• Title/Summary/Keyword: Miss and False Alarm

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Performance Evaluation of Snow Detection Using Himawari-8 AHI Data (Himawari-8 AHI 적설 탐지의 성능 평가)

  • Jin, Donghyun;Lee, Kyeong-sang;Seo, Minji;Choi, Sungwon;Seong, Noh-hun;Lee, Eunkyung;Han, Hyeon-gyeong;Han, Kyung-soo
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.34 no.6_1
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    • pp.1025-1032
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    • 2018
  • Snow Cover is a form of precipitation that is defined by snow on the surface and is the single largest component of the cryosphere that plays an important role in maintaining the energy balance between the earth's surface and the atmosphere. It affects the regulation of the Earth's surface temperature. However, since snow cover is mainly distributed in area where human access is difficult, snow cover detection using satellites is actively performed, and snow cover detection in forest area is an important process as well as distinguishing between cloud and snow. In this study, we applied the Normalized Difference Snow Index (NDSI) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to the geostationary satellites for the snow detection of forest area in existing polar orbit satellites. On the rest of the forest area, the snow cover detection using $R_{1.61{\mu}m}$ anomaly technique and NDSI was performed. As a result of the indirect validation using the snow cover data and the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer (VIIRS) snow cover data, the probability of detection (POD) was 99.95 % and the False Alarm Ratio (FAR) was 16.63 %. We also performed qualitative validation using the Himawari-8 Advanced Himawari Imager (AHI) RGB image. The result showed that the areas detected by the VIIRS Snow Cover miss pixel are mixed with the area detected by the research false pixel.

ccuracy Evaluation of MSD-related Risky Work Criterion of Korea Ministry ofLabor using Ergonomic Workload Evaluation Methods (인간공학적 작업부하 평가방법을 이용한 근골격계 부담작업 판정기준의 정확성 평가)

  • Park, Guk-Mu;Jeong, Min-Geun;Gi, Do-Hyeong;Ryu, Tae-Beom
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 2006
  • The present study evaluated the accuracy of MSD-related work criterion of Korea Ministry of Labor by using ergonomic workload evaluation methods. 1,948 manufacturing works in automobile industry were divided into 1,286 MSD-related risky works and 662 risk-free ones by using RULA, ANSI Z-365 and perceived discomfort evaluation. Then, the two types of works were evaluated by Labor Ministry work criterion to analyze the classification accuracy of the work criterion. The work criterion of Korea Labor Ministry had low hit and false alarm ratio(20 and 11%) and high miss and correct rejection ratio(80 and 89%), and the odd ratios of hit and correct rejection were 0.2 and 8.3, respectively. It can be concluded that the work criterion of Korea Labor Ministry is a conservative evaluation method which tends to evaluate a target work as risk-free.

Burst Signal Detecting Algorithm for HomePNA v2.0 Preamble Pattern (HornePNA v2.0 프리앰블 패턴에 적합한 버스트 신호 검출 알고리즘)

  • 김경덕;황성현;최형진
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.26 no.11A
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    • pp.1848-1857
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes the ETEO and MTEO burst signal detector based on TEO algorithm. These algorithms must be used after STR and AGC operation, but are not related to phase and frequency offset. ETEO algorithm is extended version of original TEO, and MTEO algorithm is proposed for improving the output characteristics of ETEO. Also, modified ETEO and MTEO algorithm are proposed for detection of PREAMBLE64. Optimal threshold value is determined and miss and false alarm probability and FER performance are evaluated by computer simulation. Finally, this paper proposes MTEO algorithm with M=3 to guarantee the Performance that FER is less than 10$\^$-2/.

