• Title/Summary/Keyword: Multi-step prediction

검색결과 77건 처리시간 0.419초

Predictive Control for Linear Motor Conveyance Positioning System using DR-FNN

  • Lee, Jin-Woo;Sohn, Dong-Seop;Min, Jeong-Tak;Lee, Young-Jin;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2003년도 ISIS 2003
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    • pp.307-310
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    • 2003
  • In the maritime container terminal, LMTT(Linear Motor-based Transfer Technology) is horizontal transfer system for the yard automation, which has been proposed to take the place of AGV(Automated Guided Vehicle). The system is based on PMLSM (Permanent Magnetic Linear Synchronous Motor) that is consists of stator modules on the rail and shuttle car (mover). Because of large variant of mover's weight by loading and unloading containers, the difference of each characteristic of stator modules, and a stator module's trouble etc., LMCPS (Linear Motor Conveyance Positioning System) is considered as that the system is changed its model suddenly and variously. In this paper, we will introduce the soft-computing method of a multi-step prediction control for LMCPS using DR-FNN (Dynamically-constructed Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Network). The proposed control system is used two networks for multi-step prediction. Consequently, the system has an ability to adapt for external disturbance, cogging force, force ripple, and sudden changes of itself.

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DR-FNN을 이용한 LMTT Positioning System 제어 (LMTT Positioning System Control using DR-FNN)

  • 이진우;손동섭;민정탁;이권순
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2003년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.2206-2208
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    • 2003
  • LMTT(Linear Motor-based Transfer Technology) is horizontal transfer system in the maritime container terminal for the port automation. The system is modeled PMLSM(Permanent Magnetic Linear Synchronous Motor) that is consists of stator modules on the rail and shuttle car(mover). Because of large variant of movers weight by loading and unloading containers, the difference of each characteristic of stator modules, and a stator module's default etc., LMCS(Linear Motor Conveyance System) is considered as that the system is changed its model suddenly and variously. In this paper, we will introduce the soft-computing method of a multi-step prediction control for LMCS using DR-FNN(Dynamically Constructed Recurrent Fuzzy Neural Network). The proposed control system is used two networks for multi-step prediction. Consequently, the system has an ability to adapt for external disturbance, cogging force, force ripple, and sudden changes of itself.

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Multi-step wind speed forecasting synergistically using generalized S-transform and improved grey wolf optimizer

  • Ruwei Ma;Zhexuan Zhu;Chunxiang Li;Liyuan Cao
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제38권6호
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    • pp.461-475
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    • 2024
  • A reliable wind speed forecasting method is crucial for the applications in wind engineering. In this study, the generalized S-transform (GST) is innovatively applied for wind speed forecasting to uncover the time-frequency characteristics in the non-stationary wind speed data. The improved grey wolf optimizer (IGWO) is employed to optimize the adjustable parameters of GST to obtain the best time-frequency resolution. Then a hybrid method based on IGWO-optimized GST is proposed to validate the effectiveness and superiority for multi-step non-stationary wind speed forecasting. The historical wind speed is chosen as the first input feature, while the dynamic time-frequency characteristics obtained by IGWO-optimized GST are chosen as the second input feature. Comparative experiment with six competitors is conducted to demonstrate the best performance of the proposed method in terms of prediction accuracy and stability. The superiority of the GST compared to other time-frequency analysis methods is also discussed by another experiment. It can be concluded that the introduction of IGWO-optimized GST can deeply exploit the time-frequency characteristics and effectively improving the prediction accuracy.

신경회로망 예측 알고리즘을 적용한 TCP-Friednly 제어 방법 (A TCP-Friendly Control Method using Neural Network Prediction Algorithm)

  • 유성구;정길도
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.105-107
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    • 2006
  • As internet streaming data increase, transport protocol such as TCP, TGP-Friendly is important to study control transmission rate and share of Internet bandwidth. In this paper, we propose a TCP-Friendly protocol using Neural Network for media delivery over wired Internet which has various traffic size(PTFRC). PTFRC can effectively send streaming data when occur congestion and predict one-step ahead round trip time and packet loss rate. A multi-layer perceptron structure is used as the prediction model, and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm is used as a traning algorithm. The performance of the PTFRC was evaluated by the share of Bandwidth and packet loss rate with various protocols.

