• The Plant Pathology Journal
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• 제35권6호
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• pp.585-597
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• 2019

A disease forecast model for Marssonina blotch of apple was developed based on field observations on airborne spore catches, weather conditions, and disease incidence in 2013 and 2015. The model consisted of the airborne spore model (ASM) and the daily infection rate model (IRM). It was found that more than 80% of airborne spore catches for the experiment period was made during the spore liberation period (SLP), which is the period of days of a rain event plus the following 2 days. Of 13 rain-related weather variables, number of rainy days with rainfall ≥ 0.5 mm per day (L_day), maximum hourly rainfall (P_max) and average daily maximum wind speed (W_avg) during a rain event were most appropriate in describing variations in airborne spore catches during SLP (S_i) in 2013. The ASM, Ŝ_i = 30.280+5.860×L_day×P_max-2.123×L_day×P_max×W_avg was statistically significant and capable of predicting the amount of airborne spore catches during SLP in 2015. Assuming that airborne conidia liberated during SLP cause leaf infections resulting in symptom appearance after 21 days of incubation period, there was highly significant correlation between the estimated amount of airborne spore catches (Ŝ_i) and the daily infection rate (R_i). The IRM, ${\hat{R}}_i$ = 0.039+0.041×Ŝ_i, was statistically significant but was not able to predict the daily infection rate in 2015. No weather variables showed statistical significance in explaining variations of the daily infection rate in 2013.

• 한국철도학회논문집
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• 제19권6호
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• pp.826-832
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• 2016

트램 건설시 LID 기법 적용에 따른 환경편익 증대 방안으로 경제성 평가에서 온실가스 저감에 따른 환경편익을 계량화하였다. 또한 LID 기법 중 침투형 투수블록 적용에 따른 도시물순환 효과를 정책성 분석시 사업특수 평가항목으로 선택할 수 있는지 여부에 대한 가능성에 대해서도 검토하였다. 투수잔디블록의 사용에 따른 콘크리트 궤도 대비 탄소배출 비율은 잔디 피복율(100%, 50% 화강석, 50% HDPE)에 따라 각각 -184.7%, -127.3%, -116.3%로 산출되었으며, 투수블록의 경우에는 화강석 및 HDPE 각각 30.1%, 52.5%로 산출되었다. 침투형 투수블록을 적용할 경우 강우강도 90mm/hr까지 저수가 가능한 것으로 나타났으며(저수율 94.3%), 도시물순환 시스템으로써 효과가 있을 것으로 판단된다. 결과적으로 트램건설시 LID 기법 적용으로 환경편익의 증대가 기대되며 추후 AHP 분석에서 정책적 요소로도 다루어질 필요가 있다.