• Title/Summary/Keyword: MCS(Monte Carlo Simulation) Analysis

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Variation of reliability-based seismic analysis of an electrical cabinet in different NPP location for Korean Peninsula

  • Nahar, Tahmina Tasnim;Rahman, Md Motiur;Kim, Dookie
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.3
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    • pp.926-939
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    • 2022
  • The area of this study will cover the location-wise seismic response variation of an electrical cabinet in nuclear power point (NPP) based on classical reliability analysis. The location-based seismic ground motion (GM) selection is carried out with the help of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis using PSHRisktool, where the variation of reliability analysis can be understood from the relation between the reliability index and intensity measure. Two different approaches such as the first-order second moment method (FOSM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) are helped to evaluate and compare the reliability assessment of the cabinet. The cabinet is modeled with material uncertainty utilizing Steel01 as the material model and the fiber section modeling approach is considered to characterize the section's nonlinear reaction behavior. To verify the modal frequency, this study compares the FEM result with recorded data using Least-Squares Complex Exponential (LSCE) method from the impact hammer test. In spite of a few investigations, the main novelty of this study is to introduce the reader to check and compare the seismic reliability assessment variation in different seismic locations and for different earthquake levels. Alongside, the betterment can be found by comparing the result between two considered reliability estimation methods.

Determination of Incentive Level of Direct Load Control using Monte Carlo Simulation with Variance Reduction Technique (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 직접부하제어의 제어지원금 산정)

  • Jeong Yun Won;Park Jong Bae;Shin Joong Rin;Chae Myung Suk
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • summer
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    • pp.666-670
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents a new approach for determining an accurate incentive levels of Direct Load Control (DLC) program using sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) techniques. The economic analysis of DLC resources needs to identify the hourly-by-hourly expected energy-not-served resulting from the random outage characteristics of generators as well as to reflect the availability and duration of DLC resources, which results the computational explosion. Therefore, the conventional methods are based on the scenario approaches to reduce the computation time as well as to avoid the complexity of economic studies. In this paper, we have developed a new technique based on the sequential MCS to evaluate the required expected load control amount in each hour and to decide the incentive level satisfying the economic constraints. And also the proposed approach has been considered multi-state as well as two-state of the generating units. In addition, we have applied the variance reduction technique to enhance the efficiency of the simulation. To show the efficiency and effectiveness of the suggested method the numerical studies have been performed for the modified IEEE reliability test system.

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Wind fragility analysis of RC chimney with temperature effects by dual response surface method

  • Datta, Gaurav;Sahoo, Avinandan;Bhattacharjya, Soumya
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2020
  • Wind fragility analysis (WFA) of concrete chimney is often executed disregarding temperature effects. But combined wind and temperature effect is the most critical limit state to define the safety of a chimney. Hence, in this study, WFA of a 70 m tall RC chimney for combined wind and temperature effects is explored. The wind force time-history is generated by spectral representation method. The safety of chimney is assessed considering limit states of stress failure in concrete and steel. A moving-least-squares method based dual response surface method (DRSM) procedure is proposed in WFA to alleviate huge computational time requirement by the conventional direct Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach. The DRSM captures the record-to-record variation of wind force time-histories and uncertainty in system parameters. The proposed DRSM approach yields fragility curves which are in close conformity with the most accurate direct MCS approach within substantially less computational time. In this regard, the error by the single-level RSM and least-squares method based DRSM can be easily noted. The WFA results indicate that over temperature difference of 150℃, the temperature stress is so pronounced that the probability of failure is very high even at 30 m/s wind speed. However, below 100℃, wind governs the design.

Analysis of M-WiMAX Uplink Capacity with Receive Beamforming and Adjacent Channel Interference from WCDMA Downlink

  • Wang, Yu-Peng;Chang, Kyung-Hi
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.33 no.3A
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, we analyze the M-WiMAX UL capacity limits under 2-Tier cell layout, considering the effects of random user position, path loss models, fading channel and adjacent channel interference from WCDMA system. In order to make the analysis approximate to the practical system capacity, we propose a MCS-based capacity analysis method considering the effects of PER requirement and the utilized MCS levels in M-WiMAX system. The proposed MCS-based method is validated through a system-level Monte Carlo simulation. Furthermore, a comparison between the conventional Shannon method and the proposed MCS-based method is presented and the optimum cell radius is suggested.

Verification of a two-step code system MCS/RAST-F to fast reactor core analysis

  • Tran, Tuan Quoc;Cherezov, Alexey;Du, Xianan;Lee, Deokjung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.1789-1803
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    • 2022
  • RAST-F is a new full-core analysis code based on the two-step approach that couples a multi-group cross-section generation Monte-Carlo code MCS and a multi-group nodal diffusion solver. To demonstrate the feasibility of using MCS/RAST-F for fast reactor analysis, this paper presents the coupled nodal code verification results for the MET-1000 and CAR-3600 benchmark cores. Three different multi-group cross-section calculation schemes are employed to improve the agreement between the nodal and reference solutions. The reference solution is obtained by the MCS code using continuous-energy nuclear data. Additionally, the MCS/RAST-F nodal solution is verified with results based on cross-section generated by collision probability code TULIP. A good agreement between MCS/RAST-F and reference solution is observed with less than 120 pcm discrepancy in keff and less than 1.2% root-mean-square error in power distribution. This study confirms the two-step approach MCS/RAST-F as a reliable tool for the three-dimensional simulation of reactor cores with fast spectrum.

