• 제목/요약/키워드: Measure of Risk

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제주특별자치도 상수도 기후위기 적응대책 연구 (A study on adaptation measures to climate crisis for water supply system of Jeju Special Self-Governing Province)

  • 김진근
    • 상하수도학회지
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.447-456
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    • 2023
  • Risk assessment on Jeju Special Self-Governing Province(JSSGP)'s water supply facilities and establishment of adaptation measures for climate crisis factors were implemented. JSSGP's vulnerability to the climate crisis was high in the order of drought, heat wave, heavy rain and strong wind. As a drought adaptation measure, policies of water saving and revenue water ratio improvement were considered. As for the heat wave adaptation measure, the introduction of an advanced water treatment process was suggested in response to the increase of algae cell number which resulting in taste and odor problem. As for heavy rain adaptation measures, the installation and operation of automatic coagulant injection devices for water purification plants that take turbid surface water were proposed. As a measure to adapt to strong winds, stabilization of power supply such as installation of dual power line was proposed in preparation for power outages. It is expected that water facilities will be able to supply high-quality tap water to customers even under extreme climate conditions without interruption through risk assessment for climate crisis factors and active implementation of adaptation measures.

독성물질 사용.저장시설에 대한 개인적 위험성 산정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Individual and Societal Risk Estimation for the Use and Storage Facility with Toxic Materials)

  • 김성빈;김윤화;이철;엄성인;고재욱;백종배
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.51-59
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    • 1997
  • These days leakage incidents of toxic materials cause serious effects on the nearby residents as well as the workers around the accidents accompanying massive material losses and human damages through widening influential areas. The risk measure through adequate quantitative analysis as well as the qualitative analysis of the leakage incidents of toxic materials becomes an urgent issue. The damage of the leakage incident on the surrounding area of the dangerous toxic material facilities was calculated quantitatively by adopting several models in this research. First, the calculations of the leakage velocity from the factories were performed by using source model for the assessment of the influential area, and the damages on the nearly residents were calculated by using the dispersion model and the effort model. The probability of the Incidents was computed based on "The manual for classification and priorization of major incidents" published by IAEA( International Atomic Energy Agency ). Above calculated damage area and incident probability were further adopted in this study to induce the individual and societal risk, quantitatively. The calculated data of the real Incident of the toxic material leakage showed reasonable agreements to the actual damage of the incidents, which showed a validity of this study. The result of this study might be a helpful measure for predicting damages and preparing safety systems for similar kinds of incidents.incidents.

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제 2형 당뇨 환자의 식이, 신체활동, 자가간호, 자기효능감과 심혈관 합병증 위험요소간의 관계 (The Relationship of Diet, Physical Activities, Self-efficacy, and Self-care with Cardiovascular Risk Factors among Clients with Type II Diabetes)

  • 이해정;김명수
    • 성인간호학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.283-294
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to identify predictors of cardiovascular risk factors of type 2 diabetic patients. Methods: Diabetic patients (N=160) were interviewed from November, 2003 to June, 2004. The 24 hour dietary recall, the International Physical Activity Questionnaire, the Diabetes Management Self-Efficacy Scale for patient with Type 2 diabetes, the Revised Summary of Diabetes Self-Care Activities Measure Scale and Parma Cardiovascular Risk Index were used to measure the predictors. Data were analyzed by descriptive analyses, Pearson correlation coefficients, and stepwise multiple regression using the SPSS WIN 10.0. Results: Mean dietary intakes of the participants were protein(P) of 64.5g, carbohydrate(C) of 280.74g, fat(F) of 30g, and calcium of 511.45mg. The ratio of CPF was 75:17:8. About 45% of the participants didn't exercise on a regular basis. The levels of self-efficacy, self-care, and cardiovascular risk factors of the participants were moderate. Self-efficacy was the most important predictor of cardiovascular risk factors along with self-care, exercising for more than 6 months, carbohydrate intakes and levels of physical activities. Conclusion: The findings of the study suggest that intervention programs increasing self-efficacy on diabetic management would be more beneficial than the fractional approach focusing only on diet or physical activities.

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Assessment of the Risk of Exposure to Chemical Carcinogens

  • Purchase, Iain F.H.
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.41-45
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    • 2001
  • The methods used for risk assessment from exposure to chemicals are well established. in most cases where toxicity other than carcinogenesis is being considered, the standard method relies on establishing the No Observed Adverse Effect Level (NOAEL) in the most sensitive animal toxicity study and using an appropriate safety factor (SF) to determine the exposure which would be associated with an acceptable risk. For carcinogens a different approach is used because it has been argued there is no threshold of effect. Thus mathematical equations are used to extrapolate from the high doses used in ani-mal experiments. These methods have been strongly criticised in recent years on several grounds. The most cogent criticisms are a) the equations are not based on a thorough understanding of the mechanisms of carcinogenesis and b) the outcome of a risk assessment based on such models varies more as a consequence of changes to the assumptions and equation used than it does from the data derived from carcinogenicity experiments. Other criticisms include the absence of any measure of the variance on the risk assessment and the selection of default values that are very conservative. Recent advances in the application of risk assessment emphasise that measures of both the exposure and the hazard should be considered as a distribution of values. The outcome of such a risk assessment provides an estimate of the distribution of the risks.

