• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2005.10a
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• pp.929-934
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• 2005

The complex and dynamic job nature and the ever-changing working environment of construction projects inevitably present uncertainties to construction operations. Identification, evaluation and control of uncertainties constitute main elements of risk management and critical tasks of project management in construction. This paper is focused on application of a simplified discrete-event simulation approach in management of schedule-overrun risks, each being the combination of the occurrence probability of an uncertain interruptive factor and its potential consequence in terms of time delay. A case study observed from a concreting operation in Hong Kong is converted into a simulation model and analyzed with an in-house-developed simulation package for demonstrating how the proposed approach can be implemented to manage multiple schedule-overrun risks on construction projects.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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• 1996.10a
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• pp.227-233
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• 1996

The Inverted Pendulum has been one of most popular nonlinear dynamic systems for the exploration of control techniques. This paper presents a new linear optimal control techniques and nonlinear neural network learning methods. The multiayered neural networks are used to add nonlinear effects on the linear optimal regulator(LQR). The new regulator can compensate nonlinear system uncertainties that are not considered in the LQR design, and can tolerated a wider range of uncertainties than the LQR alone. The new regulator has two neural networks for modeling and control. The neural network for modeling is used to obtain a more accurate model than the given mathematical equations. The neural network for control is used to overcome deficiencies by adding corrections to the linear coefficients of the LQR and by adding nonlinear effects on the LQR. Computer simulations are performed to show the applicability and a more robust regulator than the LQR alone.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2015.10a
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• pp.174-178
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• 2015

This paper presents a new method for forecasting construction project cost and time at completion or at any intermediate time horizon of the project duration. The method is designed to overcome identified limitations of current applications of earned value method in forecasting project cost and time. The proposed method usesfuzzy set theory to model uncertainties associated with project performance and it integrates the earned value technique and the contractors' judgement. The fuzzy set theory is applied as an alternative approach to deterministic and probabilistic methods. Using fuzzy set theory allows contractors to: (1) perform risk analysis for different scenarios of project performance indices, and (2) perform different scenarios expressing vagueness and imprecision of forecasted project cost and time using a set of measures and indices. Unlike the current applications of Earned Value Method(EVM), The proposed method has a numberof interesting features: (1) integrating contractors' judgement in forecasting project performance; (2) enabling contractors to evaluate the risk associated with cost overrun in much simpler method comparing with that of simulation, and (3) accounting for uncertainties involved in the forecasting project cost.

• Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.62-74
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• 2002

The tracking of a reference temperature trajectory in a polymerization batch reactor is a common problem and has critical importance because the quality control of a batch reactor is usually achieved by implementing the trajectory precisely. In this study, only energy balances around a reactor are considered as a design model for control synthesis, and material balances describing concentration variations of involved components are treated as unknown disturbances, of which the effects appear as time-varying parameters in the design model. For the synthesis of a tracking controller, a method combining the input-output linearization of a time-variant system with the parameter estimation is proposed. The parameter estimation method provides parameter estimates such that the estimated outputs asymptotically follow the measured outputs in a specified way. Since other unknown external disturbances or uncertainties can be lumped into existing parameters or considered as another separate parameters, the method is useful in practices exposed to diverse uncertainties and disturbances, and the designed controller becomes robust. And the design procedure and setting of tuning parameters are simple and clear due to the resulted linear design equations. The performances and the effectiveness of the proposed method are demonstrated via simulation studies.

• Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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• v.19 no.5
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• pp.390-397
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• 2013

This paper presents a consensus algorithm for uMAS (uncertain Multi-Agent Systems). Unlike previous results in which only nominal models for agents are considered, it is assumed that the uncertain agent model belongs to a known polytope set. In the middle of deriving the proposed algorithm, a convex set is found which includes all uncertainties in the problem using convexity of the polytope set. This set plays an important role in designing the consensus algorithm for uMAS. Based on the set, a consensus condition for uMAS is proposed and the corresponding consensus design problem is solved using LMI (Linear Matrix Inequality). Simulation result shows that the proposed consensus algorithm successfully leads to consensus of the state of uMAS.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.52 no.9
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• pp.2017-2024
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• 2020

