• Title/Summary/Keyword: Monte Carlo Technique

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Reliability-Based Wind-Resistant Design Criteria of Transmission Towers (신뢰성에 기초한 송전철탑의 내풍설계기준)

  • Cho, Hyo Nam;Shin, Jae Chul;Lee, Seung Jae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.1043-1053
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    • 1994
  • This study suggests a practical but rational approach for the development of reliability-based LRFD criteria for transmission towers under wind and ice loadings in Korea. Based on available statistical data on wind speed and icing on transmission lines in Korea, the design wind and ice loads are obtained by Monte Carlo Simulations. In the study, the AFOSM reliability method and an Importance Sampling Technique are used for the element and system reliability evaluation of actual transmission towers. Based on the selected target reliabilities, a set of load and resistance factors for the LRFD criteria are calibrated using the AFOSM and the code optimization technique.

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Estimation of the Fundamental Matrix using a Non-linear Minimization Technique and Its Accuracy Analysis (비선형 최소화에 의한 F행렬 추정 및 정확도 분석)

  • Eom, Seong-Hun;Lee, Jong-Su
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SP
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.657-664
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    • 2001
  • It is possible to extract a 3D models from its multiple views using the self-calibration. Though it is possible to construct 3D models of objects from their multiple views, accuracy of 3D models depends on the fundamental matrix estimated between two views. In this paper, we show the fundamental matrix accuracy can be improved by taking a non-linear minimization technique. Furthermore, the corresponding points which are completely mismatches or have greater discrepancy errors in their locations, reduce the fundamental matrix accuracy. Thus, applying the Monte Carlo technique and the non-linear minimization Levenberg-Marquardt method to remove the outliers, we can estimate the fundamental matrix with the higher accuracy.

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Determination of Incentive Level of Direct Load Control using Monte Carlo Simulation with Variance Reduction Technique (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 직접부하제어의 제어지원금 산정)

  • Jeong Yun Won;Park Jong Bae;Shin Joong Rin;Chae Myung Suk
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.666-670
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new approach for determining an accurate incentive levels of Direct Load Control (DLC) program using sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) techniques. The economic analysis of DLC resources needs to identify the hourly-by-hourly expected energy-not-served resulting from the random outage characteristics of generators as well as to reflect the availability and duration of DLC resources, which results the computational explosion. Therefore, the conventional methods are based on the scenario approaches to reduce the computation time as well as to avoid the complexity of economic studies. In this paper, we have developed a new technique based on the sequential MCS to evaluate the required expected load control amount in each hour and to decide the incentive level satisfying the economic constraints. And also the proposed approach has been considered multi-state as well as two-state of the generating units. In addition, we have applied the variance reduction technique to enhance the efficiency of the simulation. To show the efficiency and effectiveness of the suggested method the numerical studies have been performed for the modified IEEE reliability test system.

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Preliminary study of artificial intelligence-based fuel-rod pattern analysis of low-quality tomographic image of fuel assembly

  • Seong, Saerom;Choi, Sehwan;Ahn, Jae Joon;Choi, Hyung-joo;Chung, Yong Hyun;You, Sei Hwan;Yeom, Yeon Soo;Choi, Hyun Joon;Min, Chul Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.3943-3948
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    • 2022
  • Single-photon emission computed tomography is one of the reliable pin-by-pin verification techniques for spent-fuel assemblies. One of the challenges with this technique is to increase the total fuel assembly verification speed while maintaining high verification accuracy. The aim of the present study, therefore, was to develop an artificial intelligence (AI) algorithm-based tomographic image analysis technique for partial-defect verification of fuel assemblies. With the Monte Carlo (MC) simulation technique, a tomographic image dataset consisting of 511 fuel-rod patterns of a 3 × 3 fuel assembly was generated, and with these images, the VGG16, GoogLeNet, and ResNet models were trained. According to an evaluation of these models for different training dataset sizes, the ResNet model showed 100% pattern estimation accuracy. And, based on the different tomographic image qualities, all of the models showed almost 100% pattern estimation accuracy, even for low-quality images with unrecognizable fuel patterns. This study verified that an AI model can be effectively employed for accurate and fast partial-defect verification of fuel assemblies.