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A Study for Technique of Detecting the Real-time Route Aberrance in the Passage Route Using Ship's Domain Theory

  • Gang, Sang-Guen
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.273-278
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    • 2017
  • This paper is to study a technique to detect the real-time route aberrance on the passage route using bumper area of the ship domain theory. In order to evaluate the risk of route aberrance, a quarter line was created between the center line and the outer line, and a passage route with the image line outside the outer line was designed. It calculated the real-time route aberrance with the vessel bumper area to measure the risk level on the passage route. The route aberrance using overlap bumper area was simulated through three kinds of scenario vessel at the designed passage route. In this paper, we proposed Ratio to Aberrance Risk as one of the evaluation parameter to detect the route aberrance risk at each sector in the passage route and to give the evaluation criteria of 5 levels for seafarer's navigation safety. The purpose of this work is to provide the information of the route aberrance to seafarer automatically, to make it possible to prevent the human errors of seafarer on the high risk aberrance route. As the real-time risk of route aberrance on the passage route is automatically evaluated, it was well thought that seafarer can have only a little workload in order to know the risk of route aberrance at early-time. Following the further development of this work, the techniques for detecting the real-time route aberrance will be able to use the unmanned vessel.

고위험신생아에 있어 New Ballard Examination(NBE)을 이용한 재태기간 사정 (Assessment of Gestational Age using New Ballard Examination in High-Risk Infants)

  • 안영미;이상미
    • 대한간호학회지
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.176-185
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    • 2002
  • Knowing the accurate GA is critical in nursing care of high-risk newborns. A descriptive study was performed to examine the reliability and clinical applicability of the new Ballard examination (NBE) in high-risk infants. Method: A NBE was performed to measure GA by assessing the neuromuscular and physical maturity in the course of physical examination of a convenient sample of 50 high-risk infants. Results: 1) There was a highly correlation between both the GA by LMP (GA-LMP) and GA by NBE (GA-NBE) (r = .894, p = .000) 2) There was a greater positive relationship in neuromuscular maturity than physical maturity in the GA-NBE of the high-risk newborn (r = .657 versus r = .915, p <. 05). 3) The high-risk infants were thoes with congenital anomalies, prematurity, and RDS(Respiratory Distress Syndrome). Male infants showed a higher neuromuscular maturity, compared to female infants. 4) There was a positive correlation between neuromuscular, physical, total maturity, GA-LMP and GA-NBE in the birth weight, 1 minute Apgar score. Conclusion: The study supports the reliability an clinical relevance of NBE in assessment of the accurate GA in high-risk infants.

The Pricing of Accruals Quality with Expected Returns: Vector Autoregression Return Decomposition Approach

  • YIM, Sang-Giun
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.7-17
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: This study reexamines the test on the pricing of accruals quality. Theory suggests that information risk is a priced risk factor. Using accruals quality as the proxy for information risk, researchers have tested the pricing of information risk. The results are inconsistent potentially because of the information shock in the realized returns that are used as the proxy for expected returns. Based on this argument, this study revisits this issue excluding information-shock-free measure of expected returns. Research design, data and methodology: This study estimates expected returns using the vector autoregression model. This method extracts information shocks more thoroughly than the methods in prior studies; therefore, the concern regarding information shock is minimized. As risk premiums are larger in recession periods than in expansion periods, recession and expansion subsamples were used to confirm the robustness of the main findings. For the pricing test, this study uses two-stage cross-sectional regression. Results: Empirical results find evidence that accruals quality is a priced risk factor. Furthermore, this study finds that the pricing of accruals quality is observed only in recession periods. Conclusions: This study supports the argument that accruals quality, as well as the pricing of information risk, is a priced risk factor.

인공지능 로봇의 위험성 유형별 측정지표 개발 (Development of Measurement Indicators by Type of Risk of AI Robots)

  • 송현경
    • 인터넷정보학회논문지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.97-108
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    • 2024
  • 인공지능 로봇의 산업화가 활발해짐에 따라 윤리적, 기술적 문제가 심각해지고 있음에도 위험성에 관한 연구는 미흡하다. 이러한 실정에서 연구자는 인공지능 로봇의 신체, 권리, 재산, 사회적 위험성을 측정할 수 있는 검증된 지표 52개를 개발하였다. 인공지능 로봇의 위험성 유형별 측정지표 개발을 위해 IRB 심의 이후, 전문가 11명에게 심층 면접하였다. 또한 현장성 검증을 위해 인공지능 로봇이 도입될 수 있는 여러 분야 종사자 328명에게 설문 조사하였으며, 타당성 및 신뢰성 측정을 위해 탐색적 요인분석과 신뢰도 분석, 변수 계산을 위한 상관관계 분석과 다중 회귀분석 등 통계 검증하였다. 이 논문에서 제시하는 측정지표가 표준화된 인공지능 로봇의 개발·인증·교육·정책 등에 널리 활용되어, 사회적으로 공감받고 안전한 인공지능 로봇 산업화의 초석이 되기를 기대한다.

상급종합병원 입원환자의 낙상 위험요인: 생존분석으로 (Risk Factors for Falls in Tertiary Hospital Inpatients: A Survival Analysis)

  • 조영신;이영옥;윤영순
    • 중환자간호학회지
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.57-70
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    • 2019
  • Purpose : The purpose of this study was to identify the risk factors for falls in tertiary hospital inpatients and to suggest data for developing a nursing intervention program for preventing falls. Methods: Data were collected between January 1, 2017, to December 31, 2017. Kaplan-Meier estimation was used to measure the survival rate, and the log-rank test was used for the differences between the fall group and the non-fall group. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to identify the risk factors for falls. Results: The incidence rate of falls for the inpatients was 1.2 cases per 1,000 days of hospitalization. The risk factors for falls were more likely to be found among those who were aged ${\geq}81$, had not undergone surgery, had poor joint motion, had unsteady gait, needed help or supervision, used assistive devices, had comorbidity, and took at least two drugs. Conclusion: For the inpatients, the risk factors for falls included age, surgery, comorbidity, medication that could change mobility, joint motion, and use of patient care equipment. It is necessary to give special attention to inpatients who have any of these risk factors and to develop a falls risk assessment tool.