• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term trends

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Trends in Home-visit Nursing Care by Agencies' Characteristics under the National Long-term Care Insurance System (노인장기요양보험의 방문간호 제공기관 특성별 서비스 제공 추이)

  • Lee, Jung Suk;Hwang, Rah Il;Han, Eun Jeong
    • Research in Community and Public Health Nursing
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.415-426
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: This study aimed to investigate trends in home-visit nursing care by agencies' characteristics under the national long-term care insurance system. Methods: Cochran-Mantel-Haenzel tests were conducted, using data drawn from the nationwide long-term care insurance claim database of the Korean National Health Insurance Corporation from 2009 to 2011. Results: The number of home-visit nursing care agencies has decreased continuously since 2009. There were also similar trends in the total amount of service provided by home-visit nursing care agencies, the number of recipients, the number of employees, and payments. This study showed that there were statistically significant differences in the trends in home-visit nursing care by agencies' characteristics. Despite the overall downward trend, there were some increases in the percentage of home-visit nursing care provided by agencies which were established by individuals, located in large cities, and which combined home-visit care with home-visit bathing. Conclusion: Home-visit nursing care agencies are responsible for providing community-based healthcare services. For past three years, however, they have not been utilized to their full potential. Understanding the trends in home-visit nursing care by agencies' characteristics is important to develop utilization strategies for home-visit nursing care.

Long Term Variation Trend of Wind and its Impact Upon Wind Power Generation in Taiwan

  • Na, Wang;Quan, Wan;Sheng, Su
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.782-788
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    • 2014
  • Wind power generation has been viewed as a promising renewable energy to meet challenge of climate change. However, wind power is susceptible to climate change because previous investigation shows there are declining trends of the land surface wind speeds over middle and lower latitudes. Since long term variation trends is notably different from inter-annual random variation and could have notable impact on wind farm from planning perspective, observed meteorological data of Taiwan is investigated to find out long term variation trends of wind speed and its impact on wind power generation. It is discovered that wind speed in majority of stations in west coast of Taiwan have ascending trends while that of all investigated stations in east coast have descending trends. Since east of Taiwan is not suitable for wind power development for its higher likelihood suffering Typhoons and most of established wind farm locate in west coast of Taiwan, it is speculated that long term variation trend of wind do not have notable negative impact on wind power generation in Taiwan.

Using visibility to estimate PM2.5 concentration trends in Seoul and Chuncheon from 1982 to 2014 (시정을 이용하여 추정한 1982~2014년 서울과 춘천의 PM2.5 농도 변화 추이)

  • Lee, Yong-Hee;Kwak, Kyung-Hwan
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.156-165
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    • 2018
  • Long-term trend analysis on air pollutant concentrations is very important to diagnose the present status and plan for the future. In this study, the long-term trends of $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations were estimated based on the relationship between the visibility and $PM_{2.5}$ concentration regarding the effects of relative humidity in Seoul and Chuncheon. The relationships between the visibility and $PM_{2.5}$ concentration were derived from the measurement data in 2015 and 2016. Then, the annual trends of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration from 1982 to 2014 were estimated and compared to those of $PM_{10}$ concentration available in Seoul and Chuncheon. During the estimation process, four ranges of relative humidity were considered such as less than 30%, 31~50%, 51~70%, and 71~90%. In Seoul and Chuncheon, the visibility and $PM_{2.5}$ concentration generally have the inverse relationship while the visibility decreases as the relative humidity increases. The estimated $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations similarly showed the decreasing tendencies from 2006 to 2012 in Seoul and Chuncheon. However, the estimated $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations showed the increasing tendency before 2005 in Chuncheon in contrast to the decreasing tendency in Seoul. This implies that the long-term trends of $PM_{2.5}$ concentration in different cities in South Korea reflect the local influencing factors. For example, 'Special Act on the Improvement of Atmospheric Environment in the Seoul Metropolitan Area' can affect the different long-term trends in Seoul and Chuncheon. The estimated $PM_{2.5}$ concentrations were validated with the measured ones in Seoul and Chuncheon. While the general tendencies were well matched between the estimated and measured concentrations, the $PM_{2.5}$ concentration trends in 1990s and their monthly variations are needed to be improved quantitatively using more reference data for longer years.

