• Title/Summary/Keyword: Non-parametric statistical analysis

검색결과 94건 처리시간 0.056초

인공신경망과 퍼지규칙 추출을 이용한 상황적응적 전문가시스템 구축에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Self-Evolving Expert System using Neural Network and Fuzzy Rule Extraction)

  • 이건창;김진성
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 2001
  • Conventional expert systems has been criticized due to its lack of capability to adapt to the changing decision-making environments. In literature, many methods have been proposed to make expert systems more environment-adaptive by incorporating fuzzy logic and neural networks. The objective of this paper is to propose a new approach to building a self-evolving expert system inference mechanism by integrating fuzzy neural network and fuzzy rule extraction technique. The main recipe of our proposed approach is to fuzzify the training data, train them by a fuzzy neural network, extract a set of fuzzy rules from the trained network, organize a knowledge base, and refine the fuzzy rules by applying a pruning algorithm when the decision-making environments are detected to be changed significantly. To prove the validity, we tested our proposed self-evolving expert systems inference mechanism by using the bankruptcy data, and compared its results with the conventional neural network. Non-parametric statistical analysis of the experimental results showed that our proposed approach is valid significantly.

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Trend analysis of aridity index for southeast of Korea

  • Ghafouri-Azar, Mona;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2017년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.193-193
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    • 2017
  • Trend analysis can enhance our knowledge of the dominant processes in the area and contribute to the analysis of future climate projections. The results of previous studies in South Korea showed that southeast regions of Korea had the highest value of evapotranspiration. Thereby, it is of interest to determine the trend analysis in hydrological variables in this area. In this study, the recent 35 year trends of precipitation, reference evapotranspiration, and aridity index in monthly and annual time scale will be analyzed over three stations (Pohang, Daegu, and Pusan) of southeast Korea. After removing the significant Lag-1 serial correlation effect by pre-whitening, non-parametric statistical Mann-Kendall test was used to detect the trends. Also, the slope of trend of the Mann-Kendall test was determined by using Theil-Sen's estimator. The results of the trend analysis of reference evapotranspiration on the annual scale showed the increasing trend for the three mentioned stations, with significant increasing trend for Pusan station. The results obtained from this research can guide development if water management practices and cropping systems in the area that rely on this weather stations. The approaches use and the models fitted in this study can serve as a demonstration of how a time series trend can be analyzed.

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시계열 이용기간에 따른 사망률 예측 비교 (A comparison of mortality projection by different time period in time series)

  • 김순영;오진호;김기환
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.41-65
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라의 경우 선진국에 비해 짧은 기간 동안 사망률 개선이 급속히 이루어짐에 따라 사망률 예측에 있어 모형의 선택뿐만 아니라 시계열 이용기간의 선정 또한 중요한 고려사항이 될 수 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 시계열 이용기간의 선택 관점에서 회귀모형을 이용하는 방법을 제안하였다. 또한 Lee-Carter (LC) 모형, LC류 (Lee-Miller (LM), Booth-Maindonald-Smith (BMS)) 그리고 비모수 모형(functional data model (FDM), Coherent FDM)을 토대로 시계열 이용기간을 다르게 적용할 경우 어떠한 문제가 발생되며, 연령별 사망률과 기대수명 예측력에 어떠한 차이를 보이는지 살펴보았다. 분석결과를 바탕으로 5개의 모형별 2030년까지 남녀의 연령별 사망률과 예측기대수명을 작성하고 통계청(Korean Statistical Information Service; KOSIS)에서 제공하는 장래 연령별 사망률과 기대수명과 비교하였다.

