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A Study on the Estimation of the Stock Density and Biomass of Perinereis aibuhitensis at the Tidal Zone in Sosan, Korea (서산 연안간석지에서 두토막눈썹참갯지렁이(청충), Perinereis aibuhitensis의 분포밀도와 현존자원량의 추정)

  • KIM Chong-Kawn;ZHANG Chang-Ik
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.229-236
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    • 1991
  • A study on the estimation of the stock density and biomass of Perinereis aibuhitensis in the tidal zone in Sosan, Chungchongnam-do, Korea was carried out from June to July 1988. A preliminary survey was conducted to determine the distribution pattern of the species and the optimum sample size for setting up the sampling design. The stock densities of the species by stratum and by subarea were estimated using the stratified random sampling method, based upon the results of preliminary survey. The differences in density between strata as well as among subareas were tested to decide whether they can be combined together for estimating the overall stock biomass or not. The results of the survey showed that p. aibuhitensis were randomly distributed(Poisson distribution) and the number of quadrats which satisfies a reasonable level of precision was determined to be five by stratum. The densities between strata were not significantly different, while densities among subareas were different. Subarea C showed the highest density with the mean of $53.9g/m^2$ and followed by subarea B. The density of subarea A was the lowest with the mean of $18.2g/m^2$. The overall mean density from the study area was $32.4g/m^2$ with the coefficient of variance(CV) of $6.8\%$ The overall stock biomass was estimated to be 147.5mt in this area.

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Estimation of the Spring and Summer Net Community Production in the Ulleung Basin using Machine Learning Methods (기계학습법을 이용한 동해 울릉분지의 봄과 여름 순군집생산 추정)

  • DOSHIK HAHM;INHEE LEE;MINKI CHOO
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2024
  • The southwestern part of the East Sea is known to have a high primary productivity compared to those in the northern and eastern parts, which is attributed to nutrients supplies either by Tsushima Warm Current or by coastal upwelling. However, research on the biological pump in this area is limited. We developed machine learning models to estimate net community production (NCP), a measure of biological pump, with high spatial and time scales of 4 km and 8 days, respectively. The models were fed with the input parameters of sea surface temperature, chlorophyll-a, mixed layer depths, and photosynthetically active radiation and trained with observed NCP derived from high resolution measurements of surface O2/Ar. The root mean square error between the predicted values by the best performing machine model and the observed NCP was 6 mmol O2 m-2 d-1, corresponding to 15% of the average of observed NCP. The NCP in the central part of the Ulleung Basin was highest in March at 49 mmol O2 m-2 d-1 and lowest in June and July at 18 mmol O2 m-2 d-1. These seasonal variations were similar to the vertical nitrate flux based on the 3He gas exchange rate and to the particulate organic carbon flux estimated by the 234Th disequilibrium method. To expand this method, which produces NCP estimate for spring and summer, to autumn and winter, it is necessary to devise a way to correct bias in NCP by the entrainment of subsurface waters during the seasons.

Minimizing Estimation Errors of a Wind Velocity Forecasting Technique That Functions as an Early Warning System in the Agricultural Sector (농업기상재해 조기경보시스템의 풍속 예측 기법 개선 연구)

  • Kim, Soo-ock;Park, Joo-Hyeon;Hwang, Kyu-Hong
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.63-77
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    • 2022
  • Our aim was to reduce estimation errors of a wind velocity model used as an early warning system for weather risk management in the agricultural sector. The Rural Development Administration (RDA) agricultural weather observation network's wind velocity data and its corresponding estimated data from January to December 2020 were used to calculate linear regression equations (Y = aX + b). In each linear regression, the wind estimation error at 87 points and eight time slots per day (00:00, 03:00, 06:00, 09.00, 12.00, 15.00, 18.00, and 21:00) is the dependent variable (Y), while the estimated wind velocity is the independent variable (X). When the correlation coefficient exceeded 0.5, the regression equation was used as the wind velocity correction equation. In contrast, when the correlation coefficient was less than 0.5, the mean error (ME) at the corresponding points and time slots was substituted as the correction value instead of the regression equation. To enable the use of wind velocity model at a national scale, a distribution map with a grid resolution of 250 m was created. This objective was achieved b y performing a spatial interpolation with an inverse distance weighted (IDW) technique using the regression coefficients (a and b), the correlation coefficient (R), and the ME values for the 87 points and eight time slots. Interpolated grid values for 13 weather observation points in rural areas were then extracted. The wind velocity estimation errors for 13 points from January to December 2019 were corrected and compared with the system's values. After correction, the mean ME of the wind velocities reduced from 0.68 m/s to 0.45 m/s, while the mean RMSE reduced from 1.30 m/s to 1.05 m/s. In conclusion, the system's wind velocities were overestimated across all time slots; however, after the correction model was applied, the overestimation reduced in all time slots, except for 15:00. The ME and RMSE improved b y 33% and 19.2%, respectively. In our system, the warning for wind damage risk to crops is driven by the daily maximum wind speed derived from the daily mean wind speed obtained eight times per day. This approach is expected to reduce false alarms within the context of strong wind risk, by reducing the overestimation of wind velocities.

