were selected by the purposive sampling. In the current study, phenomenological research methods were used and qualitative data were collected through in-depth interviews and observation. The analyses indicated that participants's positive experiences were categorized into physical (physiological change, improved digestive system, sleep quality and cognitive function), psychological (pleasure, vigor, peace, self confidence, and satisfaction) and social (improved mood among family members, peer support and pleasure) benefit. Furthermore, participants enjoyed unique characteristics of line dance such as continuous music and nature of group exercise where they enjoy information sharing and peer support In summary, a line dance program was safe and beneficial for breast cancer survivors and should be recommended as one of exercise options for breast cancer survivors.

Incidence of Obesity-related Diabetes Mellitus in Adults with Prediabetes: Use of Data from a Prospective Cohort Study (당뇨전단계 성인의 비만이 당뇨병 발생 위험에 미치는 영향: 전향적 코호트 자료의 활용)

  • Han, Nara;Cho, HyangSoon;Ju, Jeong Suk;Lee, Kyoung Mee
    • Journal of East-West Nursing Research
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.106-116
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify the impact of obesity on the incidence of diabetes mellitus in adults with pre-diabetes. Methods: This study employed a longitudinal study design and utilized secondary data drawn from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. This study used data from a sample of 3,693 adults with prediabetes who were followed every two years from 2001 to 2018. Statistical data analysis for frequency, number of cases per 1,000 person-years, log-rank test, Kaplan-Meier curve, and Cox's proportional hazards regression analysis was performed using IBM SPSS statistics version 26. Results: During the observation period, there were 1,309 (35.4%) patients with diabetes, and the total number of person-years was 35,342. The incidence of diabetes was higher in the obese group compared to the normal weight group (body mass index [BMI]: hazard ratio=1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]=1.40~1.77, waist: hazard ratio=1.55, 95% CI=1.38~1.76, waist to hip ratio [WHR]: hazard ratio=1.53, 95% CI=1.24~1.89, body fat [BF] (%): hazard ratio=1.42, 95% CI=1.27~1.61). Conclusion: An increase in BMI, waist circumference, and WHR, which are indicators of obesity, can exacerbate the risk factors for diabetes. Thus, a decrease in BMI, waist circumference, and WHR is necessary to prevent pre-diabetes. In particular, health care professionals should provide individualized weight management program interventions, including adult obesity programs and obesity counseling in partnership with local health departments, to reduce BMI and waist circumference in people at high risk for diabetes.

Prognostic and Safety Implications of Renin-Angiotensin-Aldosterone System Inhibitors in Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy: A Real-World Observation Over 2,000 Patients

  • Chan Soon Park;Tae-Min Rhee;Hyun Jung Lee;Yeonyee E. Yoon;Jun-Bean Park;Seung-Pyo Lee;Yong-Jin Kim;Goo-Yeong Cho;In-Chang Hwang;Hyung-Kwan Kim
    • Korean Circulation Journal
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    • v.53 no.9
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    • pp.606-618
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    • 2023
  • Background and Objectives: The prognostic or safety implication of renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RASi) in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) are not well established, mainly due to concerns regarding left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) obstruction aggravation. We investigated the implications of RASi in a sizable number of HCM patients. Methods: We enrolled 2,104 consecutive patients diagnosed with HCM in 2 tertiary university hospitals and followed up for five years. RASi use was defined as the administration of RASi after diagnostic confirmation of HCM. The primary and secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality and hospitalization for heart failure (HHF). Results: RASi were prescribed to 762 patients (36.2%). During a median follow-up of 48.1 months, 112 patients (5.3%) died, and 94 patients (4.5%) experienced HHF. Patients using RASi had less favorable baseline characteristics than those not using RASi, such as older age, more frequent history of comorbidities, and lower ejection fraction. Nonetheless, there was no difference in clinical outcomes between patients with and without RASi use (log-rank p=0.368 for all-cause mortality and log-rank p=0.443 for HHF). In multivariable analysis, patients taking RASi showed a comparable risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.43-1.14, p=0.150) and HHF (HR, 1.03, 95% CI, 0.63-1.70, p=0.900). In the subgroup analysis, there was no significant interaction of RASi use between subgroups stratified by LVOT obstruction, left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, or maximal LV wall thickness. Conclusions: RASi use was not associated with worse clinical outcomes. It might be safely administered in patients with HCM if clinically indicated.

