• Title/Summary/Keyword: MK 분석

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A study to detect trend in serially correlated hydrological series (자료의 상관성이 경향성 분석에 미치는 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Oh Je Seung;Kim Byung Sik;Kim Hung Soo;Seoh Byung Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.786-791
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    • 2005
  • 경향성을 분석하기 위한 여러 기법 가운데 비모수적 방법인 Mann-Kendall 검정(MK 검정)은 수문시계열의 분석에서 널리 사용되어지고 있다. 이 검정 방법은 분석 대상 자료가 독립이라는 가정 하에 수행되며, 자료가 계열상관되어 있는 경우에는 그 상관성의 영향으로 경향성 존재의 유무를 정확하게 판단할 수 없게 된다. 따라서 MK 검정을 이용할 때 자료의 상관성으로 인해 받게되는 영향을 소거시키기 위해 효과적인 자료의 크기(Effective Sample Size, ESS)를 이용하는 수정된 MK 검정 방법을 이용하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 ESS가 얼마만큼 계열상관성을 제거할 수 있는지 Monte Carlo모의를 통해 검토하였다. MK 검정 결과 계열상관계수의 증가에 따라 자료가 경향성을 나타내는 비율이 높아 겼으나, ESS에 의해 수정된 MK 검정을 수행한 결과 계열상관계수의 영향이 제거되었음을 알 수 있었다. 그러나 ESS에 치한 방법은 상관성의 영향을 과대하게 제거하게 되고, 이에 의해 실제 경향성이 존재하는 자료마저도 비 경향성이라고 판단하게 되는 오류를 가지고 있었다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위해 MK 검정에서 경향성으로 판단된 자료에 대해 경향정도를 분석하여 제거한 후 다시 ESS에 의해 수정된 MK 검정을 실시하였다. 본 연구를 통하여 상관성이 존재하는 자료에 대한 MK 검정 방법의 오류를 제거 할 수 있었으며, 또한 실측 자료의 적용을 통해 수정 MK 검정이 경향성 분석에 매우 유용함을 확인 하였다.

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Trend Analysis using Scaling Exponent for Monthly Rainfall Data (월별 스케일 지수를 이용한 경향성 분석)

  • Jung, Younghun;Shin, Ju-Young;Ahn, Hyunjun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.306-306
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    • 2018
  • 일반적으로 경향성 분석은 연최대강우량으로부터 산정하고 있으나 본 연구에서는 강우자료 이외의 자료를 이용하여 경향성 분석을 하고자 한다. 이를 위해 국내에서 가장 신뢰할 수 있는 기상청 산하의 강우량으로부터 연최대강우량을 추출하고 월단위인 월별 스케일 지수를 추정하였다. 비교를 위해 경향성 분석 방법 중 가장 널리 사용되고 있는 Mann-Kendall (MK) 분석을 사용하였고, 추가적으로 MK 분석의 단점을 보완할 수 있는 the block bootstrap-based MK (BBS-MK) 분석을 적용하였다. 연최대강우량을 이용한 경향성 분석 결과는 홍수기 기간에 해당하는 7월부터 10월까지의 경향성은 뚜렷하게 나타나지 않았다. 그러나 스케일 지수에 대한 경향성 분석 결과에서는 몇몇 지점에서 감소 또는 증가하는 경향을 보이는 강우 지점들을 확인할 수 있었다. 따라서 경향성 분석을 위해서는 연최대강우량뿐만이 아니라 다양한 인자를 이용한 경향성 분석이 필요함을 확인하였다.

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Trend Detection of Serially Correlated Hydrologic Series (상관성을 가진 시계열 자료의 경향성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Je Seung;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo;Seoh, Byung Ha
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2004
  • The non-parametric Mann-Kendall(MK) statistical test has been widely used to assess the significance of trend in hydrologic time series. The test requires sample data should be serially independent. If sample data is serially correlated, the presence of serial correlation in a time series will affect the test ability for trend analysis. So, we would like to use the modified MK test which uses the effective sample size(ESS) to eliminate the effect of serial correlation in a series. This study investigates the ability of ESS to eliminate the influence of serial correlation of MK test by Monte Carlo simulation and by real series. As the results, MK test shows the increase of trend rate as the serial correlation is increased but the modified MK test shows ESS can eliminate the serial correlation for trend analysis. Therefore we confirmed the modified MK test is a very useful tool for trend analysis.

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Isolation and Charaterization of the Fibrinolytic Enzyme Producing Bacterium isolated from Naturally Fermented Chungkookjang (청국장에서 분리한 혈전용해효소 생산세균의 분리 및 동정)

  • Sohn Byung-Hee;Oh Kye-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.476-482
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    • 2006
  • The aim of this work was to perform the screening and identification of the bacterium, MK-15 having the activity of fibrinolytic enzyme for the commercial use. Initially, strain MK-15 was enriched and isolated from naturally fermented soybean. Morphological and various physiological characteristics of the strain MK-15 was examined. The activity of fibrinolytic enzyme derived from supernatants of test culture MK-15 was performed by fibrin plate method for solid fibrinolytic activity. As the result, the fibrinolytic activity of MK-15 grown on the soybean media was about 2.7 times greater than that of plasmin used as stardard. 16S rRNA analyses revealed that strain MK-15 was 99.9% similar to Bacillus subtilis species cluster, and the bacterium was designated as Bacillus sp. MK-15. Strain MK-15 was registered in GenBank as [DQ163021].