Trends of Industrial Injuries among Long-Term Health Care Workers in Korea (한국 요양보호사 산업재해의 연도별 변화추이)

  • Son, Mia;Jeon, Geo-Song;Bae, Dong-Chul;Son, Byungchang;Kim, Taeun;Yun, Jae-Won
    • Journal of Korean Society of Occupational and Environmental Hygiene
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.156-172
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: To investigate the trends of industrial injuries among long-term health care workers in Korea Methods: T7866 injuries were selected from the total industrial injuries approved by the Industrial Accident Compensation Insurance Act(Occupational Safety and Health Act) among long-term health care workers between 2007 and 2016 in Korea. We analyzied the trends of industrial injuries according to work process, occurrence type, and causes. Results: The industrial injuries among long-term health care workers increased since 2012. The mostly occurred area for industrial injuries were low back areas, which is related that the most serious industrial injuries occurred when the one long-term healthcare worker lift manually the recipient, from bed(ondol, Korean floor heating system) to a wheelchair, bed to bath bed, and wheelchair to bath chair. In addition to this, lack of workforce, increased work intensity due to overwork contributed the increasing of occupational injury. Conclusions: This study suggests that the main causes of industrial injuries were Lack of facilities and equipment for small private long-term care institutions, The physical load that goes into lifting the recipient directly, work intensity such as excessive workload and increased work speed. We suggest that the social publicization of long-term care service for the elderly, avoiding ways to lift recipients directly, introducing lifting machines as well as improving working methods, and reducing the workload of caregivers are required.

Meteorologically Adjusted Ozone Trends in the Seoul and Susan Metropolitan Areas (서울과 부산지역 기상의 영향을 제거한 오존농도 추세)

  • 김유근;오인보;황미경
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.561-568
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    • 2003
  • Surface ozone concentrations are highly sensitive to meteorological variability. Therefore, in order to reveal the long-term changes in ozone due to the changes in precursor emissions, we need to remove the effects of meteorological fluctuations on the annual distribution of surface ozone. In this paper, the meteorologically adjusted trends of daily maximum surface ozone concentrations in two major Korean cities (Seoul and Busan) are investigated based on ozone data from 11 (Seoul) and 6 (Busan) sites over the period 1992 ∼ 2000. The original time series consisting of the logarithm of daily maximum ozone concentrations are splitted into long-term, seasonal and short-term component using Kolmogorov-Zurbenko (KZ) filter. Meteorological effects are removed from filtered ozone series using multiple linear regression based on meteorologcial variables. The long-term evolution of ozone forming capability due to changes in precursor emission can be obtained applying the KZ filter to the residuals of the regression. The results indicated that meteorologically adjusted long-term daily maximum ozone concentrations had a significant upward trend (Seoul: + 3.02% yr$^{-1}$ , Busan: + 3.45% yr$^{-1}$ ). These changes of meteorologically adjusted ozone concentrations represent the effects of changing background ozone concentrations as well as the more localized changes in emissions.

Long-Term Trend Analyses of Water Qualities in Mangyung Watershed (비모수 통계기법을 이용한 만경강 유역의 장기간 수질 경향 분석)

  • Lee, Hye Won;Park, Seoksoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.480-487
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    • 2008
  • Spatial and temporal analyses of water qualities were performed for 11 monitoring stations located in Mangyung watershed in order to analyze the trends of monthly water quality data of Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), Total Nitrogen (TN) and Total Phosphorus (TP) measured from 1995 to 2004. The long-term trends were analyzed utilizing Seasonal Mann-Kendall test, LOWESS and three-dimensional graphs were constructed with respect to distance and time. The graph can visualize spatial and temporal trend of the long-term water quality in a large river system. The results of trend analysis indicated that water quality of BOD and TN showed the downward trend. This quantitive and quantitative analysis is the useful tool to analyze and display the long-term trend of water quality in a large river system.

Long-term Trends of Visibility in Seoul and Chunchon (서울과 춘천의 장기간 시정 변화경향)

  • 이종범;김용국;백복행
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.473-478
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    • 1996
  • Using data observed from 1966 to 1994, long-term trends of visibility at 15:00 in Seoul and Chunchon were analyzed. Annual average visibility in Seoul has been decreased continuously. In particular, annual number of days for visibility more than 15km was remarkably reduced since 1980. Also, the trend of the visibility in Chunchon was similar to that of Seoul. But the variations were small to compare with Seoul. Long-term trends of relative humidity (RH) and specific humidity (q) at 15:00 in Seoul have been slightly decreased. Cumulative frequency distributions of visibility for ranges of RH (0 $\sim 50%, 50 \sim 60%, 60 \sim 70%, 70 \sim 80%, 80 \sim 90%, 90 \sim 100%$) at 15:00 in Seoul and Chunchon were generally decreased during the second period (1984 $\sim$ 1994) as compared with the first period (1973 $\sim$ 1983), except for the range of 90 to 100% RH. Despite of decreasing phenomena of RH, characteristics of urban climates in Seoul, visibility degraded due to an increase of air pollution.