Prediction of Wind Damage Risk based on Estimation of Probability Distribution of Daily Maximum Wind Speed (일 최대풍속의 추정확률분포에 의한 농작물 강풍 피해 위험도 판정 방법)

  • Kim, Soo-ock
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.130-139
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    • 2017
  • The crop damage caused by strong wind was predicted using the wind speed data available from Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA). Wind speed data measured at 19 automatic weather stations in 2012 were compared with wind data available from the KMA's digital forecast. Linear regression equations were derived using the maximum value of wind speed measurements for the three-hour period prior to a given hour and the digital forecasts at the three-hour interval. Estimates of daily maximum wind speed were obtained from the regression equation finding the greatest value among the maximum wind speed at the three-hour interval. The estimation error for the daily maximum wind speed was expressed using normal distribution and Weibull distribution probability density function. The daily maximum wind speed was compared with the critical wind speed that could cause crop damage to determine the level of stages for wind damage, e.g., "watch" or "warning." Spatial interpolation of the regression coefficient for the maximum wind speed, the standard deviation of the estimation error at the automated weather stations, the parameters of Weibull distribution was performed. These interpolated values at the four synoptic weather stations including Suncheon, Namwon, Imsil, and Jangsu were used to estimate the daily maximum wind speed in 2012. The wind damage risk was determined using the critical wind speed of 10m/s under the assumption that the fruit of a pear variety Mansamgil would begin to drop at 10 m/s. The results indicated that the Weibull distribution was more effective than the normal distribution for the estimation error probability distribution for assessing wind damage risk.

Calculating Sample Variance for the Combined Data (두 자료들의 평균과 분산을 이용한 혼합자료의 분산 계산)

  • Shin, Mi-Young;Cho, Tae-Kyoung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2008
  • There are times when we need more sample to achieve a more accurate estimator. Since these two sets of sample have the information about the same population, it is necessary to treat both as a single combined data. In this paper we present the unpooled sample variance for the combined data when we just know a sample mean and variance for the each data set without the raw data. It is shown that the pooled variance $s^2_p$ is always greater than the exact variance $s^2_t$ when ${\bar{x}}_n\;=\;{\bar{y}}_m$. And the difference of means for two data, ${\bar{x}}_n-{\bar{y}}_m}$, is larger, the difference of $s^2_p$ and $s^2_t$ is larger.

Sample-spacing Approach for the Estimation of Mutual Information (SAMPLE-SPACING 방법에 의한 상호정보의 추정)

  • Huh, Moon-Yul;Cha, Woon-Ock
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.301-312
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    • 2008
  • Mutual information is a measure of association of explanatory variable for predicting target variable. It is used for variable ranking and variable subset selection. This study is about the Sample-spacing approach which can be used for the estimation of mutual information from data consisting of continuous explanation variables and categorical target variable without estimating a joint probability density function. The results of Monte-Carlo simulation and experiments with real-world data show that m = 1 is preferable in using Sample-spacing.

