• 제목/요약/키워드: Mental Simulation

검색결과 80건 처리시간 0.02초

A Case-Based Forecasting System

  • Lee, Hoon-Young
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.199-215
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    • 1994
  • Many business forecasting problems are characterized by infrequent occurrences, a large number of variables, presence of error, and great complexity. Because no forecasting models and tools are effective in handing these problems, managers often use the outcomes of past analogous cases to predict the outcome of the current one. They (1) observe significant attributes in describing a case, (2) identify the past cases similar in these attributes to the current case, and (3) predict the outcome of the current case based on those of the analogous cases identified through some mental simulation and adjustment. This process of forecasting can be termed forecasting-by-analogy. In spite of fairly frequent use of this forecasting process in practice, however, it has not been recognized as a primary forecasting tool, nor applied on a regular basis. In this paper, by automatizing this process using computer models, we develop a case-based forecasting system (CBFS), which identifies relevant cases and applies their coutcomes to generate a forecast. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the CBFS in terms of its accuracy in predicting the outcome of the current problem based on the similar cases identified. We compare the forecasting accuracy of the CBFS with that of regression models developed by stepwise procedure under varied simulated problem conditions. The CBFS outperforms regression models in most comparisons. The CBFS could be used as an effective forecasting tool.

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나이변화를 위한 얼굴영상의 분석과 합성 (Analysis and Syntheris of Facial Images for Age Change)

  • 박철하;최창석;최갑석
    • 전자공학회논문지B
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    • 제31B권9호
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 1994
  • The human face can provide a great deal of information in regard to his/her race, age, sex, personality, feeling, psychology, mental state, health condition and ect. If we pay a close attention to the aging process, we are able to find out that there are recognizable phenomena such as eyelid drooping, cheek drooping, forehead furrowing, hair falling-out, the hair becomes gray and etc. This paper proposes that the method to estimate the age by analyzing these feature components for the facial image. Ang we also introduce the method of facial image synthesis in accordance with the cange of age. The feature components according to the change of age can be obtainec by dividing the facial image into the 3-dimensional shape of a face and the texture of a face and then analyzing the principle component respectively using 3-dimensional model. We assume the age of the facial image by comparing the extracted feature component to the facial image and synthesize the resulted image by adding or subtracting the feature component to/from the facial image. As a resurt of this simulation, we have obtained the age changed ficial image of high quality.

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Control Gas Metal Arc Welding System Using Decentralized Method

  • Ngo, Manh Dung;Phuong, Nguyen Thanh;Duy, Vo Hoang;Kim, Hak-Kyeong;Kim, Sang-Bong
    • 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해양공학회 2006년 창립20주년기념 정기학술대회 및 국제워크샵
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    • pp.60-66
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    • 2006
  • This paper presents a new way achieving better welding results of gas mental arc welding (GMAW) system by using a decentralized control method. In this paper, the GMAW system is considered as two separated subsystems such as a power source of GMAW (PS-GMAW) and a wire feed unit (WFU). The mathematical modeling of PS-GMAW and WFU are presented. Based on the modeling of two subsystems, a sliding mode controller and a proportional controller is designed for controlling the PS-GMAW and the WFU, respectively. Two decentralized controllers have to be designed to control the out welding arc of the GMAW to be stable and tracking the setting value accurately during the welding process. Furthermore, the simulation and experimental results are shown to prove the effectiveness of the proposed controllers.