The pattern of metachronous recurrence after endoscopic submucosal dissection for gastric adenocarcinoma and dysplasias

  • Sunah Suk;Yeon Joo Seo;Dae Young Cheung;Han Hee Lee;Jin Il Kim;Soo-Heon Park
    • Clinical Endoscopy
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    • v.56 no.4
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    • pp.470-478
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    • 2023
  • Background/Aims: Metachronous recurrence incidences and risk factors following endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for gastric adenocarcinoma and dysplasias were investigated. Methods: Retrospective review of electronic medical records of patients who underwent gastric ESD at The Catholic University of Korea, Yeouido St. Mary's Hospital. Results: A total of 190 subjects were enrolled for analysis during the study period. The mean age was 64.4 years and the male sex occupied 73.7%. The mean observation period following ESD was 3.45 years. The annual incidence rate of metachronous gastric neoplasms (MGN) was about 3.96%. The annual incidence rate was 5.36% for the low-grade dysplasia group, 6.47% for the high-grade dysplasia group, and 2.74% for the EGC group. MGN was more frequent in the dysplasia group than in the EGC group (p<0.05). For those with MGN development, the mean time interval from ESD to MGN was 4.1 (±1.8) years. By using the Kaplan-Meier model, the estimated mean MGN free survival time was 9.97 years (95% confidence interval, 8.53-11.40) The histological types of MGN were not related to the primary histology types. Conclusions: MGN following ESD developed in 3.96% annually and MGN was more frequent in the dysplasia group. The histological types of MGN did not correlate with those of primary neoplasm.

Association between Antacid Exposure and Risk of Interstitial Lung Diseases

  • Soohyun Bae;Gjustina Loloci;Dong Yoon Lee;Hye Jin Jang;Jihyeon Jeong;Won-Il Choi
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.87 no.2
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    • pp.185-193
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    • 2024
  • Background: The mechanisms leading to lung fibrosis are still under investigation. This study aimed to demonstrate whether antacids could prevent the development of interstitial lung disease (ILD). Methods: This population-based longitudinal cohort study was conducted between January 2006 and December 2010 in South Korea. Eligible subjects were ≥40 years of age, exposed to proton pump inhibitors (PPI)±histamine-2 receptor antagonists (H-2 blockers) or H-2 blockers only, and had no history of ILD between 2004 and 2005. Exposure to antacids was defined as the administration of either PPI or H-2 receptor antagonists for >14 days, whereas underexposure was defined as antacid treatment administered for less than 14 days. Newly developed ILDs, including idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), were counted during the 5-year observation period. The association between antacid exposure and ILD development was evaluated using adjusted Cox regression models with variables, such as age, sex, smoking history, and comorbidities. Results: The incidence rates of ILD with/without antacid use were 43.2 and 33.8/100,000 person-years, respectively and those of IPF were 14.9 and 22.9/100,000 person-years, respectively. In multivariable analysis, exposure to antacid before the diagnosis of ILD was independently associated with a reduced development of ILD (hazard ratio [HR], 0.57; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.45 to 0.71; p<0.001), while antacid exposure was not associated with development of IPF (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.72 to 1.09; p=0.06). Conclusion: Antacid exposure may be independently associated with a decreased risk of ILD development.

Optimization of a Rubber based Colloidal Suspension Manufacturing Process Using Mixture Experimental Design (혼합물 실험계획법을 활용한 고무 교질 현탁액 제조 공정의 최적화)

  • Yu, In Gon;Ahn, Seong Jae;Ryu, Sung Myung;Hong, Sung Hoon;Lee, Min Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.377-394
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: To derive the optimal conditions for the Rubber based colloidal suspension manufacturing process, which made using a stirrer, to apply the mixture design method. Methods: We used two process component and one process variable Mixture design to derive the optimal conditions for the process. The response variables were selected for rotational viscometer measures which can represent Rubber based colloidal suspension quality. The input variables were selected as the values of rubber-organic solvent expressed in proportions as process components and stirring amount as a process variable which are controllable factors in the process. Results: Based on the results of the experiment, rubber and organic solvent and the interaction between stirring amount and rubber and the interaction between stirring amount and rubber and organic solvent were significant. Reproducibility of the regression model was confirmed by the observation that the values obtained from the reproducibility experiment fell within the confidence interval. Additionally, the model predictions were found to be in close agreement with the field measurements. Conclusion: In this study, a regression model was developed to predict the viscosity change of colloidal suspensions based on the proportion of rubber based colloidal suspension. The developed regression model can lead to improved product quality.