Image Quality of a Rotating Compton Camera Evaluated by Using 4-D Monte Carlo Simulation Technique (4-D 전산모사 기법을 이용한 호전형 컴프턴 카메라의 영상 특성 평가)

  • Seo, Hee;Lee, Se-Hyung;Park, Jin-Hyung;Kim, Chan-Hyeong;Park, Sung-Ho;Lee, Ju-Hahn;Lee, Chun-Sik;Lee, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2009
  • A Compton camera, which is based on Compton kinematics, is a very promising gamma-ray imaging device in that it could overcome the limitations of the conventional gamma-ray imaging devices. In the present study, the image quality of a rotating Compton camera was evaluated by using 4-D Monte Carlo simulation technique and the applicability to nuclear industrial applications was examined. It was found that Compton images were significantly improved when the Compton camera rotates around a gamma-ray source. It was also found that the 3-D imaging capability of a Compton camera could enable us to accurately determine the 3-D location of radioactive contamination in a concrete wall for decommissioning purpose of nuclear facilities. The 4-D Monte Carlo simulation technique, which was applied to the Compton camera fields for the first time, could be also used to model the time-dependent geometry for various applications.

Reliability-Based Service Life Estimation of Concrete in Marine Environment (신뢰성이론에 기반한 해양환경 콘크리트의 내구수명 평가)

  • Kim, Ki-Hyun;Cha, Soo-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.595-603
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    • 2010
  • Monte-Carlo simulation technique is often used in order to predict service life of concrete structure subjected to chloride penetration in marine environment based on probability theory. Monte-Carlo simulation method, however, the method gives different results every time that the simulation is run. On the other hand, moment method, which is frequently used in reliability analysis, needs negligible computational cost compared with simulation technique and gives a constant result for the same problem. Thus, in this study, moment method was applied to the calculation of corrosion-initiation probability. For this purpose, computer programs to calculate failure probabilities are developed using first-order second moment (FOSM) and second-order second moment (SOSM) methods, respectively. From the analysis examples with the developed programs, SOSM was found to give a more accurate result than FOSM does. The sensitivity analysis has shown that the factor affecting the corrosion-initiation probability the most was the cover depth, and the corrosion-initiation probability was influenced more by its coefficient of variation than its mean value.

Tests for Equality of Dispersions in the Generalized Bivariate Negative Binomial Regression Model with Heterogeneous Dispersions (서로 다른 산포를 갖는 이변량 음이항 회귀모형에서 산포의 동일성에 대한 검정)

  • Han, Sang-Moon;Jung, Byoung-Cheol
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.219-227
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we proposed a generalized bivariate negative binomial distribution allowing heterogeneous dispersions on two dependent variables based on a trivariate reduction technique. In this model, we propose the score and LR tests for testing the equality of dispersions and compare the efficiencies of the proposed tests using a Monte Carlo study. The Monte Carlo study shows that the proposed score and LR tests prove to be an efficient test for the equality of dispersions in the view of the significance level and power. However, the score test is easier to compute than the LR test and it shows a slightly better performance than the LR test from the Monte Carlo study, we suggest the use of score tests for testing the equality of dispersions on two dependent variables. In addition, an empirical example is provided to illustrate the results.

Uncertainty Analysis of SWAT Model using Monte Carlo Technique and Ensemble Flow Simulations (몬테카를로 기법과 앙상블 유량모의 기법에 의한 SWAT 모형의 불확실성 분석)

