• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term rainfall-runoff model

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Parameter Estimation of Tank Model by Data Interval and Rainfall Factors for Dry Season (건기 실측간격, 강우인자에 따른 탱크모형 매개변수 추정)

  • Park, Chae Il;Baek, Chun Woo;Jun, Hwan Don;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.856-864
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    • 2006
  • For estimating the minimum discharge to maintain a river, low flow analysis is required and long term runoff records are needed for the analysis. However, runoff data should be estimated to run a hydrologic model for ungaged river basin. For the reason, parameter estimation is crucial to simulate rainfall-runoff events for those basins using Tank model. In this study, only runoff data recorded for dry season are used for parameter estimation, which is different to other methods based on runoff data recorded for wet and dry seasons. The Harmony Search algorithm is used to determine the optimum parameters for Tank model. The coefficient of determination ($R^2$) is served as the objective function in the Harmony Search. In cases that recorded data are insufficient, the recording interval is changed and Empirical CDF is adopted to analyze the estimated parameters. The suggested method is applied to Yongdam dam, Soyanggang dam, Chungju dam and Seomjingang dam basins. As results, the higher $R^2s$ are obtained when the shorter recording interval, the better recorded data quality, and the more rainfall events recorded along with certain rainfall amount is. Moreover, when the total rainfall is higher than the certain amount, $R^2$ is high. Considering the facts found from this study for the low flow analysis, it is possible to estimate the parameters for Tank model properly with the desired confidence level.

A Study of Optimal-CSOs by Continuous Rainfall/Runoff Simulation Techniques (연속 강우-유출 모의기법을 이용한 최적 CSOs 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Deok Jun;Kim, Myoung Su;Lee, Jung Ho;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1068-1074
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    • 2006
  • For receiving water quality protection a control systems of urban drainage for CSOs reduction is needed. Examples in combined sewer systems include downstream storage facilities that detain runoff during periods of high flow and allow the detained water to be conveyed by an interceptor sewer to a centralized treatment plant during periods of low flow. The design of such facilities as storm-water detention storage is highly dependant on the temporal variability of storage capacity available as well as the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage. For the continuous long-term analysis of urban drainage system this study used analytical probabilistic model based on derived probability distribution theory. As an alternative to the modeling of urban drainage system for planning or screening level analysis of runoff control alternatives, this model has evolved that offers much ease and flexibility in terms of computation while considering long-term meteorology. This study presented rainfall and runoff characteristics of the subject area using analytical probabilistic model. Runoff characteristics manifested the unique characteristics of the subject area with the infiltration capacity of soil and recovery of depression storage and was examined appropriately by sensitivity analysis. This study presented the average annual CSOs, number of CSOs and event mean CSOs for the decision of storage volume.

Flood Runoff Simulation Using GIS-Grid Based K-DRUM for Yongdam-Dam Watershed (GIS격자기반 K-DRUM을 활용한 용담댐유역 홍수유출모의)

  • Park, Jin Hyeog;Hur, Young Teck;Ryoo, Kyong Sik;Lee, Geun Sang
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.1D
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    • pp.145-151
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    • 2009
  • Recently, the rapid development of GIS technology has made it possible to handle a various data associated with spatially hydrological parameters with their attribute information. Therefore, there has been a shift in focus from lumped runoff models to distributed runoff models, as the latter can consider temporal and spatial variations of discharge. This research is to evaluate the feasibility of GIS based distributed model using radar rainfall which can express temporal and spatial distribution in actual dam watershed during flood runoff period. K-DRUM (K-water hydrologic & hydaulic Distributed flood RUnoff Model) which was developed to calculate flood discharge connected to radar rainfall based on long-term runoff model developed by Kyoto- University DPRI (Disaster Prevention Research Institute), and Yondam-Dam watershed ($930km^2$) was applied as study site. Distributed rainfall according to grid resolution was generated by using preprocess program of radar rainfall, from JIN radar. Also, GIS hydrological parameters were extracted from basic GIS data such as DEM, land cover and soil map, and used as input data of distributed model (K-DRUM). Results of this research can provide a base for building of real-time short-term rainfall runoff forecast system according to flash flood in near future.

Forecasting Long-Term Steamflow from a Small Waterhed Using Artificial Neural Network (인공신경망 이론을 이용한 소유역에서의 장기 유출 해석)

  • 강문성;박승우
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.69-77
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    • 2001
  • An artificial neural network model was developed to analyze and forecast daily steamflow flow a small watershed. Error Back propagation neural networks (EBPN) of daily rainfall and runoff data were found to have a high performance in simulating stremflow. The model adopts a gradient descent method where the momentum and adaptive learning rate concepts were employed to minimize local minima value problems and speed up the convergence of EBP method. The number of hidden nodes was optimized using Bayesian information criterion. The resulting optimal EBPN model for forecasting daily streamflow consists of three rainfall and four runoff data (Model34), and the best number of the hidden nodes were found to be 13. The proposed model simulates the daily streamflow satisfactorily by comparison compared to the observed data at the HS#3 watershed of the Baran watershed project, which is 391.8 ha and has relatively steep topography and complex land use.