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다중경로 전송 채널 특성에 강건한 적응 MIMO-OFDM 시스템 (A Robust Adaptive MIMO-OFDM System Over Multipath Transmission Channels)

  • 김현동;최상호
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제32권7A호
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    • pp.762-769
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    • 2007
  • 적응 전송 MIMO(multiple input multiple output)-OFDM(orthogonal frequency division multiplexing) 시스템은 CSI(channel state information)의 되먹임을 이용하여 각 부반송파의 채널 상황에 따라 변조 방식을 다르게 전송하는 시스템이다. CSI 되먹임 채널인 상향링크 채널에는 송수신기 처리지연, 전송 지연, 프레임 지연 등 다중 지연 요소가 존재한다. 이러한 다중 지연요소로 인한 CSI 불일치는 채널 상황에 따라 적절한 변조 방식을 결정하는데 오류를 발생시키게 되어 시스템 성능을 떨어트린다. 본 논문에서는 적응 시스템에 내장되는 다중 지연 채널 예측 방식인 CTSBP(comb type samples based prediction)와 BTSBP(block type samples based prediction)에 대해 전송 지연 및 채널 신호 대 잡음비에 따른 MSE (mean square error), 데이터 율 등 성능을 비교한다. 이를 통하여 악조건 다중경로 채널환경에 강건한 적응 전송 SISO(single input single output)-OFDM/MIMO-OFDM을 설계한다. 또한 CSI 되먹임 오버헤드를 줄이기 위한 방안으로 선형보간 방법을 제안하고 선형 보간 간격에 따른 MSE를 도출한다.

결측 택시 Probe 통행속도 예측기법 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development of a Technique to Predict Missing Travel Speed Collected by Taxi Probe)

  • 윤병조
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제31권1D호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2011
  • 택시 프로브(Probe)를 이용한 구간통행속도 모니터링체계는 지능형교통체계(ITS)의 핵심적인 하부시스템 중 하나이다. 택시 프로브기법을 통해 수집되는 구간통행속도는 도시가로망의 교통상태 모니터링과 통행시간 정보제공에 널리 활용되고 있다. 그러나 택시 Probe기법은 표본수가 적고 교통혼잡으로 인하여 구간통행시간이 자료수집 주기보다 큰 경우, 실시간으로 자료가 수집되지 않는 누락상태가 발생하게 된다. 이러한 누락상태는 단일시간대에서 다중시간대에 걸쳐 발생하게 되며, 기존의 단일시간대 예측기법으로는 다중시간대의 상태를 예측하지 못하는 단점이 있다. 따라서 다중시간대 누락상태에서 실시간 구간통행속도를 예측하기위한 기법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 단일시간대 예측기법의 한계를 극복하면서 단일 및 다중시간대 통행속도를 예측하기위한 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형은 비모수회귀(NPR)을 기반으로 개발되었으며, 다중시간대 예측에도 불구하고 기존의 단일시간대 예측기법보다 우수한 정확도를 보였다.

유한요소 역 해석을 이용한 축대칭 다단계 박판성형에서의 공정변수 설계에 관한 연구 (Design of Porcess Parameters in Axisymmetric Multi-step Deep Drawing by a Finite Element Inverse Method)

  • 조천수;이충호;허훈
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제6권4호
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    • pp.300-310
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    • 1997
  • A finite element inverse method is introduced for direct prediction of blank shapes, strain distributions, and reliable intermediate shapes from desired final shapes in axisymmetric multi-step deep drawing processes. This mothod enables the determination of process disign. The approach deals with the Hencky's deformation theory. Hill's second order yield criterion, simplified boundary conditions, and minimization of plastic work with constraints. The algorithm developed is applied to motor case forming, and cylindrical cup drawing with the large limit drawing ratio so that it confirms its validity by demonstrating resonably accurate numerical results of each problem. Numerical examples reveal the reason of difficulties in motor case forming with corresponding limit diagrams.

