• 제목/요약/키워드: Non-systemic Risk

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Assessing the Contributions of Non-bank Financial Institutions (NBFI) and ELS Issuance to Systemic Risk in Korea

  • JONG SOO HONG
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제46권1호
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    • pp.21-51
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    • 2024
  • Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-2009, the importance of nonbank financial institutions in macroprudential management has increased significantly. Consequently, major countries and international financial institutions have been actively discussing and implementing macroprudential supervision and regulation for non-bank financial institutions (NBFI). In this context, this paper analyzes the systemic risk of both banks and non-bank sectors (securities firms and insurance companies) in South Korea over different time periods. Using the widely recognized ΔCoVaR methodology for measuring systemic risk, the analysis reveals that systemic risk increased substantially across all three sectors (banks, securities firms, and insurance companies) during the Global Financial Crisis, the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic. Although the banking sector exhibited relatively high systemic risk compared to the securities and insurance sectors, the relative differences in systemic risk varied across the different crisis periods. Notably, during the margin call crisis in March of 2020, the gap in systemic risk between the banking and securities sectors decreased significantly compared to that during both the Global Financial Crisis and the European Sovereign Debt Crisis, indicating that securities firms had a more substantial impact on risk in the overall financial system during this period. Furthermore, I analyze the impact of the issuance of equity-linked securities (ELS) by financial institutions on systemic risk, as measured by ΔCoVaR, finding that an increase in the outstanding balance of ELS issuance by financial institutions had an impact on increasing ΔCoVaR during the three crisis periods. These findings underscore the growing importance of non-bank financial institutions in relation to South Korea's macroprudential management and supervision. To address this evolving landscape, enhanced monitoring and regulatory measures focusing on non-bank systemic risk are essential components of maintaining financial stability in the country.

임상가를 위한 특집 2 - 치주질환의 예후에 영향을 미치는 인자들 (Risk Factors for Periodontal Diseases)

  • 이재관
    • 대한치과의사협회지
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    • 제50권8호
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    • pp.465-473
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    • 2012
  • Prognosis is an anticipation of the probable response to periodontal therapy and a long-term prospect for maintaining a functional dentition. Hopeless cases or cases of simple gingivitis without systemic diseases generally have little problem to establish definite prognoses. However, it might become somewhat challenging to determine their prognoses in borderline cases. A risk factor for periodontal disease may be environmental, behavioral, or biologic factors that can be defined as an occurrence has been associated with destructive periodontitis. Some risk factors are modifiable, while others cannot be modified. Modifiable risk factors are environmental or behavioral in nature in contrast non-modifiable risk factors are usually intrinsic to the individual and therefore not easily changed. In this review, we will assess the various modifiable or non-modifiable risk factors for susceptibility 10 periodontal diseases.

지역별 아파트 투자성과에 관한 분석 (Analysis on the Apartment Investment Performance)

  • 강원철;김원희
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.431-439
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구의 목적은 위험을 반영하여 지역별 아파트 투자성과를 분석하고 지역별 특성의 존재유무를 검증하는 것이다. 분석을 위해 지역별 아파트 투자성과를 장단기로 나누어 분석하였다. 자료수집기간은 2002년부터 2012년의 10년간이며 대상지역은 서울의 강남 북과 6개 광역시이다. 성과평가를 위해 만기 5년의 국민주택1종 채권수익률을 무위험수익률로 사용하고 임대수익계산을 위해서는 만기1~2년 정기예금금리를 사용하였다. 분석결과, 장기투자성과 시에는 서울과 인천은 지역특성이 존재하지 않아 트레이너지표를 사용하여 평가하였으며 지방광역시는 지역특성이 존재하여 젠센지표로 평가하였다. 또 단기성과평가시에는 모든 지역에서 지역특성이 존재하는 것으로 나타나 젠센지표를 사용하여 평가하였다. 모든 지역에서 지역특성이 작용하는 단기 성과평가 결과는 단순수익률로 평가한 결과와 전혀 다른 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 단순 수익률로 성과평가를 할 경우에는 성과에 대한 인식을 왜곡할 수 있음이 드러났다.

