• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multinomial logit discriminant analysis

Search Result 3, Processing Time 0.02 seconds

A Study on Choice Behavior of Theme Park Visitors - Application of Nested Logit Model - (주제공원 이용자들의 선택행동 추정에 관한 연구 -Nested Logit Model의 적용)

  • 홍성권
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.96-111
    • /
    • 1997
  • This study was carried out to identify users' choice behavior of theme parks. overland. Lotte World, Seoul Land, Dreamland and Children's Grand Park were selected as study areas. Both multinomial logic model(MNL), nested logic model(NMNL) and joint logit model wet$.$e test using a choice-based sample collected on study areas. Hausman-McFadden test showed that the MNL is not appropriate because the IIA assumption is violated. To avoid the problematic IIA assumption, the NMNL was tested. It splits similar alternatives into groups and nests separate decisions into hierarchical order to avoid the IIA assumption. Cluster analysis and discriminant analysis were conducted to find applicable nest structures. The inclusive value coefficient was 0.7788. It meant that sufficient condition of this model is met and users' choice behavior can be better understood by NMNL than MNL. The $\rho$2 value and accuracy of prediction of this model were 0.402 and 46.33% , respectively. Several comments were suggested to make the NMNL to be more reliable for future research on users' choice behavior of theme park.

  • PDF

A Study for the Development of Motion Picture Box-office Prediction Model (영화 흥행 결정 요인과 흥행 성과 예측 연구)

  • Kim, Yon-Hyong;Hong, Jeong-Han
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.18 no.6
    • /
    • pp.859-869
    • /
    • 2011
  • Interest has increased in academic research regarding key factors that drive box-office success as well as the ability to predict the box-office success of a movie from a commercial perspective. This study analyzed the relationship between key success factors of a movie and box office records based on movies released in 2010 in Korea. At the pre-production investment decision-making stage, the movie genre, motion picture rating, director power, and actor power were statistically significant. At the stage of distribution decision-making process after movie production, among other factors, the influence of star actors, number of screens, power of distributors, and social media turned out to be statistically significant. We verified movie success factors through the application of a Multinomial Logit Model that used the concept of choice probabilities. The Multinomial Logit Model resulted in a higher level of accuracy in predicting box-office success compared to the Artificial Neural Network and Discriminant Analysis.

A Study about the Effects of Intellectual Property Investment and Management on the Value of Intangible Assets of Firms (지식재산 투자와 관리가 기업의 무형자산가치에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Sung, Oong-Hyung;Jo, Kyeong-Seon
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.291-311
    • /
    • 2009
  • Intellectual Property(IP) investment and its management are an key driver to create corporate value and intangible asset value through corporate's competitiveness. The purposes of this study are to survey capability of IP management and assess the effects of IP investment and its management on the separation into groups of intangible asset value. In order to attain those purposes of this study, sample companies were taken and categorized into three groups by the level of intangible asset value ratio, and data for IP investment such as R&D expenditure and advertising expenditure were collected from 90 manufacturing companies, and data for IP management capability about patent, design and brand were taken through survey. The final results showed as followed: First, IP management capability were generally not sufficient in the results of survey. Second, mean vector for the four variables were significantly different among three groups in multivariate analysis variance. Third, the order of their contribution to separating the groups were R&D expenditure, advertising expenditure, patent management, management of design and brand in canonical variate analysis. Fourth, R&D and patent management capability were significantly related to the separation of three groups, while advertising expenditure were not significant and management of design and brand were not sure of Significance in multinomial logit discriminant analysis. Fifth, exploratory power of the discriminant model were estimated by 53% in classification analysis. Finally, strategic policy for IP investment and its management should be taken urgently to create intangible asset value and to improve the capability of its management.

  • PDF