• Title/Summary/Keyword: Neuro-Fuzzy Network

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River stage forecasting models using support vector regression and optimization algorithms (Support vector regression과 최적화 알고리즘을 이용한 하천수위 예측모델)

  • Seo, Youngmin;Kim, Sungwon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.606-609
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구에서는 support vector regression (SVR) 및 매개변수 최적화 알고리즘을 이용한 하천수위 예측모델을 구축하고 이를 실제 유역에 적용하여 모델 효율성을 평가하였다. 여기서, SVR은 하천수위를 예측하기 위한 예측모델로서 채택되었으며, 커널함수 (Kernel function)로서는 radial basis function (RBF)을 선택하였다. 최적화 알고리즘은 SVR의 최적 매개변수 (C?, cost parameter or regularization parameter; ${\gamma}$, RBF parameter; ${\epsilon}$, insensitive loss function parameter)를 탐색하기 위하여 적용되었다. 매개변수 최적화 알고리즘으로는 grid search (GS), genetic algorithm (GA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), artificial bee colony (ABC) 알고리즘을 채택하였으며, 비교분석을 통해 최적화 알고리즘의 적용성을 평가하였다. 또한 SVR과 최적화 알고리즘을 결합한 모델 (SVR-GS, SVR-GA, SVR-PSO, SVR-ABC)은 기존에 수자원 분야에서 널리 적용되어온 신경망(Artificial neural network, ANN) 및 뉴로퍼지 (Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, ANFIS) 모델과 비교하였다. 그 결과, 모델 효율성 측면에서 SVR-GS, SVR-GA, SVR-PSO 및 SVR-ABC는 ANN보다 우수한 결과를 나타내었으며, ANFIS와는 비슷한 결과를 나타내었다. 또한 SVR-GA, SVR-PSO 및 SVR-ABC는 SVR-GS보다 상대적으로 우수한 결과를 나타내었으며, 모델 효율성 측면에서 SVR-PSO 및 SVR-ABC는 가장 우수한 모델 성능을 나타내었다. 따라서 본 연구에서 적용한 매개변수 최적화 알고리즘은 SVR의 매개변수를 최적화하는데 효과적임을 확인할 수 있었다. SVR과 최적화 알고리즘을 이용한 하천수위 예측모델은 기존의 ANN 및 ANFIS 모델과 더불어 하천수위 예측을 위한 효과적인 도구로 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Hybrid adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system method for energy absorption of nano-composite reinforced beam with piezoelectric face-sheets

  • Lili Xiao
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.141-154
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    • 2023
  • Effects of viscoelastic foundation on vibration of curved-beam structure with clamped and simply-supported boundary conditions is investigated in this study. In doing so, a micro-scale laminate composite beam with two piezoelectric face layer with a carbon nanotube reinforces composite core is considered. The whole beam structure is laid on a viscoelastic substrate which normally occurred in actual conditions. Due to small scale of the structure non-classical elasticity theory provided more accurate results. Therefore, nonlocal strain gradient theory is employed here to capture both nano-scale effects on carbon nanotubes and microscale effects because of overall scale of the structure. Equivalent homogenous properties of the composite core is obtained using Halpin-Tsai equation. The equations of motion is derived considering energy terms of the beam and variational principle in minimizing total energy. The boundary condition is assumed to be clamped at one end and simply supported at the other end. Due to nonlinear terms in the equations of motion, semi-analytical method of general differential quadrature method is engaged to solve the equations. In addition, due to complexity in developing and solving equations of motion of arches, an artificial neural network is design and implemented to capture effects of different parameters on the inplane vibration of sandwich arches. At the end, effects of several parameters including nonlocal and gradient parameters, geometrical aspect ratios and substrate constants of the structure on the natural frequency and amplitude is derived. It is observed that increasing nonlocal and gradient parameters have contradictory effects of the amplitude and frequency of vibration of the laminate beam.

Application of adaptive neuro-fuzzy system in prediction of nanoscale and grain size effects on formability

  • Nan Yang;Meldi Suhatril;Khidhair Jasim Mohammed;H. Elhosiny Ali
    • Advances in nano research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.155-164
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    • 2023
  • Grain size in sheet metals in one of the main parameters in determining formability. Grain size control in industry requires delicate process control and equipment. In the present study, effects of grain size on the formability of steel sheets is investigated. Experimental investigation of effect of grain size is a cumbersome method which due to existence of many other effective parameters are not conclusive in some cases. On the other hand, since the average grain size of a crystalline material is a statistical parameter, using traditional methods are not sufficient for find the optimum grain size to maximize formability. Therefore, design of experiment (DoE) and artificial intelligence (AI) methods are coupled together in this study to find the optimum conditions for formability in terms of grain size and to predict forming limits of sheet metals under bi-stretch loading conditions. In this regard, a set of experiment is conducted to provide initial data for training and testing DoE and AI. Afterwards, the using response surface method (RSM) optimum grain size is calculated. Moreover, trained neural network is used to predict formability in the calculated optimum condition and the results compared to the experimental results. The findings of the present study show that DoE and AI could be a great aid in the design, determination and prediction of optimum grain size for maximizing sheet formability.