류마티스관절염 환자의 심혈관 질환 및 당뇨병 위험분석: a propensity score analysis (The Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Diabetes in Rheumatoid Arthritis Patients: A Propensity Score Analysis)

  • 유기연
    • 한국임상약학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.109-114
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    • 2019
  • Background: Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) is a systemic inflammatory disease that manifests as joint damage or athletic disability via sustained inflammation of the synovial membrane. The risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) is higher in RA patients. This study aimed at evaluating the association between CVD comorbidities and RA by comparing a pharmacotherapy group with a non-pharmacotherapy group. Methods: Patient sample data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA-NPS-2016) were used. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) using the propensity score was used to minimize the differences in patient characteristics. Logistic regression analysis was used to evaluate the risk of CVD comorbidities. Results: The analyses included 1,207,213 patients, of which 33,122 (2.8%) had RA. The odds ratios (OR) of CVD comorbidities were increased in RA patients; ischemic heart disease (IHD: OR 1.75; 95% CI 1.73, 1.77), cerebral infarction (CERI: OR 1.28; 95% CI 1.26, 1.30), hypertension (HTN: OR 1.44; 95% CI 1.43, 1.45), diabetes mellitus (DM: OR 2.04; 95% CI 2.03, 2.06), and dyslipidemia (DL: OR 3.49; 95% CI 3.47, 3.51). The ORs of IHD, CERI, HTN, and DM in the traditional DMARD and biologic treatment groups were decreased, compared with those in the non-pharmacotherapy group. Conclusions: Thus, CVD risk was higher in RA patients, considering age, sex, and socioeconomic status. Appropriate pharmacotherapy could decrease the risk of CVD comorbidities in RA patients.

Establishment Percutaneous Administration Method in Beagle Dog

  • Han, Su-Cheol;Bae, Ju-Hyun;Cha, Shin-Woo;Jiang, Cheng-Zhe;Tarumoto Y.;Kim, Choong-Yong;Chung, Moon-Koo
    • 한국독성학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국독성학회 2003년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.154-154
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    • 2003
  • The primary routes of drug administration include oral, intramuscular, subcutaneous and intravenous dosing for toxicological risk assessment purpose in dog. There has been an increase applying transdermal patches as an alternate method for systemic delivery. The present study was performed to establish the transdermal delivery method of medicated ointment, liquid and powder material to beagle dog.(omitted)

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Risk Assessment of Drometrizole, a Cosmetic Ingredient used as an Ultraviolet Light Absorber

  • Lee, Jae Kwon;Kim, Kyu-Bong;Lee, Jung Dae;Shin, Chan Young;Kwack, Seung Jun;Lee, Byung-Mu;Lee, Joo Young
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.119-129
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    • 2019
  • As the use of cosmetics has greatly increased in a daily life, safety issues with cosmetic ingredients have drawn an attention. Drometrizole [2-(2'-hydroxy-5'-methylphenyl)benzotriazole] is categorized as a sunscreen ingredient and is used in cosmetics and non-cosmetics as a UV light absorber. No significant toxicity has been observed in acute oral, inhalation, or dermal toxicity studies. In a 13-week oral toxicity study in beagle dogs, No observed adverse effect level (NOAEL) was determined as 31.75 mg/kg bw/day in males and 34.6 mg/kg bw/day in females, based on increased serum alanine aminotransferase activity. Although drometrizole was negative for skin sensitization in two Magnusson-Kligman maximization tests in guinea pigs, there were two case reports of consumers presenting with allergic contact dermatitis. Drometrizole showed no teratogenicity in reproductive and developmental toxicity studies in which rats and mice were treated for 6 to 15 days of the gestation period. Ames tests showed that drometrizole was not mutagenic. A long-term carcinogenicity study using mice and rats showed no significant carcinogenic effect. A nail product containing 0.03% drometrizole was nonirritating, non-sensitizing and non-photosensitizing in a test with 147 human subjects. For risk assessment, the NOAEL chosen was 31.75 mg/kg bw/day in a 13-week oral toxicity study. Systemic exposure dosages were 0.27228 mg/kg bw/day and 1.90598 mg/kg bw/day for 1% and 7% drometrizole in cosmetics, respectively. Risk characterization studies demonstrated that when cosmetic products contain 1.0% of drometrizole, the margin of safety was greater than 100. Based on the risk assessment data, the MFDS revised the regulatory concentration of drometrizole from 7% to 1% in 2015. Under current regulation, drometrizole is considered to be safe for use in cosmetics. If new toxicological data are obtained in the future, the risk assessment should be carried out to update the appropriate guidelines.