In this study, a fractional order proportional integral derivative (FOPID) controller is designed to create the reference power trajectory and to conquer the uncertainties and external disturbances. A fractional nonlinear model was utilized to describe the nuclear reactor dynamic behaviour considering thermal-hydraulic effects. The controller parameters were tuned using optimization method in Matlab/Simulink. The FOPID controller was simulated using Matlab/Simulink and the controller performance was evaluated for Hard variation of the reference power and compared with that of integer order a proportional integral derivative (IOPID) controller by two models of fractional neutron point kinetic (FNPK) and classical neutron point kinetic (CNPK). Also, the FOPID controller robustness was appraised against the external disturbance and uncertainties. Simulation results showed that the FOPID controller has the faster response of the control attempt signal and the smaller tracking error with respect to the IOPID in tracking the reference power trajectory. In addition, the results demonstrated the ability of FOPID controller in disturbance rejection and exhibited the good robustness of controller against uncertainty.

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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• v.17 no.5
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• pp.1123-1131
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• 1993

A robust controller is proposed to design a flight autopilot for lateral motion control. The control system has two control loops in order to meet the performance and to maintain the stability-robustness for a nonsquare flight system with uncertain aerodynamic variations and disturbance. One is designed via linear quadratic Gaussian with loop transfer recovery(LQG/LTR) design methodology for the inner loop. The other is designed via proportional controller design method for the outer loop. To show the effectiveness of this control system, it is compared with the LQG/LTR control system for a square flight system and is analyzed for the performance/stability-robustness to model uncertainties and disturbance via wind gusts. It is found that the proposed control system has good heading command-following performance under allowable sideslip angle in spite of model uncertainties and disturbance.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2006.07d
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• pp.1960-1961
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• 2006

In this paper, The trajectory control of robot manipulator is proposed. It divides by trajectory planning and tracking control. A trajectory planning and tracking control of robot manipulator is used to the neural network and evolutionary algorithm. The trajectory planning provides not only the optimal trajectory for a given cost function through evolutionary algorithm but also the configurations of the robot manipulator along the trajectory by considering the robot dynamics. The computed torque method (C.T.M) using the model of the robot manipulators is an effective means for trajectory tracking control. However, the tracking performance of this method is severely affected by the uncertainties of robot manipulators. The Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN) is used not to learn the inverse dynamic model but to compensate the uncertainties of robot manipulator. The computer simulations show the effectiveness of the proposed method.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2005.06a
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• pp.2526-2531
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• 2005

A practical pinch torque estimator based on the Kalman filter is proposed for low-cost anti-pinch window control systems. To obtain the accurate angular velocity from Hall-effect sensor measurements, the angular velocity calculation algorithm is executed with additional procedures for removing the measurement noises. Apart from the previous works using the angular velocity estimates and torque estimates for detecting the pinched condition, the torque rate is augmented to the system model and the proposed pinch estimator is derived by applying the steady-state Kalman filter recursion to the model. The motivation of this approach comes from the idea that the bias errors in torque estimates due to the motor parameter uncertainties can be almost eliminated by introducing the torque rate state. For detecting the pinched condition, a systematic way to determine the threshold level of the torque rate estimates is also suggested via the deterministic estimation error analysis. Simulation results are given to certify the pinch detection performance of the proposed algorithm and its robustness against the motor parameter uncertainties.

• Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.133-166
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• 2012

Hospitals tend to provide uniformed service to patients despite their various demands stemming from the severity of disease stages or the uncertainties in information of treatment stages. To identify service factors and provide effective contextually aware service models that patients demand depending on their evolving circumstances, the study conducted a survey on service quality based on importance and satisfaction of cancer patients. The study surveyed 286 patients and caregivers on importance and satisfaction through a questionnaire comprising of 17 questions at the outpatient clinic of cancer centers of university hospitals in 5 cities. Based on the risks of the disease and uncertainties in information of treatment stages, the cancer patients were grouped into diagnosis stage; low-risk treatment stage; high-risk treatment stage; stabilization stage. Depending on the patient's situation, the importance and satisfaction of service factors were ranked. These factors were categorized into 4 groups from a managerial perspective into 'keep it up area', 'focus here area', 'low priority area', 'overdone area'. This study provides an effective medical service model that can accommodate patients based on management areas of cancer patients.