• 제목/요약/키워드: Mean-line prediction

검색결과 52건 처리시간 0.024초

차원해석을 통한 열간 사상압연중 온도해석모델 개발 (FE-based Strip Mean Temperature Prediction On-Line Model in Hot Strip Finishing Mill by using Dimensional Analysis)

  • 이중형;곽우진;황상무
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국소성가공학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회논문집
    • /
    • pp.176-179
    • /
    • 2003
  • The mean temperature prediction of strip is very important in hot strip finishing mill because of affecting on product quality and shape. Also, temperature can be used by basic information in other on-line control models with affecting control accuracy in factory. So, FE based on-line temperature model was developed for predicting strip mean temperature accurately in various process conditions and factory environments. There are many variables in affecting strip mean temperature in on-line states of factory. But some problems are occurred in considering all variables for making temperature model because of the bad efficiency of regression or fitting analysis. In this report, we have adopted dimensional analysis for solving these problems. We have many variables with dimensions affecting strip temperature but we are able to make non-dimensional variables less than dimensional variables from the combination of dimensional variables caused by PI-Theorem in fluid mechanics. The developed models are divided by two parts. The one is interstand temperature prediction model. The other is roll gap temperature model.

  • PDF

상태벡터 모형에 의한 서울지역의 강우예측 (Rainfall Prediction of Seoul Area by the State-Vector Model)

  • 주철
    • 물과 미래
    • /
    • 제28권5호
    • /
    • pp.219-233
    • /
    • 1995
  • 강우의 평균과 분산이 시 공간적으로 변하는 비정상 다변량 모형을 강우모형으로 선정하였다. 그리고 강우모형의 상태 및 매개변수의 추정을 위해 비정상 대변량 모형의 잔차항에 Kalman Filter 순환추정 알고리즘을 적용하여 강우예측모형 시스템을 구성하였다. 그후 반응시간이 짧은 도시지역에 설치된 T/M 강우관측소에 입력되는 매 시간(10분간격) 강우자료를 사용하여 호우개수방법에 의한 비정상(Non-stationary) 평균과 분산의 추정 그리고 호우속도 추정을 통한 정규잔차 공분산을 추정하여 다수의 지점들 및 선행시간들의 실시간 다변량 단기 강우예측 (On-line, Real-time, Multivariate Short-term, Rainfall Prediction)을 하였다. 강우예측시스템 모형에 의한 결과와 비정상 변량 모형에 의한 강우모의 결과가 잘 일치하였다. 그리고 예측정도를 측정하는 방법인 제곱 평균 제곱근 오차(RMSE)와 모형 효율성 계수(ME)를 분석한 결과, 강우 예측시간 즉 선행시간이 갈수록 제곱 평균 제곱근 오차가 커지고 모형 효율성 계수가 1로부터 점차 작아지는 것으로 보아 강우예측 정도가 떨어지는 것을 알 수 있었다. 또한 호우개수방법으로 구한 평균이 호우구조의 많은 부분을 차지하고 있음을 알 수 있었다.

  • PDF

후판 압연의 온라인 온도예측 모델 개발 (Development of On-line Temperature Prediction Model for Plate Rolling)

  • 서인식;이창선;조세돈;주웅용
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국소성가공학회 1999년도 제3회 압연심포지엄 논문집 압연기술의 미래개척 (Exploitation of Future Rolling Technologies)
    • /
    • pp.283-292
    • /
    • 1999
  • Temperature prediction model was developed for on-line application to plate rolling mills of POSCO. The adequate boundary conditions of heat transfer coefficients were obtained by comparing the predicted temperature with the measured temperatures taken by measuring system in plate rolling mill of POSCO. In obtaining the boundary condition which minimize the mean and standard deviation of the difference between prediction and measurement, orthogonal array for experimental design was used to reduce the calculation time of large data set. To predict the temperature drop at four edge of plate in one dimensional model, the energy change by heat transfer though directions perpendicular to thickness direction was treated like that by deformation. And the heat transfer through four edge directions was inferred from that through thickness direction with two coefficients of depth and severity of temperature drop at the edge. The boundary condition for the depth and severity of temperature drop were also determined using the measured temperature.

  • PDF

단 축적법을 이용한 다단 축류 압축기 성능예측 비교 (Performance Prediction Comparison of Multi-Stage Axial-Compressor by Stage-Stacking Method)

  • 박태진;윤성호;백제현
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 유체기계공업학회 2001년도 유체기계 연구개발 발표회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.143-148
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this study, to investigate the effect of the generalized performance curve on the performance prediction and to find the optimal ones, a systematic study is performed. For this purpose, we compared the influence of the stage performance curves with experimental data in multi-stage axial compressors. As a result, it is discovered that the optimal generalized performance curves vary according to the number of the stages in compressors. And we found that for a low-stage compressors, Muir's pressure coefficient curve gives the best prediction results at design rotational frequency regardless of the efficiency curve. On the other hand, for high-stage compressors, Stone's pressure coefficient curve gives the optimistic results about the performance prediction at design rotational frequency.

