• Title/Summary/Keyword: Megatrends

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An Exploration For Future Emerging Technologies by Science Mapping and a Dynamic Portfolio Setting for Government R&D Strategy (과학지도 작성을 통한 미래기술 발굴 및 정부R&D의 동적 투자방향성 설정 연구)

  • Yang, He-Young;Son, Suk-Ho;Han, Min-Kyu;Han, Jong-Min;Yim, Hyun
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.1-29
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    • 2011
  • Korean government built "2040 Science and Technology Future Vision" in order to show positive future scenarios and suggest a long-term guideline for a progress in science and technology. The S&T Future Vision was built based on an analysis of global megatrends and a prospect of domestic social change. After building S&T Future Vision, the "Government R&E Strategy"s was established as a follow-up action plan. The Government R&D Strategy consists of lists of future emerging technologies for future leadership, government R&D investment status and investment portfolio plans. Exploring future emerging technologies aggressively and making a governmental R&D strategic policy are requirements for national competitiveness, leadership in the world. Therefore search and selection for future emerging technologies is getting more and more important recently. Generally qualitative methodologies have been used such as expert-panel discussion method and portfolio analysis with expert valuation method in order to explore future technologies. These experts-based qualitative methodologies are well defined but lacking in some objectivity because size of expert-panels has limitations. We suggest a quantitative methodology, science mapping method to compensate this shortcoming in this study. There is another limitation related governmental R&D strategy which is that general R&D portfolios are static until a point of technology realization. We also propose a dynamic R&D investment portfolio which present different portfolios at a intermediate point and a point of technology realization. We expect this try with science mapping method and a dynamic R&D portfolio could strengthen strategic aspect of government R&D policy.

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