• 제목/요약/키워드: Numerical prediction

검색결과 2,733건 처리시간 0.034초

Analysis of delay compensation in real-time dynamic hybrid testing with large integration time-step

  • Zhu, Fei;Wang, Jin-Ting;Jin, Feng;Gui, Yao;Zhou, Meng-Xia
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.1269-1289
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    • 2014
  • With the sub-stepping technique, the numerical analysis in real-time dynamic hybrid testing is split into the response analysis and signal generation tasks. Two target computers that operate in real-time may be assigned to implement these two tasks, respectively, for fully extending the simulation scale of the numerical substructure. In this case, the integration time-step of solving the dynamic response of the numerical substructure can be dozens of times bigger than the sampling time-step of the controller. The time delay between the real and desired feedback forces becomes more striking, which challenges the well-developed delay compensation methods in real-time dynamic hybrid testing. This paper focuses on displacement prediction and force correction for delay compensation in the real-time dynamic hybrid testing with a large integration time-step. A new displacement prediction scheme is proposed based on recently-developed explicit integration algorithms and compared with several commonly-used prediction procedures. The evaluation of its prediction accuracy is carried out theoretically, numerically and experimentally. Results indicate that the accuracy and effectiveness of the proposed prediction method are of significance.

Numerical Analysis for Prediction of Fatigue Crack Opening Level

  • Choi, Hyeon Chang
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • 제18권11호
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    • pp.1989-1995
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    • 2004
  • Finite element analysis(FEA) is the most popular numerical method to simulate plasticity-induced fatigue crack closure and can predict fatigue crack closure behavior. Finite element analysis under plane stress state using 4-node isoparametric elements is performed to investigate the detailed closure behavior of fatigue cracks and the numerical results are compared with experimental results. The mesh of constant size elements on the crack surface can not correctly predict the opening level for fatigue crack as shown in the previous works. The crack opening behavior for the size mesh with a linear change shows almost flat stress level after a crack tip has passed by the monotonic plastic zone. The prediction of crack opening level presents a good agreement with published experimental data regardless of stress ratios, which are using the mesh of the elements that are in proportion to the reversed plastic zone size considering the opening stress intensity factors. Numerical interpolation results of finite element analysis can precisely predict the crack opening level. This method shows a good agreement with the experimental data regardless of the stress ratios and kinds of materials.

수치모델링과 예보 (Numerical Weather Prediction and Forecast Application)

  • 이우진;박래설;권인혁;김정한
    • 대기
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.73-104
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    • 2023
  • Over the past 60 years, Korean numerical weather prediction (NWP) has advanced rapidly with the collaborative effort between the science community and the operational modelling center. With an improved scientific understanding and the growth of information technology infrastructure, Korea is able to provide reliable and seamless weather forecast service, which can predict beyond a 10 days period. The application of NWP has expanded to support decision making in weather-sensitive sectors of society, exploiting both storm-scale high-impact weather forecasts in a very short range, and sub-seasonal climate predictions in an extended range. This article gives an approximate chronological account of the NWP over three periods separated by breakpoints in 1990 and 2005, in terms of dynamical core, physics, data assimilation, operational system, and forecast application. Challenges for future development of NWP are briefly discussed.

FW-H 방정식을 이용한 선박 추진기 날개통과주파수 소음의 수치예측과 모형시험 검증 (Numerical Prediction of Marine Propeller BPF Noise Using FW-H Equation and Its Experimental Validation)

  • 설한신;박철수;김기섭
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제26권6_spc호
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    • pp.705-713
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    • 2016
  • Underwater noise produced by ships has been becoming an increasing issue. A dominantly contributing noise source is a ship propeller. Therefore, it is important to predict the propeller noise at the propeller design stages. This study applied the acoustic analogy based on Ffowcs Williams equation for the prediction of the marine propeller BPF noise. A marine propeller BPF noise is investigated experimentally as well as numerically. Propeller BPF noise measurement and propeller cavitation observation tests are performed in the KRISO medium size cavitation tunnel. Numerical prediction schemes of marine propeller BPF noise are presented together with the noise measurement method. Propeller BPF noise predictions and experiments are performed under the various propeller operating conditions including non-cavitating and caveating conditions. Numerical and experimental results are compared and analyzed. It is shown that numerical prediction results are generally in good agreement with the measured data.

마일드 연소장 수치계산을 위한 화학반응기구의 예측성능 검토 (Investigation on the Prediction Performance of the Chemical Kinetics for the Numerical Simulation of MILD Combustion)

  • 김유정;오창보
    • 한국연소학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국연소학회 2012년도 제45회 KOSCO SYMPOSIUM 초록집
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    • pp.341-344
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    • 2012
  • The prediction performance of the chemical kinetics for the numerical simulation of MILD combustion was investigated. A wall-confined turbulent methane jet combustor was adopted as a configuration. Four chemical kinetics, such as a global 3-step, WD4, Skeletal, and DRM-19, were investigated, The air stream of the wall-confined MILD jet combustor was diluted with combustion products. It was found that the DRM-19 was optimal for the numerical simulation of the MILD combustion.

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로터 익형 KU109C 풍동시험 및 천이유동 해석결과의 검증 (VALIDATION OF TRANSITION FLOW PREDICTION AND WIND TUNNEL RESULTS FOR KU109C ROTOR AIRFOIL)

  • 전상언;사정환;박수형;김창주;강희정;김승범;김승호
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2012
  • Transition prediction results are validated with experimental data obtained from a transonic wind tunnel for the KU109C airfoil. A Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes code is simultaneously coupled with the transition transport model of Langtry and Menter and applied to the numerical prediction of aerodynamic performance of the KU109C airfoil. Drag coefficients from the experiment are better correlated to the numerical prediction results using a transition transport model rather than the fully turbulent simulation results. Maximum lift coefficient and drag divergence at the zero-lift condition with Mach number are investigated. Through the present validation procedure, the accuracy and usefulness of both the experiment and the numerical prediction are assessed.

