• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model-based parameter estimation

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A Study of New Modified Neyman-Scott Rectangular Pulse Model Development Using Direct Parameter Estimation (직접적인 매개변수 추정방법을 이용한 새로운 수정된 Neyman-Scott 구형펄스모형 개발 연구)

  • Shin, Ju-Young;Joo, Kyoung-Won;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2011
  • Direct parameter estimation method is verified with various models based on Neyman-Scott rectangular pulse model (NSRPM). Also, newly modified NSRPM (NMSRPM) that uses normal distribution is developed. Precipitation data observed by Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) for 47 years is applied for parameter estimation. For model performance verification, we used statistics, wet ratio and precipitation accumulate distribution of precipitation generated. The comparison of statistics indicates that absolute relative error (ARE)s of the results from NSRPM and modified NSRPM (MNSRPM) are increasing on July, August, and September and ARE of NMNSRPM shows 10.11% that is the smallest ARE among the three models. NMNSRPM simulates the characteristics of precipitation statistics well. By comparing the wet ratio, MNSRPM shows the smallest ARE that is 16.35% and by using the graphical analysis, we found that these three models underestimate the wet ratio. The three models show about 2% of ARE of precipitation accumulate probability. Those results show that the three models simulate precipitation accumulate probability well. As the results, it is found that the parameters of NSRPM, MNSRPM and NMNSRPM are able to be estimated by the direct parameter estimation method. From the results listed above, we concluded that the direct parameter estimation is able to be applied to various models based on NSRPM. NMNSRPM shows good performance compared with developed model-NSRPM and MNSRPM and the models based on NSRPM can be developed by the direct parameter estimation method.

A Dynamic Discount Approach to the Poisson Process

  • Shim, Joo-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 1997
  • A dynamic discount approach is proposed for the estimation of the Poisson parameter and the forecasting of the Poisson random variable, where the parameter of the Poisson distribution varies over time intervals. The recursive estimation procedure of the Poisson parameter is provided. Also the forecasted distribution of the Poisson random variable in the next time interval based on the information gathered until the current time interval is provided.

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Bayesian in-situ parameter estimation of metallic plates using piezoelectric transducers

  • Asadi, Sina;Shamshirsaz, Mahnaz;Vaghasloo, Younes A.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.735-751
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    • 2020
  • Identification of structure parameters is crucial in Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) context for activities such as model validation, damage assessment and signal processing of structure response. In this paper, guided waves generated by piezoelectric transducers are used for in-situ and non-destructive structural parameter estimation based on Bayesian approach. As Bayesian approach needs iterative process, which is computationally expensive, this paper proposes a method in which an analytical model is selected and developed in order to decrease computational time and complexity of modeling. An experimental set-up is implemented to estimate three target elastic and geometrical parameters: Young's modulus, Poisson ratio and thickness of aluminum and steel plates. Experimental and simulated data are combined in a Bayesian framework for parameter identification. A significant accuracy is achieved regarding estimation of target parameters with maximum error of 8, 11 and 17 percent respectively. Moreover, the limitation of analytical model concerning boundary reflections is addressed and managed experimentally. Pulse excitation is selected as it can excite the structure in a wide frequency range contrary to conventional tone burst excitation. The results show that the proposed non-destructive method can be used in service for estimation of material and geometrical properties of structure in industrial applications.

Parameter Estimation of Solar Cell Using a Genetic Algorithm (유전알고리즘을 이용한 태양전지의 매개변수 추정)

  • Son, Yung-Deug;Jin, Gang-Gyoo
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2002.11d
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    • pp.313-316
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we present an online scheme for parameter estimation of solar cell, based on the model adjustment technique and a genetic algorithm. The ideal diode model and the diode model with series and shunt resistor are used to estimate their parameters. Simulation works using field data in the form of a VI characteristic curve are carried out to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

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Kalman-Filter Based Static Load Modeling of Real Power System Using K-EMS Data

  • Lee, Soo-Hyoung;Son, Seo-Eun;Lee, Sung-Moo;Cho, Jong-Man;Song, Kyung-Bin;Park, Jung-Wook
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.304-311
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    • 2012
  • So far, the importance for an accurate load model has been constantly raised and its necessity would be further more emphasized. Currently used load model for analysis of power system in Korea was developed 10 years ago, which is aggregated by applying the statistically estimated load compositions to load models based on individual appliances. As modern appliances have diversified and rapidly changed, the existing load model is no longer compatible with current loads in the Korean power system. Therefore, a measurement based load model is more suitable for modern power system analysis because it can accurately include the load characteristics by directly measuring target load. This paper proposes a ZIP model employing a Kalman-filter as the estimation algorithm for the model parameters. The Kamlan-filter based parameter identification offers an advantage of fast parameter determination by removing iterative calculation. To verify the proposed load model, the four-second-interval real data from the Korea Energy Management System (K-EMS) is used.