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방화(放火)화재의 특성 및 방재대책에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Characteristics and the Disaster Prevention Measures of Incendiary Fire)

  • 최진
    • 한국화재소방학회논문지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 인위적인 방화(放火)화재로부터 귀중한 생명과 재산 피해를 최대한 억제하고 예방하기 위한 방재대책을 제안하기 위한 것으로, 화재 공학적 측면에서 방화(放火)화재에 대한 특성을 분석하여 그 위험에 대처할 수 있도록 방재대책 추진방안을 검토하였다. 본 연구에서는 방화범의 범행 동기나 행위 등 심리적이고 정신적인 분석과 같은 의학적인 면과 방화범의 법적체벌 관련사항과 같은 법률적이고 행정적인 문제 등은 연구범위에서 제외하였으며, 방화화재 발생 실태를 분석하기 위하여 국내 및 일본, 미국의 화재통계자료를 조사하였다. 특히, 일반화재와 방화화재의 연소특성을 정량적으로 파악하기 위하여 화재모형 실험 및 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션을 수행하였고, 방화화재 방재대책 추진방안을 제시하였다.

시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 마음챙김과 치료관계 간의 동태적 분석 (Dynamic Analysis of Mindfulness and Therapeutic Relationship using System Dynamics)

  • 최연희
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.121-143
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study to analyze the effect of Mindfulness on the Therapeutic Relationship using System Dynamics. The biggest factor in psychotherapy's treatment outcome is the Therapeutic Relationship including the quality of the therapist (empathy, therapeutic presence) and therapy alliance. Mindfulness practice can facilitate the therapeutic relationship. In order to analyze the therapeutic relationship, I measure FFMQ(Five Facet Mindfulness Questionnaire), Empathy, Therapeutic presence and Therapy alliance. Participants consist of 55 mental health professionals (doctor, psychologist, psychiatrist, counselor, social worker). The result of the study will be explained. First, with the causal loop diagram research, I analyze how mindfulness can influence the quality of therapist and therapy alliance. The result of literature research indicate that mindfulness increase therapist's empathy, congruence, therapeutic presence, flow, therapy alliance. And then mindfulness reinforces the ability of therapeutic relationship. Secondly, through the real data research and simulation analysis, mindfulness practicing period (year and hour a day) of therapist is studied. The result of the therapist experiencing mindfulness practice period is over 5 years and the daily hours of practice is 2 - 2.5 hours in order to enhance the therapeutic relationship. After reviewing the result of the research it is important to understand the practicing period and daily practice of mindfulness. With daily practice and time, the level of mindfulness will increase and influence positively the therapeutic relationship between therapist and client.

Application of Deep Learning: A Review for Firefighting

  • Shaikh, Muhammad Khalid
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.73-78
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    • 2022
  • The aim of this paper is to investigate the prevalence of Deep Learning in the literature on Fire & Rescue Service. It is found that deep learning techniques are only beginning to benefit the firefighters. The popular areas where deep learning techniques are making an impact are situational awareness, decision making, mental stress, injuries, well-being of the firefighter such as his sudden fall, inability to move and breathlessness, path planning by the firefighters while getting to an fire scene, wayfinding, tracking firefighters, firefighter physical fitness, employment, prediction of firefighter intervention, firefighter operations such as object recognition in smoky areas, firefighter efficacy, smart firefighting using edge computing, firefighting in teams, and firefighter clothing and safety. The techniques that were found applied in firefighting were Deep learning, Traditional K-Means clustering with engineered time and frequency domain features, Convolutional autoencoders, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Deep Neural Networks, Simulation, VR, ANN, Deep Q Learning, Deep learning based on conditional generative adversarial networks, Decision Trees, Kalman Filters, Computational models, Partial Least Squares, Logistic Regression, Random Forest, Edge computing, C5 Decision Tree, Restricted Boltzmann Machine, Reinforcement Learning, and Recurrent LSTM. The literature review is centered on Firefighters/firemen not involved in wildland fires. The focus was also not on the fire itself. It must also be noted that several deep learning techniques such as CNN were mostly used in fire behavior, fire imaging and identification as well. Those papers that deal with fire behavior were also not part of this literature review.