Coherent detection scheme for DS-CDMA system with M-ary orthogofnal signaling (M진 직교 신호화를 적용한 DS-CDMA 시스템의 동기 검파 기법)

  • 김기준;권순일;김호준;황금찬
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1016-1023
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    • 1998
  • DS-CDMA system requeires a power-efficient transmission and reception scheme to increase capacity. In this paper, coherent detection of DS-CDMA system with M-ary orthogonal signaling is considered, and multistage decision-directed channel estimator is proposed. The multistage decision-directed channel estimator is based on the fact that better channel estimation can be obtained by using the final decisions of the detector with a conventional decision-directed channel estimator. In this scheme, symbol detector and channel estimator operate algernaely. by simulation, it is shown that the proposed method achieves performance gain capare to conventional method, specially at low signal to noise ratio over fast time-variant channel with diversity.

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Production of Bioactive Substances by a Myxobacterium Myxococcus stipitatus KYC4013 (점액세균 Myxococcus stipitatus KYC4013에 의한 생리활성물질 생산)

  • An, Dongju;Park, Soohyun;Lee, Jong Suk;Cho, Kyungyun
    • Microbiology and Biotechnology Letters
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.331-338
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    • 2014
  • Myxococcus stipitatus KYC4013 extract exhibited the most potent antifungal activity among the extracts of 207 Myxococcus strains isolated in Korea. High-resolution LC-MS analysis revealed that M. stipitatus KYC4013 produces five antifungal substances and three other secondary metabolites that were predicted to be melithiazol and phenalamide derivatives, respectively. The putative melithiazol derivatives were best produced in CYS medium and the putative phenalamide derivatives were best produced in VY3 medium.

The Theoretical Study on the GM Inference of the Small Fishing Vessels (소형어선의 GM추정에 관한 이론적 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Keon;Lee, Yong-Won
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.189-192
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    • 2002
  • In Korea, most of small fishing vessels whose lengths are under 24m frequently cause maritime accidents due to flood and capsize. In this situation, however, there are no stability criteria and data for small fishing vessels. In this paper, the authors investigated data of 10 real ships which were built since 1990, and derived equations for evaluating ship's stability using Genetic Programming. Also, the validity of GM estimation using Genetic Programming was shown with comparison of GM value by GM value by foreign standards. More data of real ships are needed for the application of these theory to ship design process.

Research of rice reflectance about variable amount of applied fertilizer (가변 시비량에 따른 벼 반사도 특성에 관한 연구)

  • 이호상;김경욱
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Agricultural Machinery Conference
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    • 2002.02a
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    • pp.92-97
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    • 2002
  • 본 연구는 국내의 벼농사에 적합한 정밀 농업의 개념을 정립하고 이를 구현하기 위한 구체적인 방법을 수립하기 위하여 기초적인 연구를 수행하였다. 서울대학교 농업생명과학대학 실험농장의 시험 포장을 선정하여 12m$\times$17.4m 크기로 9개의 구획을 설정하였다. 각 단위 구획에서 벼의 생육 기간 중 일정 간격으로 분얼수, 질소함량, 건물중, 엽면적, 엽록소, 군락반사율을 조사하였으며, 각 측정치 사이의 상판 관계를 조사하였다. 상관 관계는 세 방향에서 분석하였다. 첫번째는 건물중과 N%와의 상관관계를 조사하였다. 건물중은 시간에 따라 증가하였으나 N%는 건물중의 증가에 의해 점점 줄어들었으며 공간적인 차이도 시간이 지날수록 줄어들었다. 둘째는 N%와 군락 반사율의 관계를 추정하였다. N%별로 군락반사율의 측정값을 비교하였으나 특정한 상관관계가 나타나지 않았다. 셋째는 군락반사율과 가변시비에 따른 구간별 차이를 규명하여 질소영양상태의 비파괴적인 추정방법을 설정하였다. 각 일시별로 측정한 군락반사율 측정값에 따르면, Red에 의한 질소함량 추정방법이 가장 효과적인 것으로 판단되었다. 본 연구에서는 가변시비에 의한 벼의 생체량의 변화, 구간별 군락반사율을 조사하고 이들의 공간적, 시간적 변이의 특징을 구명하여, 군락반사율과 벼의 질소영양상태의 상관관계를 밝히고자 하였다. 연구 결과에 의하면 군락반사율의 Red에 의한 질소추정방법이 가장 효과적인 것으로 나타났다.

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