• Title/Summary/Keyword: Market test

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The Macroeconomic and Institutional Drivers of Stock Market Development: Empirical Evidence from BRICS Economies

  • REHMAN, Mohd Ziaur
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2021
  • The stock markets in the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) countries are the leading emerging markets globally. Therefore, it is pertinent to ascertain the critical drivers of stock market development in these economies. The currrent study empirically investigates to identify the linkages between stock market development, key macro-economic factors and institutional factors in the BRICS economies. The study covers the time period from 2000 to 2017. The dependent variable is the country's stock market development and the independent variables consist of six macroeconomic variables and five institutional variables. The study employs a panel cointegration test, Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS), a Pooled Mean Group (PMG) approach and a heterogeneous panel non-causality test.The findings of the study indicate co-integration among the selected variables across the BRICS stock markets. Long-run estimations reveal that five macroeconomic variables and four variables related to institutional quality are positive and statistically significant. Further, short-run causalities between stock market capitalization and selected variables are detected through the test of non-causality in a heterogeneous panel setting. The findings suggest that policymakers in the BRICS countries should enhance robust macroeconomic conditions to support their financial markets and should strengthen the institutional quality drivers to stimulate the pace of stock market development in their countries.

Determinants and Prediction of the Stock Market during COVID-19: Evidence from Indonesia

  • GOH, Thomas Sumarsan;HENRY, Henry;ALBERT, Albert
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2021
  • This research examines the stock market index determinants and the prediction using the FFT curve fitting of the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JKSE) Composite Index during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper has used daily data of Jakarta Stock Exchange (JKSE) Composite Index, interest rate, and exchange rate from 15 October 2019 to 15 September 2020, and a total of 224 observations, retrieved from Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), Indonesia Statistics Central Bureau and Observation & Research of Taxation. The study covers descriptive statistics, multicollinearity test, hypothesis tests, determination test, and prediction using FFT curve fitting. The results unveil four fresh and robust evidence. Partially, the interest rate has affected positively and significantly the stock market index. Partially, the exchange rate has affected negatively and significantly the stock market index. The F-test result, interest rate, and exchange rate have significantly affected the stock market index (JKSE) simultaneously. Furthermore, the FFT curve fitting has predicted that the stock market fluctuates and increases over time. The results have shown a strong influence of the independent variables and the dependent variable. The value of Adjusted R-Square is 0.719, which means that the independent variables have simultaneously impacted the dependent variable for 71.9%; other factors have influenced the remaining 28.1%.

The Impact of Credit and Stock Market Development on Economic Growth in Asian Countries

  • NGUYEN, Bao K.Q.;HUYNH, Vy T.T.;TO, Bao C.N.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.9
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2021
  • The paper has used the Solow-Swan growth model to analyze the long-term impact of credit market development and stock market development on economic growth in Asia from 2000 to 2019. The empirical model is performed with panel cointegration analysis by Common Correlated Effects (CCE) method with cross-sectional dependencies. The results find that there exists a cointegration relationship among stock market, credit market development, and economic growth. These results also show that financial structure improves the exact impact of financial development on economic growth, namely the opposite effect of stock market development and credit market development. Moreover, the Granger causality test reveals a bi-directional relationship between credit market development and economic growth, while only unidirectional causality from stock market development to economic growth for the whole group panel. And it is different for a specific country, according to Kónya's test. The view of the new structuralism does not apply in the Asian financial system when we estimate the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag model (NARDL) to analyze the asymmetric relationship between financial structure and economic growth. On the whole, policymakers can draw on the findings to provide policy implications to improve their country's financial system as well as pursue the goal of sustainable economic growth.