문턱값과 추세분석을 이용한 지하수 수질관리체계 구축을 위한 연구 (Suggestion of a Groundwater Quality Management Framework Using Threshold Values and Trend Analysis)

  • 안현실;진성욱;이수재;현윤정;윤희성;김락현
    • 한국지하수토양환경학회지:지하수토양환경
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    • 제20권7호
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    • pp.112-120
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    • 2015
  • Statistical trend analysis using the data from the National Groundwater Quality Monitoring Network (NGQMN) of Korea was conducted to establish a new groundwater quality management framework. Sen’s test, a non-parametric statistical method for trend analysis, was used to determine the linear trend of the groundwater quality data. The analysis was conducted at different confidence levels (i.e., at 70, 80, 90, 95, and 99% confidence levels) for three of groundwater quality parameters, i.e., nitrate-nitrogen, chloride, and pH, which have sufficient time series of the NGQMN data between 2007 and 2013. The results showed that different trends can be determined for different depths even for the same monitoring site and the numbers of wells having significant trends vary with different confidence levels. The wells with increasing or decreasing trends were far less than the wells with no trend. Chloride had more wells with increasing trend than other parameters. On the other hand, nitrate-nitrogen had the most wells with increasing trend and concentration exceeding 75% of the threshold values (TVs). Based on the methodology used for this study, we suggest including groundwater TVs and trend analysis to evaluate groundwater quality and to establish an advanced groundwater quality management framework.

2003년부터 2005년까지 안이비인후피부과 학회지에 게재된 논문들의 통계적 분석 방법에 대한 고찰 (The consideration for methods of statistical analysis about the thesis published in the journal of korean oriental medical Ophthalmology & Otolaryngology & Dermatology from 2003 to 2005)

  • 김규석;남혜정;박외숙;김희정;차재훈;김윤범
    • 한방안이비인후피부과학회지
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    • 제19권3호통권31호
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    • pp.134-145
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    • 2006
  • Objective : This study was carried out to investigate what type of assumption and conditions are needed for the application of various statistical techniques such as descriptive statistics, t-test, analysis of variance, correlation analysis, regression analysis and chi-square test and to evaluate that they are used correctly in the research process. Methods : One more methods of statistical analysis were used in 91 papers among 162 papers selected from the journal of Korean oriental medical Ophthalmology & Otolaryngology & Dermatology from April 2003 to December 2005. So we analysed the type of statistical analysis method in 91 papers(clinical and experimental study) and assessed the their validity of statistical techniques by the check list consisting of 34 items(3 items for validity assessment of descriptive statistics, 6 items for t-test, 7 items for analysis of variance, correlation analysis and regression analysis, respectively, 4 items for chi-square test) Results : 1. The type of 65(40%) cases is experimental trial, the type of 55(34%) cases is case report, the type of 26(16%) cases is clinical trial and the type of 16(10%) cases is review, in 91 papers using statistical techniques among 162 papers selected from the journal of Korean oriental medical Ophthalmology & Otolaryngology & Dermatol-ogy from April 2003 to December 2005. 2. One more methods of statistical analysis were used in the experimental and clinical study. When we classified 125 units using statistical analysis methods in 91 papers according to statistical techniques such as descriptive statistics, t-test, analysis of variance, correlation analysis, regression analysis and chi-square test, the number of independent sample t-test is 33(26%), the number of only descriptive statistics is 28(22%), the number of independent sample t-test is 33(26%), the number of only descriptive statistics is 28(22%), the number of one way ANOVA is 15(12%), the number of non-parametric test 10(8%). 3. After carrying out one way ANOVA, the number of using multiple comparison methods is 15(Scheffe:6(26%), Duncan:4(17%), Dunnett:3(13%), Tukey:2(9%)) out of 23 (total case carrying out one way ANOVA). 8(35%) out of 23 did not enforce multiple comparison methods after carrying out one way ANOVA. 4. From the assessment of validity about 63 cases using statistical techniques(except descriptive statistics), 5(8%) cases are proper, the other 58(92%) are improper, so we recognized a serious misuse of statistical application in our journal. 5. The number of case below 10 sample size in experimental and clinical study(except descriptive statistics) is 31(34%) and frequent. Also the number of case containing no mention of sample size is 41(45%, including culture study). 6. For example of statistical error, there are wrong choice of statistical technique, lack of check on standard assumption(such as standard distribution, equivariance, independence), and so on. Conclusions : We investigated the validity of statistical analysis methods in our journal by check list consisting of 34 items and suggested correct statistical analysis methods. We should practice the spread of education about statistical analysis methods and precis application, enhance objectivity and reliability of our thesis and further correspond with purpose of scientific study.