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Energy Detection Based Sensing for Secure Cognitive Spectrum Sharing in the Presence of Primary User Emulation Attack

  • Salem, Fatty M.;Ibrahim, Maged H.;Ibrahim, I.I.
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • v.2 no.6
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 2013
  • Spectrum sensing, as a fundamental functionality of Cognitive Radio (CR), enables Secondary Users (SUs) to monitor the spectrum and detect spectrum holes that could be used. Recently, the security issues of Cognitive Radio Networks (CRNs) have attracted increasing research attention. As one of the attacks against CRNs, a Primary User Emulation (PUE) attack compromises the spectrum sensing of CR, where an attacker monopolizes the spectrum holes by impersonating the Primary User (PU) to prevent SUs from accessing the idle frequency bands. Energy detection is often used to sense the spectrum in CRNs, but the presence of PUE attack has not been considered. This study examined the effect of PUE attack on the performance of energy detection-based spectrum sensing technique. In the proposed protocol, the stationary helper nodes (HNs) are deployed in multiple stages and distributed over the coverage area of the PUs to deliver spectrum status information to the next stage of HNs and to SUs. On the other hand, the first stage of HNs is also responsible for inferring the existence of the PU based on the energy detection technique. In addition, this system provides the detection threshold under the constraints imposed on the probabilities of a miss detection and false alarm.

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Performance Analysis of Maximum-Likelihood Code Acquisition Technique for Preamble Search in CDMA Reverse Link (CDMA 역방향 링크에서의 프리앰블 탐색을 위한 최대우도 동기획득 방식의 성능 분석)

  • 박형래;강법주
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.161-174
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    • 1996
  • Addressed in this paper is performance analysis of the maximum-likelihood code acquisition technique for slotted-mode preamble search in the CDMA reverse link. The probabilities of detection, miss, and false alarm are derived analytically for a multiple $H_{1}$ cell case in a frequency-selective Rayleigh fading channel, based on the statics of the CDMA noncoherent demodulator output. the probability density function of the decision variable consisting of successive demodulator outputs is also derived by considering the fading characteristics of the received signal for both single and dual antenna cases. The performance of the code acquisition technique is evaluated numerically with an emphasis on investigating the effects of post-detection integration, fading rate, and antenna diversity on the detection performance.

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A Study of the Or rule to reduce decision time of Primary User at the Cognitive radio (인지 통신에서 1차 사용자의 판단 시간을 줄이기 위한 Or 기법의 연구)

  • Choi, Moon-Geun;Kong, Hyung-Yun
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.10 no.5
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    • pp.161-166
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    • 2010
  • Conventional Or Rule decide final sensing result depending on all of SU making sensing result. So Conventional Or Rule must be combined all of local result to decide PU absent or not. But Proposed Or Rule is not needed all of local result depending on each of SU of local result. So Proposed Or Rule can reduce decision time. In this Paper, we verify proposed Or Rule using simulation tool similar with matlab. And we can calculate false alarm probability and miss detection probability of proposed Or rule and conventional Or rule.

Analysis of Users' Satisfaction Utility for Precipitation Probabilistic Forecast Using Collective Value Score (그룹 가치스코어 모형을 활용한 강수확률예보의 사용자 만족도 효용 분석)

  • Yoon, Seung Chul;Lee, Ki-Kwang
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2015
  • This study proposes a mathematical model to estimate the economic value of weather forecast service, among which the precipitation forecast service is focused. The value is calculated in terms of users' satisfaction or dissatisfaction resulted from the users' decisions made by using the precipitation probabilistic forecasts and thresholds. The satisfaction values can be quantified by the traditional value score model, which shows the scaled utility values relative to the perfect forecast information. This paper extends the value score concept to a collective value score model which is defined as a weighted sum of users' satisfaction based on threshold distribution in a group of the users. The proposed collective value score model is applied to the picnic scenario by using four hypothetical sets of probabilistic forecasts, i.e., under-confident, over-confident, under-forecast and over-forecast. The application results show that under-confident type of forecasts outperforms the others as a measure of the maximum collective value regardless of users' dissatisfaction patterns caused by two types of forecast errors, e.g., miss and false alarm.