관측자료별 자료동화 성능이 한반도 동부 지역 기상 예보에 미치는 영향 분석 연구 (Study on the Impact of Various Observations Data Assimilation on the Meteorological Predictions over Eastern Part of the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김지선;이순환;손건태
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제27권11호
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    • pp.1141-1154
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    • 2018
  • Numerical experiments were carried out to investigate the effect of data assimilation of observational data on weather and PM (particulate matter) prediction. Observational data applied to numerical experiment are aircraft observation, satellite observation, upper level observation, and AWS (automatic weather system) data. In the case of grid nudging, the prediction performance of the meteorological field is largely improved compared with the case without data assimilations because the overall pressure distribution can be changed. So grid nudging effect can be significant when synoptic weather pattern strongly affects Korean Peninsula. Predictability of meteorological factors can be expected to improve through a number of observational data assimilation, but data assimilation by single data often occurred to be less predictive than without data assimilation. Variation of air pressure due to observation nudging with high prediction efficiency can improve prediction accuracy of whole model domain. However, in areas with complex terrain such as the eastern part of the Korean peninsula, the improvement due to grid nudging were only limited. In such cases, it would be more effective to aggregate assimilated data.

클러스터 기반의 몽골기상청 수치예보시스템 개발 (Development of Mongolian Numerical Weather Prediction System (MNWPS) Based on Cluster System)

  • 이용희;장동영;조천호;안광득;정효상
    • 대기
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    • 제15권1호
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    • pp.35-46
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    • 2005
  • Today, the outreach of National Meteorological Service such as PC cluster based Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) technique is vigorous in the world wide. In this regard, WMO (World Meteorological Organization) asked KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) to formulate a regional project, which cover most of RA II members, using similar technical system with KMA's. In that sense, Meteorological Research Institute (METRI) in KMA developed Mongolian NWP System (MNWPS) based on PC cluster and transferred the technology to Weather Service Center in Mongolia. The hybrid parallel algorithm and channel bonding technique were adopted to cut cost and showed 41% faster performance than single MPI (Message Passing Interface) approach. The cluster technique of Beowulf type was also adopted for convenient management and saving resources. The Linux based free operating system provide very cost effective solution for operating multi-nodes. Additionally, the GNU software provide many tools, utilities and applications for construction and management of a cluster. A flash flood event happened in Mongolia (2 September 2003) was selected for test run, and MNWPS successfully simulated the event with initial and boundary condition from Global Data Assimilation and Prediction System (GDAPS) of KMA. Now, the cluster based NWP System in Mongolia has been operated for local prediction around the region and provided various auxiliary charts.

Application of Numerical Weather Prediction Data to Estimate Infection Risk of Bacterial Grain Rot of Rice in Korea

  • Kim, Hyo-suk;Do, Ki Seok;Park, Joo Hyeon;Kang, Wee Soo;Lee, Yong Hwan;Park, Eun Woo
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • 제36권1호
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 2020
  • This study was conducted to evaluate usefulness of numerical weather prediction data generated by the Unified Model (UM) for plant disease forecast. Using the UM06- and UM18-predicted weather data, which were released at 0600 and 1800 Universal Time Coordinated (UTC), respectively, by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA), disease forecast on bacterial grain rot (BGR) of rice was examined as compared with the model output based on the automated weather stations (AWS)-observed weather data. We analyzed performance of BGRcast based on the UM-predicted and the AWS-observed daily minimum temperature and average relative humidity in 2014 and 2015 from 29 locations representing major rice growing areas in Korea using regression analysis and two-way contingency table analysis. Temporal changes in weather conduciveness at two locations in 2014 were also analyzed with regard to daily weather conduciveness (Ci) and the 20-day and 7-day moving averages of Ci for the inoculum build-up phase (Cinc) prior to the panicle emergence of rice plants and the infection phase (Cinf) during the heading stage of rice plants, respectively. Based on Cinc and Cinf, we were able to obtain the same disease warnings at all locations regardless of the sources of weather data. In conclusion, the numerical weather prediction data from KMA could be reliable to apply as input data for plant disease forecast models. Weather prediction data would facilitate applications of weather-driven disease models for better disease management. Crop growers would have better options for disease control including both protective and curative measures when weather prediction data are used for disease warning.

고해상도 일사량 관측 자료를 이용한 UM-LDAPS 예보 모형 성능평가 (Evaluation of UM-LDAPS Prediction Model for Solar Irradiance by using Ground Observation at Fine Temporal Resolution)

  • 김창기;김현구;강용혁;김진영
    • 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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    • 제40권5호
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2020
  • Day ahead forecast is necessary for the electricity market to stabilize the electricity penetration. Numerical weather prediction is usually employed to produce the solar irradiance as well as electric power forecast for longer than 12 hours forecast horizon. Korea Meteorological Administration operates the UM-LDAPS model to produce the 36 hours forecast of hourly total irradiance 4 times a day. This study interpolates the hourly total irradiance into 15 minute instantaneous irradiance and then compare them with observed solar irradiance at four ground stations at 1 minute resolution. Numerical weather prediction model employed here was produced at 00 UTC or 18 UTC from January to December, 2018. To compare the statistical model for the forecast horizon less than 3 hours, smart persistent model is used as a reference model. Relative root mean square error of 15 minute instantaneous irradiance are averaged over all ground stations as being 18.4% and 19.6% initialized at 18 and 00 UTC, respectively. Numerical weather prediction is better than smart persistent model at 1 hour after simulation began.