• Title/Summary/Keyword: Misspecification effect

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Test of Homogeneity Baseon Complex Survey Data : Discussion Based on Power of Test

  • Heo, Sun-Yeong;Yi, Su-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.609-620
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    • 2005
  • In the secondary data analysis for categorical data, situations often arise in which the estimated cell variances are available, but not the full matrix of variances. In this case researchers are often inclined to use Pearson-type test statistics for homogeneity. However, for a complex sample observed cell proportions are not distributed as multinomial and Pearson-type test statistic generally is not distributed asymptotically as chi-square distribution. This paper evaluates powers for Wald test and Pearson-type test and the first order corrected test of Pearson-type test for homogeneity. The resulting power curves indicate that as the misspecification effect increases, the amount of inflation of significance level and the loss of power Pearson-type test are getting more severe.

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The Effect of Stochastic Taxes on Asset Prices (세금 불확실성 하의 자산 가격 결정)

  • Kim, Chang-Soo
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.207-219
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    • 1995
  • This paper develops an equilibrium asset pricing model with taxation in the economy. The expected excess rate of return on a risky asset is shown to be an increasing function of the covariance of asset return with aggregate consumption rate changes and the covariance of asset return with the tax rates as well. Thus, the expected execss rate of return can be decomposed as the consumption risk premium and the tax premium. The capital asset pricing model derived in the absence of taxes is shown to understate the expected excess rate of return and to have a misspecification error in the economy with taxation.

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A Comparison Analysis of Monetary Policy Effect Under an Open Economy Model

  • Lee, Keun Yeong
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.141-176
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    • 2018
  • The paper analyzes and compares the effects of domestic monetary policy using DSGE, DSGE-VAR, and VAR based on a two-country open economy model of Korea and the U.S. According to impulse response analysis, a domestic interest rate hike raises won value in the case of DSGE and DSGE-VAR models, while in the case of the unrestricted VAR model, it lowers won value. In the marginal data density standard, DSGE-VAR (${\mu}=1$) is superior to DSGE or Bayesian VAR over the sample period. Conversely, in the in-sample RMSE criterion, especially for the won/dollar exchange rate, VARs are superior to DSGE or DSGE-VAR. It is necessary to study further if these differences are caused by model misspecification or omitted variable bias.

Simulation Study for Statistical Methods in Comparing Cure Rates between Two Groups (모의실험을 통한 두 처리군간 치료율 비교방법 연구)

  • 박미라;이재원;진서훈
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.253-267
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    • 2004
  • In some clinical trials, one may see that a significant fraction of patients are cured and their original disease does not recur even after termination of treatment and pro-longed follow-up. This situation occurs frequently in pediatric cancer trials where there are excellent therapeutic results. In such cases, interest concentrated on the difference of cure rates rather than other types of differences in failure distributions. Various authors have investigated the parametric and nonparametric methods for testing the difference of cure rates. In this study, we compare by simulation the power and size of a parametric test and five nonparametric tests in a various range of the alternatives, censoring rates and cure rates. Our objectives are to determine if any test was preferable on the basis of size and power in various situation, and to investigate the effect of the model misspecification.

The Asymmetric Relationship between Output Volatility and Growth : Evidence from the U.K. Industrial Production (영국 산업생산 자료에 나타난 성장률과 변동성간의 비대칭적 관계)

  • Kim, Jan R.
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.86-107
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    • 2010
  • Prior research on the relationship between output volatility and growth has produced mixed results, failing to provide clear empirical evidence on the sign of the relationship. In this paper, we raise the possibility that such failure is due to misspecification in empirical models previously used, i.e., not taking into account the business cycle dependence of the volatility-growth relation. We set off with the conjecture that higher volatility exerts qualitatively different effect on growth depending on whether the economy is in expansion or contraction. We estimate a series of ARCH-type models with the monthly industrial production data of the U.K., and find strong evidence suggesting that the volatility-growth relation is positive when the economy is in expansion, while higher volatility lowers growth rate in the contraction phase. We also find evidence supporting that the volatility-growth relation estimated in the paper captures a a causal relation, not a bidirectional correlation.