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Comparative a Study on Trend Analysis using Extreme Rainfall Data and Scaling Exponent (강우자료와 스케일 지수에 대한 경향성 비교)

  • Jung, Younghun;Kim, Taereem;Joo, Kyungwon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.339-339
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    • 2019
  • 지구 온난화와 기후변화의 영향으로 태풍의 발생과 집중호우로 인한 홍수피해는 꾸준히 증가하고 있는 실정이다. 이와 같이 홍수와 관련된 강수량은 기상인자 중에서 유역의 유출과 관계가 있고, 유역의 내수침수 등의 도시홍수를 일으키는 원인이 되고 있다. 그러나 본 연구에서는 자료의 경향성을 판단하기 위해 국내 연최대강우자료의 경향성을 분석하였으며, 또한 연최대강우자료의 시간적 특성을 나타내는 지표로써 스케일 지수에 대하여 경향성과 변동성을 분석하였다. 이를 위해 the block bootstrap-based MK (BBS-MK) 분석을 실시하였고, 연최대강우자료로부터 BBS-MK분석에 대한 경향성 분석 결과, 다수 지점의 연최대강우자료에서 경향성이 나타나지 않았으나, 큰 변동성을 확인하였고, 연별 스케일 지수의 변동성 보다 월별 스케일 지수의 변동성 중 우기에 해당하는 월 (6-10월)에 대한 변동성은 크게 나타났다. 스케일 지수의 경향성은 연최대강우자료의 경향성 분석 결과와는 반대로 많은 강우지점에서 경향성이 존재함을 알 수 있었다. 스케일 지수의 경향성 분석 결과, 해안 지역의 강우 관측소에서 감소 경향이 확인되었지만, 내륙 지역에서는 스케일 지수가 증가하는 경향을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Optimal Culture Conditions for MK1 Strain Isolated from Soft-Rotten Tissue of Neungee Mushroom (Sarcodon aspratus) and the Physico-Chemical Properties of the Purified Exopolysaccharide of MK1 (능이버섯(Sarcodon aspratus) 무름병소에서 분리한 MK1 균주의 최적 성장조건과 정제된 균체외다당류의 특성)

  • Ryu, Jeong-Eun;Lee, Young-Nam
    • Korean Journal of Microbiology
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.324-331
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    • 2009
  • MK1 strain, an obligate aerobic heterotrophic bacterium isolated from the rotten tissue of Neungee mushroom (Sarcodon aspratus), produces a copious amount of exopolysaccharide (EPS), which could evoke macrophage activation. Investigations on optimal culture conditions of MK1 and physical properties of MK1 EPS were made. Glucose, galactose, fructose, and sucrose supported well growth of MK1, but potato starch and dextrin did not. However, lactose seemed to be a less favorable carbon source. Optimal growth of MK1 was obtained at pH 7.0, $30^{\circ}C$, and 200 rpm with 2% glucose, and 0.2~0.05% $(NH_4)_2SO_4$. $EPS_{opt}$ obtained from an optimal growth condition constituted of carbon (37.1%), nitrogen (2.2%), oxygen (49.3%), and hydrogen (6.4%), but no sulfur. Paper chrogromatogram of the acid-hydrolysate of $EPS_{opt}$ suggested that MK1 EPS seemed to be hetropolysaccharide composed of a few number of monosaccharides including amino- and acidic-sugars. Its molecular mass determined by SDS-polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis varied from 14.8 to 47.9 kDa. Physical properties of $EPS_{glu}$ obtained from cell grown in glucose medium, such as relative viscosity ($_{rel}$) and crystalline morphology were rather affected by pH of the growth medium. Relative viscosity ($_{rel}$) of exopolysaccaride (0.1 g/ml) harvested from cells grown at medium pH ranging from 6.0 and 7.5 was 1.23 and 1.39, respectively. The freeze-dried exopolysaccharide obtained at low pH (6.0 and 6.5) was fine crystaloid and water-soluble, whereas those obtained at high pH (7.0 and 7.5) was rather gluey and less water-soluble.