Resazurin Reduction Time Test to Determine Post-pasteurization Contamination and Shelf Life of Market Milk (시유의 2차오염과 저장가능기간을 결정하기 위한 Resazurin 환원시간검사)

  • Choi, S,H.;Choi, J.J.;Lee, S.B.;Yoon, Y.H.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.46 no.6
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    • pp.999-1006
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    • 2004
  • The selective media including NPC agar, DHL agar, MacConkey agar, and Cetrimide desoxycholate agar were compared to determine selectivity for the growth of bacteria Cetrimide desoxycholate agar was better than NPC agar, DHL agar, and MacConkey agar for the growth of psychrotrophic grarn-negatve bacteria including Pseudomonas. and for the inhibition of gram positive bacteria The specificity of resazurin reduction time test was investigated to determine post-pasteurization contamination of market milk. Equal volume of Cetrimide desoxycholate broth was added to market milk, which was then incubated at $21^{\circ}C$ for 18 hours. The growth of bacteria in the incubated milk was detected in resazurin reduction time test. The results in resazurin reduction time test and total bacteria number count of market milk after storage at $7^{\circ}C$ were relatively correlated each other. Pseudomonas was isolated most frequently from the market milk stored at $7^{\circ}C$ for 10 days, and Acinetobacter and Aeromonas followed. Acinetobacter, Pseudomonas and Enterobacter were frequently isolated from the mixture of market milk and Cetrimide desoxycholate broth incubated at $21^{\circ}C$ for 18hours in resazurin reduction time test.

COVID-19, Remittance Inflows, and the Stock Market: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh

  • QAMRUZZAMAN, Md.;KARIM, Salma;JAHAN, Ishrat
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.265-275
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    • 2021
  • This study's motivation is to investigate the association between the stock market, remittance, and the pandemic of COVID-19 for the period from March 3, 2020, to December 14, 2020. For evaluating the impact of COVID-19 and remittances on stock market behaviour during the pandemic, the study applies Autoregressive Distributed lagged (ARDL) for magnitudes estimation and directional association through the Toda-Yamamoto causality test. Study findings from ARDL estimation revealed that COVID-19 measured by detecting new cases negatively influences the stock market both in the long-term and short-term. Remittance positively influences the stock market behaviour, particularly in the long-term. Furthermore, the directional causality test disclosed unidirectional causal effects between COVID-19 and the stock market behaviour, which establishes all proxy measures for the equation's stock market. The hypothesis results explain the causal relationship between remittance inflows and the stock market in Bangladesh. The study's application will help policymakers rethink the policies for channelizing remittances for productive investment areas. Furthermore, the study's findings will reinstate the widely perceived notions, which is the critical role of remittance in the economy even though the economy passes through a great pandemic.

Theoretical and Empirical Issues in Conducting an Economic Analysis of Damage in Price-Fixing Litigation: Application to a Transportation Fuel Market (담합관련 손해배상 소송의 경제분석에서 고려해야 할 이론 및 실증적 쟁점: 수송용 연료시장에의 적용)

  • Moon, Choon-Geol
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.187-224
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    • 2014
  • We present key issues to consider in estimating damages from price-fixing cases and then apply the procedure addressing those issues to a transportation fuel market. Among the five methods of overcharge calculation, the regression analysis incorporating the yardstick method is the best. If the price equation relates the domestic price to the foreign price and the exchange rate as in the transportation fuel market, the functional form satisfying both logical consistency and modeling flexibility is the log-log functional form. If the data under analysis is of time series in nature, then the ARDL model should be the base model for each market and the regression analysis incorporating the yardstick method combines these ARDL equations to account for inter-market correlation and arrange constant terms and collusion-period dummies across component equations appropriately so as to identify the overcharge parameter. We propose a two-step test for the benchmarked market: (a) conduct market-by-market Spearman or Kendall test for randomness of the individual market price series first and (b) then conduct across-market Friedman test for homogeneity of the market price series. Statistical significance is the minimal requirement to establish the alleged proposition in the world of uncertainty. Between the sensitivity analysis and the model selection process for the best fitting model, the latter is far more important in the economic analysis of damage in price-fixing litigation. We applied our framework to a transportation fuel market and could not reject the null hypothesis of no overcharge.

