• Title/Summary/Keyword: NOAA NCEP

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Current and Future Changes in Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent and Their Potential Linkages with Atmospheric Circulation (현재와 미래의 북반구 눈피복 변화와 대기순환과의 잠재적인 상관성)

  • Choi, Gwang-Yong;Kim, Jun-Su;Robinson, David A.
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2008.05a
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    • pp.294-298
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    • 2008
  • Snow cover is a potential water resource for later spring and summer seasons as well as a thermal mirror with high reflectivity causing decreases of surface air temperature during cold winter seasons. In this study, current and future changes in Northern Hemisphere snow extent and their potential linkages with atmospheric circulation are examined. The NOAA AVHRR visible snow extent (1967-2006) data as well as observational (NCEP-DOE 1979-2006) and modeled (GFDL 2.1 2081-2100) pressure and surface air temperature data are used. Analyses of observational data demonstrate that the snow extent in meteorological spring (March to April) and summer (June to August) has significantly decreased since the late 1980s. The offset of snow seasons (the timing of snow melt in spring) have also significantly advanced particularly in Europe, East Asia, and northwestern North America. Analyses of pressure fields reveal that the spatial patterns of the earlier snow melt are associated with changes in atmospheric circulation such as the Arctic Oscillation (AO). In the positive winter AO years, multiple positive pressure departure cores in the upper troposphere (200hPa) are observed over the mid-latitude regions from March to mid-April, while a negative pressure departure core (70hPa) prevails over the Arctic Ocean. The reversed anomaly patterns related to later snow melt occur in negative winter AO years. The comparison between current and future thermal spring onsets suggest that snow melt patterns will intensify with larger greenhouse gas emissions, indicating earlier hydrological spring onset.

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Technical Reviews on Ecosystem Modeling Approach and its Applicability in Ecosystem-Based Coastal Management in Saemangeum Offshore and Geum River Estuary (생태계기반 연안관리를 위한 생태모델 개발방향에 대한 기술적 검토 - 새만금 외해역 및 금강 하구역 사례)

  • Kim, Hae-Cheol;Kim, Yong Hoon;Chang, Won-Keun;Ryu, Jongseong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.233-244
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    • 2015
  • Marine ecosystem modelling has become a more widely used decision-making tool in coastal ecosystem-based management. However, it is not trivial to develop a well calibrated/validated model with potential applicability and practicality because understanding ecological processes with complexities is a pre-requisite for developing robust ecosystem models and this accompanies a great deal of well coordinated efforts among field-going ecologists, laboratory scientists, modelers, stake-holders and managers. This report aims to provide a brief introduction on two different approaches in marine ecological models: deterministic (mechanistic) and stochastic (statistical) approach. We also included definitions, historical overview of past researches, case studies, and contextual suggestions for coastal management in Korea. A long list of references this report included in this study might be used as an introductory material for those who wish to enter ecosystem modelling field.