• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model-parameter estimation

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Identification of ARMAX Model and Linear Estimation Algorithm for Structural Dynamic Characteristics Analysis (구조동특성해석을 위한 ARMAX 모형의 식별과 선형추정 알고리즘)

  • Choe, Eui-Jung;Lee, Sang-Jo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.16 no.7
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    • pp.178-187
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    • 1999
  • In order to identify a transfer function model with noise, penalty function method has been widely used. In this method, estimation process for possible model parameters from low to higher order proceeds the model identification process. In this study, based on linear estimation method, a new approach unifying the estimation and the identification of ARMAX model is proposed. For the parameter estimation of a transfer function model with noise, linear estimation method by noise separation is suggested instead of nonlinear estimation method. The feasibility of the proposed model identification and estimation method is verified through simulations, namely by applying the method to time series model. In the case of time series model with noise, the proposed method successfully identifies the transfer function model with noise without going through model parameter identification process in advance. A new algorithm effectively achieving model identification and parameter estimation in unified frame has been proposed. This approach is different from the conventional method used for identification of ARMAX model which needs separate parameter estimation and model identification processes. The consistency and the accuracy of the proposed method has been verified through simulations.

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The Parameter Estimation of DC-DC Converter by System Identification Method (시스템 식별 기법을 이용한 DC-DC 컨버터 파라메터 추정)

  • Jeon, Jin-Hong;Kim, Tae-Jin;Kim, Kwang-Su;Kim, Kwang-Hwa
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2003.11c
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    • pp.503-506
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we present the results of parameter estimation for do-dc converter model by system identification. The parameter estimation for dc-dc converter aims at the diagnosis of its operating status. we applied the system identification method for parameter estimation. For verification of estimated parameter, we compare bode plot of estimated system transfer function and measurement results of HP4194 instrument.

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Parameter Estimation of the Diffusion Model for Demand Side Management Monitoring System (DSM 모니터링을 위한 확산 모형의 계수 추정)

  • Kim, Jin-O;Choi, Cheong-Hun;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Lee, Chang-Ho;Kim, Chang-Seob
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.1183-1189
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents the method of parameter estimation of diffusion model for monitoring Demand-Side Management program. Bass diffusion model was applied in this paper, which has different values according to the following parameters; coefficients of innovation, imitation and potential adopters. Though it is very important to estimate three parameters precisely, there has been no empirical way in practice. Thus, this paper presents the method of parameter estimation in case of few data with constraints to reduce the possibility of bad estimation. The constraints can be empirical results or expert's decision. Case studies show the diffusion curves and forecasted values of the peak for the high-efficient lighting. The feedback and nonlinear least-square parameter estimation methods used in this paper enable us to evaluate the status and to predict the effect of DSM program.

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Parameter Estimation of the Storage Function Model: 1. Development of the Universal Model for the Parameter Estimation (저류함수법의 매개변수 추정: 1. 범용모형 개발)

  • Choi, Jong-Nam;Ahn, Won-Shik; Kim, Hung-Soo;Park, Min-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2010
  • The universal model for the parameter estimation of the Storage Function Model(SFM) was developed through the applications of the distributed model for various hypothetical watersheds and runoff conditions. The existing parameter estimation equations are based on observations and these equations which are derived from the restricted conditions are not sensitive to the variation of physical characteristics of a watershed. This study developed the universal model for the parameter estimation through the runoff simulations of 35,000 times. As the simulation results, we have known that the lag time is related to the longest stream channel characteristics and the storage coefficient is related to the watershed characteristics.

Real-Time Flood Forecasting Using Rainfall-Runoff Model(I) : Theory and Modeling (강우-유출모형을 이용한 실시간 홍수예측(I) : 이론과 모형화)

  • 정동국;이길성
    • Water for future
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 1994
  • Flood forecasting in Korea has been based on the off-line parameter estimation method. But recent flood forecasting studies explore on-line recursive parameter estimation algorithms. In this study, a simultaneous adaptive estimation of system states and parameters for rainfall-runoff model is investigated for on-line real-time flood forecasting and parameter estimation. The proposed flood routing system is composed of Flood forecasting in Korea has been based on the off-line parameter estimation method. But recent flood forecasting studies explore on-line recursive parameter estimation algorithms. In this study, a simultaneous adaptive estimation of system states and parameters for rainfall-runoff model is investigated for on-line real-time flood forecasting and parameter estimation. The proposed flood routing system is composed of ø-index in the assessment of effective rainfall and the cascade of nonlinear reservoirs accounting for translation effect in flood routing. To combine the flood routing model with a parameter estimation model, system states and parameters are treated with the extended state-space formulation. Generalized least squares and maximum a posterior estimation algorithms are comparatively examined as estimation techniques for the state-space model. The sensitivity analysis is to investigate the identifiability of the parameters. The index of sensitivity used in this study is the covariance matrix of the estimated parameters.-index in the assessment of effective rainfall and the cascade of nonlinear reservoirs accounting for translation effect in flood routing. To combine the flood routing model with a parameter estimation model, system states and parameters are treated with the extended state-space formulation. Generalized least squares and maximum a posterior estimation algorithms are comparatively examined as estimation techniques for the state-space model. The sensitivity analysis is to investigate the identifiability of the parameters. The index of sensitivity used in this study is the covariance matrix of the estimated parameters.