Lane Detection Based on a Cumulative Distribution function of Edge Direction (에지 방향의 누적분포함수에 기반한 차선인식)

  • Yi, Un-Kun;Baek, Kwang-Ryul;Lee, Joon-Woong
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07d
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    • pp.2814-2818
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    • 2000
  • This paper describes an image processing algorithm capable of recognizing the road lane using a CDF (Cumulative Distribution Function). which is designed for the model function of the road lane. The CDF has distinctive peak points at the vicinity of the lane direction because of the directional and positional continuities of the lane. We construct a scatter diagram by collecting the edge pixels with the direction corresponding to the peak point of the CDF and carry out the principal axis-based line fitting for the scatter diagram to obtain the lane information. As noises play the role of making a lot of similar features to the lane appear and disappear in the image we introduce a recursive estimator of the function to reduce the noise effect and a scene understanding index (SUI) formulated by statistical parameters of the CDF to prevent a false alarm or miss detection. The proposed algorithm has been implemented in a real time on the video data obtained from a test vehicle driven in a typical highway.

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Evaluation of a Solar Flare Forecast Model with Cost/Loss Ratio

  • Park, Jongyeob;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lee, Kangjin;Lee, Jaejin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.84.2-84.2
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    • 2015
  • There are probabilistic forecast models for solar flare occurrence, which can be evaluated by various skill scores (e.g. accuracy, critical success index, heidek skill score, true skill score). Since these skill scores assume that two types of forecast errors (i.e. false alarm and miss) are equal or constant, which does not take into account different situations of users, they may be unrealistic. In this study, we make an evaluation of a probabilistic flare forecast model (Lee et al. 2012) which use sunspot groups and its area changes as a proxy of flux emergence. We calculate daily solar flare probabilities from 1996 to 2014 using this model. Overall frequencies are 61.08% (C), 22.83% (M), and 5.44% (X). The maximum probabilities computed by the model are 99.9% (C), 89.39% (M), and 25.45% (X), respectively. The skill scores are computed through contingency tables as a function of forecast probability, which corresponds to the maximum skill score depending on flare class and type of a skill score. For the critical success index widely used, the probability threshold values for contingency tables are 25% (C), 20% (M), and 4% (X). We use a value score with cost/loss ratio, relative importance between the two types of forecast errors. We find that the forecast model has an effective range of cost/loss ratio for each class flare: 0.15-0.83(C), 0.11-0.51(M), and 0.04-0.17(X), also depending on a lifetime of satellite. We expect that this study would provide a guideline to determine the probability threshold for space weather forecast.

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Evaluation of a Solar Flare Forecast Model with Value Score

  • Park, Jongyeob;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lee, Kangjin;Lee, Jaejin
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.80.1-80.1
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    • 2016
  • There are probabilistic forecast models for solar flare occurrence, which can be evaluated by various skill scores (e.g. accuracy, critical success index, heidek skill score, and true skill score). Since these skill scores assume that two types of forecast errors (i.e. false alarm and miss) are equal or constant, which does not take into account different situations of users, they may be unrealistic. In this study, we make an evaluation of a probabilistic flare forecast model [Lee et al., 2012] which use sunspot groups and its area changes as a proxy of flux emergence. We calculate daily solar flare probabilities from 2011 to 2014 using this model. The skill scores are computed through contingency tables as a function of forecast probability, which corresponds to the maximum skill score depending on flare class and type of a skill score. We use a value score with cost/loss ratio, relative importance between the two types of forecast errors. The forecast probability (y) is linearly changed with the cost/loss ratio (x) in the form of y=ax+b: a=0.88; b=0 (C), a=1.2; b=-0.05(M), a=1.29; b=-0.02(X). We find that the forecast model has an effective range of cost/loss ratio for each class flare: 0.536-0.853(C), 0.147-0.334(M), and 0.023-0.072(X). We expect that this study would provide a guideline to determine the probability threshold and the cost/loss ratio for space weather forecast.

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