• Title/Summary/Keyword: Nonlinear regression model

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Estimation of Ultimate Pullout Resistance of Soil-Nailing Using Nonlinear (비선형회귀분석을 이용한 가압식 쏘일네일링의 극한인발저항력 판정)

  • Park, Hyun-Gue;Lee, Kang-Il
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we constructed a database by collecting field pullout test data of the soil nailing using pressurized grouting, and suggested a method to estimate the ultimate pullout resistance using nonlinear regression analysis to overcome the problems of ultimate pullout resistance estimation using graphical methods. The load-displacement curve estimated by nonlinear regression showed a very high correlation with the field pullout test data. Estimated ultimate pullout load by nonlinear regression method was average 29% higher than estimated ultimate pullout load using previous graphical method. A sigmoidal growth model was found to be the best-fitting nonlinear regression model against rapid pullout failure. Further, an asymptotic regression model was found to be the best fit against progressive nail pullout. The unit ultimate skin friction suggested in this research reflected in the domestic geotechnical characteristics and the specifications of the pressurized grouting method. This research is expected to contribute towards establishing an independent design standard for the soil nailing by providing solutions to the problems that occur when using design charts based on foreign research.

Bayesian Model Selection for Nonlinear Regression under Noninformative Prior

  • Na, Jonghwa;Kim, Jeongsuk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.719-729
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    • 2003
  • We propose a Bayesian model selection procedure for nonlinear regression models under noninformative prior. For informative prior, Na and Kim (2002) suggested the Bayesian model selection procedure through MCMC techniques. We extend this method to the case of noninformative prior. The difficulty with the use of noninformative prior is that it is typically improper and hence is defined only up to arbitrary constant. The methods, such as Intrinsic Bayes Factor(IBF) and Fractional Bayes Factor(FBF), are used as a resolution to the problem. We showed the detailed model selection procedure through the specific real data set.

Local linear regression analysis for interval-valued data

  • Jang, Jungteak;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.365-376
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    • 2020
  • Interval-valued data, a type of symbolic data, is given as an interval in which the observation object is not a single value. It can also occur frequently in the process of aggregating large databases into a form that is easy to manage. Various regression methods for interval-valued data have been proposed relatively recently. In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric regression model using the kernel function and a nonlinear regression model for the interval-valued data. We also propose applying the local linear regression model, one of the nonparametric methods, to the interval-valued data. Simulations based on several distributions of the center point and the range are conducted using each of the methods presented in this paper. Various conditions confirm that the performance of the proposed local linear estimator is better than the others.

Assessment of Soil Characteristics on External Corrosion of Water Pipes (토양특성이 상수도관의 외부부식에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Bae, Chul-Ho;Kim, Ju-Hwan;Park, Sang-Young;Kim, Jeong-Hyun;Hong, Seong-Ho;Lee, Kyoung-Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.737-745
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    • 2006
  • The goal of this study is to present an external pit corrosion rate($p_{ecr}$) model with considering both the age of pipe and the soil characteristics. The correlation of nonlinear exponential model among conventional empirical models was a little higher than other empirical models in the prediction of $p_{ecr}$ according to the age of pipe. However, there has been a limit to predict Peer with the model by using only a pipe age since installation as a variable. The soil analysis results from sixty nine samples showed that all of the samples were non corrosive in the assessment of ANSI/AWWA scoring system. The correlation of soil corrosion factors and $p_{ecr}$ was also low. The application result of linear and nonlinear regression models that soil characteristics only showed a low correlation with $p_{ecr}$ Proposed nonlinear regression model in this study, with considering both the age of pipe and the soil characteristics, showed a little higher correlation ($R^2=0.46$) than conventional model.

A Note on Test for Model Adequacy in Nonlinear Regression

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.689-694
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    • 2004
  • We investigate the test for model adequacy in nonlinear regression. We can expect the usual likelihood ratio statistic to be unaffected by any parametric- effect curvature; only the effect of intrinsic curvature needs to be considered. Multiplicative correction factor is derived for the limiting distribution of test statistic, which is a function of the intrinsic curvature arrays.

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Statistical analysis on the fluence factor of surveillance test data of Korean nuclear power plants

  • Lee, Gyeong-Geun;Kim, Min-Chul;Yoon, Ji-Hyun;Lee, Bong-Sang;Lim, Sangyeob;Kwon, Junhyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.760-768
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    • 2017
  • The transition temperature shift (TTS) of the reactor pressure vessel materials is an important factor that determines the lifetime of a nuclear power plant. The prediction of the TTS at the end of a plant's lifespan is calculated based on the equation of Regulatory Guide 1.99 revision 2 (RG1.99/2) from the US. The fluence factor in the equation was expressed as a power function, and the exponent value was determined by the early surveillance data in the US. Recently, an advanced approach to estimate the TTS was proposed in various countries for nuclear power plants, and Korea is considering the development of a new TTS model. In this study, the TTS trend of the Korean surveillance test results was analyzed using a nonlinear regression model and a mixed-effect model based on the power function. The nonlinear regression model yielded a similar exponent as the power function in the fluence compared with RG1.99/2. The mixed-effect model had a higher value of the exponent and showed superior goodness of fit compared with the nonlinear regression model. Compared with RG1.99/2 and RG1.99/3, the mixed-effect model provided a more accurate prediction of the TTS.