An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Income Inequality and Economic Growth (소득불평등과 경제성장의 상호영향력 분석)

  • Yoon, Jai-Hyung
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.15-30
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzes the relationship between income inequality and economic growth. Gini coefficient (market income), the deciles income inequality index and per capita real GDP were analyzed. Furthermore, various cointegration tests were tried to improve the reliability of the test results. From the weak exogeniety test of between per capita real GDP and the Gini coefficient (market income), per capita real GDP has a weak exogeneity while the Gini coefficient is endogenous. From the various cointegration tests, we found out that there is a cointegration between Gini coefficient and per capita real GDP. Moreover, it is estimated that per capita real GDP has a positive effect on the Gini coefficient (market income). In the VAR Granger causal analysis, per capita real GDP affects the Gini coefficient (market income), but it is difficult to say that the Gini coefficient (market income) always has an effect on per capita real GDP. Also, the impulse-response function of the VAR model shows that per capita real GDP temporarily reduces the Gini coefficient (market income), and then increases it over time. Accordingly, it is necessary for the policies to improve not only the distribution structure but also income distribution through economic growth.

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Evaluation of Long-term Contracts for Market Power Mitigation in Generation Markets (발전력 시장에서의 시장지배력 억제를 위한 장기 계약량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Song Kwang Jae;Hur Don;Nam Young Woo;Park Jong Keun;Jeong Hae Seong;Yoon Yong Tae
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.1
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    • pp.38-42
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    • 2005
  • Restructuring of the electric power industry has brought the issue of market competitiveness to surface. Recent years have witnessed the appearance of a particular seller or group of sellers exercising market power in electricity supply. In fact, much scholarly work has been done on how to identify and mitigate such abuse by market management rules. In this paper we assess the possible market power on the basis of pivotal supplier test and propose the method to determine the reasonable quantity of long-term contracts which can play a crucial role in mitigating the market power for a pivotal player. Furthermore the market efficiency is guaranteed by making long term contracts with a pivotal player up to the quantity to ensure that the pivotal player has no incentive to abuse the pivotal quantity in the electricity market.

A Study on Market Efficiency with the Indexes of SSEC and SZSEC of China

  • DUAN, Guo Xi;TANIZAKI, Hisashi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.9
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • This paper studies market efficiency from a weak form aspect using opening and closing prices of the Shanghai stock exchange composite index (SSEC) and Shenzhen stock exchange composite index (SZSEC) under the expected return theory. Classical methods (autocorrelation and runs test) are used to examine the features of stock returns, and little evidence against mutual independence of returns is found. We predict daily returns of SSEC and SZSEC with AR(p) and VAR(p) models (in this paper, p = 5 is taken as a one-week lag) and perform a virtual experiment on two indexes based on the predicted value of daily returns from AR(p) or VAR(p) model. From the results of AR(p) and VAR(p) for two indexes, we attempt to find out how the market efficiency level changes when the information from the other market is under consideration as we check the market efficiency level in one market. We find that SSEC in 2014-2016 and SZSEC in 2015-2016 are inefficient from the result of autocorrelation, that SSEC in 2016 and SZSEC in 2013 are not efficient from the result of runs test, that the stock market is efficient except 2005, 2009, 2010 and 2017 in SSEC and 2005, 2016 and 2017 in SZSEC and that SSEC is more influenced by SZSEC but SSEC influences SZSEC less from the result of the virtual experiment.

Value Relevance of Development Cost in IT Firms of KOSDAQ (코스닥 IT기업의 개발비의 가치관련성)

  • Kym, Moon-Hyun
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to test the valur relevance of development cost particularly focusing on IT firms of KOSDAQ. Test period is from 2005 to 2007 and the samples are 2,271 year-firms including 1,692 firms that reported development cost in financial statements. The basic test model is a modified Ohlson(1995)'s linear model. The empirical results show that there is the negative relation between stock price and development cost reported as asset. It means that development costs reported as asset is considered as expense in the market. It implies that development activities of KOSDAQ IT firms is not related to market-leading technologies or goods. Otherwise it might reflect the conservative valuation of market on the unstability of KOSDAQ market itself.