• Title/Summary/Keyword: Maritime Traffic Analysis

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A study on the forecast of port traffic using hybrid ARIMA-neural network model (하이브리드 ARIMA-신경망 모델을 통한 컨테이너물동량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Chang-Hoon;Kang, Jeong-Sick;Park, Soo-Nam;Lee, Ji-Hoon
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.81-88
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    • 2008
  • The forecast of a container traffic has been very important for port plan and development. Generally, statistic methods, such as regression analysis, ARIMA, have been much used for traffic forecasting. Recent research activities in forecasting with artificial neural networks(ANNs) suggest that ANNs can be a promising alternative to the traditional linear methods. In this paper, a hybrid methodology that combines both ARIMA and ANN models is proposed to take advantage of the unique strength of ARIMA and ANN models in linear and nonlinear modeling. The results with port traffic data indicate that effectiveness can differ according to the characteristics of ports.

A Study on the Traffic Stream and Navigational Characteristics at the Adjacent Sea Area of Busan Central Wharf (부산 중앙부두 주변해역의 교통흐름 및 통항특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim Se-Won;Lee Yun-Sok;Park Young-Soo;Kim Jong-Sung;Yun Gwi-Ho;Kim Dae-Hee
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.30 no.1 s.107
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2006
  • At the adjacent sea area of Busan Central Wharf, a variety of vessels, such as middle-large passenger ships, small hugh speed crafts, container ships, cargo ships and working boats as well as small miscellaneous vessels are freely sailing comparatively without special rules and marine traffic control. In this research, we analyzed traffic stream and navigational characteristics cf main traffic route based on statistics and distribution of tracks by ship's type and tonnage cf the passing vessels after conducting marine traffic survey twice using exclusive software. We examined the traffic safety of the passing vessels by classifying the sea area by each function based on the analysis about this traffic situation, and analyzing the effect by designating 'Inner passage'. We also studied the plan for the effective rearrangement cf Central Wharf considering basically the traffic safety of arrival and departure in a point of view of navigators.

A Study on the Analysis of Danger Elements in Navigational Areas Adjacent Mokpo port (목포 인근해역 항행 위험요소에 관한 분석)

  • Park Jung Ho;Keum Jong Su;Noh Chang Keun;Yun Myung Oh;Sin Chul Ho;Jeong Jae Yong;Park Gyei Kark
    • Proceedings of KOSOMES biannual meeting
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2003
  • The navigation area approach to Mokpo port consists of narrow channels with 30mile section, and the route is crossed with many fairways. Specially, except Mokpo-Gu fairway routeing is not assigned and there are many threatening factors against the safe operation of vessel because fishing and mining areas are designated Therefore, this paper proposed a plan for safe passage through a maritime transportation environmental assessment with the analysis of surrounding environment, danger element of navigation, traffic observation and marine accidents.

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A Study on Development of LCD monitor-Based Pilots' Ship-Handling Simulator

  • Jeong, Tae-Gweon;Chen, Chao;Lee, Shin-Geol;Lee, Jeong-Jin;Huh, Yong-Bum
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.36 no.9
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    • pp.715-720
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    • 2012
  • This paper is to introduce the development of a LCD monitor-based pilots' ship handling simulator installed in the office of Korea Maritime Pilots Association. This simulator is composed of hardware which includes working server array, operation PC, monitor array, rudder, thruster and telegraph peripheral devices, and software which includes ship mathematical model software, ship conning software, image supporting software and so on. In this simulator, MMG mathematical model is used to create thirteen(13) ship models, which are based on sea trial data & pilots' opinion. According to requirements of pilots, virtual scenes of different port areas are built, and some required additional functions are also developed. By using this simulator, pilots can fulfill all kinds of training exercises, design of channel approaching ports, traffic safety analysis, prevention of accident research and other tasks, so as to grasp the characteristics of different ships, and accumulate experience for piloting.

A Study on the Analysis of Ship Handling Simulation about Domestic Sea Bridge over the Harbor (국내 항만횡단 해상교량 관련 선박조종시뮬레이션 분석)

  • Lee, Yun-Sok;Cho, Ik-Soon;Cho, Ju-Hyun;Song, Chae-Uk
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.321-326
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    • 2008
  • Recently the large sea bridge's construction crossing harbor and main ship's route have been propelled in the domestic so that it is active for the smoothly traffic flow of inland transportation and road user's convenience. However, it can bring about the trouble to ensure marine traffic safety if it is built that sea bridge's construction sets to an economy principle in the extension of the land road system. We're adopting Ship Handling Simulation in representative method for the influence assessment of marine traffic safety and danger elements beforehand. This research attempts to show the problems through the comparison and analysis of the reports relating to the sea bridge construction for 4 organization possessing Ship Handling Simulation. Finally, We offer the necessity of standardization on performing and assessment method of simulations.

