• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제28권3호
• /
• pp.659-668
• /
• 2017

The inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) can be readily applied to a wide range of situations including applications in medicines, reliability and ecology. It is generally known that the lifetimes of test items may not be recorded exactly. In this paper, therefore, we consider the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and Bayes estimation of the entropy of a IWD under generalized progressive hybrid censoring (GPHC) scheme. It is observed that the MLE of the entropy cannot be obtained in closed form, so we have to solve two non-linear equations simultaneously. Further, the Bayes estimators for the entropy of IWD based on squared error loss function (SELF), precautionary loss function (PLF), and linex loss function (LLF) are derived. Since the Bayes estimators cannot be obtained in closed form, we derive the Bayes estimates by revoking the Tierney and Kadane approximate method. We carried out Monte Carlo simulations to compare the classical and Bayes estimators. In addition, two real data sets based on GPHC scheme have been also analysed for illustrative purposes.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
• /
• 제21권6호
• /
• pp.521-528
• /
• 2014

A stochastic Gompertz diffusion model for tumor growth is a topic of active interest as cancer is a leading cause of death in Korea. The direct maximum likelihood estimation of stochastic differential equations would be possible based on the continuous path likelihood on condition that a continuous sample path of the process is recorded over the interval. This likelihood is useful in providing a basis for the so-called continuous record or infill likelihood function and infill asymptotic. In practice, we do not have fully continuous data except a few special cases. As a result, the exact ML method is not applicable. In this paper we proposed a method of parameter estimation of stochastic Gompertz differential equation via Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that is applicable for several data structures. We compared a Markov transition data structure with a data structure that have an initial point.

• East Asian Economic Review
• /
• 제24권1호
• /
• pp.61-87
• /
• 2020

Five diffusion models are estimated using three different foreign exchange rates to find an appropriate model for each. Daily spot exchange rates expressed as the prices of 1 euro, 1 British pound and 100 Japanese yen in US dollars, respectively denoted by USD/EUR, USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY, are used. The maximum likelihood estimation method is implemented after deriving an approximate log-transition density function (log-TDF) of the diffusion processes because the true log-TDF is unknown. Of the five models, the most general model is the best fit for the USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY exchange rates, but it is not the case for the case of USD/EUR. Although we could not find any evidence of the mean-reverting property for the USD/EUR exchange rate, the USD/GBP, and USD/100JPY exchange rates show the mean-reversion behavior. Interestingly, the volatility function of the USD/EUR exchange rate is increasing in the exchange rate while the volatility functions of the USD/GBP and USD/100Yen exchange rates have a U-shape. Our results reveal that more care has to be taken when determining a diffusion model for the exchange rate. The results also imply that we may have to use a more general diffusion model than those proposed in the literature when developing economic theories for the behavior of the exchange rate and pricing foreign currency options or derivatives.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제15권1호
• /
• pp.65-76
• /
• 2014

In this article, a new model based on Lomax distribution is introduced. This new model is both useful and practical in areas such as economic, reliability and life testing. Some statistical properties of this model are presented including moments, hazard rate, reversed hazard rate, mean residual life and mean inactivity time functions, among others. It is also shown that the distributions of the new model are ordered with respect to the strongest likelihood ratio ordering. The method of moment and maximum likelihood estimation are used to estimates the unknown parameters. Simulation is utilized to calculate the unknown shape parameter and to study its properties. Finally, to illustrate the concepts, the appropriateness of the new model for real data sets are included.

