• 제목/요약/키워드: Model Combination

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유전자 알고리즘을 적용한 혼합유출모형의 개발 (Development of Combination Runoff Model Applied by Genetic Algorithm)

  • 심석구;구보영;안태진
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제42권3호
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 2009
  • 탱크모형과 PRMS(Precipitation Runoff Modeling-modular System) 모형으로 섬진강댐 유역의 유출량을 1981년부터 2001년까지 모의 발생하였다. 적용된 각각의 단일모형인 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형에 의하여 모의된 유출량은 서로 상이한 모의 양상을 나타낸다. 본 연구에서는 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형과 같은 단일모형에 의하여 모의되는 유출량의 편차를 최소화하고 관측유출량에 보다 잘 부합되는 유출모의결과를 생산하기 위하여 유전자 알고리즘 혼합유출모형을 제안하였다. 제안된 혼합유출모형은 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형의 각각 결과를 혼합하는 모형이며, 유전자 알고리즘을 적용하여 모의 유출량과 관측 유출량을 최소화하는 Tank 모형과 PRMS 모형에 의한 각각의 유출량의 비율을 결정하는 최적배합비를 산정하였다. 제안된 혼합 모형을 섬진강댐 유역에 적용한 결과, Tank 모형 또는 PRMS 모형과 같은 단일모형으로 유출량을 모의하는 경우보다 두 개의 모형을 적절한 배합비를 도입한 혼합 모형으로 모의된 유출량은 관측유출량과의 각종오차를 작게 하는 것을 보여 주었다.

병렬 결합된 혼합 모델 기반의 특징 보상 기술 (Feature Compensation Method Based on Parallel Combined Mixture Model)

  • 김우일;이흥규;권오일;고한석
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.603-611
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    • 2003
  • 본 논문에서는 잡음 환경에서 보다 강인한 성능을 얻기 위하여 음성 모델 기반의 효과적인 특징 보상 기법을 제안한다. 일반적인 모델 기반의 특징 보상 기법은 오열 음성 데이터베이스를 이용한 훈련 과정을 필요로 하므로 온라인 상에서의 적응 과정에 적합하지 않다. 제안한 방법에서는 보정 인자 추정 과정에서 병렬 모델 결합 기법을 도입함으로써 훈련 과정을 필요하지 않게 하였다. 모델의 결합 과정이 HMM 전체가 아닌 가우시안 혼합 (Mixture) 모델에만 적용이 되므로, 계산이 비교적 간단하게 되어 온라인 상에서의 모델 결합을 가능하게 하였다. 병렬적 모델 결합의 도입은 잡음 모델의 독립적인 이용을 가능하게 하였고, 본 논문에서는 MAP (Maximum A Posteriori) 적응을 통해 잡음 모델 갱신을 실시하였다 또한 잡음 오열 과정에 대한 근사화를 통해 연속적 형태의 채널 정규화 기법을 유도하여 적용하였다. 보다 효율적인 구현을 위하여 선택적인 모델 결합 방식을 도입함으로써 연산량을 줄일 수 있는 방법을 제시하였다. 제안한 특징 보상 기법이 부가적인 배경 잡음과 채널 왜곡이 존재하는 잡음 환경에서 음성 인식 시스템의 성능을 향상시키는데 효과적임을 실험을 통해 확인할 수 있었다.

누설량 저감을 위한 래버린스 실의 설계개선 및 해석 (Leakage Analysis and Design Modification of the Combination-Type-Staggered-Labyrinth Seal)

  • 하태웅
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2007
  • Leakage reduction through annular type labyrinth seals of steam turbine is necessary for enhancing their efficiency. In this study, modified geometry of the original combination-type-staggered-labyrinth seal has been suggested and numerical analysis for leakage prediction has been carried out for the modified-combination-type-staggered-labyrinth seal both based on bulk-flow model and using the CFD code FLUENT. The theoretical analysis based on bulk-flow model yields leakage reduction of the modified combination type staggered labyrinth seal by about 11%. Comparing with the result of Bulk-flow model analysis, the leakage result of CFD analysis shows reasonable agreement within 9.8% error.

Analysis of The Lateral Motion of Tractor-Trailer Combination (I) Operator/Vehicle System Model for Forward Maneuver

  • Torisu, R.;Mugucia, S.W.;Takeda, J.
    • 한국농업기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농업기계학회 1993년도 Proceedings of International Conference for Agricultural Machinery and Process Engineering
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    • pp.1137-1146
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    • 1993
  • In order to analyze lateral control in the forward manuever of a tractor- trailer combination , a human operator model and a kinematic vehicle model were utilized for the operator/vehicle system. By combining the vehicle and operator models, a mathematical model of the closed-loop operator/vehicle system was formulated. A computer program was developed so as to simulate the motion of the tractor-trailer combination . In order to verify the operator/vehicle system model, the results of the field trials were compared with the simulated results. There was found to be reasonably good agreement between the two.

