• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2016년도 학술발표회
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• pp.189-189
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• 2016

To generate information that contributes to climate change risk management, it is important to perform a precise assessment on the impact in diverse aspects. Considering this academic necessity, Japanese government launched continuous research project for the climate change impact assessment, and one of the representative project is Program for Risk Information on Climate Change (Sousei Program), Theme D; Precise Impact Assessment on Climate Change (FY2012 ~ FY2016). In this research program, quantitative impact assessments have been doing from a variety of perspectives including natural hazards, water resources, and ecosystems and biodiversity. Especially for the natural hazards aspect, a comprehensive impact assessment has been carried out with the worst-case scenario of typhoons, which cause the most serious weather-related damage in Japan, concerning the frequency and scale of the typhoons as well as accompanying disasters by heavy rainfall, strong winds, high tides, high waves, and landslides. In this presentation, a framework of comprehensive impact assessment with the worst-case scenario under the climate change condition is introduced based on a case study of Theme D in Sousei program There are approx. 25 typhoons annually and around 10 of those approach or make landfall in Japan. The number of typhoons may not change increase in the future, but it is known that a small alteration in the path of a typhoon can have an extremely large impact on the amount of rain and wind Japan receives, and as a result, cause immense damage. Specifically, it is important to assess the impact of a complex disaster including precipitation, strong winds, river overflows, and high tide inundation, simulating how different the damage of Isewan Typhoon (T5915) in 1959 would have been if the typhoon had taken a different path, or how powerful or how much damage it would cause if Isewan Typhoon occurs again in the future when the sea surface water temperature has risen due to climate changes (Pseudo global warming experiment). The research group also predict and assess how the frequency of "100-years return period" disasters and worst-case damage will change in the coming century. As a final goal in this research activity, the natural disaster impact assessment will extend not only Japan but also major rivers in Southeast Asia, with a special focus on floods and inundations.

• 한국지역지리학회지
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.340-351
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• 2013

기후변화로 인한 자연재해의 증가에 관한 정부간 협의체를 중심으로 국제적인 기후변화 예측에 대한 연구 및 자연재해 저감에 관한 논의들이 활발하게 이루어지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 의해 자연재해가 더욱 심화됨에 따라 재해에 취약하게 노출되어 있는 방글라데시를 사례지역으로 재해의 유형을 파악하고, 우리나라의 재해저감 기술과 방재관련 기법 등을 응용하여 국제원조의 지원 방안을 모색하였다. 방글라데시는 국토의 1/3이 해수면보다 낮기 때문에 배수가 어려우며, 조수 파동과 해수 침투, 사이클론의 위험이 복합적으로 나타나는 지리적인 특성을 지니고 기후변화로 인한 자연재해의 피해가 매년 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 특히 피해가 집중되는 해안지역은 해수면상승의 위협과 3년 주기로 심각한 사이클론의 피해가 일어나며, 상대적으로 빈곤한 사람들이 거주하는 지역으로 인명피해가 크게 일어나는 지역으로써, 재난의 피해를 저감하기 위해 국제적 원조를 필요로 하고 있다. 우리나라의 선진화된 기술과 자연재해저감 기법을 지원함으로써 개도국의 자연재난에 의한 피해를 감소시키는 데 일조를 하는 것은 국제사회에서 협력 구도를 정립하는 데 중요한 역할을 할 것이다.

• 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한원격탐사학회 2007년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2007
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• pp.426-429
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• 2007

One of the widely used applications of remote sensing studies is environmental change detection and biodiversity conservation. The study area Hustai Mountain is situated in the transition zone between the Siberian taiga forest and Central Mongolian arid steppe. Hustai National Park carries out one of several reintroduction programs of takhi (wild horse or Equus ferus przewalskii) from various zoos in the world and it represents one of a few textbook examples of successful reintroduction of an animal extinct in the wild. In this paper we describe the results of an analysis on the change of remaining forest area over the 7-year period since Hustai Mountain was designated as a protected area for reintroduction to wild horses. Today the forested area covers approximately 5% of the Hustai National Park, mostly the north-facing slopes above 1400 m altitude. Birch (Betula platyphylla) and aspen (Populus tremula) trees are predominant in the forest. We used Landsat ETM+ images from two different years and multi temporal MODIS NDVI data. Land types were determined by supervised classification methods (Maximum Likelihood algorithm) verified with ground-truthing data and the Land Change Modeler (LCM) which was developed by Clark Labs. Forested area was classified into three different land types, namely the forest land, mountain meadow and mountain steppe. The study results illustrate that the remaining birch forest has rapidly changed to fragmented forest land and to open areas. Underlying causes for such a rapid change during the 15-year period may be manifold. However, the responsible factors appear to be the drying off and outbreak of forest pest species (such as gypsy moth or Lymantria dispar) in the area.