사회적 행위 지각에 있어 해석 효과: 관점에 따른 운동공명효과의 조절 (Effect of Contruals on Social Action Perception: Modulation of Motor Resonance Effect by Perspectives)

  • 이동훈;신천우;신현정
    • 인지과학
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.109-132
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    • 2012
  • 최근 체화된 인지 접근에 따르면 행위의 이해는 추상적인 기호 처리가 아니라 그 행위와 관련된 감각-운동 정보의 심적 모사(mental simulation)를 통해 이루어진다고 주장되고 있다. 이 주장을 지지하는 증거로서 제시된 운동공명효과(motor resonance effect)는 관찰되는 행위와 현재 수행하는 행위 사이의 유사성에 의해 행위자의 운동 반응에 일어나는 간섭 혹은 촉진 효과를 말한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 운동공명효과가 복잡한 사회적 행위를 지각하는 상황에서도 일어나는지 그리고 사회적 행위의 해석 관점에 따라 그 효과가 어떻게 달라지는 지를 알아보고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 어떤 행위자가 세 가지 신체 부위(팔, 발, 입)를 사용하여 다른 사람과 다투는 행위 장면을 그림으로 묘사하고, 각 그림을 행위자의 관점에서 기술하거나(예, 간호사가 의사를 때렸다/밟았다/물었다), 피행위자의 관점에서 기술하여(예, 의사가 간호사에게 맞았다/밟혔다/물렸다), 행위 사건 지각의 관점을 조절하였다. 실험 1에서는 실험참가자로 하여금 제시된 그림과 문장이 일치하면 페달을 밟거나 혹은 버튼을 누르는 행동 반응을 하도록 지시함으로써, 발 행위의 운동공명효과를 측정하였고, 실험 2에서는 마이크와 버튼을 이용하여 입 행위에 대한 운동공명효과를 측정하였다. 실험 1의 결과, 페달을 밟는 발 행동 반응이 발 행위 장면을 행위자의 관점에서 능동적으로 해석한 경우 다른 행위 지각 조건에 비해 빨라졌으며, 피행위자 관점에서 수동적으로 해석한 경우에는 오히려 느려졌다. 이와 유사하게, 실험 2에서는 마이크에 '합'이라는 소리를 내는 입 행동 반응이 입 행위 장면을 행위자가 상대방을 무는 행위로 능동적으로 해석한 경우 빨라졌으며, 같은 장면이라도 피행위자 관점에서 기술하였을 때는 오히려 느려졌다. 본 연구의 결과는 일상생활에서 사회적 행위를 지각하는 과정에서도 운동공명효과는 일어날 수 있다는 것과, 그러나 그 효과 또한 행위 사건을 해석하는 관점에 따라 조절될 수 있다는 점을 시사한다.

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제주신항의 해상교통안전성평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Assessment of the Marine Traffic Safety through Construction of the Jeju New Harbor)

  • 김창제;채양범;예병덕;강성진;김원욱;정재용
    • 한국항해항만학회지
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.112-119
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    • 2002
  • 80,000 G/T급 크루즈선이 입항할 수 있는 터미널을 계획하고 있는 제주신항에 대하여 자연 ·환경 조건 및 방파제 등의 구조물 등을 고려하여 선박조종시뮬레이션을 실시하여 입 ·출항 및 접 이안의 안전성을 평가하고자 한다. 안전성 평가는 항로경계의 침범여부, 구조물과의 최근접거리, 선박조종자의 주관적 평가를 통계적으로 해석하는 방법을 이용하였다.