Correlation Analysis Between Lane Occupancy and Density in Expressways Connected with the Busan Port (부산항과 연계된 고속도로의 차로별 점유율과 밀도의 상관분석에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Gon;Heo, In-Seok;Park, Bae-Seong
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.37 no.5
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    • pp.535-541
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    • 2013
  • Expressways are built to provide for high levels of safety and efficiency in the movement of large traffic volumes at high speeds. However, Gyeongbu and Namhae expressways in the country which are often suffering from the transportation problems with increased import and exoprt cargo trucks including the container vehicles are the major expressways having the Busan Port as the origin and destination regions, and are required to study the expressway traffic characteristics for reducing the transportation problems. We therefore attempted to suggest the expressway density predictive model through the correlation analysis between lane occupancy and mean density at the 8-lane basic segments of the above major expressways in the country.

Detection of Ship Movement Anomaly using AIS Data: A Study (AIS 데이터 분석을 통한 이상 거동 선박의 식별에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Jae-Yong;Kim, Hye-Jin;Park, Se-Kil
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.277-282
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) coverage has expanded to include coastal areas following the increased attention on vessel traffic safety. However, it has increased the workload on the VTS operators. In some cases, when the traffic volume increases sharply during the rush hour, the VTS operator may not be aware of the risks. Therefore, in this paper, we proposed a new method to recognize ship movement anomalies automatically to support the VTS operator's decision-making. The proposed method generated traffic pattern model without any category information using the unsupervised learning algorithm.. The anomaly score can be calculated by classification and comparison of the trained model. Finally, we reviewed the experimental results using a ship-handling simulator and the actual trajectory data to verify the feasibility of the proposed method.

RISK ANALYSIS AT CONGESTED MARITIME TRAFFIC AREA OF ISTANBUL STRAIT (이스탄불 해협의 교통혼잡 위험 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Yusuf, Volkan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.2
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    • pp.13-17
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    • 2006
  • Almost every day close passage or near miss events happens in south part of Istanbul Strait between the vessel runs in the local area and pass strait transit. The vessels run in the local area pass close bow or aft of transit vessel or come close and wait for transit vessel because of inexperienced or incompetent skipper or because of time limitation or failure in technical equipment or lack of technical equipment or old equipment. This close passages create profound dangers for the surroundings. By the this research has been aimed to point out mentioned dangers by the concrete as number. For this purpose has been utilized JMS Ship Handling Simulator which has been settled in ITU Maritime Faculty and Environmental Stress Model which has been built up and improved in Inoue Laboratory. Has been put in the senarios which been played during simulation implementations transferred to the numerical risk occured during passage of South Part of Istanbul Strait by the Environmental Stress Model . Thus so, the riskwhich Istanbul Strait face everyday has been expressed as numerical and concrete.

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Causal Relationship Between Indian Ports' Originated Container Traffic and Total Transshipments of Port of Colombo: A Granger Causality Analysis

  • Bandara, Sooriya;Ryoo, Dong-Keun;Ahn, Ki-Myung
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.42 no.5
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    • pp.357-364
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    • 2018
  • Colombo noticeably became the most economical gateway to the Indian subcontinent, in terms of cost as well as time. The Colombo Port Expansion Project (CPEP) started commencement with the purpose of accommodating mega ships, under the long-term strategies of making Colombo the hub of South Asia. In this context, the purpose of this study is to investigate the causal relationship between Indian ports' originated container traffic, and total transshipments of the port of Colombo, and also to identify the nature of the causality between the two variables, evaluating Granger causality test results. It finds unidirectional causality from total transshipments of Colombo to Indian ports' originated transshipments in the port of Colombo. It suggested that ongoing port expansion projects, opening up for new markets and attracting new shipping lines in the port of Colombo, have generated significant impact on Indian ports' container traffic, via the port of Colombo. Findings would be valuable for future forecasting of container traffic in Colombo port and the policy-making process in the port as well.