MapReduce-based Localized Linear Regression for Electricity Price Forecasting (전기 가격 예측을 위한 맵리듀스 기반의 로컬 단위 선형회귀 모델)

  • Han, Jinju;Lee, Ingyu;On, Byung-Won
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers P
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    • v.67 no.4
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    • pp.183-190
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    • 2018
  • Predicting accurate electricity prices is an important task in the electricity trading market. To address the electricity price forecasting problem, various approaches have been proposed so far and it is known that linear regression-based approaches are the best. However, the use of such linear regression-based methods is limited due to low accuracy and performance. In traditional linear regression methods, it is not practical to find a nonlinear regression model that explains the training data well. If the training data is complex (i.e., small-sized individual data and large-sized features), it is difficult to find the polynomial function with n terms as the model that fits to the training data. On the other hand, as a linear regression model approximating a nonlinear regression model is used, the accuracy of the model drops considerably because it does not accurately reflect the characteristics of the training data. To cope with this problem, we propose a new electricity price forecasting method that divides the entire dataset to multiple split datasets and find the best linear regression models, each of which is the optimal model in each dataset. Meanwhile, to improve the performance of the proposed method, we modify the proposed localized linear regression method in the map and reduce way that is a framework for parallel processing data stored in a Hadoop distributed file system. Our experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms the existing linear regression model. Specifically, the accuracy of the proposed method is improved by 45% and the performance is faster 5 times than the existing linear regression-based model.

THE CONSISTENCY OF NONLINEAR REGRESSION MINIMIZING $L_p$-NORM

  • Choi, Seung-Hoe;Park, Kyung-Ok
    • East Asian mathematical journal
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.421-427
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    • 1998
  • In this paper we provide sufficient conditions which ensure the strong consistency of $L_p$-norm estimation in nonlinear regression model when the probability distribution of the errors term is symmetric about zero. The least absolute deviation and least square estimation are discussed as special cases of the proposed estimation.

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Sustained Vowel Modeling using Nonlinear Autoregressive Method based on Least Squares-Support Vector Regression (최소 제곱 서포트 벡터 회귀 기반 비선형 자귀회귀 방법을 이용한 지속 모음 모델링)

  • Jang, Seung-Jin;Kim, Hyo-Min;Park, Young-Choel;Choi, Hong-Shik;Yoon, Young-Ro
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.17 no.7
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    • pp.957-963
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, Nonlinear Autoregressive (NAR) method based on Least Square-Support Vector Regression (LS-SVR) is introduced and tested for nonlinear sustained vowel modeling. In the database of total 43 sustained vowel of Benign Vocal Fold Lesions having aperiodic waveform, this nonlinear synthesizer near perfectly reproduced chaotic sustained vowels, and also conserved the naturalness of sound such as jitter, compared to Linear Predictive Coding does not keep these naturalness. However, the results of some phonation are quite different from the original sounds. These results are assumed that single-band model can not afford to control and decompose the high frequency components. Therefore multi-band model with wavelet filterbank is adopted for substituting single band model. As a results, multi-band model results in improved stability. Finally, nonlinear sustained vowel modeling using NAR based on LS-SVR can successfully reconstruct synthesized sounds nearly similar to original voiced sounds.

Prediction of ultimate load capacity of concrete-filled steel tube columns using multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS)

  • Avci-Karatas, Cigdem
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.583-594
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    • 2019
  • In the areas highly exposed to earthquakes, concrete-filled steel tube columns (CFSTCs) are known to provide superior structural aspects such as (i) high strength for good seismic performance (ii) high ductility (iii) enhanced energy absorption (iv) confining pressure to concrete, (v) high section modulus, etc. Numerous studies were reported on behavior of CFSTCs under axial compression loadings. This paper presents an analytical model to predict ultimate load capacity of CFSTCs with circular sections under axial load by using multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS). MARS is a nonlinear and non-parametric regression methodology. After careful study of literature, 150 comprehensive experimental data presented in the previous studies were examined to prepare a data set and the dependent variables such as geometrical and mechanical properties of circular CFST system have been identified. Basically, MARS model establishes a relation between predictors and dependent variables. Separate regression lines can be formed through the concept of divide and conquers strategy. About 70% of the consolidated data has been used for development of model and the rest of the data has been used for validation of the model. Proper care has been taken such that the input data consists of all ranges of variables. From the studies, it is noted that the predicted ultimate axial load capacity of CFSTCs is found to match with the corresponding experimental observations of literature.