• Title/Summary/Keyword: Mann-kendall test

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Long-term Variations of Water Quality Parameters in Lake Kyoungpo (경포호에서 수질변수들의 장기적인 변화)

  • Kwak, Sungjin;Bhattrai, Bal Dev;Choi, Kwansoon;Heo, Woomyung
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.48 no.2
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    • pp.95-107
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    • 2015
  • In order to identify long-term trends of water quality parameters in Lake Kyeongpo, Mann-Kendall test, Sen's slope estimator and linear regression were applied on data, with 15 parameters from three different sites and rainfall, monitored once in every two months from March to November during 1998~2013. Seasonal variation analysis only used Mann-Kendall test and Sen's slope estimator. Analysis result showed that salinity, transparency and nutrient variables (total phosphorus, dissolved inorganic phosphorus, total nitrogen, nitrate nitrogen, ammonia nitrogen) were only parameters having statistically significant trend. In linear regression analysis, salinity (surface and bottom layer of all sites) and transparency (only at site 1), were figured out with statistically significant increasing trend, while in non-parametric statistical method, salinity and transparency in all sites (surface, middle, deep) were figured out with statistically significant increasing trend. Water quality parameters showing statistically significant decreasing trends were dissolved oxygen (surface layer of site 1 and bottom layer of sites 2 and 3), total phosphorus (sites 1 and 2), dissolved inorganic phosphorus, total nitrogen, nitrate nitrogen and ammonia nitrogen in the linear regression analysis and, dissolved oxygen (bottom layer of all sites), total phosphorus, dissolved inorganic phosphorus, total nitrogen, nitrate nitrogen and ammonia nitrogen in the non-parametric method. Seasonal trend analysis result showed that salinity, turbidity, transparency and suspended solids in spring, salinity, transparency, nitrate nitrogen and suspended solids in summer and temperature, salinity, transparency and suspended solids in fall were the variables depending on the season with increasing trends. In general, rainfall during the research period showed decreasing trend. The significant reduction trends of nutrients in Lake Kyeongpo were believed to be related to lagoon restoration and water management project run by Gangneung city and under-water wear removal, but further detailed studies are needed to know the exact causes.

Tendency Analysis of Water Quality in the Yeongsan River Watershed using Mann-Kendall Test (Mann-Kendall 검정기법을 이용한 영산강 수질의 경향분석)

  • Kang, Ji Eun;Park, Sung Chun;Park, Su Ho;Lee, Woo Bum
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.442-442
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    • 2021
  • 하천과 호수 등 공공수역에서 측정되는 수질자료는 수자원 및 수생태계의 실태를 파악하기 위한 가장 중요한 요소이며, 측정망 운영으로 장기간 측정된 방대한 수질자료를 이용하여 신뢰성 있는 장기 경향 추세를 분석하는 것 또한 매우 중요하다. 장기간 생산된 수질자료에 대한 통계적 경향분석을 실시함으로써 정량적으로 수질자료를 분석할 수 있는데 우선 일정한 장소에서 동일한 측정기법을 통해 비교적 장기간 동안 일정간격으로 측정된 수질자료가 필요하다. 우리나라의 수질자료는 1990년도 이후부터 잘 축적되어 왔으므로 비로소 시간에 따른 수질변화 경향을 파악하는 것이 용이해졌다. 이러한 수질경향 분석을 통하여 수체 내부에서 일어나는 여러 가지 수질 변화 과정을 이해하고 적절한 수질관리 대책을 마련할 수도 있다. 본 연구에서는 수질자료의 경향을 분석하기 위하여 비모수적 통계기법의 수질 경향을 분석하는데 많이 활용되는 맨-켄달 검정기법(Mann-Kendall Test)과 LOWESS(LOcally WEighted Scatter polt Smoother) 경향분석법을 적용하였다. 맨-켄달 검정기법은 선형 경향을 기본 가정으로하기 때문에 대상 기간 동안 경향성이 변할 경우에는 이를 적절히 반영할 수 없는 단점이 있으나 LOWESS 경향분석법은 이를 보완하기 위하여 특정회귀모델을 가정하지 않고 이동 직선에 대한 수질자료 점들을 통해 회귀모델을 적합 시키는 방법으로 기간 내 변화하는 경향성을 파악 할 수 있는 대상지점은 영산강본류 중심으로 지류지천을 포함하여 18개 지점에 대하여 분석하였으며, p-value값은 0.05를 기준으로 미만일 경우 경향성이 있고, 이상일 경우 경향성이 없는 것으로 분류하였으며, Trend는 경향성이 있다고 판단될 경우 S값이 양수이면 증가하는 경향으로, S값이 음수이면 감소하는 경향으로 판단하였다. 경향분석을 통해 영산강 18개 지점을 분석한 결과 영산강 상류와 중류, 지류에 대한 전체적인 경향을 판단할 수 있었다.