A Study on Trend Analysis in Sea Level Data Through MK Test and Quantile Regression Analysis (MK 검정 및 분위회귀분석을 통한 해수면 자료의 경향성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Uranchimeg, Sumiya;Kim, Yong-Tak;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Hwang, Kyu-Nam
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.94-104
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    • 2015
  • Population and urban development along the coast is growing in South Korea, and particularly sea level rise is likely to increase the vulnerability of coastal areas. This study aims to investigate the sea level rise through Mann-Kendall(MK) test, ordinary linear regression(OR) and quantile regression analysis(QRA) with sea level data at the 20 tide stations along the coast of Korean Peninsula. First, statistically significant long-term trends were analysed using a non-parametric MK test and the test indicated statistically significant trends for 18 and 10 stations at the 5% significance level in the annual mean value of sea level and the annual maximum value of sea level, respectively. The QRA method showed better performance in terms of characterizing the degree of trend. QRA showed that an average annual rise in mean sea level is about 1-6 mm/year, and an average rise in maximum sea level is about 1-20 mm. It was found that upward convergent and upward divergent were a representative change given the nine-category distributional changes. We expect that in future work we will address nonstationarities with respect to sea level that were identified above, and develop a nonstationary frequency analysis with climate change scenarios.

The Characteristics of Microbial Population Community Structure by an Addition of External Carbon Source in BNR Process for Low C/N Ratio Sewage Treatment (낮은 C/N비 하수의 외부 탄소원 주입에 따른 생물학적 질소제거에서 미생물 군집 구조특성)

  • Yoon, Cho-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.30 no.8
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    • pp.831-838
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    • 2008
  • This study investigated the characteristics of nitrogen removal and microbial community in a lab-scale A$_2$O activated sludge process filled with the fluidized media at an aerebic basin. The change of microbial community was monitored based on quinone profiles of activated sludge according to feeding sewage with/without external carbon source. Low C/N ratio(COD$_{Cr}$/T-N of 1.24) sewage was fed. The obtained results from this study were as follows; Ubiquinone(UQ) in the influent was in the descending order of UQ-8, UQ-10 and UQ-9. Menaquinone(MK) was simpler and much less than UQ. The ratio of UQ/MK was less than 0.41 and the dissimilarity was below 0.26. Without an external carbon source, MK-8 was the dominant species and there were 3 kinds of quinone species and low DQ and EQ values in an anaerobic basin. The ratio of UQ/MK increased to 2.3 in an anoxic basin. In an oxic basin, UQ-7 and UQ-8 were the dominant species. UQ-7 was dominating in suspended microorganisms, while UQ-8 was in attached microorganisms. With an external carbon source addition, MK-8 decreased but UQ-8 increased in an anaerobic basin. So did quinone species, DQ and EQ values. There was also a change in an anoxic basin with the improvement of denitrification. UQ-8 decreased instead, MK-7 and MK-8 increased. UQ/MK ratio decreased 2.3 to 1.4. It means that the dominant species change from Pseudomonas sp. to Bacillus and Micrococcus species. etc. In an oxic basin, UQ-8 replaced UQ-7 in suspended microorganisms and UQ-10 replaced UQ-8 in attached microbials. This seemed related with the growth of Nitrosomonas and Nitrobactor species.

Effects of Dispersivity of Clay on Thermal Stabilities of PP/Clay Nanocomposites (점토의 분산성이 PP/점토 나노복합재료의 열안정성에 미치는 영향)

  • 박수진;전병렬;송시용;최길영;이종문
    • Polymer(Korea)
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.458-463
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    • 2003
  • The effect of ozone surface treatment of montmorillonite (MMT) was investigated in thermal stabilities of polypropylene (PP) nanocomposites. Sodium montmorillonite (Na$\^$+/-MMT) was organically modified with dodecylammonium chloride. The surface properties of MMT, including the specific surface area (S$\_$BET/), equilibrium spreading pressure ($\pi$$\_$e/), and London dispersive component (${\gamma}$s$\^$L/), were studied by the BET method with $N_2$ adsorption. Also, the thermal stabilities of the nanocomposites were investigated in DSC and TGA. As experimental results, $\pi$$\_$e/ and ${\gamma}$s$\^$L/ of the ozonized dodecylammonium chloride (DA-MK ( $O_3$)) were increased in about 1.7 and 3.5 mJ/ $m^2$, resulting from the increasing of the micropores. From the DSC results, it was found that the melting temperature and crystallization temperature of PP/DA-MK and PP/DA-MK ( $O_3$) were higher that those of pure PP. These results were explained that dodecylammonium chloride of nano-scale led to a nucleation effect for PP crystallization. Also, it was found that E$\_$t/ of the PP/DA-MK ( $O_3$) nanocomposies was increased within about 64 kJ/mol. These results were probably explained by the improvement of dispersivity of DA-MK ( $O_3$) in a PP matrix.

Effects of Clime Change on Spatio-Temporal Behavior of Drought Using SAD Analysis (SAD 해석을 이용한 기후변화가 가뭄의 시공간적 거동에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Choi, Chi-Hyun;Choi, Dae-Gyu;Kim, Eung-Seock;Kim, Sang-Dan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the impact of climate change on the spatio-temporal behavior of extreme drought events is investigated by comparing drought severity-area-duration curves under present and future climate conditions. In our climate-change impact experiments, the future climate is based on two GCMs(CGCM3.1-T63 and CSIRO-MK3.0). As a result, in the case of CGCM3.1-T63 future drought events are similar to the present, but in the case of CSIRO-MK3.0 future drought risk is likely to increase. Such results indicate that a climate change vulnerability assessment for present water resources supply system is urgent.