Comparative Study on Proposed Simulation Based Optimization Methods for Dynamic Load Model Parameter Estimation (동적 부하모델 파라미터 추정을 위한 시뮬레이션 기반 최적화 기법 비교 연구)

  • Del Castillo, Manuelito Jr.;Song, Hwa-Chang;Lee, Byong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2011.07a
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    • pp.187-188
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes the hybrid Complex-PSO algorithm based on the complex search method and particle swarm optimization (PSO) for unconstrained optimization. This hybridization intends to produce faster and more accurate convergence to the optimum value. These hybrid will concentrate on determining the dynamic load model parameters, the ZIP model and induction motor model parameters. Measurement-based parameter estimation, which employs measurement data to derive load model parameters, is used. The theoretical foundation of the measurement-based approach is system identification. The main objective of this paper is to demonstrate how the standard particle swarm optimization and complex method can be improved through hybridization of the two methods and the results will be compared with that of their original forms.

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An Average-Weighted Angle of Arrival Parameter Estimation Technique for Wireless Positioning based on IEEE 802.15.3a (IEEE 802.15.3a 기반의 무선 위치인식을 위한 평균가중 신호 도착방향 매개변수 추정 기법)

  • Baang, Sung-Keun;Lee, Yong-Up
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.5C
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    • pp.472-478
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    • 2010
  • In the environment of wireless communication system of IEEE 802.15.3a UWB standard, the angle of arrival(AOA) estimation technique for the indoor wireless positioning algorithms, based on the AOA parameter estimation which fits well for the wireless communication channel and shows high estimation accuracy, is proposed. After the UWB signal model, based on the IEEE 802.1.3a standard, is constructed, the average weighted MUSIC technique is proposed, which shows better estimation accuracy than those of conventional estimation technique. Through the simulation studies, the environment of the indoor wireless positioning system including the IEEE 802.15.3a channel is configured and we demonstrate better estimation results by the proposed AOA estimation technique than those from the conventional method.

An Indirect Model Reference Adaptive Fuzzy Control for SISO Takagi-Sugeno Model

  • Cho, Young-Wan;Park, Chang-Woo;Lee, Ki-Chul;Park, Mignon
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.32-42
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, a parameter estimator is developed for the plant model whose structure is represented by the Takagi-Sugeno model. The essential idea behind the on-line estimation is the comparison of the measured stated with the state of an estimation model whose structure is the same as that of the parameterized model. Based on the parameter estimation scheme, and indirect Model Reference Adaptive Fuzzy control(MRAFC) scheme is proposed to provide asymptotic tracking of a reference signal for the systems with uncertain for slowly time-varying parameters. The developed control law and adaptive law guarantee the boundedness of all signals in the closed-loop systems. In addition, the plant state tracks the state of the reference model asymptotically with time for any bounded reference input signal.

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A Study on the Vehicle Dynamics and Road Slope Estimation (차량동특성 및 도로경사도 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Moon-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.575-582
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    • 2019
  • Advanced driving assist system can support safety of driver and passengers which may require vehicle dynamics states as well as road geometry. It is essential to have in real-time estimation of related variables and parameters. Among the road geometry parameters, road slope angle which can not be measured is essential parameter in pose estimation, adaptive cruise control and others on sag road. In this paper, Kalman filter based method for the estimation of the vehicle dynamics and road slope angle using a nonlinear vehicle model is proposed. It uses a combination of Kalman filter as Cascade Extended Kalman Filter. CEKF uses measured vehicle states such as yaw rate, longitudinal/lateral acceleration and velocity. Unknown vehicle parameters such as center of gravity and inertia are obtained by 2 D.O.F lateral model and experimentally. Simulation and Experimental tests conducted with commercialized vehicle dynamics model and real-car.

Decision Tree State Tying Modeling Using Parameter Estimation of Bayesian Method (Bayesian 기법의 모수 추정을 이용한 결정트리 상태 공유 모델링)

  • Oh, SangYeob
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2015
  • Recognition model is not defined when you configure a model, Been added to the model after model building awareness, Model a model of the clustering due to lack of recognition models are generated by modeling is causes the degradation of the recognition rate. In order to improve decision tree state tying modeling using parameter estimation of Bayesian method. The parameter estimation method is proposed Bayesian method to navigate through the model from the results of the decision tree based on the tying state according to the maximum probability method to determine the recognition model. According to our experiments on the simulation data generated by adding noise to clean speech, the proposed clustering method error rate reduction of 1.29% compared with baseline model, which is slightly better performance than the existing approach.