  • Kim, Phil-Shik;Kim, Sun-Joo;Lee, Jae-Hyouk;Jee, Yong-Keun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2009
  • 수학적 모델은 수량과 수질의 예측을 위해 현장 조사의 대안으로 사용되어지며 이러한 모델의 사용과 실측에 불확실성이 존재하게 된다. 불확실성에 대한 많은 연구들이 진행되어 왔으나 시나리오에 의한 모델링 과정에서 발생하는 불확실성에 대한 연구는 미흡한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 산림이 농경지와 목초지로의 변화에 따른 시나리오를 설계한 후 시나리오 적용에 따른 SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool) 매개변수의 불확실성을 분석하고자 하였다. 몬테카를로 기법 (Monte Carlo simulation)을 이용하여 각 매개변수별 1,000개의 난수를 발생하였으며 앙상블 유량모의 기법을 이용하여 미국 Alabama주 카하바강 상류 (50,967ha)를 대상으로 각 난수별 100개의 유량을 통해 불확실성을 분석하였다. 분석 결과 산림지역이 농경지와 목초지로 변화 되었을 때 유출량이 증가하는 것으로 분석되었으며, 임야가 목초지 보다 농경지로 변화되었을 때 유출량은 더욱 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 각 시나리오별 SWAT 매개변수의 불확실성은 AWC (Available water capacity), CN (Curve number), GWREVAP (groundwater re-evaporation coeffeicient), REVAPMN (minimum depth of water in shallow aquifer for re-evaporation to occur)순으로 크게 나타났으며, Ksat (Saturated hydraulic conductivity)와 ESCO(Soil evaporation compensation factor)는 유출량의 변화에 큰 영향을 미치지 못하는 것으로 분석되었다. 토지피복별 산림 면적이 클 경우 불확실성이 크게 나타나 산림이 목초지와 농경지로 변함에 따라 불확실성은 감소하는 것으로 나타났다.

Feasibility Study of Gamma Ray Transmission Technique in Distillation Column Using Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테칼로 전산모사를 이용한 감마선 투과계측 증류탑 진단기술의 타당성 연구)

  • Moon, Jinho;Kim, Jongbum;Park, Jang Guen;Jung, Sung-Hee
    • Journal of Radiation Industry
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    • v.7 no.2_3
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    • pp.115-119
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    • 2013
  • The density profile measurement technology by gamma transmission has been widely used to diagnose processes in the field of refinery and petrochemical industry. This technology can reveal a clue and position of abnormal phenomenon of industrial processes during their operation. In this paper, the feasibility of the gamma transmission technology for detecting changes in the amount of fluid in a distillation column was evaluated by using Monte Carlo simulations. The simulations assumed that $^{60}Co$ (1.17, 1.33 MeV) sources and NaI (Tl) detectors (${\Phi}5{\times}5cm$) are located in opposite sides of a column and it concurrently moves in vertical direction. To determine the dependency of a spatial resolution on aperture size of a collimator, the simulation model for a tray in a column were simulated with the aperture sizes of 1 and 2 cm. The thickness of the high density area including a tray and fluid was 7.6 cm in the simulation. The spatial resolution of the tray was 8.2 and 8.5 cm, respectively. As a result, it was revealed that the conventional density profile measurement technique is not able to show the deviation of liquid level on a tray in a column.

Numerical Simulation of Radar Backscattering from Oil Spills on Sea Surface for L-band SAR (기름이 유출된 바다 표면의 L-밴드 전파 산란에 대한 수치해석적 연구)

  • Park, Seong-Min;Yang, Chan-Su;Oh, Yi-Sok
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.21-27
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    • 2010
  • This paper presents a numerical simulation of the radar backscattering from oil spills on ocean surface. At first, a one-dimensionally rough sea surface is numerically generated for a given wind speed at HEBEI SPIRIT accident. Then, an oil-spilled sea surface is represented with a two-layered medium, which is generated by adding a thin low-dielectric oil layer on the randomly-rough highdielectric sea surface. The backscattering coefficients of various oil-spilled sea surfaces are obtained using the Method of Moments and Monte Carlo technique for various surface roughness, oil-layer thicknesses, frequencies, polarizations and incidence angles. The numerical method is verified with theoretical models for simple structures. The reduction of the backscattering coefficients due to the lowdielectric oil-layers on sea surfaces has been analyzed. These numerical results will help to detect any oil spills on sea surfaces, and consequently, to classify SAR images.