• Title/Summary/Keyword: OPEC announcements

Search Result 1, Processing Time 0.014 seconds

Effects of OPEC Announcements in Different Periods of Oil Price Fluctuation (사건연구 방법론을 이용한 OPEC 생산량 발표의 원유시장 영향 분석)

  • Bae, Jee Young;Heo, Eunnyeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.26 no.3
    • /
    • pp.451-472
    • /
    • 2017
  • An OPEC production announcement is a major source of supply disruption that has a significant impact on the international crude oil market. In this study, the effects of OPEC's announcements are analyzed using event study methodology. Considering the oil price volatility and structural changes in the oil price, we divide the entire period into three periods and analyze the impact of OPEC's production quota announcements, including 'cut', 'hike', and 'maintain'. As a result of the analysis, we observe that the degree and direction of abnormal returns differ according to the announcements in each period. In addition, by subdividing oil price surge and plunge period into two sections, we analyze the effect of OPEC's 'maintain' announcements. During the oil price plunge period, the amount of abnormal returns was significant. This study provides policy implications for oil trading strategies and for the impact of OPEC announcements during periods of oil price fluctuation.