• Title/Summary/Keyword: Navigation risk

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Airspace Safety Assessment for Implementation of the Japanese Domestic Reduced Vertical Separation Minimum

  • Amai, Osamu;Nagaoka, Sakae
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.435-440
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    • 2006
  • The Reduced Vertical Separation Minimum (RVSM), which is the reduced minimum from 2,000 ft to 1,000 ft at flight levels (FL) between 290 and FL410 inclusive, was implemented in 30 September 2005 within the Japanese domestic airspace. Prior to the implementation, safety assessment for the airspace in assumed RVSM environments was carried out. Some model parameter values of collision risk model were estimated using flight plan (progress) data and radar data. An estimate of vertical collision risk including operational risk was calculated using these together with given parameter values. The results obtained from this analysis are as follows. (1) Contribution of the vertical collision risk for the crossing routes is about 9 percents of the total technical risk. (2) The estimate of the collision risk is $4.1{\times}10^{-9}$ [fatal accidents / flight hour] and the value is smaller than a maximum allowable level of collision risk, i.e. $5{\times}10^{-9}$ [fatal accidents / flight hour], called the Target Level of Safety.

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Dilution of Precision (DOP) Based Landmark Exclusion Method for Evaluating Integrity Risk of LiDAR-based Navigation Systems

  • Choi, Pil Hun;Lee, Jinsil;Lee, Jiyun
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.285-292
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    • 2020
  • This paper introduces a new computational efficient Dilution of Precision (DOP)-based landmark exclusion method while ensuring the safety of the LiDAR-based navigation system that uses an innovation-based Nearest-Neighbor (NN) Data Association (DA) process. The NN DA process finds a correct landmark association hypothesis among all potential landmark permutations using Kalman filter innovation vectors. This makes the computational load increases exponentially as the number of landmarks increases. In this paper, we thus exclude landmarks by introducing DOP that quantifies the geometric distribution of landmarks as a way to minimize the loss of integrity performance that can occur by reducing landmarks. The number of landmarks to be excluded is set as the maximum number that can satisfy the integrity risk requirement. For the verification of the method, we developed a simulator that can analyze integrity risk according to the landmark number and its geometric distribution. Based on the simulation, we analyzed the relationship between DOP and integrity risk of the DA process by excluding each landmark. The results showed a tendency to minimize the loss of integrity performance when excluding landmarks with poor DOP. The developed method opens the possibility of assuring the safety risk of the Lidar-based navigation system in real-time applications by reducing a substantial amount of computational load.

Search on the Marine accidents Analysis Methods

  • Quan, Vu Minh;Yang, Won-Jea
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.199-201
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    • 2015
  • Nowadays, the issue of maritime safety is an extremely important issue in the maritime industry and Human' Stress is one of the biggest causes of maritime accidents. The purpose of this study was to research and compare the risk marine accidents analysis methods and find the methods which used to analysis data of the human' stress and obtained the relationship between it and the risk of maritime accidents.

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Analysing the probability of risks by using AIS Data

  • Guk, Seung-Gi;Fukuda, Gen
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2013.06a
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    • pp.169-171
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    • 2013
  • The ships always have had the risk of collision. There are also a number of near-miss situations especially in the congested area such as port entrance, restricted waters and crossing point of the ship's route. In those areas, the navigator might have more stress than other areas. If the collision risk of decided area is calculated, it might be possible to analyse the human factors by using this data. It is also helpful for deciding a position of aids to navigation or any other system for the safety navigation. For this purpose, the model of collision risk with AIS data has been explained in this paper. The calculated result from the proposed model has been examined by using the simulation.

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Basic Architecture of Navigation Safety Module in S2 Service of Korean e-Navigation System

  • Yoo, Yun-Ja;Kim, Tae-Goun;Moon, Serng-Bae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.311-316
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    • 2018
  • IMO introduced the concept of e-Navigation and proposed MSPs(Maritime Service Portfolios) concept to reduce marine accidents, to improve efficiency of ship operation, port operation, and ship operation technology. Korean e-Navigation defines S1 ~ S5 services, as the service concept focused on domestic e-Navigation service corresponding to IMO MSPs, and is constructing a system as an ongoing project. S2 service (onboard system remote monitoring service) among the concepts of Korean e-Navigation services, is a service concept that judges the emergency level according to risk if an abnormal condition occurs during navigation, and provides corresponding guidance to accident ships based on emergency level. The purpose of this paper is to provide a basic architecture proposal of Korean e-Navigation S2 service navigation safety module, based on the S2 service operation concept. To do this, we conducted a questionnaire survey to ask experts with experience with sailors, to respond to the subjective risk experienced by sailors considering effects of anomalies, including equipment failure relative to sailing and navigational safety. Risk level for each abnormal condition was classified. The basic algorithm design of the navigation safety module is composed of safety index (SI) calculation module based on results of questionnaire and expert opinions, safety level (SL) determination module according to safety index, and corresponding guidance generation module according to safety level. To conduct basic validation of basic architecture of the navigation safety module, simulation of the ship anomaly monitoring was performed, and results have been revealed.