Simulations of BEAVRS benchmark cycle 2 depletion with MCS/CTF coupling system

  • Yu, Jiankai;Lee, Hyunsuk;Kim, Hanjoo;Zhang, Peng;Lee, Deokjung
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.4
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    • pp.661-673
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    • 2020
  • The quarter-core simulation of BEAVRS Cycle 2 depletion benchmark has been conducted using the MCS/CTF coupling system. MCS/CTF is a cycle-wise Picard iteration based inner-coupling code system, which couples sub-channel T/H (thermal/hydraulic) code CTF as a T/H solver in Monte Carlo neutron transport code MCS. This coupling code system has been previously applied in the BEAVRS benchmark Cycle 1 full-core simulation. The Cycle 2 depletion has been performed with T/H feedback based on the spent fuel materials composition pre-generated by the Cycle 1 depletion simulation using refueling capability of MCS code. Meanwhile, the MCS internal one-dimension T/H solver (MCS/TH1D) has been also applied in the simulation as the reference. In this paper, an analysis of the detailed criticality boron concentration and the axially integrated assembly-wise detector signals will be presented and compared with measured data based on the real operating physical conditions. Moreover, the MCS/CTF simulated results for neutronics and T/H parameters will be also compared to MCS/TH1D to figure out their difference, which proves the practical application of MCS into the BEAVRS benchmark two-cycle depletion simulations.

Latin Hypercube Sampling Based Probabilistic Small Signal Stability Analysis Considering Load Correlation

  • Zuo, Jian;Li, Yinhong;Cai, Defu;Shi, Dongyuan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.1832-1842
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    • 2014
  • A novel probabilistic small signal stability analysis (PSSSA) method considering load correlation is proposed in this paper. The superiority Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) technique combined with Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) is utilized to investigate the probabilistic small signal stability of power system in presence of load correlation. LHS helps to reduce the sampling size, meanwhile guarantees the accuracy and robustness of the solutions. The correlation coefficient matrix is adopted to represent the correlations between loads. Simulation results of the two-area, four-machine system prove that the proposed method is an efficient and robust sampling method. Simulation results of the 16-machine, 68-bus test system indicate that load correlation has a significant impact on the probabilistic analysis result of the critical oscillation mode under a certain degree of load uncertainty.

The Implementation of Probabilistic Security Analysis in Composite Power System Reliability (복합전력계통 신뢰도평가의 확률론적 안전도 도입)

  • Cha, Jun-Min;Kwon, Sae-Hyuk;Kim, Hyung-Chul
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.55 no.5
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    • pp.185-190
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    • 2006
  • The security analysis relates to the ability of the electric systems to survive sudden disturbances such as electric short circuits or unanticipated loss of system elements. It is composed of both steady state and dynamic security analyses, which are not two separate issues but should be considered together. In steady state security analysis including voltage security analysis, the analysis checks that the system is operated within security limits by OPF (optimal power flow) after the transition of a new operating point. On the other hand, dynamic security analysis deals that the transition will lead to an acceptable operating condition. Transient stability, which is the ability of power systems to maintain synchronism when subjected to a large disturbance, is a principal component in dynamic security analysis. Usually any loss of synchronism will cause additional outages. They make the present steady state analysis of the post-contingency condition inadequate for unstable cases. This is the reason of the need for dynamics of systems. Probabilistic criterion can be used to recognize the probabilistic nature of system components and shows the possibility of system security. A comprehensive conceptual framework for probabilistic static and dynamic assessment is presented in this paper. The simulation results of the Western System Coordinating Council (WSCC) system compare an analytical method with Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS). Also, a case study of the extended IEEE Reliability Test System (RTS) shows the efficiency of this approach.

Coupled neutronics/thermal-hydraulic analysis of ANTS-100e using MCS/RAST-F two-step code system

  • Tung Dong Cao Nguyen;Tuan Quoc Tran;Deokjung Lee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.11
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    • pp.4048-4056
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    • 2023
  • The feasibility of using the Monte Carlo code MCS to generate multigroup cross sections for nodal diffusion simulations RAST-F of liquid metal fast reactors is investigated in this paper. The performance of the MCS/RAST-F code system is assessed using steady-state simulations of the ANTS-100e core. The results show good agreement between MCS/RAST-F and MCS reference solutions, with a keff difference of less than 77 pcm and root-mean-square differences in radial and axial power of less than 0.5% and 0.25%, respectively. Furthermore, the MCS/RAST-F reactivity feedback coefficients are within three standard deviations of the MCS coefficients. To validate the internal thermal-hydraulic (TH) feedback capability in RAST-F code, the coupled neutronic/TH1D simulation of ANTS-100e is performed using the case matrix obtained from MCS branch calculations. The results are compared to those obtained using the MARS-LBE system code and show good agreement with relative temperature differences in fuel and coolant of less than 0.8%. This study demonstrates that the MCS/RAST-F code system can produce accurate results for core steady-state neutronic calculations and for coupled neutronic/TH simulations.

A Monte-Carlo method and Boltzmann Equation analysis on the electron swarm parameter in SiH$_4$+Ar mixtures gas. ($SiH_4+Ar$ 혼합기체의 전자군 파라미터에 대한 볼츠만 방정식 및 몬테 칼로법 해석)

  • 김대연;하성철
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Electrical and Electronic Material Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.387-390
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    • 1999
  • Electron swarm parameterdthe drift velocity and longitudinal diffusion coefficienthn $SiH_4-Ar$ mixtures containing 0.5% and 5% monosilane were measured using over the range of E/N from 0.01 to 300 Td at room temperature. Electron swarm parameters in argon were drastically changed by adding a small amount of monosilane. The electron drift velocity in both mixtures showed unusual behaviour against E/N. It had negative slope in the medium range of E/N, yet the slope was not smooth but contained a small hump. The longitudinal diffusion coefficient also showed a corresponding feature in its dependence on E/N. A two-tern approximation of the Boltzmann equation analysis and Monte Carlo simulation have been used to study electron transport coefficients.

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