• Environmental Engineering Research
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.175-183
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• 2011

The climate of the $21^{st}$ century is likely to be significantly different from that of the 20th century because of human-induced climate change. An extreme weather event is defined as a climate phenomenon that has not been observed for the past 30 years and that may have occurred by climate change and climate variability. The abnormal climate change can induce natural disasters such as floods, droughts, typhoons, heavy snow, etc. How will the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events be affected by the global warming change in the $21^{st}$ century? This could be a quite interesting matter of concern to the hydrologists who will forecast the extreme weather events for preventing future natural disasters. In this study, we establish the extreme indices and analyze the trend of extreme weather events using extreme indices estimated from the observed data of 66 stations controlled by the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in Korea. These analyses showed that spatially coherent and statistically significant changes in the extreme events of temperature and rainfall have occurred. Under the global climate change, Korea, unlike in the past, is now being affected by extreme weather events such as heavy rain and abnormal temperatures in addition to changes in climate phenomena.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제27권4호
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• pp.497-507
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• 2005

This paper presents a method for obtaining mosaic aerial photographs that are useful for a long-term shoreline change study in the Nakdong estuary. Although this method involves digital photogrammetry software of the shelf its usage can be simplified to accomodate the shoreline change study. Ground control points, which are common in aerial photographs, were measured from digital maps. Block triangulation was highly affected by land-based GCPs. Extension of tie points near the shoreline to vertical control points gave more reliable results for the block triangulation. A constant Digital Elevation Model (DEM), close to mean sea level, was employed to produce ortho-rectified photographs, from which mosaic photographs were made. Accuracy of photographs were found to be acceptable for the analysis of long-term shoreline change, and the promising construction of a shoreline change database in the Nakdong estuary.

• 한국공간구조학회논문집
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.83-90
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• 2009

기존에 공간구조물의 동적거동에 관한 대부분의 연구는 수치해석적 방법을 이용하여 지붕구조의 동적거동 파악을 위주로 하고있다. 그러나 실제 공간구조물의 지붕구조는 기둥 또는 벽체와 같은 하부구조에 의해 지지되므로 지진발생시 상부구조의 동적거동은 하부구조에 따라서 많은 영향을 받는다. 본 연구에서 아치구조물에 대한 하부 기둥구조의 재질을 황동과 폴리카보네이트로 하고 각각의 단면 및 길이 변화와 상부 지붕구조의 추가질량에 따른 고유주기 변화특성을 파악하고자 한다. 기둥의 강성 및 추가질량의 변화에 대하여 고유주기의 변화율이 상대적으로 크게 나타났다. 즉 하부 기둥구조의 강성이 상부 지붕구조의 강성과 비교하여 매우 큰 경우에 기둥구조의 강성변화나 지붕구조의 질량변화에 따른 공간구조물의 고유진동수 변화가 거의 없다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.471-494
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• 2016

본 연구는 1996년부터 2013년의 경제성장률의 변동성 데이터를 이용하여 아프리카 28개국의 경제적 안정성에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석한 것이다. 28개 아프리카 국가의 1996년 부터 2013년의 연도별 자료를 3년씩 따로 분류하여 총 6개의 시계열 자료를 구축하고 이를 토대로 패널 분석을 수행하였다. 송금 및 농업원조와 경제성장률의 변동성 간의 내생성 문제를 해결하기 위하여 system-GMM (system-Generalized Method of Moments)을 이용하였다. 분석결과 기후변화를 대표하는 요인 중 자연재해와 온도의 변동성만이 경제 안정성을 악화시키는 요인으로 나타났다. 반면 송금과 농업원조자금은 아프리카 국가들의 경제를 안정시키는 효과를 보이며, 특히 송금의 경우 자연재해 발생에 따른 경제 변동성을 감소시키는 보험의 역할을 하는 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국환경복원기술학회지
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.114-123
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• 2010

The Environmental Conservation Value Assessment Map (ECVAM) is a five grade assessment map created with nationally integrated environmental information and environmental values. The map is made through the evaluation of 67 items, including greenbelt area and bio-diversity. The ECVAM assesses the stability of the community using forest maps. However, the existing assessment method is problematic because the assessment grades are evaluated using higher than practical values; in part because it uses even-valued overlay and minimal indicator methods. This study was performed in order to suggest an integrated assessment method that could complement the stability evaluation based on existing methods. Accordingly, this study added forest type information, including whether the forest was natural or artificial, to the overlay method using forest diameter maps and forest density maps. As a result, the proposed ECVAM indicated a drastic grade change. After applying the method in South Korea, Grade I areas decreased 12.1%, from 52.6% to 40.6%, Grade II areas increased 11.9%, from 17.4% to 29.2%, and Grade III areas increased 0.2%, from 17.1% to 17.4%, respectively. From the results of the field survey, we found differences between natural forest and planted forest with regard to the number of mortality, species of shrubs, and vine cover. This means that natural forests are more stable than planted forests. This study suggests an improved assessment methodology to complement the existing EVCAM method. The results are expected to be used in environmental evaluations and forest conservation value assessments in ecology and environmental fields.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 제어로봇시스템학회 2002년도 ICCAS
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• pp.32.6-32
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• 2002

The damage localization of the structural system using the natural frequency measurement only is proposed. The existing methods use the changes of mode shape, strain mode shape or curvature mode shape before and after the damage occurrence as these shapes carry the geometric information of the structure. Basically, the change of natural frequencies of the structure can be used as the indicator of the damage occurrence but not as the indicator of the damage location as the natural frequency changes does not carry the geometric information of the structure. In this research, the feedback scope method that measures the natural frequency changes of the structure with and without the feedback Ioo...

• 한국생명과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국생명과학회 2000년도 제29회 국제학술심포지움 및 추계학술대회
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• pp.55-55
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• 2000