A New Approach to the Evaluation of Collision Risk using Sech Function (Sech 함수를 이용한 새로운 충돌위험도 평가법)

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.103-109
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    • 2003
  • Evaluating the risk of collision quantitatively plays a key role in developing the expert system of navigation and collision avoidance. This study analysed the existing methods of appraising the collision risk, examined the problem that are intrinsic to them, and developed a new approach to its evaluation by using the sech function as an alternative to them. This paper applied the new method in appraising the collision risk and suggested how to decide the safe range of ownship's action.

Understanding Relationships Among Risk Factors in Container Port Operation UsingBayesian Network

  • Tsenskhuu Nyamjav;Min-Ho Ha
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.47 no.2
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    • pp.93-99
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to determine relationships among risk factors influencing container port operation using Bayesian network. Risk factors identified from prior studies were classified into five groups: human error, machinery error, environmental risk, security risk, and natural disasters. P anel experts discussed identified risk factors to fulfil conditional probability tables of the interdependence model. The interdependence model was also validated by sensitivity analysis and provided an interrelation of factors influencing the direction of each other. Results of the interdependence model were partially in line with results from prior studies while practices in the global port industry confirmed interrelationships of risk factors. In addition, the relationship between top-ranked risk factors can provide a schematic drawing of the model. Accordingly, results of this study can expand the prior research in the Korean port industry, which may help port authorities improve risk management and reduce losses from the risk.

Questionnaire Survey on the Risk Perception in the Istanbul Strait

  • Aydogdu, Y. Volkan;Yurtoren, Cemil;Kum, Serdar;Park, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.34 no.7
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    • pp.517-523
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    • 2010
  • There are enormous challenges in the Istanbul Strait- one of the most important, congested and narrow waterways in the world - from the view point of risk determination and risk mitigation for the local traffic. Previously several traffic parameters such as; traffic volume for local vessels, traffic flow and potential encounters of local traffic, in addition to the possibility of collision, were investigated in order to determine the degree of dangers in the southern entrance of the Istanbul Strait. Furthermore, risky zones were also determined in this waterway. On the basis of the results of those, a group of expert was surveyed. These experts were pilots, Vessel Traffic Services Operators (VTS-O), Local Traffic Vessel Captains and Master Mariners who had several experience of navigation through the Istanbul Strait. In order to assess experts perceptions of danger and to propose further studies based on this survey. The questionnaire was analyzed by using SPSS (Statistical Package for the Social Sciences) program version 13.0. Finally, some differences and/or shares on risk perceptions of expert in the Istanbul Strait are considered.

A Study on the Risk Evaluation in Two Dimensions at Sea with Even Risk Contour (등위험곡선을 이용한 해상의 2차원 위험도 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 공성호;이은방
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 1998.10b
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 1998
  • In the decision of a collision avoidance action for navigators and intellignet ships, it is necessary to evaluate the degree of surrounding risks effectively. We propose the new risk evaluation technique in two dimensions using Even Risk Contour on the basis of the concept of contour line. In this paper, we introduce the algorithms ofERC and Approach Velocity(AV) and show their application for avoiding traffic collision at sea.

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A Study on the Method of Estimating the Baseline Risk Level of Multiple Obstacles situation Avoidance Based on COLREG for each Obstacles (다중 장애물 상황에서 COLREG를 바탕으로 장애물 회피의 기초 위험도 산정 방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Dae-Hui
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.195-196
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    • 2019
  • Studied for multiple obstacle avoidance algorithm based on COLREG for autonomous navigation vessel's safety navigation. By used VECTOR value of external obstacle provided by RADAR, CPA and TCPA of each obstacle are analyzed, and the obstacle is classified based on the value, the risk level is calculated considering multiple obstacle avoidance situations, and the avoidance action is applied to secure minimum safety situation.

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