Estimation of the mechanical properties of oil palm shell aggregate concrete by novel AO-XGB model

  • Yipeng Feng;Jiang Jie;Amir Toulabi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.49 no.6
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    • pp.645-666
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    • 2023
  • Due to the steadily declining supply of natural coarse aggregates, the concrete industry has shifted to substituting coarse aggregates generated from byproducts and industrial waste. Oil palm shell is a substantial waste product created during the production of palm oil (OPS). When considering the usage of OPSC, building engineers must consider its uniaxial compressive strength (UCS). Obtaining UCS is expensive and time-consuming, machine learning may help. This research established five innovative hybrid AI algorithms to predict UCS. Aquila optimizer (AO) is used with methods to discover optimum model parameters. Considered models are artificial neural network (AO - ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (AO - ANFIS), support vector regression (AO - SVR), random forest (AO - RF), and extreme gradient boosting (AO - XGB). To achieve this goal, a dataset of OPS-produced concrete specimens was compiled. The outputs depict that all five developed models have justifiable accuracy in UCS estimation process, showing the remarkable correlation between measured and estimated UCS and models' usefulness. All in all, findings depict that the proposed AO - XGB model performed more suitable than others in predicting UCS of OPSC (with R2, RMSE, MAE, VAF and A15-index at 0.9678, 1.4595, 1.1527, 97.6469, and 0.9077). The proposed model could be utilized in construction engineering to ensure enough mechanical workability of lightweight concrete and permit its safe usage for construction aims.

Design of Optimized Type-2 Fuzzy RBFNN Echo Pattern Classifier Using Meterological Radar Data (기상레이더를 이용한 최적화된 Type-2 퍼지 RBFNN 에코 패턴분류기 설계)

  • Song, Chan-Seok;Lee, Seung-Chul;Oh, Sung-Kwun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.6
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    • pp.922-934
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, The classification between precipitation echo(PRE) and non-precipitation echo(N-PRE) (including ground echo and clear echo) is carried out from weather radar data using neuro-fuzzy algorithm. In order to classify between PRE and N-PRE, Input variables are built up through characteristic analysis of radar data. First, the event classifier as the first classification step is designed to classify precipitation event and non-precipitation event using input variables of RBFNNs such as DZ, DZ of Frequency(DZ_FR), SDZ, SDZ of Frequency(SDZ_FR), VGZ, VGZ of Frequency(VGZ_FR). After the event classification, in the precipitation event including non-precipitation echo, the non-precipitation echo is completely removed by the echo classifier of the second classifier step that is built as Type-2 FCM based RBFNNs. Also, parameters of classification system are acquired for effective performance using PSO(Particle Swarm Optimization). The performance results of the proposed echo classifier are compared with CZ. In the sequel, the proposed model architectures which use event classifier as well as the echo classifier of Interval Type-2 FCM based RBFNN show the superiority of output performance when compared with the conventional echo classifier based on RBFNN.

The Application of Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) for Modeling the Hourly Runoff in the Gapcheon Watershed (적응형 네트워크 기반 퍼지추론 시스템을 적용한 갑천유역의 홍수유출 모델링)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Chung, Gunhui;Lee, Do-Hun;Lee, Eun Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2011
  • The adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) which had a success for time series prediction and system control was applied for modeling the hourly runoff in the Gapcheon watershed. The ANFIS used the antecedent rainfall and runoff as the input. The ANFIS was trained by varying the various simulation factors such as mean areal rainfall estimation, the number of input variables, the type of membership function and the number of membership function. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean peak runoff error (PE), and mean peak time error (TE) were used for validating the ANFIS simulation. The ANFIS predicted runoff was in good agreement with the measured runoff and the applicability of ANFIS for modelling the hourly runoff appeared to be good. The forecasting ability of ANFIS up to the maximum 8 lead hour was investigated by applying the different input structure to ANFIS model. The accuracy of ANFIS for predicting the hourly runoff was reduced as the forecasting lead hours increased. The long-term predictability of ANFIS for forecasting the hourly runoff at longer lead hours appeared to be limited. The ANFIS might be useful for modeling the hourly runoff and has an advantage over the physically based models because the model construction of ANFIS based on only input and output data is relatively simple.

On the prediction of unconfined compressive strength of silty soil stabilized with bottom ash, jute and steel fibers via artificial intelligence

  • Gullu, Hamza;Fedakar, Halil ibrahim
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.441-464
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    • 2017
  • The determination of the mixture parameters of stabilization has become a great concern in geotechnical applications. This paper presents an effort about the application of artificial intelligence (AI) techniques including radial basis neural network (RBNN), multi-layer perceptrons (MLP), generalized regression neural network (GRNN) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) in order to predict the unconfined compressive strength (UCS) of silty soil stabilized with bottom ash (BA), jute fiber (JF) and steel fiber (SF) under different freeze-thaw cycles (FTC). The dosages of the stabilizers and number of freeze-thaw cycles were employed as input (predictor) variables and the UCS values as output variable. For understanding the dominant parameter of the predictor variables on the UCS of stabilized soil, a sensitivity analysis has also been performed. The performance measures of root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE) and determination coefficient ($R^2$) were used for the evaluations of the prediction accuracy and applicability of the employed models. The results indicate that the predictions due to all AI techniques employed are significantly correlated with the measured UCS ($p{\leq}0.05$). They also perform better predictions than nonlinear regression (NLR) in terms of the performance measures. It is found from the model performances that RBNN approach within AI techniques yields the highest satisfactory results (RMSE = 55.4 kPa, MAE = 45.1 kPa, and $R^2=0.988$). The sensitivity analysis demonstrates that the JF inclusion within the input predictors is the most effective parameter on the UCS responses, followed by FTC.

