• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.297-309
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• 2024

This paper evaluates the performance of the neural network autoregressive model combined with an exponential smoothing model, called the NNARX+ETS model. The combined model utilizes the components of ETS as exogenous variables for NNARX, to forecast time series data using artificial neural networks. The main idea is to enhance the performance of NNAR using only lags of the original time series data, by combining traditional time series analysis methods with the neural networks through NNARX. We employ two real data for performance evaluation and compare the NNARX+ETS with NNAR and traditional time series analysis methods such as ETS and ARIMA (autoregressive integrated moving average) models.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 1999.11a
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• pp.732-735
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• 1999

A GA-based optimization technique is adopted in the paper to obtain optimal future control inputs for predictive control systems. For reliable future predictions of a process, we identify the underlying process with an NNARX model structure and investigate to reduce the volume of neural network based on the Lipschitz index and a criterion. Since most industrial processes are subject to their constraints, we deal with the input-output constraints by modifying some genetic operators and/or using a penalty strategy in the GAPC. Some computer simulations are given to show the effectiveness of the GAPC method compared with the adaptive GPC algorithm.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.50 no.1
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• pp.105-119
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• 2014

This study presents a steel container crane movement analysis and assessment based on structural health monitoring (SHM). The accelerometers are used to monitor the dynamic crane behavior and a 3-D finite element model (FEM) was designed to express the static displacement of the crane under the different load cases. The multi-input single-output nonlinear autoregressive neural network with external input (NNARX) model is used to identify the crane dynamic displacements. The FEM analysis and the identification model are used to investigate the safety and the vibration state of the crane in both time and frequency domains. Moreover, the SHM system is used based on the FEM analysis to assess the crane behavior. The analysis results indicate that: (1) the mean relative dynamic displacement can reveal the relative static movement of structures under environmental load; (2) the environmental load conditions clearly affect the crane deformations in different load cases; (3) the crane deformations are shown within the safe limits under different loads.