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Yearly and Monthly Trend Analysis of Air Temperature in South Korea (남한지역 기온 변화의 연 추세 및 월 추세 분석)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Hwangbo, Jung-Do
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.920-923
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    • 2005
  • 우리나라의 기온변화의 연 추세 및 월 추세를 분석하기 위해서 현재 기상청에서 운영중인 지상기상관측소 76개소 자료를 사용하였다. Mann-Kendall 검정을 이용하여 자료의 추세를 분석하였다. 그 결과는 기온의 전체적으로 상승추세를 볼 수 있었고, 비도시 지역에 비하여 도시 지역의 증가율이 크게 나타났고 100년간의 자료를 가진 지점인 인천, 부산 지점에서 최근 30년간의 기온증가가 지난 100년간의 기온증가에 대부분을 차지함을 볼 수 있다. 또한 월별 추세를 분석한 결과 우기인 7, 8월 동안에는 기온의 상승추세가 강우 현상 등 임의성에 의해 통계적 유의성을 가진 상승 추세가 약화됨을 보여준다.

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A Non-parametric Trend Analysis of Water Quality Using Water Environment Network Data in Nakdong River (낙동강수계 물환경측정망 자료를 이용한 비모수적 수질 경향 비교 및 분석)

  • Kim, Jungmin;Jeong, Hyungi;Kim, Hyeran;Kim, Yongseok;Yang, Deukseok
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.61-77
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    • 2020
  • In South Korea, major public waters have been systematic management under national level. Water environment network has been continuous monitoring for change of aquatic ecosystem, river and reservoir. In Water Quality Monitoring Networks, the data have been generally monitored Per eight days or month, while in Automatic Water Quality Monitoring Network the data have been monitored at daily intervals. Therefore, we were compared and analyzed water quality data between the networks using statistic method for same water quality item. Mann-kendall test results confirm that all points in Water Temperature (WT) and DO were not statistically significant. In particular, the result revealed that there is significant variation of TOC in the four different sites, TN in two different sites, TP in three different sites, WT in seven different sites, pH in two different sites between Water Quality Monitoring Network and Automatic Water Quality Monitoring Network. As a result firm LOWESS, TOC and pH clearly shows different trend. Among different sites, the water quality show the significantly positive correlations between at Sinam-Sangju2 and Namgang-Namgang4. Negative correlation significantly appeared in TP (ADD_Lower-AD1 site), TOC (DG-SG site), pH (GR-GR site), TP (JP-CN) and TN, TP, pH, EC, DO (GC-GC2-1 site).

Water quality evaluation research through long-term water quality monitoring in Seohwa Stream Watershed (서화천유역 장기 수질모니터링을 통한 수질평가 연구)

  • Kal, Byungseok;Park, Jaebeom;Mun, Hyunsaing;Cho, Sohyun;Joo, Yongeun;Min, Kyeongok
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.256-267
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the current status and trend of water quality using long-term water quality monitoring data measured over the past 5 years in the Seohwacheon Basin, located upstream of Daecheong Lake. In the Seohwacheon Basin, a project is underway to reduce the occurrence of algal blooms in the Daecheong Lake and to improve water quality, and continuous management is required for water quality management. The current water quality evaluation aims to identify the water quality management point, and the good water grade and the integrated water quality index (WQI) were used. For trend evaluation, the effect of the water quality improvement project was evaluated using the Mann-Kendall test and Sen's Slope. As a result of the evaluation, the current water quality index was used to identify the watersheds and when to manage water quality, and the effect of the improvement project was confirmed through trend analysis. Through this study, it is possible to review the water quality status and improvement effect using long-term water quality monitoring data, so it is expected to be applicable to similar types of watersheds in the future.

Analysis of drought in Northwestern Bangladesh using standardized precipitation index and its relation to Southern oscillation index

  • Nury, Ahmad Hasan;Hasan, Khairul
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.58-68
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    • 2016
  • The study explored droughts using the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) in the northwestern region of Bangladesh, which is the drought prone area. In order to assess the trend and variability of monthly rainfall, as well as 3-month scale SPI, non-parametric Mann-Kendall (MK) tests and continuous wavelet transform were used respectively. The effect of climatic parameters on the drought in this region was also evaluated using SPI, with the Southern Oscilation Index (SOI) by means of the wavelet coherence technique, a relatively new and powerful tool for describing processes. The MK test showed no statistically significant monthly rainfall trends in the selected stations, whereas the seasonal MK test showed a declining rainfall trend in Bogra, Ishurdi, Rangpur and Sayedpur stations respectively. Sen's slope of six stations also provided a decreasing rainfall trend. The trend of the SPI, as well as Sen's slope indicated an increasing dryness trend in this area. Dominant periodicity of 3-month scale SPI at 8 to 16 months, 16 to 32 months, and 32 to 64 months were observed in the study area. The outcomes from this study contribute to hydrologists to establish strategies, priorities and proper use of water resources.

