• Title/Summary/Keyword: Market Dynamics

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A System Dynamics Approach to the Electronic Commerce and Its Implication

  • Jaeho Juhn;Kim, Doa-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2000.02a
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2000
  • In this paper an attempt is made to understand contribution factors in the field of electronic commerce(EC). To do that, we adopt and modify an existing commerce model. The following two major conclusions are drawn from our simulation. Most of all, the diminution of information delay introduce monotonous growth rather than fluctuation of EC market. The stable increase of revenue or market scale makes us decide the employment or capacity scale quickly. Second, for favorable and continuous evolution of EC, utilization system of electronic money should be established steadily. The following findings strongly support our claim: We found full oscillation of EC market when electronic money system didn't established well. On the contrary, if electronic money system could provide fast cash flow and fully trustful function, decisions of company or consumer would be executed promptly.

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Agent Negotiation-based Online Ticket Resale Model (에이전트 협상기반의 온라인 티켓 재판매 모델)

  • Cho, Jae-Hyung
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.143-154
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    • 2008
  • This study has tried to suggest a new model that can effectively redistribute the tickets in the online ticket resale market, while suggesting a new allocation mechanism based on an agent negotiation. To this end, this study has analyzed and simulated the secondary ticket market through System dynamics. As a result of these simulations, it has been proved that the price stability of ticket resale market leads to an increase in revenue. An agent negotiation helps to stabilize the ticket prices that are usually inclined to rise at auction, benefiting all the participants in the negotiations, consequently showing a Pareto solution.

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A Development of Simulation Model for Analysis of Logistics Expert Training and Employment Connection (물류전문인력 양성과 고용 연계 분석을 위한 시뮬레이션 모델 개발)

  • Lee, Jae-Won;Choi, Sung-Wook
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2009
  • This study has been performed to consider how to support to be effectively linked hiring of skilled human resources that were discharged through actually related education programs, as demand of they are recently being increased due to the expansion of the logistics market, and effort to train them is being propelled. That is associated with the Busan region, and field of logistics service is 3PL that is seriously considered the area of professional services at the last logistics market. Through the methodology of System dynamics, this study has been modeled about dynamic mechanism considered the growth of logistics marker and relation to employment, and has been estimated about ripple effect within logistics market of major policies related with them.

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A Stochastic Model for Order Book Dynamics: An Application to Korean Stock Index Futures

  • Lee, Yongjae;Kim, Woo Chang
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2013
  • This study presents an application of stochastic model for limit order book (LOB) dynamics to Korean Stock Index Futures (KOSPI 200 Futures). Since KOSPI 200 futures market is widely known as one of the most liquid markets in the world, direct application of an existing model is hardly possible. Therefore, we modified an existing model to successfully model and predict the dynamics of extremely liquid KOSPI 200 futures market.

Agent Based Modeling 기법을 활용한 시스템다이내믹스 모델링

  • Jeon, So-Yeon;Lee, Hye-Jun;Gwak, Sang-Man
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.19-40
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    • 2006
  • A system dynamics model is developed to investigate the applicability of the agent based modeling concept in the system dynamics model. The assumed problem is to forecast the size and structure of the organization with the developing market environment. The agent based modeling concept is applied to the organization part, and the other parts of the model such as market, facilities, etc. are developed with the traditional system dynamics technique. The simulation results show the agent based modeling part can be combined with the traditional system dynamics modeling with more precisions. However, the complexity increases and the simulation times are longer than those of the traditional method.

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Exploratory Study on Causality of Expansion Strategy into Emerging Market: Systems Thinking Approach (이머징 마켓 진출 전략의 인과관계에 대한 탐색적 연구: 시스템 사고에 의한 접근)

  • Chung, Chang-Kwon;Lee, Dong-Hyun
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.67-98
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    • 2012
  • This study suggests a set of Causal Loop Diagram (CLD) of Causality Mechanism which integrates the matter of characteristics of emerging market and its expansion strategies. In order to make CLD more objective, all causalities are articulated from recent 55 studies (2000~2012) of SSCI Top Journals. This approach is valuable in that it is a first try to draw all the causalities from rigorous literature review regarding emerging market strategy. The 5 CLDs will show and clarify the strategies of how to expand into emerging market for MNCs. In sum, political activity and institutional void is a critical factor related to characteristics of emerging market, and CSV and cultural distance should be considered as a leverage point. For all this study's contribution to clarify the causality of emerging market strategies with abundant literature review, the study has its limits in integrating and testing CLD.