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Two-dimensional attention-based multi-input LSTM for time series prediction

  • Kim, Eun Been;Park, Jung Hoon;Lee, Yung-Seop;Lim, Changwon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.39-57
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    • 2021
  • Time series prediction is an area of great interest to many people. Algorithms for time series prediction are widely used in many fields such as stock price, temperature, energy and weather forecast; in addtion, classical models as well as recurrent neural networks (RNNs) have been actively developed. After introducing the attention mechanism to neural network models, many new models with improved performance have been developed; in addition, models using attention twice have also recently been proposed, resulting in further performance improvements. In this paper, we consider time series prediction by introducing attention twice to an RNN model. The proposed model is a method that introduces H-attention and T-attention for output value and time step information to select useful information. We conduct experiments on stock price, temperature and energy data and confirm that the proposed model outperforms existing models.

Assessment of Wind Power Prediction Using Hybrid Method and Comparison with Different Models

  • Eissa, Mohammed;Yu, Jilai;Wang, Songyan;Liu, Peng
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.1089-1098
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    • 2018
  • This study aims at developing and applying a hybrid model to the wind power prediction (WPP). The hybrid model for a very-short-term WPP (VSTWPP) is achieved through analytical data, multiple linear regressions and least square methods (MLR&LS). The data used in our hybrid model are based on the historical records of wind power from an offshore region. In this model, the WPP is achieved in four steps: 1) transforming historical data into ratios; 2) predicting the wind power using the ratios; 3) predicting rectification ratios by the total wind power; 4) predicting the wind power using the proposed rectification method. The proposed method includes one-step and multi-step predictions. The WPP is tested by applying different models, such as the autoregressive moving average (ARMA), support vector machine (SVM), and artificial neural network (ANN). The results of all these models confirmed the validity of the proposed hybrid model in terms of error as well as its effectiveness. Furthermore, forecasting errors are compared to depict a highly variable WPP, and the correlations between the actual and predicted wind powers are shown. Simulations are carried out to definitely prove the feasibility and excellent performance of the proposed method for the VSTWPP versus that of the SVM, ANN and ARMA models.

차원축소모델을 활용한 시간에 따른 착빙 형상 예측 연구 (Temporal Prediction of Ice Accretion Using Reduced-order Modeling)

  • 강유업;이관중
    • 한국항공우주학회지
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    • 제50권3호
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2022
  • 항공기 및 철도차량 운용 중 발생하는 착빙 및 착설 현상은 공력 성능 감소와 주요 부품의 파손을 야기하기 때문에 시간에 따른 얼음 증식을 예측하는 것이 운용 안전 측면에서 매우 중요하다. 결빙수치해석은 실험적 방법에 비해 경제적으로 저렴하고 상사성 문제로부터 자유롭다는 점에서 결빙 형상을 예측하기 위한 수단으로 널리 사용되고 있다. 그러나 결빙수치해석은 착빙노출시간을 multi-step으로 나누어 매 단계별로 정상상태를 가정하는 준정상상태(quasi-steady) 가정을 이용한다. 이러한 방법은 효율적인 해석이 가능하지만 연속적인 결빙 형상을 얻지 못한다는 단점을 가지고 있다. 본 연구에서는 차원축소기법을 활용하여 결빙 형상 데이터를 보간함으로써 시간에 따른 결빙 형상을 연속적으로 예측할 수 있는 모델을 만드는 것을 목적으로 한다. 서로 다른 100개의 결빙 조건에서 형성된 결빙 데이터에 대하여 차원축소모델을 적용하였으며, 학습 데이터의 수와 결빙 조건이 차원축소모델의 예측 오차에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다.