• Water Engineering Research
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.59-68
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• 2003

The applicabilities and validities of two methodologies fur the prediction of THM (trihalomethane) formation in a water pipeline system were proposed and discussed. One is the multiple regression technique and the other is an artificial neural network technique. There are many factors which influence water quality, especially THMs formations in water pipeline systems. In this study, the prediction models of THM formation in water pipeline systems are developed based on the independent variables proposed by American Water Works Association(AWWA). Multiple linear/nonlinear regression models are estimated and three layer feed-forward artificial neural networks have been used to predict the THM formation in a water pipeline system. Input parameters of the models consist of organic compounds measured in water pipeline systems such as TOC, DOC and UV254. Also, the reaction time to each measuring site along pipeline is used as input parameter calculated by a hydraulic analysis. Using these variables as model parameters, four models are developed. And the predicted results from the four developed models are compared statistically to the measured THMs data set. It is shown that the artificial neural network approaches are much superior to the conventional regression approaches and that the developed models by neural network can be used more efficiently and reproduce more accurately the THMs formation in water pipeline systems, than the conventional regression methods proposed by AWWA.

• 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국경영과학회 1996년도 추계학술대회발표논문집; 고려대학교, 서울; 26 Oct. 1996
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• pp.203-206
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• 1996

Prediction of firm bankruptcy have been extensively studied in accounting, as all stockholders in a firm have a vested interest in monitoring its financial performance. The objective of this paper is to develop the hybrid models for bankruptcy prediction. The proposed hybrid models are two phase. Phase one are (a) DA-assisted neural network, (b) Logit-assisted neural network, and (c) Genetic-assisted neural network. And, phase two are (a) DA-assisted Case based reasoning, and (b) Genetic-assisted Case based reasoning. In the variables selection, We are focusing on three alternative methods - linear discriminant analysis, logit analysis and genetic algorithms - that can be used empirically select predictors for hybrid model in bankruptcy prediction. Empirical results using Korean medium-sized firms data show that hybrid models are very promising neural network models and case based reasoning for bankruptcy prediction in terms of predictive accuracy and adaptability.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제28권5호
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• pp.77-87
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• 2023

재생 에너지 생성에서 중요한 역할을 하는 풍력 터빈은 작동 상태를 정확하게 평가하는 것이 에너지 생산을 극대화하고 가동 중지 시간을 최소화하는 데 매우 중요하다. 이 연구는 풍력 터빈 상태 진단을 위한 다양한 신경망 모델의 비교 분석을 수행하고 센서 측정 및 과거 터빈 데이터가 포함된 데이터 세트를 사용하여 효율성을 평가하였다. 분석을 위해 2MW 이중 여자 유도 발전기 기반 풍력 터빈 시스템(모델 HQ2000)에서 수집된 감시 제어 및 데이터 수집 데이터를 활용했다. 활성화함수, 은닉층 등을 고려하여 인공신경망, 장단기기억, 순환신경망 등 다양한 신경망 모델을 구축하였다. 대칭 평균 절대 백분율 오류는 모델의 성능을 평가하는 데 사용되었다. 평가를 바탕으로 풍력 터빈 상태 진단을 위한 신경망 모델의 상대적 효율성에 관한 결론이 도출되었다. 본 연구결과는 풍력발전기의 상태진단을 위한 모델선정의 길잡이가 되며, 고도의 신경망 기반 기법을 통한 신뢰성 및 효율성 향상에 기여하고, 향후 관련연구의 방향을 제시하는데 기여한다.

• 농촌지도와개발
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.939-965
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• 2009

The Machine Learning has been identified as a promising approach to knowledge-based system development. This study aims to examine the ability of machine learning techniques for farmer's decision making and to develop the reference model for using pig farm data. We compared five machine learning techniques: logistic regression, decision tree, artificial neural network, k-nearest neighbor, and ensemble. All models are well performed to predict the sow's productivity in all parity, showing over 87.6% predictability. The model predictability of total litter size are highest at 91.3% in third parity and decreasing as parity increases. The ensemble is well performed to predict the sow's productivity. The neural network and logistic regression is excellent classifier for all parity. The decision tree and the k-nearest neighbor was not good classifier for all parity. Performance of models varies over models used, showing up to 104% difference in lift values. Artificial Neural network and ensemble models have resulted in highest lift values implying best performance among models.

• Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.324-334
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• 2016

Manufacturers and retailers are interested in how prices, promotions, discounts and other marketing variables can influence the sales and shares of the products that they produce or sell. Therefore, many models have been developed to predict the brand share. Since the customer choice models are usually used to predict the market share, here we use hybrid model of Probabilistic Neural Network and Artificial Bee colony Algorithm (PNN-ABC) that we have introduced to model consumer choice to predict brand share. The evaluation process is carried out using the same data set that we have used for modeling individual consumer choices in a retail coffee market. Then, to show good performance of this model we compare it with Artificial Neural Network with one hidden layer, Artificial Neural Network with two hidden layer, Artificial Neural Network trained with genetic algorithms (ANN-GA), and Probabilistic Neural Network. The evaluated results show that the offered model is outperforms better than other previous models, so it can be use as an effective tool for modeling consumer choice and predicting market share.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
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• 재33권6호
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• pp.567-581
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• 2023

The prediction and achievement of a proper rock fragmentation size is the main challenge of blasting operations in surface mines. This is because an optimum size distribution can optimize the overall mine/plant economics. To this end, this study attempts to develop four improved artificial intelligence models to predict rock fragmentation through cascaded forward neural network (CFNN) and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) models. In this regards, the CFNN was trained by the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm (LMA) and Conjugate gradient backpropagation (CGP). Further, the RBFNN was optimized by the Dragonfly Algorithm (DA) and teaching-learning-based optimization (TLBO). For developing the models, the database required was collected from the Midouk copper mine, Iran. After modeling, the statistical functions were computed to check the accuracy of the models, and the root mean square errors (RMSEs) of CFNN-LMA, CFNN-CGP, RBFNN-DA, and RBFNN-TLBO were obtained as 1.0656, 1.9698, 2.2235, and 1.6216, respectively. Accordingly, CFNN-LMA, with the lowest RMSE, was determined as the model with the best prediction results among the four examined in this study.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제59권3호
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• pp.97-110
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• 2017

This study investigates the efficiencies of machine learning models, including artificial neural network (ANN), generalized regression neural network (GRNN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and random forest (RF), for reservoir water level forecasting in the Chungju Dam, South Korea. The models' efficiencies are assessed based on model efficiency indices and graphical comparison. The forecasting results of the models are dependent on lead times and the combination of input variables. For lead time t = 1 day, ANFIS1 and ANN6 models yield superior forecasting results to RF6 and GRNN6 models. For lead time t = 5 days, ANN1 and RF6 models produce better forecasting results than ANFIS1 and GRNN3 models. For lead time t = 10 days, ANN3 and RF1 models perform better than ANFIS3 and GRNN3 models. It is found that ANN model yields the best performance for all lead times, in terms of model efficiency and graphical comparison. These results indicate that the optimal combination of input variables and forecasting models depending on lead times should be applied in reservoir water level forecasting, instead of the single combination of input variables and forecasting models for all lead times.

• 소성∙가공
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.227-235
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• 2018

The flow stresses have been identified prior to a numerical simulation for predicting a deformation of materials using the experimental or analytical analysis. Recently, the flow stress models considering the temperature effect have been developed to reduce the number of experiments. Artificial neural network can provide a simple procedure for solving a problem from the analytical models. The objective of this paper is the prediction of flow stress on the fiber metal laminate using the artificial neural network. First, the training data were obtained by conducting the uniaxial tensile tests at the various temperature conditions. After, the artificial neural network has been trained by Levenberg-Marquardt method. The numerical results of the trained model were compared with the analytical models predicted at the previous study. It is noted that the artificial neural network can predict flow stress effectively as compared with the previously-proposed analytical models.

• 대한전자공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전자공학회 2001년도 하계종합학술대회 논문집(5)
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• pp.115-118
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• 2001

In this paper we propose an FDI(fault detection and isolation) algorithm using neural network-based multi-fault models to detect and isolate single faults in nonlinear systems. When a change in the system occurs, the errors between the system output and the neural network nominal system output cross a threshold, and once a fault in the system is detected, the fault classifier statistically isolates the fault by using the error between each neural network-based fault model output and the system output.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제38권1호
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• pp.139-152
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• 2013

The purpose of this study is to claim the validity of tuning the architecture of neural network models for multi-class classification. A neural network model for multi-class classification is basically constructed by building a series of neural network models for binary classification. Building a neural network model, we are required to set the values of parameters such as number of hidden nodes and weight decay parameter in advance, which draws special attention as the performance of the model can be quite different by the values of the parameters. For better performance of the model, it is absolutely necessary to have a prior process of tuning the parameters every time the neural network model is built. Nonetheless, previous studies have not mentioned the necessity of the tuning process or proved its validity. In this study, we claim that we should tune the parameters every time we build the neural network model for multi-class classification. Through empirical analysis using wine data, we show that the performance of the model with the tuned parameters is superior to those of untuned models.