• 제목/요약/키워드: Martingales

검색결과 24건 처리시간 0.019초

비례위험모형에서 정보적 중도절단의 효과 (Effects of Informative Censoring in the Proportional Hazards Model)

  • 정대현;홍승만;원동유
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.121-133
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    • 2002
  • This paper concerns informative censoring and some of the difficulties it creates in analysis of survival data. For analyzing censored data, misclassification of informative censoring into random censoring is often unavoidable. It is worthwhile to investigate the impact of neglecting informative censoring on the estimation of the parameters of the proportional hazards model. The proposed model includes a primary failure which can be censored informatively or randomly and a followup failure which may be censored randomly. Simulation shows that the loss is about 30% with regard to the confidence interval if we neglect the informative censoring.

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On the Conditional Tolerance Probability in Time Series Models

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 1997
  • Suppose that { $X_{i}$ } is a stationary AR(1) process and { $Y_{j}$ } is an ARX process with { $X_{i}$ } as exogeneous variables. Let $Y_{j}$ $^{*}$ be the stochastic process which is the sum of $Y_{j}$ and a nonstochastic trend. In this paper we consider the problem of estimating the conditional probability that $Y_{{n+1}}$$^{*}$ is bigger than $X_{{n+1}}$, given $X_{1}$, $Y_{1}$$^{*}$,..., $X_{n}$ , $Y_{n}$ $^{*}$. As an estimator for the tolerance probability, an Mann-Whitney statistic based on least squares residuars is suggested. It is shown that the deviations between the estimator and true probability are stochatically bounded with $n^{{-1}$2}/ order. The result may be applied to the stress-strength reliability theory when the stress and strength variables violate the classical iid assumption.umption.n.

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정보적 중도절단을 고려한 최대 편우도 추정량의 정규성 (Normality of the MPLE of a Proportional Hazard Model for Informative Censored Data)

  • 정대현;원동유
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.149-163
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    • 2001
  • We study the normality of the maximum partial likelihood estimators for the proportional hazard model with informative censored data. The proposed models cover the cases in which the times to a primary event may be informatively or randomly censored and the times to a secondary event may be randomly censored. To estimate the parameters and to check the normality of the parameters in the model, we adopt the partial likelihood and counting process to use the martingale central limit theorem. Simulation studies are performed to examine the normality of the MPLE's for the five cases in which they depend upon the proportions of randomly censored and informative censored data.

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ON CONSISTENCY OF SOME NONPARAMETRIC BAYES ESTIMATORS WITH RESPECT TO A BETA PROCESS BASED ON INCOMPLETE DATA

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Jung, In-Ha
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈B:순수및응용수학
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 1998
  • Let F and G denote the distribution functions of the failure times and the censoring variables in a random censorship model. Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) verified consistency of $F_{\alpha}$, he NPBE of F with respect to the Dirichlet process prior D($\alpha$), in which they assumed F and G are continuous. Assuming that A, the cumulative hazard function, is distributed according to a beta process with parameters c, $\alpha$, Hjort(1990) obtained the Bayes estimator $A_{c,\alpha}$ of A under a squared error loss function. By the theory of product-integral developed by Gill and Johansen(1990), the Bayes estimator $F_{c,\alpha}$ is recovered from $A_{c,\alpha}$. Continuity assumption on F and G is removed in our proof of the consistency of $A_{c,\alpha}$ and $F_{c,\alpha}$. Our result extends Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) since a particular transform of a beta process is a Dirichlet process and the class of beta processes forms a much larger class than the class of Dirichlet processes.

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