• Title/Summary/Keyword: Model validation

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Playfulness, Usefulness and Social Influence in Using Information Technology: Focus on Using Minihompy (정보기술 사용에서의 놀이성, 유용성 그리고 사회적 영향: 미니홈피 사용을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Woong-Kyu;Lee, Seung-Hun
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.91-109
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    • 2005
  • According to traditional theories of information systems, one of the reasons for using information technology is that users believe it to be helpful or useful for what they want to do, which is called extrinsic motivation. However, in addition to extrinsic motivation, there are other reasons for using it such as enjoying or playing with information technology itself, called intrinsic motivation, and just others around users, called social influence. The objective of this study is to provide a research model for using information technology considering intrinsic and extrinsic motivation, and social influence. For validation of this model, we survey the users of 'Minihompy' since it is one of the most popular blog services in Korea and there are relatively clear extrinsic and intrinsic motivation, and social influence respectively in using it. By analysing 549 valid samples by Partial Least Square(PLS), we show the suggested research model to be a valid one. That is, all hypotheses we suggested turn out to be statistically significant and $R^2$ of the dependent variable, the intention of use, explaining by the model to be higher than 40%. In addition to validation of the research model, it is found that intrinsic motivation may be more important than extrinsic motivation and social influence in using information technology.

Recovery the Missing Streamflow Data on River Basin Based on the Deep Neural Network Model

  • Le, Xuan-Hien;Lee, Giha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.156-156
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    • 2019
  • In this study, a gated recurrent unit (GRU) network is constructed based on a deep neural network (DNN) with the aim of restoring the missing daily flow data in river basins. Lai Chau hydrological station is located upstream of the Da river basin (Vietnam) is selected as the target station for this study. Input data of the model are data on observed daily flow for 24 years from 1961 to 1984 (before Hoa Binh dam was built) at 5 hydrological stations, in which 4 gauge stations in the basin downstream and restoring - target station (Lai Chau). The total available data is divided into sections for different purposes. The data set of 23 years (1961-1983) was employed for training and validation purposes, with corresponding rates of 80% for training and 20% for validation respectively. Another data set of one year (1984) was used for the testing purpose to objectively verify the performance and accuracy of the model. Though only a modest amount of input data is required and furthermore the Lai Chau hydrological station is located upstream of the Da River, the calculated results based on the suggested model are in satisfactory agreement with observed data, the Nash - Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) is higher than 95%. The finding of this study illustrated the outstanding performance of the GRU network model in recovering the missing flow data at Lai Chau station. As a result, DNN models, as well as GRU network models, have great potential for application within the field of hydrology and hydraulics.

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Construction of an Analysis System Using Digital Breeding Technology for the Selection of Capsicum annuum

  • Donghyun Jeon;Sehyun Choi;Yuna Kang;Changsoo Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2022.10a
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    • pp.233-233
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    • 2022
  • As the world's population grows and food needs diversify, the demand for horticultural crops for beneficial traits is increasing. In order to meet this demand, it is necessary to develop suitable cultivars and breeding methods accordingly. Breeding methods have changed over time. With the recent development of sequencing technology, the concept of genomic selection (GS) has emerged as large-scale genome information can be used. GS shows good predictive ability even for quantitative traits by using various markers, breaking away from the limitations of Marker Assisted Selection (MAS). Moreover, GS using machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) has been studied recently. In this study, we aim to build a system that selects phenotype-related markers using the genomic information of the pepper population and trains a genomic selection model to select individuals from the validation population. We plan to establish an optimal genome wide association analysis model by comparing and analyzing five models. Validation of molecular markers by applying linkage markers discovered through genome wide association analysis to breeding populations. Finally, we plan to establish an optimal genome selection model by comparing and analyzing 12 genome selection models. Then We will use the genome selection model of the learning group in the breeding group to verify the prediction accuracy and discover a prediction model.