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On-line parameter estimation of continuous-time systems using a genetic algorithm (유전알고리즘을 이용한 연속시스템의 온라인 퍼래미터 추정)

  • Lee, Hyeon-Sik;Jin, Gang-Gyu
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.76-81
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents an on-line scheme for parameter estimation of continuous-time systems, based on the model adjustment technique and the genetic algorithm technique. To deal with the initialisation and unmeasurable signal problems in on-line parameter estimation of continuous-time systems, a discrete-time model is obtained for the linear differential equation model and approximations of unmeasurable states with the observable output and its time-delayed values are obtained for the nonlinear state space model. Noisy observations may affect these approximation processes and degrade the estimation performance. A digital prefilter is therefore incorporated to avoid direct approximations of system derivatives from possible noisy observations. The parameters of both the model and the designed filter are adjusted on-line by a genetic algorithm, A set of simulation works for linear and nonlinear systems is carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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On the Local Identifiability of Load Model Parameters in Measurement-based Approach

  • Choi, Byoung-Kon;Chiang, Hsiao-Dong
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.149-158
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    • 2009
  • It is important to derive reliable parameter values in the measurement-based load model development of electric power systems. However parameter estimation tasks, in practice, often face the parameter identifiability issue; whether or not the model parameters can be estimated with a given input-output data set in reliable manner. This paper introduces concepts and practical definitions of the local identifiability of model parameters. A posteriori local identifiability is defined in the sense of nonlinear least squares. As numerical examples, local identifiability of third-order induction motor (IM) model and a Z-induction motor (Z-IM) model is studied. It is shown that parameter ill-conditioning can significantly affect on reliable parameter estimation task. Numerical studies show that local identifiability can be quite sensitive to input data and a given local solution. Finally, several countermeasures are proposed to overcome ill-conditioning problem in measurement-based load modeling.

Parameter estimation of the Diffusion Model for Demand Side Management Monitoring System (DSM Monitoring을 위한 확산 모델의 계수 추정)

  • Choi, Cheong-Hun;Jeong, Hyun-Su;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07c
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    • pp.1073-1075
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the method of parameter estimation of diffusion model for monitoring Demand-Side Management Program. Bass diffusion model was applied in this paper, which has different values according to parameters ; coefficients of innovation, imitation and potential adopters. Though it is very important to estimate three parameter, there are no empirical results in practice. Thus, this paper presents the method of parameter estimation in case of few data with constraints to reduce the possibility of bad estimation. The constraints are empirical results or expert's decision. Case studies show the diffusion curves of high-efficient lighting and also forecasting of the peak value for power demand considering diffusion of high-efficient lighting, the feedback and least-square parameter estimation method used in this paper enable us to evaluate the status and forecasting of the effect of DSM program.

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On-line Parameter Estimator Based on Takagi-Sugeno Fuzzy Models

  • Park, Chang-Woo;Hyun, Chang-Ho;Park, Mignon
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.481-486
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, a new on-line parameter estimation methodology for the general continuous time Takagi-Sugeno(T-5) fuzzy model whose parameters are poorly known or uncertain is presented. An estimator with an appropriate adaptive law for updating the parameters is designed and analyzed based on the Lyapunov theory. The adaptive law is designed so that the estimation model follows the plant parameterized model. By the proposed estimator, the parameters of the T-S fuzzy model can be estimated by observing the behavior of the system and it can be a basis for the indirect adaptive fuzzy control. Based on the derived design method, the parameter estimation for controllable canonical T-S fuzzy model is also Presented.

Parameter Estimation by OE model of DC-DC Converter System for Operating Status Diagnosis

  • Jeon, Jin-Hong;Kim, Tae-Jin;Kim, Kwang-Su;Kim, Kwang-Hwa
    • KIEE International Transaction on Electrical Machinery and Energy Conversion Systems
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    • v.4B no.4
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    • pp.206-210
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    • 2004
  • This paper deals with a parameter estimation of the DC-DC converter system for its diagnosis. Especially, we present the results of parameter estimation for the DC-DC converter model by the system identification method. The parameter estimation for the DC-DC converter system aims at the diagnosis of its operating status. For the operating status diagnosis of the DC-DC converter system, we assume that the DC-DC converter system is an equivalent model of the Buck converter and estimate the main parameter for on-line diagnosis. In addition, for verification of an estimated parameter, we compare a bode plot of the estimated system transfer function and measurement results of the HP4194 instrument. It is a control system analyzer for system transfer function measurement. Our results confirm that the main parameter for diagnosis of the DC-DC converter system can be estimated by the system identification method and that the aging status of the system can be predicted by these results on operating status.