Comparison of Precipitation Characteristics using Rainfall Indicators Between North and South Korea (강수지표를 이용한 남·북한 강수특성 비교)

  • Lee, Bo-Ram;Chung, Eun-Sung;Kim, Tae-Woong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.2223-2235
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    • 2013
  • This study aimed to understand temporal and spatial trends of rainfall characteristics in South and North Korea. Daily rainfall observed at the 65 stations in South Korea between 1963 and 2010 and the 27 stations in North Korea between 1973 and 2010 were analyzed. Rainfall Indicators for amount, extremes, frequency of rainfall were defined. Province-based indicators in the recent 10 years (i.e., between 2001 and 2010) were compared to those in the past (i.e., between 1963/1973 and 2000 for South/North Korea). In the recent 10 years, all the indicators except for the number of wet days (NWD) and 200-yr frequency rainfall (Freq200) increased in South Korea and all the indicators except for the annual mean daily rainfall over wet days (SDII) and annual total rainfall amount (TotalDR) decreased in North Korea. Furthermore, we performed the Mann-Kendall trend test based on the annual indicators. In some stations, decreasing trends in the past and increasing trends in the recent 10 years were found, and such opposite trends between two periods suggest he limitation in predicting and analyzing the rainfall characteristics based on the average. Results from this study can be used in analyzing the impact of climate change and preparing adaptation strategies for the water resources management.

The analysis of groundwater table variations in Sylhet region, Bangladesh

  • Zafor, Md. Abu;Alam, Md. Jahir Bin;Rahman, Md. Azizur;Amin, Mohammad Nurul
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2017
  • The trend analysis of the study was acquired by selecting multiyear monthly groundwater table data and monitors the wells in each sub-district under the study area. The intention of this research was to analyze the outcome of the non-parametric Mann-Kendall test at greater than the significance level which is 95% of groundwater level in Sylhet. The aptitude is effective at two conjunctures where the confidence bounds are 95% and it meets the estimate line of Sen's. To calculate and assess the spatial differences in the inanition of groundwater table, geostatistical methods was applied based on data from 27 groundwater wells during the period from January 1975 to December 2011 which were obtained from a secondary source, Bangladesh Water Development Board. The geographic information system was used to assess the spatial change in order to find the level of groundwater. Cross-validation errors were found within an advisable level in estimating the groundwater depth with different interpolation models of ordinary kriging methods. Finally, surface maps were generated with the best-fitted model. The southeast region was found highly vulnerable from groundwater level point of view. Northern region was detected highest hazard prone area for diverge groundwater using kriging method.

Characterization of the Variability of Summer Extreme Precipitation According to the Local Features (지역특성에 따른 여름철 극한강수 변화특성 분석)

  • Kim, Gwangseob;Kim, Jong Pil
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.2B
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    • pp.129-146
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    • 2011
  • Characterization the regional impact of the variability of summer extreme precipitation and the rain days over several thresholds (i.e. 10, 20, 30, 40, 50, 60, 70 and 80 mm/day) in South Korea was performed using daily precipitation data of 59 weather stations operated by Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). To consider the local features of weather stations, we characterized the variability according to the difference of elevations, latitudes, longitudes, river basins, inland or shore area, and the ratio of urbanization. The results showed that the summer extreme precipitation is sensible to the geographical effect which is similar to that of the annual precipitation. Rain days over thresholds have increased during 1973-2009 while the annual rain days have decreased. This indicate that the concentration of precipitation in summer season will be intensified in the future. Increase of summer precipitation amount and number of extreme rain days is higher in inland area, urbanized area, and Han-River basin than that of shore area, unurbanized area, and the other river basins respectively.

Test of randomness for answers arrangement in 2017 College Scholastic Ability Test (2017학년도 대학수학능력시험 영역별 정답배열 임의성 검정)

  • Ahn, Sojin;Lee, Jae Eun;Jang, Dae-Heung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.503-512
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    • 2017
  • In test with multiple choices, it is necessary to have the position of correct answers of each question spreaded evenly over all the questions in order to minimize the influence of answering tendency of test takers with preference to specific position of multiple choices. The scores of tests with correct answers in specific positions would not reflect exactly the academic aptitude of examinees who do not know correct answers but have the biased answering tendency. In this paper, we have randomness test for the positioning of correct answers at the 2017 College Scholastic Ability Test (CSAT) using Bartels rank test, the Wald-Wolfowitz runs test, the turning point test, the Cox Stuart trend test, the difference sign test and the Mann-Kendall tank test, etc. We also do independence test between the location of correct answer and the allocation of score in each question, for it may result in overestimating the test-taker with specific position preference in marking correct answers.