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PLS-MGA 방법론을 활용한 제도론적 관점에서의 공공제도 품질과 사용자 행태의 분석 (Analysis of Public System's Quality and User Behavior Using PLS-MGA Methodology : An Institutional Perspective)

  • 이재열;황승준
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권2호
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    • pp.78-91
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    • 2017
  • In this study, we conducted a comparative study on user's perception and behavior on public system service (PSS) using institutionalism theory and MGA (multi-group analysis) methodology. In particular, this study focuses on how institutional isomorphism is applied to public system services and how MGA can be implemented correctly in a variance based SEM (structural equation model) such as PLS (partial least square). A data set of 496 effective responses was collected from pubic system users and an empirical research was conducted using three segmented models categorized by public proximity theory (public firms = 113, government contractors = 210, private contractors = 173). For rigorous group comparisons, each model was estimated by the same indicators and approaches. PLS-SEM was used in testing research hypotheses, followed by parametric and non-parametric PLS-MGA procedures in testing categorical moderation effects. This study applied novel procedures for testing composite measurement invariance prior to multi-group comparisons. The following main results and implications are drawn : 1) Partial measurement invariance was established. Multi-group analysis can be done by decomposed models although data can not be pooled for one integrated model. 2) Multi-group analysis using various approaches showed that proximity to public sphere moderated some hypothesized paths from quality dimensions to user satisfaction, which means that categorical moderating effects were partially supported. 3) Careful attention should be given to the selection of statistical test methods and the interpretation of the results of multi-group analysis, taking into account the different outcomes of the PLS-MGA test methods and the low statistical power of the moderating effect. It is necessary to use various methods such as comparing the difference in the path coefficient significance and the significance of the path coefficient difference between the groups. 4) Substantial differences in the perceptions and behaviors of PSS users existed according to proximity to public sphere, including the significance of path coefficients, mediation and categorical moderation effects. 5) The paper also provides detailed analysis and implication from a new institutional perspective. This study using a novel and appropriate methodology for performing group comparisons would be useful for researchers interested in comparative studies employing institutionalism theory and PLS-SEM multi-group analysis technique.

고산에서 측정한 TSP 농도 특성: 통계적 해석 (Characteristics of TSP Concentrations Measured at Gosan: Statistical Analysis)

  • 박민하;김용표;강창희;김원형
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.93-100
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    • 2003
  • 본 연구에서는 세가지 통계적 기법을 적용하여 고산에서 측정한 TSP (Total Suspended Particle) 농도 특성을 해석하였다. 우선 황사와 비황사시의 평균농도를 비교하는 t-검정의 기본가정을 점검하였다. 모집단을 정규분포화 하기 위해 당량농도를 Log 변환하였고 이로써 1992~1999년 봄철 황사시 평균농도가 비황사시 평균농도보다 높은 이온 성분은 NH$_4$$^{+}$ 뿐임을 확인하였다. 통계적 검정을 수행함에 있어서 기본 가정을 확인하는 것은 중요한 과정이다. 또한 봄철에 집중되어 있는 TSP측정기간이 평균값에 미치게 될 영향을 제거하기 위해 측정일수를 유사하게 맞추었다. 측정일수를 맞추어 산정한 평균값과 측정일수가 다른대로 산정한 평균값을 비교해본 결과, 기간별 측정일수가 다름은 평균값에 영향을 미치나 큰 변화는 보이지 않았다. 마지막으로 비모수 통계기법을 이용해 nss-SO$_4$$^{2-}$ NO$_3$$^{-}$ 과 S/N 비의 경향성을 분석해본 결과, nss-SO$_4$$^{2-}$ 의 경우 통계적으로 그 경향성은 나타나지 않고 NO$_3$$^{-}$만이 증가경향을 나타내었으며, 따라서 증가하는 경향성을 보인 S/N 비는 NO$_3$$^{-}$ 에 의한 감소의 경향을 나타냄을 통계 적으로 확인하였다.