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Ensemble Model Output Statistics를 이용한 평창지역 다중 모델 앙상블 결합 및 보정 (A Combination and Calibration of Multi-Model Ensemble of PyeongChang Area Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics)

  • 황유선;김찬수
    • 대기
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.247-261
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    • 2018
  • The objective of this paper is to compare probabilistic temperature forecasts from different regional and global ensemble prediction systems over PyeongChang area. A statistical post-processing method is used to take into account combination and calibration of forecasts from different numerical prediction systems, laying greater weight on ensemble model that exhibits the best performance. Observations for temperature were obtained from the 30 stations in PyeongChang and three different ensemble forecasts derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Ensemble Prediction System for Global and Limited Area Ensemble Prediction System that were obtained between 1 May 2014 and 18 March 2017. Prior to applying to the post-processing methods, reliability analysis was conducted to identify the statistical consistency of ensemble forecasts and corresponding observations. Then, ensemble model output statistics and bias-corrected methods were applied to each raw ensemble model and then proposed weighted combination of ensembles. The results showed that the proposed methods provide improved performances than raw ensemble mean. In particular, multi-model forecast based on ensemble model output statistics was superior to the bias-corrected forecast in terms of deterministic prediction.

토공장비 선정 및 조합을 위한 영향요인 연구 (Factors Affecting Selection & Combination of Earthwork Equipments)

  • 최재휘;이동훈;김선형;김선국
    • 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국건축시공학회 2010년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 1부
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    • pp.201-205
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    • 2010
  • Earthwork is an essential initial work discipline in construction projects and open to significant impacts of several factors such as weather, site conditions, soil conditions, underground installations and available construction machinery, calling for careful planning by managers. However, selection and combination of construction machinery and equipment for earthwork still depends on experience or intuition of managers in construction sites, with much room left for proper management in terms of cost, schedule and environmental load control. This research aims to analyze the performance of earthwork equipment and establish relations among various factors affecting a model for optimizing selection and combination of earthwork equipment as a precursor to the development of such model. We expect the conclusions herein to contribute to optimizing selection and combination of earthwork equipment and provide basic inputs for the development of applicable model that can save costs, reduce schedule and mitigate environmental load.

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Forecasting Chinese Yuan/USD Via Combination Techniques During COVID-19

  • ASADULLAH, Muhammad;UDDIN, Imam;QAYYUM, Arsalan;AYUBI, Sharique;SABRI, Rabia
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.221-229
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to forecast the exchange rate of the Chinese Yuan against the US Dollar by a combination of different models as proposed by Poon and Granger (2003) during the Covid-19 pandemic. For this purpose, we include three uni-variate time series models, i.e., ARIMA, Naïve, Exponential smoothing, and one multivariate model, i.e., NARDL. This is the first of its kind endeavor to combine univariate models along with NARDL to the best of our knowledge. Utilizing monthly data from January 2011 to December 2020, we predict the Chinese Yuan against the US dollar by two combination criteria i.e. var-cor and equal weightage. After finding out the individual accuracy, the models are then assessed through equal weightage and var-cor methods. Our results suggest that Naïve outperforms all individual & combination of time series models. Similarly, the combination of NARDL and Naïve model again outperformed all of the individual as well as combined models except the Naïve model, with the lowest MAPE value of 0764. The results suggesting that the Chinese Yuan exchange rate against the US Dollar is dependent upon the recent observations of the time series. Further evidence shows that the combination of models plays a vital role in forecasting which commensurate with the literature.

개입 분석 모형 예측력의 비교분석 (Combination Prediction for Nonlinear Time Series Data with Intervention)

  • 김덕기;김인규;이성덕
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.293-303
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    • 2003
  • 개입효과가 포함된 시계열 자료에 대한 여러 시계열 모형에 의한 예측 방법들이 비교 분석된다. 개입이 있는 선형 ARIMA 모형, 비선형 ARCH 모형 및 개입이 있는 비선형 ARCH 모형 그리고 TONG 이 제안한 결합예측방법들이 소개되고, 실증분석으로 개입이 있다고 생각되는 한국건축허가면적 자료로부터 그 예측 수월성이 비교된다.

신경회로망을 이용한 비선형 동적인 시스템의 효과적인 인식모델에 관한 연구 (The study on the efficient Identification Model of Nonlinear dynamical system using Neural Networks)

  • 강동우;이상배
    • 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 1995년도 추계학술대회 학술발표 논문집
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    • pp.233-242
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    • 1995
  • In this paper, we introduce the identification model of dynamic system using the neural networks, We propose two identification models. The output of the parallel identification model is a linear combination of its past values as well as those of the input. The series-parallel model is a linear combination of the past values in the input and output of the plant. To generate stable adaptive laws, we prove that the series-parallel model is found to be proferable.

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An Optimal Combination of Illumination Intensity and Lens Aperture for Color Image Analysis

  • Chang, Y. C.
    • Agricultural and Biosystems Engineering
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2002
  • The spectral color resolution of an image is very important in color image analysis. Two factors influencing the spectral color resolution of an image are illumination intensity and lens aperture for a selected vision system. An optimal combination of illumination intensity and lens aperture for color image analysis was determined in the study. The method was based on a model of dynamic range defined as the absolute difference between digital values of selected foreground and background color in the image. The role of illumination intensity in machine vision was also described and a computer program for simulating the optimal combination of two factors was implemented for verifying the related algorithm. It was possible to estimate the non-saturating range of the illumination intensity (input voltage in the study) and the lens aperture by using a model of dynamic range. The method provided an optimal combination of the illumination intensity and the lens aperture, maximizing the color resolution between colors of interest in color analysis, and the estimated color resolution at the combination for a given vision system configuration.

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