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Study on the Long-term Change of Urban Climate in Daegu (대구의 장기적 도시기후 변동에 관한 연구)

  • 김해동
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.12 no.7
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    • pp.697-704
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    • 2003
  • Through data analysis using the meteorological data during 40 years(1961∼2000) for 2 stations(Daegu and Chupungnyong), we studied the present condition and long-term trends in urban climatic environments of Daegu. It was found that there was about 1.5$^{\circ}C$ rise in annual mean temperature of Daegu from 1961 to 2000. On the other hand, that of Chupungnyung was not more than 0.4$^{\circ}C$ for the same period. The regional disparity in temperature changes has been caused by the difference of urban effects on climate between two regions. In particular, the urban warming appears more significant in winter season. There was about 3$^{\circ}C$ rise in annual mean daily minimum temperature of winter season(Dec.∼Feb.) in Daegu. As the result, the number of winter days continuously decreased from 115 days(1961) to 75 days(2000). The long-term trends of relative humidity were also studied to exame the effects of urbanization on climate in Daegu. It was found that there was about 7% decrease in relative humidity of Daegu during past 40 years(1961∼2000). On the other side, the decrease of Chupungnyung was not more than 2% for the same period. The long-term trends of the other climatic factors(fog days, tropical night days, etc) were also studied in this study.

The Effect of Prior Price Trends on Optimistic Forecasting (이전 가격 트렌드가 낙관적 예측에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Young-Doo
    • The Journal of Industrial Distribution & Business
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    • v.9 no.10
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    • pp.83-89
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    • 2018
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study examines when the optimism impact on financial asset price forecasting and the boundary condition of optimism in the financial asset price forecasting. People generally tend to optimistically forecast their future. Optimism is a nature of human beings and optimistic forecasting observed in daily life. But is it always observed in financial asset price forecasting? In this study, two factors were focused on considering whether the optimism that people have applied to predicting future performance of financial investment products (e.g., mutual fund). First, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied depending on the direction of the prior price trend. Second, this study examined whether the degree of optimism varied according to the forecast period by dividing the future forecasted by people into three time horizon based on forecast period. Research design, data, and methodology - 2 (prior price trend: rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) × 3 (forecast time horizon: short term vs medium term vs long term) experimental design was used. Prior price trend was used between subject and forecast time horizon was used within subject design. 169 undergraduate students participated in the experiment. χ2 analysis was used. In this study, prior price trend divided into two types: rising-up trend versus falling-down trend. Forecast time horizon divided into three types: short term (after one month), medium term (after one year), and long term (after five years). Results - Optimistic price forecasting and boundary condition was found. Participants who were exposed to falling-down trend did not make optimistic predictions in the short term, but over time they tended to be more optimistic about the future in the medium term and long term. However, participants who were exposed to rising-up trend were over-optimistic in the short term, but over time, less optimistic in the medium and long term. Optimistic price forecasting was found when participants forecasted in the long term. Exposure to prior price trends (rising-up trend vs falling-down trend) was a boundary condition of optimistic price forecasting. Conclusions - The results indicated that individuals were more likely to be impacted by prior price tends in the short term time horizon, while being optimistic in the long term time horizon.

Long-term Changes and Variational Characteristics of Water Quality in the Cheonsu Bay of Yellow Sea, Korea (천수만의 수질환경특성과 장기변동)

  • Park, Soung-Yun;Park, Gyung-Soo;Kim, Hyung-Chul;Kim, Pyoung-Joong;Kim, Jeon-Poong;Park, Jung-Hyeon;Kim, Sug-Yang
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.447-459
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    • 2006
  • Long-term trends and distribution patterns of water quality were investigated in the Cheonsu Bay of Korea from 1983 to 2004. Water samples were collected at 4 stations and physicochemical parameters were analyzed including water temperature, salinity, suspended solids (SS), chemical oxygen demand (COD), dissolved oxygen (DO) and nutrients. Spatial distribution patterns were not clear between stations but the seasonal variations were distinctive except COD, SS and nitrate. Twenty two year long-term trend analysis by PCA revealed the significant changes in water quality in the study area. Water quality during 1980's and early 1990's showed high SS, low nutrients and low COD which increased during the mid and late 1990's and early 2000's. Overall water duality in the Cheonsu Bay indicated the increase in nutrients and COD concentration.