남북관계와 대북협상전략 (A System Dynamics Model for Negotiation strategy Analysis with North Korea)

  • 곽상만
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.5-31
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    • 2000
  • The summit meeting of the South North Korean leaders was a turning point in the relationships between the two countries. It was followed by the Red-Cross Meeting, Minister-Level Meeting, economic agreements, which have increased the relationship more colorful in both quantities and qualities. However, the half-century period for separation was too long to overcome all the problems by only one event. The two countries have quite different social systems; one politically strong person is governing the North, while many interest groups are involved in political decision making processes in the South. In short, it would take a long time to settle down all the problems residing between the two countries. A system dynamics model is developed to describe the long term dynamics of the relations between the South and North Koreas. As a first attempt, the model focuses only on the diplomatic meeting issues between the South and North. The model aggregates diplomatic issues into 5 categories; economic issues, security issues, infrastructure, cultural issues, and past problems. It assumes that there would not be any dramatic changes between the two countries. It is a conceptual model composed of around 200 variables, and should not be used as a forecast tool. However, it captures most of the logics discussed in the papers and conferences concerning the South and North Korea relations. Many sensitivity studies and Monte Carlo simulations have shown that the simulation results matches with mental models of experts; that is the model can be used as a learning tool or as a secondary opinion until the data required by the model is collected. In order to analyze the current situation, five scenarios are simulated and analyzed; the functional approach, the conditional approach, the balanced approach, the circumstantial approach, and the strategic approach. The functional approach represents that the South makes efforts in the area where the possibility of agreement is high for the next 10 years. The conditional approach is a scenario where the South impose all difficult issues as conditions for resolving other diplomatic issues. The balanced approach is resolving the five issues with the same priorities, while the circumstantial approach is resolving issues which seem to be resolved easily. Finally, another optimum approach has been seek using the system dynamics model developed. The optimum strategy (it is named as the strategic approach) was strikingly different from other four approaches. The optimum strategy is so complicated that no one could find it with mental model(or by just insights). Considering that the system dynamic model used to find the optimum is a simplifind (maybe over simplified) version of the reality, it is concluded that a well designed system dynamics model would be of great help to resolving the complicated diplomatic problems in any kind.

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정신기능과 관련된 경혈에 대한 침 자극이 인체에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of Acupuncture Stimulation on Acupoints Related to Mind)

  • 이승기;최우진;심성윤
    • 동의신경정신과학회지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : This study aimed to understand the influence of acupuncture on the human body by comparing changes within human bodies before and after people in normal health are treated with acupuncture at the acupoints HT7 and PC9, which are related to mental functions. Methods : The study was performed from January 3, 2008 to March 5, 2008 on 60 healthy males and females in their 20s. HRV, EEG, skin conductance response, respiration and peripheral skin temperature were measured for 5 minutes before acupuncture simulation was applied to the acupoints HT7 and PC9. During 20 minutes of acupuncture treatment, the same items were continuously measured to determine whether there had been any changes, and they were then measured for 5 minutes after the removal of the acupuncture needles in order to implement a comparative analysis. Results : 1. The HRV measurement showed that in the course of before, during and after acupuncture stimulation, heart rate, HF and HF norm decreased significantly (P<0.05) at HT7. LF, LF norm, and LF/HF ratio increased significantly (P>0.05), while heart rate, HF and HF norm decreased significantly (P<0.05) at PC9. 2. Skin conductance response increased significantly (P<0.05) at PC9 during and after the acupuncture simulation periods, compared with the pre acupuncture period. 3. the peripheral skin temperature increased significantly (P<0.05) both at HT7 and PC9 in the course of before, during and after acupuncture stimulation. 4. Compared with the pre-acupuncture period, respiration rate increased both at HT7 and at PC9 during and after the acupuncture simulation periods, but not in a statistically significance. 5. In the EEG measurement, when compared with the pre-acupuncture period at HT7, mid ${\beta}$ wave decreased significantly (P<0.05) during acupuncture treatment. Compared with the measurements during acupuncture treatment at PC9, low ${\beta}$ wave increased significantly (P<0.05) after the acupuncture needles were removed. Conclusions : When acupuncture treatment is applied at the acupoints HT7 and PC9, the activation of parasympathetic nerves decreases and the activation of sympathetic nerves increases in the HRV measurement. It was determined that PC9 makes the sympathetic nerves become highly activated in a skin conduction response. The effect of stability in the brain wave seemed to bo shown at HT7 than PC9.

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