• 제목/요약/키워드: Non-linear regression method

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Penalized rank regression estimator with the smoothly clipped absolute deviation function

  • Park, Jong-Tae;Jung, Kang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.673-683
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    • 2017
  • The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) has been a popular regression estimator with simultaneous variable selection. However, LASSO does not have the oracle property and its robust version is needed in the case of heavy-tailed errors or serious outliers. We propose a robust penalized regression estimator which provide a simultaneous variable selection and estimator. It is based on the rank regression and the non-convex penalty function, the smoothly clipped absolute deviation (SCAD) function which has the oracle property. The proposed method combines the robustness of the rank regression and the oracle property of the SCAD penalty. We develop an efficient algorithm to compute the proposed estimator that includes a SCAD estimate based on the local linear approximation and the tuning parameter of the penalty function. Our estimate can be obtained by the least absolute deviation method. We used an optimal tuning parameter based on the Bayesian information criterion and the cross validation method. Numerical simulation shows that the proposed estimator is robust and effective to analyze contaminated data.

Permutation Predictor Tests in Linear Regression

  • Ryu, Hye Min;Woo, Min Ah;Lee, Kyungjin;Yoo, Jae Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2013
  • To determine whether each coefficient is equal to zero or not, usual $t$-tests are a popular choice (among others) in linear regression to practitioners because all statistical packages provide the statistics and their corresponding $p$-values. Under smaller samples (especially with non-normal errors) the tests often fail to correctly detect statistical significance. We propose a permutation approach by adopting a sufficient dimension reduction methodology to overcome this deficit. Numerical studies confirm that the proposed method has potential advantages over the t-tests. In addition, data analysis is also presented.

풍속 예측을 위한 선형회귀분석과 비선형회귀분석 기법의 비교 및 인자분석 (Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Regressions and Elements Analysis for Wind Speed Prediction)

  • 김동연;서기성
    • 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.477-482
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    • 2015
  • 단기풍속 예측을 위한 진화적 선형 및 비선형 회귀분석 기반의 보정 기법을 비교한다. 모델의 체계적 오류를 교정하기 위한 효율적인 MOS(Model Output Statistics)의 개발이 필요하나, 기존의 선형회귀분석 기반의 보정기법은 다양한 기상요소의 복잡한 비선형 특성을 반영하기 힘들다. 이를 개선하기 위해서 유전 프로그래밍을 사용하여 풍속 예측에 대한 비선형 보정 수식을 생성하는 기법을 제안하고 기본 다중선형회귀분석법 및 Ridge, Lasso 회귀분석법과 비교한다. 더불어, 선형회귀분석법과 진화적 비선형회귀분석 기법의 인자 선택의 차이와 유사성을 비교하고 분석한다. 2007년~2013년의 KLAPS(Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) 재분석자료를 사용하여 제주도와 부산지역의 격자점에 대한 실험을 수행한다.

극한 파고 계산에 있어서 Type III 분포의 응용 (Applications of the Type III Asymptotic Distribution for Extreme Sea Level Computations)

  • 이태일;권순홍;전영기
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1992
  • 본 연구를 통하여 극한 파고를 계산하는 방법들을 제시하였다. Type III 분포에 근거해서 분포 함수의 파라미터 산출을 위하여 non-linear multiple regression 방법, skewness 방법, maximum likelihood방법들을 사용하였다. 좀 더 정확한 결과를 얻기 위하여 추정된 분포 함수의 차이를 다항식을 도입하여 맞추었다. 제시한 방법을 응용하여 계산 예들을 보였다.

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구조방정식을 이용한 도시부 4지 신호교차로의 사고원인 분석 (A Causational Study for Urban 4-legged Signalized Intersections using Structural Equation Method)

  • 오주택;이상규;허태영;황정원
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2012
  • PURPOSES : Traffic accidents at intersections have been increased annually so that it is required to examine the causations to reduce the accidents. However, the current existing accident models were developed mainly with non-linear regression models such as Poisson methods. These non-linear regression methods lack to reveal complicated causations for traffic accidents, though they are right choices to study randomness and non-linearity of accidents. Therefore, to reveal the complicated causations of traffic accidents, this study used structural equation methods(SEM). METHODS : SEM used in this study is a statistical technique for estimating causal relations using a combination of statistical data and qualitative causal assumptions. SEM allow exploratory modeling, meaning they are suited to theory development. The method is tested against the obtained measurement data to determine how well the model fits the data. Among the strengths of SEM is the ability to construct latent variables: variables which are not measured directly, but are estimated in the model from several measured variables. This allows the modeler to explicitly capture the unreliability of measurement in the model, which allows the structural relations between latent variables to be accurately estimated. RESULTS : The study results showed that causal factors could be grouped into 3. Factor 1 includes traffic variables, and Factor 2 contains turning traffic variables. Factor 3 consists of other road element variables such as speed limits or signal cycles. CONCLUSIONS : Non-linear regression models can be used to develop accident predictions models. However, they lack to estimate causal factors, because they select only few significant variables to raise the accuracy of the model performance. Compared to the regressions, SEM has merits to estimate causal factors affecting accidents, because it allows the structural relations between latent variables. Therefore, this study used SEM to estimate causal factors affecting accident at urban signalized intersections.