  • PDF

간단한 손실모델을 이용한 단단축류압축기 탈설계점 성능예측 (Off-Design Performance Prediction of an Axial Flow Compressor Stage Using Simple Loss Correlations)

  • 김병남;정명균
    • 대한기계학회논문집
    • /
    • 제18권12호
    • /
    • pp.3357-3368
    • /
    • 1994
  • Total pressure losses required to calculate the total-to-total efficiency are estimated by integrating empirical loss coefficients of four loss mechanisms along the mean-line of blades as follows; blade profile loss, secondary flow loss, end wall loss and tip clearance loss. The off-design points are obtained on the basis of Howell's off-design performance of a compressor cascade. Also, inlet-outlet air angles and camber angle are obtained from semi-empirical relations of transonic airfoils' minimum loss incidence and deviation angles. And nominal point is replaced by the design point. It is concluded that relatively simple loss models and Howell's off-design data permit us to calculate the off-design performance with satisfactory accuracy. And this method can be easily extended for off-design performance prediction of multi-stage compressors.

고속 Line Center의 ATC 신뢰성 평가 (Reliability Evaluation of ATC for High-Speed Line Center)

  • 이승우;이화기;신동환
    • 한국정밀공학회지
    • /
    • 제23권6호
    • /
    • pp.111-118
    • /
    • 2006
  • Recently, the reliability evaluation and analysis are applied far many industrial products which are required to guarantee in quality and efficiency. The purpose of this paper is to present some of reliability evaluation methodologies that are applicable to machine tools. Especially ATC (Automatic Tool Changer), which is a core component of line center, was chosen as the target of the reliability evaluation and analysis. The scope of research is reliability prediction, reliability test and evaluates their results. The results of reliability evaluation have shown the failure rates, MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure), reliability for those components of ATC and real tests reliability through the constructed reliability test-bed. It is expected that proposed methodologies would increase reliability for a high-speed line center.

단 축적법을 이용한 다단 축류 압축기 탈설계 성능예측 (Off-Design Performance Prediction of Multi-Stage Axial-Compressor by Stage-Stacking Method)

  • 박태진;백제현;윤성호
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회논문집E
    • /
    • pp.789-794
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this study, a program for the off-design performance prediction of multi-stage axial-compressors is developed based on stage-stacking method. To account for the increased losses at off-design conditions, generalized performance curve is applied. The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of the choice of generalized performance curve and stator exit angle. For this purpose, we tested various generalized performance curves and stator exit angles. In conclusion, Muir's pressure coefficient curve gives a good prediction results regardless of the efficiency curve for a low-stage compressors. On the other hand, for high-stage compressors, The combination of Muir's pressure coefficient curve and Stone's efficiency curve gives a optimistic results. Stator exit angle has a small effect on overall performance curve.

  • PDF

박용 터보챠저 사류 터빈의 공력설계 (A Aerodynamic Design of Mixed Flow Turbine of the Marine Turbocharger)

  • 김홍원;오국택;갈상학;하지수
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 추계학술대회논문집B
    • /
    • pp.670-675
    • /
    • 2001
  • This paper describes aerodynamic preliminary design performance prediction and flow analysis for turbine of the marine middle engine turbocharger. The performance characteristics of turbocharger turbine are investigated at various operating conditions using mass flow rate and computational flow analysis for rotor and nozzle at design point are performed. Preliminary design results are performed by applying mean line and radial equilibrium theory. Performance prediction and flow analysis results show good agreement with experiments. From 3 dimensional flow analysis result, efficiency is 0.6% greater than design point. Therefore, this design approach is useful for preliminary design, and helps to increase the design capability for optimized rotor blade.

  • PDF

축류 압축기 설계 및 성능/유동 해석 프로그램 개발 (Development of Axial Compressor Design and Performance/Flow Analysis Program)

  • 윤성호;이광렬;박준영;박태진;최민석;백제현
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 대한기계학회 2001년도 추계학술대회논문집B
    • /
    • pp.658-663
    • /
    • 2001
  • In this study, the axial-compressor design and performance/flow analysis program is developed. A mean-line analysis was used to determine optimum arrangement of overall geometry and its off-design performance is predicted by stage-stacking method. Three dimensional blade shape is generated using radial equilibrium equation and vortex methods. Various blade shape is generated and their performance is compared. Finally the quasi-three dimensional flow analysis is applied to investigate the detailed flow phenomena.

  • PDF

PSC-beam 교량에서 철도소음 예측 및 저감방안 연구 (A Study on railway noise prediction and reduction of PSC-beam bridge)

  • 임광만;엄기영;조국환
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국철도학회 2011년도 정기총회 및 추계학술대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.320-328
    • /
    • 2011
  • The down town passage segment which follows in the straight line which follows recently in high speed of the railway and rail construction is increasing. Also according to quality of life improvement of the citizens whom follows in national income increase the resident demand only becomes larger day by day about a environmental creation which is comfortable and house environmental etc. Demand of the citizens is not the problem of today yesterday about like this railway mean of transportation and with the fact that continuously will increase in future. This study is to predict and reduce railway noise from the conventional PSC-beam bridges which passes through urban areas under the government strateges of speed and weight increases of railway. The purpose of this study is to recommend a proper noise prediction method for designing pleasant roadside environments. The railway design including existing line reconstructions should minimize curved alignment to increase train speed to 180~200km/hr under the government's long-term planing such as the 4th Comprehensive National Development Plan (2000~2020), National Intermodal Transportation Plan (2000~2019) and National Railroad Network Establishment Plan (2006~2015), Since the PSC-beam bridges are mainly used for bridge structures urban areas, noise measurements were performed and analyzed to recommend the noise prediction methods for each type and speed of train respectively.

  • PDF