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Applicability study on urban flooding risk criteria estimation algorithm using cross-validation and SVM (교차검증과 SVM을 이용한 도시침수 위험기준 추정 알고리즘 적용성 검토)

  • Lee, Hanseung;Cho, Jaewoong;Kang, Hoseon;Hwang, Jeonggeun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.963-973
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    • 2019
  • This study reviews a urban flooding risk criteria estimation model to predict risk criteria in areas where flood risk criteria are not precalculated by using watershed characteristic data and limit rainfall based on damage history. The risk criteria estimation model was designed using Support Vector Machine, one of the machine learning algorithms. The learning data consisted of regional limit rainfall and watershed characteristic. The learning data were applied to the SVM algorithm after normalization. We calculated the mean absolute error and standard deviation using Leave-One-Out and K-fold cross-validation algorithms and evaluated the performance of the model. In Leave-One-Out, models with small standard deviation were selected as the optimal model, and models with less folds were selected in the K-fold. The average accuracy of the selected models by rainfall duration is over 80%, suggesting that SVM can be used to estimate flooding risk criteria.

Finite Element Model Updating and Validation of Satellites for Coupled Load Analysis (연성하중해석 수행을 위한 인공위성 유한요소모델 보정 및 검증)

  • Lim, Jae Hyuk;Kim, Kyung-Won;Kim, Sung-Hoon;Hwang, Do-Soon
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.41 no.8
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    • pp.605-612
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    • 2013
  • When developing medium satellites or large satellites, coupled load analysis(CLA) is performed in order to verify satellite design as a final assessment under launch environment. Maximum acceleration, gap between adjacent parts, internal loads obtained from CLA are used to assess the safety of satellite design by comparing them with the allowable loads of every component. To achieve reliable CLA results, satellite FE model have to be properly updated to match with the sine vibration test results. In this paper, the validation procedure of satellite FE model and its results are discussed.

Predicting Early Retirees Using Personality Data (인성 데이터를 활용한 조기 퇴사자 예측)

  • Kim, Young Park;Kim, Hyoung Joong
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzed the early retired employees who stayed in company no longer than 3 years based on a certain company's personality evaluation result data. The predicted model was analyzed by dividing into two categories; the manufacture group and the R&D group. Independent variables were selected according to the stepwise method. A logistic regression model was selected as a prediction model among various supervised learning methods, and trained through cross-validation to prevent over-fitting or under-fitting. The accuracy of the two groups were confirmed by the confusion matrix. The most influential factor for early retirement in the manufacture group was revealed as "immersion," and for the R&D group appeared as "antisocial." In the past, people concentrated on collecting data by questionnaire and identifying factors that are highly related to the retirement, but this study suggests a sustainable early retirement prediction model in the future by analyzing the tangible outcome of the recruitment process.

Landslide Risk Assessment of Cropland and Man-made Infrastructures using Bayesian Predictive Model (베이지안 예측모델을 활용한 농업 및 인공 인프라의 산사태 재해 위험 평가)

  • Al, Mamun;Jang, Dong-Ho
    • Journal of The Geomorphological Association of Korea
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.87-103
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate the risk of cropland and man-made infrastructures in a landslide-prone area using a GIS-based method. To achieve this goal, a landslide inventory map was prepared based on aerial photograph analysis as well as field observations. A total of 550 landslides have been counted in the entire study area. For model analysis and validation, extracted landslides were randomly selected and divided into two groups. The landslide causative factors such as slope, aspect, curvature, topographic wetness index, elevation, forest type, forest crown density, geology, land-use, soil drainage, and soil texture were used in the analysis. Moreover, to identify the correlation between landslides and causative factors, pixels were divided into several classes and frequency ratio was also extracted. A landslide susceptibility map was constructed using a bayesian predictive model (BPM) based on the entire events. In the cross validation process, the landslide susceptibility map as well as observation data were plotted with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve then the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and tried to extract a success rate curve. The results showed that, the BPM produced 85.8% accuracy. We believed that the model was acceptable for the landslide susceptibility analysis of the study area. In addition, for risk assessment, monetary value (local) and vulnerability scale were added for each social thematic data layers, which were then converted into US dollar considering landslide occurrence time. Moreover, the total number of the study area pixels and predictive landslide affected pixels were considered for making a probability table. Matching with the affected number, 5,000 landslide pixels were assumed to run for final calculation. Based on the result, cropland showed the estimated total risk as US $ 35.4 million and man-made infrastructure risk amounted to US $ 39.3 million.