MLR 및 SVR 기반 선형과 비선형회귀분석의 비교 - 풍속 예측 보정 (Comparison of MLR and SVR Based Linear and Nonlinear Regressions - Compensation for Wind Speed Prediction)

  • 김준봉;오승철;서기성
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제65권5호
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    • pp.851-856
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    • 2016
  • Wind speed is heavily fluctuated and quite local than other weather elements. It is difficult to improve the accuracy of prediction only in a numerical prediction model. An MOS (Model Output Statistics) technique is used to correct the systematic errors of the model using a statistical data analysis. The Most of previous MOS has used a linear regression model for weather prediction, but it is hard to manage an irregular nature of prediction of wind speed. In order to solve the problem, a nonlinear regression method using SVR (Support Vector Regression) is introduced for a development of MOS for wind speed prediction. Experiments are performed for KLAPS (Korea Local Analysis and Prediction System) re-analysis data from 2007 to 2013 year for Jeju Island and Busan area in South Korea. The MLR and SVR based linear and nonlinear methods are compared to each other for prediction accuracy of wind speed. Also, the comparison experiments are executed for the variation in the number of UM elements.

The Impact of Foreign Ownership on Capital Structure: Empirical Evidence from Listed Firms in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Van Diep;DUONG, Quynh Nga
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.363-370
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    • 2022
  • The study aims to probe the impact of foreign ownership on Vietnamese listed firms' capital structure. This study employs panel data of 288 non-financial firms listed on the Ho Chi Minh City stock exchange (HOSE) and Ha Noi stock exchange (HNX) in 2015-2019. In this research, we applied a Bayesian linear regression method to provide probabilistic explanations of the model uncertainty and effect of foreign ownership on the capital structure of non-financial listed enterprises in Vietnam. The findings of experimental analysis by Bayesian linear regression method through Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) technique combined with Gibbs sampler suggest that foreign ownership has substantial adverse effects on the firms' capital structure. Our findings also indicate that a firm's size, age, and growth opportunities all have a strong positive and significant effect on its debt ratio. We found that the firms' profitability, tangible assets, and liquidity negatively and strongly affect firms' capital structure. Meanwhile, there is a low negative impact of dividends and inflation on the debt ratio. This research has ramifications for business managers since it improves a company's financial resources by developing a strong capital structure and considering foreign investment as a source of funding.

간척지 재배 근채류의 최대 엽장과 엽폭을 이용한 지하부 생체중 추정용 회귀 모델 결정 (Determination of Regression Model for Estimating Root Fresh Weight Using Maximum Leaf Length and Width of Root Vegetables Grown in Reclaimed Land)

  • 정대호;이평호;이인복
    • 한국환경농학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.204-213
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    • 2020
  • BACKGROUND: Since the number of crops cultivated in reclaimed land is huge, it is very difficult to quantify the total crop production. Therefore, a non-destructive method for predicting crop production is needed. Salt tolerant root vegetables such as red beets and sugar beet are suitable for cultivation in reclaimed land. If their underground biomass can be predicted, it helps to estimate crop productivity. Objectives of this study are to investigate maximum leaf length and weight of red beet, sugar beet, and turnips grown in reclaimed land, and to determine optimal model with regression analysis for linear and allometric growth models. METHODS AND RESULTS: Maximum leaf length, width, and root fresh weight of red beets, sugar beets, and turnips were measured. Ten linear models and six allometric growth models were selected for estimation of root fresh weight and non-linear regression analysis was conducted. The allometric growth model, which have a variable multiplied by square of maximum leaf length and maximum leaf width, showed highest R2 values of 0.67, 0.70, and 0.49 for red beets, sugar beets, and turnips, respectively. Validation results of the models for red beets and sugar beets showed the R2 values of 0.63 and 0.65, respectively. However, the model for turnips showed the R2 value of 0.48. The allometric growth model was suitable for estimating the root fresh weight of red beets and sugar beets, but the accuracy for turnips was relatively low. CONCLUSION: The regression models established in this study may be useful to estimate the total production of root vegetables cultivated in reclaimed land, and it will be used as a non-destructive method for prediction of crop information.

FCA 필릿 파이프 용접에서 다중 비선형 회귀 모형과 구간적 3차 에르미트 보간법을 통한 비드 형상 예측 (Expectation of Bead Shape using Non-linear Multiple Regression and Piecewise Cubic Hermite Interpolation in FCA Fillet Pipe Welding)

  • 조대원;나석주;이목영
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.42-48
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    • 2009
  • Pipe welding is used in various ranges such as civil engineering and ship building engineering. Until now, many technicians work for pipe welding manually under harmful, dangerous and difficult conditions. So it is necessary to install automation process. For automation pipe welding, relation between welding parameters & bead shape should be considered. Using this relation, bead shape could be expected from welding parameters. FCAW was used in this study. Instead of pipe workpiece, fillet joint plate is used, which were inclined 0,45,90,135,180 degree. By analyzing between welding parameters (current, welding speed, voltage) and bead shape parameters with non-linear multiple regression, bead shape parameters could be expected. Piecewise Cubic Hermite Interpolation was used to expect smooth curved bead shape with bead shape parameters. From these processes, bead shape could be expected from welding parameters.

이상치를 이용한 관측적 침하예측기법의 개발 (Development of a Observational Settlement Analysis Method Using Outliers)

  • 우철웅;장병욱
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제45권5호
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    • pp.140-150
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    • 2003
  • Observational methods such as the Asaoka's method and the hyperbolic method are widely applied on the settlement analysis using observed settlement. The most unreliable aspects in those methods is arose from the subjective discretion of initial non-linearity on linear regression. The initial non-linearity is inevitable due to the settlement behaviour itself. Therefore an objective method is essential to achieve more reliable results on settlement analysis. It was found that the initial non-linear data are statistical outliers. New automation algorithms of the hyperbolic and the Asaoka's method were developed based on outlier detection method. The methods are a successive detection of outliers and a searching method of suitable hyperbolic range for the Asaoka's and the hyperbolic method respectively. Applicability of the algorithms was verified through case studies.