• 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국통계학회 2004년도 학술발표논문집
• /
• pp.1-8
• /
• 2004

We address the problem of parameter estimation in multivariate distributions under ignorable non-monotone missing data. The factoring likelihood method for monotone missing data, termed by Robin (1974), is extended to a more general case of non-monotone missing data. The proposed method is algebraically equivalent to the Newton-Raphson method for the observed likelihood, but avoids the burden of computing the first and the second partial derivatives of the observed likelihood Instead, the maximum likelihood estimates and their information matrices for each partition of the data set are computed separately and combined naturally using the generalized least squares method. A numerical example is also presented to illustrate the method.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제18권2호
• /
• pp.83-98
• /
• 2017

Stress-strength reliability problems arise frequently in applied statistics and related fields. In the context of reliability, the stress-strength model describes the life of a component, which has a random strength X and is subjected to random stress Y. The component fails at the instant that the stress applied to it exceeds the strength and the component will function satisfactorily whenever X > Y. The problem of estimation the reliability parameter in a stress-strength model R = P[Y < X], when X and Y are two independent two-parameter Lindley random variables is considered in this paper. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and Bayes estimator of R are obtained. Also, different confidence intervals of R are obtained. Simulation study is performed to compare the different proposed estimation methods. Example in real data is used as practical application of the proposed procedure.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제6권1호
• /
• pp.41-51
• /
• 2005

The Bayes estimators of the parameters included in the complementary Weibull reliability model are obtained. In the process of deriving Bayes estimators, the scale and shape parameters of the complementary Weibull distribution are considered to be independent random variables having prior exponential distributions. The maximum likelihood estimators of the desired parameters are derived. Further, the least square estimators are obtained in closed forms. Simulation study is made using Monte Carlo method to make a comparison among the obtained estimators. The comparison is made by computing the root mean squared errors associated to each point estimation. Based on the numerical study, the Bayes procedure seems better than the maximum likelihood and least square procedures in the sense of having smaller root mean squared errors.

• ETRI Journal
• /
• 제34권5호
• /
• pp.684-689
• /
• 2012

A mode-singular-value-decomposition (SVD) maximum likelihood (ML) estimation procedure is proposed for the source localization problem under an additive measurement error model. In a practical situation, the noise variance is usually unknown. In this paper, we propose an algorithm that does not require the noise covariance matrix as a priori knowledge. In the proposed method, the weight is derived by the inverse of the noise magnitude square in the ML criterion. The performance of the proposed method outperforms that of the existing methods and approximates the Taylor-series ML and Cram$\acute{e}$r-Rao lower bound.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
• /
• 제13권2호
• /
• pp.91-104
• /
• 2012

Sarhan and Kundu (2009) introduced a new distribution named as the generalized linear failure rate distribution. This distribution generalizes several well known distributions. The probability density function of the generalized linear failure rate distribution can be right skewed or unimodal and its hazard function can be increasing, decreasing or bathtub shaped. This distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze lifetime data in place of linear failure rate, generalized exponential and generalized Rayleigh distributions. In this paper, we apply the simulated annealing algorithm to obtain the maximum likelihood point estimates of the parameters of the generalized linear failure rate distribution. Simulated annealing algorithm can not only find the global optimum; it is also less likely to fail because it is a very robust algorithm. The estimators obtained using simulated annealing algorithm have been compared with the corresponding traditional maximum likelihood estimators for their risks.

• 지질공학
• /
• 제6권2호
• /
• pp.83-93
• /
• 1996

최대우도법 (maximum likelihood method)을 이용하여 정류상태의 지하수위 자료로 부터 불균질성과 비등방성을 가지는 대수층의 수리상수를 추정하는 반전모델을 개발하였다. 반전모델을 이용하여 추정된 수리상수의 추정오차를 분석하기 위하여 Fisher information matrix 분석법을 도입하고, 수리상수의 추정을 위한 Parameterization의 방법으로 소유동영역화 방법 (zonation method)을 사용하였다. 개발된 반전모델을 이용하여 세가지 경우에 대해서 대구지역의 투수량계수를 추정하였다. 또한, 대구지역의 지하 수함양률을 각 소유동영역의 값으로 추정하였다. 각 추정에서 수반되는 추정오차의 특성을 Fisher information matrix를 구하여 사펴보았다.