Global Temperature Trends of Lower Stratosphere Derived from the Microwave Satellite Observations and GCM Reanalyses (마이크로파 위성관측과 모델 재분석에서 조사된 전지구에 대한 하부 성층권 온도의 추세)

  • Yoo, Jung-Moon;Yoon, Sun-Kyung;Kim, Kyu-Myong
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.388-404
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    • 2001
  • In order to examine the relative accuracy of satellite observations and model reanalyses about lower stratospheric temperature trends, two satellite-observed Microwave Sounding Unit (MSU) channel 4 (Ch 4) brightness temperature data and two GCM (ECMWF and GEOS) reanalyses during 1981${\sim}$1993 have been intercompared with the regression analysis of time series. The satellite data for the period of 1980${\sim}$1999 are MSU4 at nadir direction and SC4 at multiple scans, respectively, derived in this study and Spencer and Christy (1993). The MSU4 temperature over the globe during the above period shows the cooling trend of -0.35 K/decade, and the cooling over the global ocean is 1.2 times as much as that over the land. Lower stratospheric temperatures during the common period (1981${\sim}$1993) globally show the cooling in MSU4 (-0.14 K/decade), SC4 (-0.42 K/decade) and GEOS (-0.15 K/decade) which have strong annual cycles. However, ECMWF shows a little warming and weak annual cycle. The 95% confidence intervals of the lower stratospheric temperature trends are greater than those of midtropospheric (channel 2) trends, indicating less confidence in Ch 4. The lapse rate in the trend between the above two atmospheric layers is largest over the northern hemispheric land. MSU4 has low correlation with ECMWF over the globe, and high value with GEOS near the Korean peninsula. Lower correlations (r < 0.6) between MSU4 and SC4 (or ECMWF) occur over $30^{\circ}$N latitude belt, where subtropical jet stream passes. Temporal correlation among them over the globe is generally high (r > 0.6). Four kinds of lower stratospheric temperature data near the Korean peninsula commonly show cooling trends, of which the SC4 values (-0.82 K/decade) is the largest.

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Analysis on Psychological Self-regulation and Arousal Variation of Actors on Performance (공연 시 배우의 각성변화와 심리적 자기조절 분석)

  • Hong, Kil-Dong;Lee, Hong-Sik;Lee, Hyung-Kook;Oh, Jin-Ho;Lee, Ki-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.8 no.12
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    • pp.176-189
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze self-regulation about changing heart rate and perceived arousal variation when actors start their performance. Object of this study were 5 actors who belong to the theater selected using the purposive sampling method. This study used a measuring instrument of heart rate to measure arousal status, used behavior observation paper to observe and record self-regulation behavior and executed personal consultation after ending performance. There was graph mad by variation transition which calculated average and standard deviation about variation of heart rate each time of performance. The results of this study were as follows. First, there were high variation of awake level that actor's heart rates were rising before starting performance and the most high level of arousal was from 20minutes to 5minutes before starting performance. Second, there were self-regulation behaviors appeared such as deep breathing, breath controling, self talking, talking with other actors, concentrating an script, going to toilet, smoking, checking closes before starting performance. Third, when performance start, actors used psychological self-regulational method such as relaxation, self concentration, confidence reinforcement, coping with state or accommodation for controling raised arousal status.

Case Study on Verbal Interactions of Teacher-Small Group Students in Science Experiments (과학 실험에서 교사-모둠학생의 언어적 상호작용 사례연구)

  • Seong, Suk-Kyoung;Choi, Byung-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.375-386
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the aspects of verbal interactions of teacher?small group students by categorizing those interactions which affect students' thinking thus to improve teacher's interaction. First, verbal interactions of teacher-small group students were divided into two categories ?Behaviors related to problem-solving, and Others. Behaviors related to problem-solving were also classified into two elements?Receiving opinion based on the students' thinking process, and Giving help based on the teacher's thinking process. Receiving opinion consists of agreement, question, correction, objection while giving help consists of information, hint, question, summary, and ask & answer. Most of teacher-small group students' interactions were in the form of teacher's questions and students' answers, and teacher's questions tended to require simple answers rather than answers from deep thought. In addition, there was a tendency that the teacher focused more on her own thinking process than students' and that she interacted with only a couple of students who gave correct answers. As a result, even after teacher's scaffolding, many students were often unable to understand the particular contents. However, through the interactions, the teacher made students to have confidence by restating their opinions and agreeing or praising them. She also created an atmosphere where students can give their opinions freely. From the observation of interactions, we can find that students' thinking process is affected by the characteristics of teacher's interactions such as expression of agreement and encouragement, hint giving rise to thought, interactions based on the students' thinking process, permission of students' activities and questions, allowing time for students' thought, and correction of wrong opinions. At this point, educational implications of teacher-small group students' interactions were drawn.