글로벌 금융위기 이후 한국 주식유통시장의 위험가격에 관한 연구 (The Price of Risk in the Korean Stock Distribution Market after the Global Financial Crisis)

  • 손경우;유원석
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to investigate risk price implied from the pricing kernel of Korean stock distribution market. Recently, it is considered that the quantitative easing programs of major developed countries are contributing to a reduction in global uncertainty caused by the 2007~2009 financial crisis. If true, the risk premium as compensation for global systemic risk or economic uncertainty should show a decrease. We examine whether the risk price in the Korean stock distribution market has declined in recent years, and attempt to provide practical implications for investors to manage their portfolios more efficiently, as well as academic implications. Research design, data and methodology - To estimate the risk price, we adopt a non-parametric method; the minimum norm pricing kernel method under the LOP (Law of One Price) constraint. For the estimation, we use 17 industry sorted portfolios provided by the KRX (Korea Exchange). Additionally, the monthly returns of the 17 industry sorted portfolios, from July 2000 to June 2014, are utilized as data samples. We set 120 months (10 years) as the estimation window, and estimate the risk prices from July 2010 to June 2014 by month. Moreover, we analyze correlation between any of the two industry portfolios within the 17 industry portfolios to suggest further economic implications of the risk price we estimate. Results - According to our results, the risk price in the Korean stock distribution market shows a decline over the period of July 2010 to June 2014 with statistical significance. During the period of the declining risk price, the average correlation level between any of the two industry portfolios also shows a decrease, whereas the standard deviation of the average correlation shows an increase. The results imply that the amount of systematic risk in the Korea stock distribution market has decreased, whereas the amount of industry-specific risk has increased. It is one of the well known empirical results that correlation and uncertainty are positively correlated, therefore, the declining correlation may be the result of decreased global economic uncertainty. Meanwhile, less asset correlation enables investors to build portfolios with less systematic risk, therefore the investors require lower risk premiums for the efficient portfolio, resulting in the declining risk price. Conclusions - Our results may provide evidence of reduction in global systemic risk or economic uncertainty in the Korean stock distribution market. However, to defend the argument, further analysis should be done. For instance, the change of global uncertainty could be measured with funding costs in the global money market; subsequently, the relation between global uncertainty and the price of risk might be directly observable. In addition, as time goes by, observations of the risk price could be extended, enabling us to confirm the relation between the global uncertainty and the effect of quantitative easing. These topics are beyond our scope here, therefore we reserve them for future research.