Estimation of Chlorophyll Contents in Pear Tree Using Unmanned AerialVehicle-Based-Hyperspectral Imagery (무인기 기반 초분광영상을 이용한 배나무 엽록소 함량 추정)

  • Ye Seong Kang;Ki Su Park;Eun Li Kim;Jong Chan Jeong;Chan Seok Ryu;Jung Gun Cho
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.39 no.5_1
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    • pp.669-681
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    • 2023
  • Studies have tried to apply remote sensing technology, a non-destructive survey method, instead of the existing destructive survey, which requires relatively large labor input and a long time to estimate chlorophyll content, which is an important indicator for evaluating the growth of fruit trees. This study was conducted to non-destructively evaluate the chlorophyll content of pear tree leaves using unmanned aerial vehicle-based hyperspectral imagery for two years(2021, 2022). The reflectance of the single bands of the pear tree canopy extracted through image processing was band rationed to minimize unstable radiation effects depending on time changes. The estimation (calibration and validation) models were developed using machine learning algorithms of elastic-net, k-nearest neighbors(KNN), and support vector machine with band ratios as input variables. By comparing the performance of estimation models based on full band ratios, key band ratios that are advantageous for reducing computational costs and improving reproducibility were selected. As a result, for all machine learning models, when calibration of coefficient of determination (R2)≥0.67, root mean squared error (RMSE)≤1.22 ㎍/cm2, relative error (RE)≤17.9% and validation of R2≥0.56, RMSE≤1.41 ㎍/cm2, RE≤20.7% using full band ratios were compared, four key band ratios were selected. There was relatively no significant difference in validation performance between machine learning models. Therefore, the KNN model with the highest calibration performance was used as the standard, and its key band ratios were 710/714, 718/722, 754/758, and 758/762 nm. The performance of calibration showed R2=0.80, RMSE=0.94 ㎍/cm2, RE=13.9%, and validation showed R2=0.57, RMSE=1.40 ㎍/cm2, RE=20.5%. Although the performance results based on validation were not sufficient to estimate the chlorophyll content of pear tree leaves, it is meaningful that key band ratios were selected as a standard for future research. To improve estimation performance, it is necessary to continuously secure additional datasets and improve the estimation model by reproducing it in actual orchards. In future research, it is necessary to continuously secure additional datasets to improve estimation performance, verify the reliability of the selected key band ratios, and upgrade the estimation model to be reproducible in actual orchards.

Validation of Mathematical Models of UAV by Using the Parameter Estimation for Nonlinear System (비선형 시스템식별에 의한 무인비행기의 수학적 모델 적합성)

  • Lee, Hwan;Choi, Hyoung-Sik;Seong, Kie-Jeong
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.927-932
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    • 2007
  • The sophisticated mathematical model is required for the design and the database construction of the advanced flight control system of UAV. In this paper, flight test of KARI's research UAV, often called DURUMI-II, is implemented for the data acquisition from the maneuver flight. The flight path reconstruction is implemented to ensure that the measured data is consistent and error free. The nonlinear system identification for the refined mathematical modeling is implemented with the verified measurements from the flight path reconstruction. The simulation with the identified results have a good validation when the simulated responses were compared to the flight tested data.

Validation Comparison of Credit Rating Models Using Box-Cox Transformation

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Choi, Jeong-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.789-800
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    • 2008
  • Current credit evaluation models based on financial data make use of smoothing estimated default ratios which are transformed from each financial variable. In this work, some problems of the credit evaluation models developed by financial experts are discussed and we propose improved credit evaluation models based on the stepwise variable selection method and Box-Cox transformed data whose distribution is much skewed to the right. After comparing goodness-of-fit tests of these models, the validation of the credit evaluation models using statistical methods such as the stepwise variable selection method and Box-Cox transformation function is explained.

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