안면부 황금 분할 마스크를 이용한 간편한 안면 윤곽 분석 (Easy Facial Analysis Using Facial Golden Mask)

  • 최찬;김용하
    • Archives of Plastic Surgery
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.168-174
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    • 2006
  • For over two thousand years, many artists and scientists have tried to understand or quantify the form of the perfect, ideal, or the most beautiful face both in art and in vivo(life). However, this mathematical relationship has been consistently and repeatedly reported to be present in beautiful things. This particular relationship is referred to as the golden ratio. It is a mathematical ratio of 1.618 : 1 that seems to appear recurrently in beautiful things in nature as well as in other things that are seen as beautiful. Dr. Marquardt made the facial golden mask that contains and includes all of the 1-dimensional and 2-dimensional geometric golden element formed from the golden ratio. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the usefulness of the golden facial mask. In our cases(n=40), the authors applied the facial golden mask to the preoperative and postoperative photographs, and scored each photograph. Compared with the average scores of the facial mask applied photographs and none applied photographs using non-parametric test, statistical significance was not checked (p > 0.05). It means that the facial golden mask can be used for facial analysis. The facial golden mask is easy to apply, cheap and relatively objective. So, the authors introduce the one of useful facial analyses.

강박장애에서 LORETA 영상을 이용한 P300 국소원의 통계적 분석 (The P300 Source Localization in the Patients with Obsessive-Compulsive Disorder using the LORETA Imaging and SPM)

  • 박성근;최정석;유소영;이보름;강승석;노규식;하태현;권준수
    • 생물정신의학
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.168-176
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    • 2003
  • Objectives:We investigated the characteristics of P300 generators in obsessive-compulsive disorder(OCD) patients by using voxel-based statistical parametric mapping of current density images. Methods:P300 generators, produced by a rare target tone of 1500Hz under a frequent non-target tone of 1,000Hz, were measured in 15 right-handed OCD patients and 15 controls. Low Resolution Electromagnetic Tomography(LORETA), using a realistic head model of the boundary element method based on individual MRI, was applied to the 128-channel EEG. Statistical parametric mapping(SPM) was applied for the statistical analysis. Results:We found that both groups had the mean current density of P300 in the parietal, temporal and prefrontal lobe. There was a trend for decreased current density in the prefrontal area in OCD patients. The statistical comparison showed current density increase in the supraparietal area, a statistically significant longer P300 latency and a trend for reduced P300 amplitude in OCD patients. Conclusion:It suggests that P300 source of both groups exists in multiple brain regions at the same time. And both groups had no statistically significant differences in the current density of P300 except for increased current density in the supraparietal area in OCD patients. But, considering the statistically significant longer P300 latency, a trend for reduced P300 amplitude and relative mean current density reduction in the prefrontal area in OCD patients, this study suggests that the frontal lobe may have a reduced normal inhibitory process in OCD patients.

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특허 정보를 이용한 기업의 급진적 혁신에 관한 실증연구 (An Empirical Study on the Relationship between Corporate and Radical Innovation based on Patent Information)

  • 전수연
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제21권10호
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    • pp.471-479
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 급진적 혁신을 수행하는 기업의 특징을 특허 데이터를 중심으로 살펴보았다. 1980년도부터 특허 정보는 기업의 성과를 측정하기 위한 중요한 지표로 활용되어 왔지만, 급진적 혁신을 대표하기는 어려웠다. 따라서 본 연구를 통하여 특허 집약 산업(Patent Active Industry)인 제약 산업에서 특허 정보가 급진적 혁신 지표로서 활용 될 수 있는지 알아보고자 하였다. 분석을 위해 약 10년간의 FDA 승인 데이터, 국외 기업의 특허 데이터를 활용하였으며 네트워크 중심성 분석(Centrality Analysis)과 비모수적 분석법인 윌콕슨 부호 순위 검정(Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test)을 실시하였다. 네트워크 분석 결과 급진적 혁신을 수행하는 기업의 경우 다른 기업들보다 대학 및 타 제약 기업과 협력 활동이 활발함을 시각적으로 확인 할 수 있었으며, 통계분석 결과 급진적 혁신을 수행하는 기업과 그렇지 않은 기업 간 연결 중심성(Degree Centrality)과 근접 중심성(Closeness Centrality)에 차이가 있음을 확인 할 수 있었다. 본 연구의 결과는 기업의 연구개발 전략 및 정책 수립에 활용 될 것을 기대하며, 향후에는 기업의 급진적 혁신에 영향을 미치는 요소가 무엇인지 정량 분석이 가능할 것이다.