금융그룹화와 금융위험: 실증분석 및 정책과제 (Risks and Supervisory Challenges of Financial Conglomerates in Korea)

  • 함준호;김준경
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.145-191
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    • 2006
  • 본 논문은 외환위기 이후 빠르게 진전되어 온 금융 대형화, 그룹화 현상이 개별 금융기관과 시장 전반의 시스템 리스크에 미치는 영향에 대하여 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과에 따르면, 위기 이후 독립 금융기관과 비교하여 금융그룹 소속 금융기관의 도산위험이 대체로 낮은 것으로 나타나며, 겸업화 효과보다는 대형화에 의한 수익성 및 수익변동성 개선효과가 유의하게 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. 따라서 아직까지 우리나라에서 고위험 추구를 통한 대형 금융그룹의 위험상승 현상은 관측되지 않고 있다. 그러나 대형 은행그룹 간 직간접적 상호의존도가 높아짐에 따라 시스템 위험의 발생 가능성이 증대되고, 겸업화로 비은행부문 및 자본시장으로부터의 위험전이 가능성도 높아지고 있어 이에 대한 정책대응이 요구된다. 특히 금융그룹을 하나의 동일체로 인식하고 그룹단위로 건전성 규제 등을 실시하는 위험 중심의 연결감독체제가 확립될 필요가 있으며, 겸업화로 인한 공적 안전망의 확대를 효과적으로 차단하기 위한 감독장치도 마련될 필요가 있다. 아울러 금융그룹의 내부통제 및 위험관리체제를 강화하고, 경영투명성의 제고를 통해 금융그룹에 대한 시장의 모니터링 기능도 확충할 필요가 있다.

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전신질환과 관련된 음성장애의 치료 (The Management of Systemic Voice Disorders)

  • 우주현
    • 대한후두음성언어의학회지
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.5-10
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    • 2016
  • Variable systemic diseases affect larynx and vocal fold and result in voice change. Asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease make increase of intra-abdomimal pressure followed by reflux of gastric acid, which stimulate vagal-bronchopulomary reflex aggravating cough and respiratory disturbance. Fungal laryngitis in the general population is extremely rare, but can occur in immunocompromised AIDS patients. Although, initially, empirical antifungal therapy for candidiasis is often given without biopsy, diagnostic direct laryngoscopy and biopsy is imperative if a substantial clinical response is not rapidly achieved. In the highly active anti-retroviral therapy era, HIV-positive patients are living longer and are at higher risk for developing non-AIDS-defining malignancies. The incidence of head and neck cancer (HNC) which is related with human papilloma virus infection has increased. The survival is significantly lower among the AIDS-HNC patients with CD4 counts ${\leq}200cells/{\mu}L$. Rheumatoid arthritis (RA) cause voice disturbance by developing cricoarytenoid joints fixation or nodule on vocal fold. Post-menopausal voice disorder (PMVD) is caused by decreased secretion of estrogen-progesterone resulting in decrease of fundamental frequency (F0). Hormonal replacement therapy is helpful to reduce F0 decrease. RA and PMVD result in slight voice change, but it could crucial in professional voice user.

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Recapitulation of Candidate Systemic Lupus Erythematosus-Associated Variants in Koreans

  • Kwon, Ki-Sung;Cho, Hye-Young;Chung, Yeun-Jun
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2016
  • Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a chronic autoimmune disease that affects multiple organ systems. Although the etiology of SLE remains unclear, it is widely accepted that genetic factors could be involved in its pathogenesis. A number of genome-wide association studies (GWASs) have identified novel single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with the risk of SLE in diverse populations. However, not all the SNP candidates identified from non-Asian populations have been validated in Koreans. In this study, we aimed to replicate the SNPs that were recently discovered in the GWAS; these SNPs have not been validated in Koreans or have only been replicated in Koreans with an insufficient sample size to conclude any association. For this, we selected five SNPs (rs1801274 in FCGR2A and rs2286672 in PLD2, rs887369 in CXorf21, rs9782955 in LYST, and rs3794060 in NADSYN1). Through the replication study with 656 cases and 622 controls, rs1801274 in FCGR2A was found to be significantly associated with SLE in Koreans (odds ratio, 1.26, 95% confidence interval, 1.06 to 1.50; p = 0.01 in allelic model). This association was also significant in two other models (dominant and recessive). The other four SNPs did not show a significant association. Our data support that FCGR polymorphisms play important roles in the susceptibility to SLE in diverse populations, including Koreans.