Analysis of PD Distribution Characteristics and Comparison of Classification Methods according to Electrical Tree Source in Power Cable (전력용 케이블 시편에서 전기트리 발생원에 따른 부분방전 분포 특성 및 발생원 분류기법 비교)

  • Park, Seong-Hee;Jeong, Hae-Eun;Lim, Kee-Joe;Kang, Seong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.57-64
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    • 2007
  • One of the cause of insulation failure in power cable is well known by electrical treeing discharge. This is occurred for imposed continuous stress at cable. And this event is related to safety, reliability and maintenance. In this paper, throughout analysis of partial discharge(PD) distribution when occurring the electrical tree, is studied for the purpose of knowing of electrical treeing discharge characteristics according to defects. Own characteristic of tree will be differently processed in each defect and this reason is the first purpose of this paper. To acquire PD data, three defective tree models were made. And their own data is shown by the phase-resolved partial discharge method (PRPD). As a result of PRPD, tree discharge sources have their own characteristics. And if other defects (void, metal particle) exist internal power cable then their characteristics are shown very different. This result Is related to the time of breakdown and this is importance of cable diagnosis. And classification method of PD sources was studied in this paper. It needs select the most useful method to apply PD data classification one of the proposed method. To meet the requirement, we select methods of different type. That is, neural network(NN-BP), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system and PCA-LDA were applied to result. As a result of, ANFIS shows the highest rate which value is 98 %. Generally, PCA-LDA and ANFIS are better than BP. Finally, we performed classification of tree progress using ANFIS and that result is 92 %.

Development of Water Demand Forecasting Simulator and Performance Evaluation (단기 물 수요예측 시뮬레이터 개발과 예측 알고리즘 성능평가)

  • Shin, Gang-Wook;Kim, Ju-Hwan;Yang, Jae-Rheen;Hong, Sung-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.581-589
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    • 2011
  • Generally, treated water or raw water is transported into storage reservoirs which are receiving facilities of local governments from multi-regional water supply systems. A water supply control and operation center is operated not only to manage the water facilities more economically and efficiently but also to mitigate the shortage of water resources due to the increase in water consumption. To achieve the goal, important information such as the flow-rate in the systems, water levels of storage reservoirs or tanks, and pump-operation schedule should be considered based on the resonable water demand forecasting. However, it is difficult to acquire the pattern of water demand used in local government, since the operating information is not shared between multi-regional and local water systems. The pattern of water demand is irregular and unpredictable. Also, additional changes such as an abrupt accident and frequent changes of electric power rates could occur. Consequently, it is not easy to forecast accurate water demands. Therefore, it is necessary to introduce a short-term water demands forecasting and to develop an application of the forecasting models. In this study, the forecasting simulator for water demand is developed based on mathematical and neural network methods as linear and non-linear models to implement the optimal water demands forecasting. It is shown that MLP(Multi-Layered Perceptron) and ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) can be applied to obtain better forecasting results in multi-regional water supply systems with a large scale and local water supply systems with small or medium scale than conventional methods, respectively.

Power peaking factor prediction using ANFIS method

  • Ali, Nur Syazwani Mohd;Hamzah, Khaidzir;Idris, Faridah;Basri, Nor Afifah;Sarkawi, Muhammad Syahir;Sazali, Muhammad Arif;Rabir, Hairie;Minhat, Mohamad Sabri;Zainal, Jasman
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.608-616
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    • 2022
  • Power peaking factors (PPF) is an important parameter for safe and efficient reactor operation. There are several methods to calculate the PPF at TRIGA research reactors such as MCNP and TRIGLAV codes. However, these methods are time-consuming and required high specifications of a computer system. To overcome these limitations, artificial intelligence was introduced for parameter prediction. Previous studies applied the neural network method to predict the PPF, but the publications using the ANFIS method are not well developed yet. In this paper, the prediction of PPF using the ANFIS was conducted. Two input variables, control rod position, and neutron flux were collected while the PPF was calculated using TRIGLAV code as the data output. These input-output datasets were used for ANFIS model generation, training, and testing. In this study, four ANFIS model with two types of input space partitioning methods shows good predictive performances with R2 values in the range of 96%-97%, reveals the strong relationship between the predicted and actual PPF values. The RMSE calculated also near zero. From this statistical analysis, it is proven that the ANFIS could predict the PPF accurately and can be used as an alternative method to develop a real-time monitoring system at TRIGA research reactors.