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Cointegrated Relations between Foreign Ownership and Business Conditions in the Level of Korean Capital Market

  • Kim, Ju-Wan
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.127-163
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    • 2009
  • This paper examines the results of survey that the foreign ownership is cointegrated with capital market conditions in Korea using Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and how the mechanism of innovations and dynamics among the foreign ownership and capital market proxies in the VECM was described. Specifically, we find that the foreign ownership and capital market proxies follow I (1) process and there are cointegrated relations between the foreign ownership and capital market proxies. Adopting the impulse response function and variance decomposition in the VECM, we suggest, in turn, the default risk premia, liquidity of market and the rate of interest in long term business cycle take on a special function on the KSE and KOSDAQ. Finally, we also offer evidences of which there are differences of the mechanism of dynamics and innovations between on the KSE and on the KOSDAQ.

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Housing Market Participants' Decision Process and The Dynamics of Ripple Effect on Korean Housing Market - Focusing on The Cause of Housing Market Stagnation and Housing Policies After 2008 Global Financial Crisis - (국내 주택시장 참여자의 거래의사 결정과정 및 시장 파급효과의 동태적 분석 - 금융위기 이후의 주택시장 침체원인 및 주택정책을 중심으로 -)

  • Hyun, Hosang;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Park, Moonseo;Hwang, Sungjoo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 2014
  • After 2008 global financial crisis, Korean housing market has experienced stagnation. So it caused housing market problems like housing price reduction, rising rent cost and so on. For housing market normalization government announced policies but Korean housing market didn't recover from stagnation. So, to understand why Korean housing market couldn't overcome the recession and why the policies didn't be effective, this research analyzed housing market participants (home owner, housing demand) based on the law of supply and demand and the psychological effect on their transaction intention based on behavioral economics(behavioral finance). Based on the analysis this research tested the effectiveness of announced policies using System Dynamics. The result showed that the amount of transaction and mortgage loan was influenced by the length of time to draft policies.

Dynamic Forecasting of Market Growth according to Portable Internet Carrier Licensing Policy (휴대인터넷 사업자 선정 정책에 따른 동태적 시장 예측과 함의)

  • Kim, Jong-Tac;Park, Sang-Hyun;Oh, Myung-Ryoon;Kim, Sang-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.67-88
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    • 2004
  • This paper attempts to explore the generic pitfalls of the traditional number-crunching methods adopted thus far for the forecast of newly emerging market trends, and present an alternative by introducingsystems thinking to the portable Internet service market as an example, followed by its rationale as a new tool for forecasting and some reasoning about why traditional methods are no longer appropriate. Most adoption models in general to forecast market trends have several limitations due to theirbasic assumptions and prospective. First, they fail to capture dynamic interactions among the factors involved over time, with implicit assumptions of 'unilateral causality' in that each factor contributes as a cause to the effect, i.e., causality runs one way; each factor acts independently the weighting factor of each is fixed, etc. Second, the number-crunching models have no way of taking into account the impact of delayed feedback often caused by introducing new policies and legislative changes on the whole system under investigation. Third, there is not a way to reflect the effect of competition by players.

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An Application of Evolutionary Game Theory to Platform Competition in Two Sided Market (양면시장형 컨버전스 산업생태계에서 플랫폼 경쟁에 관한 진화게임 모형)

  • Kim, Do-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.55-79
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    • 2010
  • This study deals with a model for platform competition in a two-sided market. We suppose there are both direct and indirect network externalities between suppliers and users of each platform. Moreover, we suppose that both users and suppliers are distributed in their relative affinity for each platform type. That is, each user [supplier] has his/her own preferential position toward each platform, and users [suppliers] are horizontally differentiated over [0, 1]. And for analytical tractability, some parameters like direct and indirect network externalities are the same across the markets. Given the parameters and the pricing profile, users and suppliers conduct subscription game, where participants select the platform that gives them the highest payoffs. This game proceeds according to a replicator dynamics of the evolutionary game, which is simplified by properly defining gains from participant's strategy in the subscription game. We find that depending on the strength of these network effects, there might either be multiple stable equilibria, at which users and suppliers distribute across both platforms, or one unstable interior equilibrium corresponding to the market tipping in favor of either platform. In both cases, we also consider the pricing power of competing platform providers under the framework of the Stackelberg game. In particular, our study examines the possible effects of the type of competition between platform providers, which may constrain the equilibrium selection in the subscription game.