• Clean Technology
• /
• v.28 no.2
• /
• pp.138-146
• /
• 2022

Electricity has become a factor that dramatically affects the market economy. The day-ahead system marginal price determines electricity prices, and system marginal price forecasting is critical in maintaining energy management systems. There have been several studies using mathematics and machine learning models to forecast the system marginal price, but few studies have been conducted to develop, compare, and analyze various machine learning and deep learning models based on a data-driven framework. Therefore, in this study, different machine learning algorithms (i.e., autoregressive-based models such as the autoregressive integrated moving average model) and deep learning networks (i.e., recurrent neural network-based models such as the long short-term memory and gated recurrent unit model) are considered and integrated evaluation metrics including a forecasting test and information criteria are proposed to discern the optimal forecasting model. A case study of South Korea using long-term time-series system marginal price data from 2016 to 2021 was applied to the developed framework. The results of the study indicate that the autoregressive integrated moving average model (R-squared score: 0.97) and the gated recurrent unit model (R-squared score: 0.94) are appropriate for system marginal price forecasting. This study is expected to contribute significantly to energy management systems and the suggested framework can be explicitly applied for renewable energy networks.

• Wind and Structures
• /
• v.36 no.6
• /
• pp.355-366
• /
• 2023

Although machine learning (ML) techniques have been widely used in various fields of engineering practice, their applications in the field of wind engineering are still at the initial stage. In order to evaluate the feasibility of machine learning algorithms for prediction of wind loads on high-rise buildings, this study took the exposure category type, wind direction and the height of local wind force as the input features and adopted four different machine learning algorithms including k-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), gradient boosting regression tree (GBRT) and extreme gradient (XG) boosting to predict wind force coefficients of CAARC standard tall building model. All the hyper-parameters of four ML algorithms are optimized by tree-structured Parzen estimator (TPE). The result shows that mean drag force coefficients and RMS lift force coefficients can be well predicted by the GBRT algorithm model while the RMS drag force coefficients can be forecasted preferably by the XG boosting algorithm model. The proposed machine learning based algorithms for wind loads prediction can be an alternative of traditional wind tunnel tests and computational fluid dynamic simulations.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
• /
• v.44 no.4
• /
• pp.227-233
• /
• 2021

Predictive maintenance has been one of important applications of data science technology that creates a predictive model by collecting numerous data related to management targeted equipment. It does not predict equipment failure with just one or two signs, but quantifies and models numerous symptoms and historical data of actual failure. Statistical methods were used a lot in the past as this predictive maintenance method, but recently, many machine learning-based methods have been proposed. Such proposed machine learning-based methods are preferable in that they show more accurate prediction performance. However, with the exception of some learning models such as decision tree-based models, it is very difficult to explicitly know the structure of learning models (Black-Box Model) and to explain to what extent certain attributes (features or variables) of the learning model affected the prediction results. To overcome this problem, a recently proposed study is an explainable artificial intelligence (AI). It is a methodology that makes it easy for users to understand and trust the results of machine learning-based learning models. In this paper, we propose an explainable AI method to further enhance the explanatory power of the existing learning model by targeting the previously proposedpredictive model [5] that learned data from a core facility (Hyper Compressor) of a domestic chemical plant that produces polyethylene. The ensemble prediction model, which is a black box model, wasconverted to a white box model using the Explainable AI. The proposed methodology explains the direction of control for the major features in the failure prediction results through the Explainable AI. Through this methodology, it is possible to flexibly replace the timing of maintenance of the machine and supply and demand of parts, and to improve the efficiency of the facility operation through proper pre-control.

• Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
• /
• v.24 no.2
• /
• pp.17-24
• /
• 2019

In this paper, we propose a new model for predicting effective Win/Loss in professional baseball game in Korea using machine learning technique. we used basic baseball data and Sabermetrics data, which are highly correlated with score to predict and we used the deep learning technique to learn based on supervised learning. The Drop-Out algorithm and the ReLu activation function In the trained neural network, the expected odds was calculated using the predictions of the team's expected scores and expected loss. The team with the higher expected rate of victory was predicted as the winning team. In order to verify the effectiveness of the proposed model, we compared the actual percentage of win, pythagorean expectation, and win percentage of the proposed model.

• Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
• /
• v.15 no.2
• /
• pp.19-28
• /
• 2019

The purpose of this study is to examine the trends on machine learning and deep learning research in the published journals from the Web of Science Database. To achieve the study purpose, we used the abstracts of 20,664 articles published between 1990 and 2017, which include the word 'machine learning', 'deep learning', and 'artificial neural network' in their titles. Twenty major research topics were identified from topic modeling analysis and they were inclusive of classification accuracy, machine learning, optimization problem, time series model, temperature flow, engine variable, neuron layer, spectrum sample, image feature, strength property, extreme machine learning, control system, energy power, cancer patient, descriptor compound, fault diagnosis, soil map, concentration removal, protein gene, and job problem. The analysis of the time-series linear regression showed that all identified topics in machine learning research were 'hot' ones.

• Computers and Concrete
• /
• v.29 no.3
• /
• pp.145-159
• /
• 2022

In this study, the extreme learning machine and deep learning models were devised to estimate the bond strength of corroded reinforcement in concrete. The six inputs and one output were used in this study. The compressive strength, concrete cover, bond length, steel type, diameter of steel bar, and corrosion level were selected as the input variables. The results of bond strength were used as the output variable. Moreover, the Analysis of variance (Anova) was used to find the effect of input variables on the bond strength of corroded reinforcement in concrete. The prediction results were compared to the experimental results and each other. The extreme learning machine and the deep learning models estimated the bond strength by 99.81% and 99.99% accuracy, respectively. This study found that the deep learning model can be estimated the bond strength of corroded reinforcement with higher accuracy than the extreme learning machine model. The Anova results found that the corrosion level was found to be the input variable that most affects the bond strength of corroded reinforcement in concrete.

• Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
• /
• v.34 no.6
• /
• pp.63-69
• /
• 2018

The machine learning model can capture the dynamics of building systems with less inputs than the first principle based simulation model. The training data for developing a machine learning model are usually selected in a heuristic manner. In this study, the authors developed a machine learning model which can describe supply air temperature from an AHU in a real office building. For rational reduction of the training data, the progressive sampling method was used. It is found that even though the progressive sampling requires far less training data (n=60) than the offline regular sampling (n=1,799), the MBEs of both models are similar (2.6% vs. 5.4%). In addition, for the update of the machine learning model, the normalized mutual information (NMI) was applied. If the NMI between the simulation output and the measured data is less than 0.2, the model has to be updated. By the use of the NMI, the model can perform better prediction ($5.4%{\rightarrow}1.3%$).

• International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
• /
• v.21 no.11
• /
• pp.23-30
• /
• 2021

Sentiment Analysis has become very important field of research because posting of reviews is becoming a trend. Supervised, unsupervised and semi supervised machine learning methods done lot of work to mine this data. Feature engineering is complex and technical part of machine learning. Deep learning is a new trend, where this laborious work can be done automatically. Many researchers have done many works on Deep learning Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Long Shor Term Memory (LSTM) Neural Network. These requires high processing speed and memory. Here author suggested two models simple & bidirectional deep leaning, which can work on text data with normal processing speed. At end both models are compared and found bidirectional model is best, because simple model achieve 50% accuracy and bidirectional deep learning model achieve 99% accuracy on trained data while 78% accuracy on test data. But this is based on 10-epochs and 40-batch size. This accuracy can also be increased by making different attempts on epochs and batch size.

• International journal of advanced smart convergence
• /
• v.9 no.2
• /
• pp.1-7
• /
• 2020

As the demand for health screening increases, there is a need for efficient design of screening items. We build machine learning models for health screening and recommend screening items to provide personalized health care service. When offline, a synthetic data set is generated based on guidelines and clinical results from institutions, and a machine learning model for each screening item is generated. When online, the recommendation server provides a recommendation list of screening items in real time using the customer's health condition and machine learning models. As a result of the performance analysis, the accuracy of the learning model was close to 100%, and server response time was less than 1 second to serve 1,000 users simultaneously. This paper provides an adaptive and automatic recommendation in response to changes in the new screening environment.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
• /
• 2023.05a
• /
• pp.165-165
• /
• 2023

Streamflow prediction is a critical task in water resources management and essential for planning and decision-making purposes. However, the streamflow prediction is challenging due to the complexity and non-linear nature of hydrological processes. The transfer learning is a powerful technique that enables a model to transfer knowledge from a source domain to a target domain, improving model performance with limited data in the target domain. In this study, we apply the transfer learning using the Informer model, which is a state-of-the-art deep learning model for streamflow prediction. The model was trained on a large-scale hydrological dataset in the source basin and then fine-tuned using a smaller dataset available in the target basin to predict the streamflow in the target basin. The results demonstrate that transfer learning using the Informer model significantly outperforms the traditional machine learning models and even other deep learning models for streamflow prediction, especially when the target domain has limited data. Moreover, the results indicate the effectiveness of streamflow prediction when knowledge transfer is used to improve the generalizability of hydrologic models in data-sparse regions.