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A Fundamental Study on the Snowmelt Effects for Long-Term Runoff Analysis (장기 유출해석에서의 융설영향에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Bae, Deok-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.833-844
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of this study are to adopt a snowmelt model for coupling a rainfall-runoff model and to study snowmelt effects for long-term runoff analysis on the northeast mountaneous area in Korea. The NWS temperature-index snowmelt model was selected and tested on the 1,059+,6 km$^2$ Naerinchen basin. It can be observed that the time variations of the computed areal extents of snow cover from the model are well agreement with those of the observe station snowfall records on the Inje meteorological station. It is also evident that the computed soil water contents and river flows indicate quite different behaviors with or without snowmelt model. It is concluded that the snowmelt model works well and the snowmelt effects for multi-decadal river flow computations are important on the study area.

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Analysis of Water Quality Characteristics Using Simulated Long-Term Runoff by HEC-HMS Model and EFDC Model (HEC-HMS 모형에 의한 장기유출량과 EFDC 모형을 이용한 호소 내 수질특성 분석)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.707-720
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    • 2011
  • For the lake case, the detention phenomenon of water body occurs and stays for a long time. Especially, following the layer of water depth direction, the lake body and water quality problems are different from the water quality of river. So according to time, the stream and water quality can be simulated by the 3-Dimensional Model, which can divide water layer for reservoir or lake. The water quality simulation result will become more reliability. For this study, the 3-Dimension Model - EFDC was used to simulate water quality of Unam reservoir in the Sumjin Dam. The HEC-GeoHMS and HEC-HMS Rainfall - Runoff Model based on GIS were used to estimate long-term runoff, and input data was constructed to the observed water level, meteorological data, water temperature, T-N and T-P. In order to apply the EFDC model, water depth was divided into 3 layers and 5,634 grids were extracted. After constructing the grid net, the water quality change of Unam reservoir in time and space was simulated. Overall, long term runoff simulation reflected the actual observed runoff well, through the water quality simulation, according to the pollution factors, the behavior characteristics can be checked, and the simulated water quality can be properly reflected. The function of EFDC has been confirmed, which water quality can be properly simulated. In the near future, to establish countermeasures for Intake Facilities of Watershed and Management, this support which some basic tools can be applied is in expectation.

Evaluation of Runoff Prediction from a Coniferous Forest Watersheds and Runoff Estimation under Various Cover Degree Scenarios using GeoWEPP Watershed Model (GeoWEPP을 이용한 침엽수림 지역 유출특성 예측 및 다양한 식생 피도에 따른 유출량 평가)

  • Choi, Jaewan;Shin, Min Hwan;Cheon, Se Uk;Shin, Dongseok;Lee, Sung Jun;Moon, Sun Jung;Ryu, Ji Cheol;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.425-432
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    • 2011
  • To control non-point source pollution at a watershed scale, rainfall-runoff characteristics from forest watersheds should be investigated since the forest is the dominant land use in Korea. Long-term monitoring would be an ideal method. However, computer models have been utilized due to limitations in cost and labor in performing long-term monitoring at the watersheds. In this study, the Geo-spatial interface to the Water Erosion Prediction Project (GeoWEPP) model was evaluated for its runoff prediction from a coniferous forest dominant watersheds. The $R^2$ and the NSE for calibrated result comparisons were 0.77 and 0.63, validated result comparisons were 0.92, 0.89, respectively. These comparisons indicated that the GeoWEPP model can be used in evaluating rainfall-runoff characteristics. To estimate runoff changes from a coniferous forest watershed with various cover degree scenarios, ten cover degree scenarios (10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50%, 60%, 70%, 80%, 90%, 100%) were run using the calibrated GeoWEPP model. It was found that runoff increases with decrease in cover degree. Runoff volume was the highest ($206,218.66m^3$) at 10% cover degree, whereas the lowest ($134,074.58m^3$) at 100% cover degree due to changes in evapotranspiration under various cover degrees at the forest. As shown in this study, GeoWEPP model could be efficiently used to investigate runoff characteristics from the coniferous forest watershed and effects of various cover degree scenarios on runoff generation.

Application of Grid Based Rainfall Runoff Model(K-DRUM) for the Long-Term Period (격자기반 강우-유출모형(K-DRUM)의 장기유출 모의기능 개발)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Sik;Kang, Shin-Uk;Park, In-Hyeok;Hur, Young-Teck;Hwang, Phyil-Sun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.919-923
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 K-water에서 자체 개발한 물리적 기반의 격자단위 강우-유출모형(K-DRUM ; K-water Distributed rainfall RUnoff Model)을 일 단위 장기유출 분석에 활용하기 위해서 유역의 증발산량 산정 및 융 적설 등을 모의할 수 있는 기능을 추가로 개발하였고, 재현성 분석을 위하여 남강댐 유역을 대상으로 장기유출모의를 수행하였다. 모의결과 단기 홍수사상의 경우 유출량에서 증발산 효과가 크지 않지만 연간 전체 유출량을 비교할 경우에는 상당한 차이가 발생하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 결과적으로 본 연구를 통해 개선된 K-DRUM 모형은 단기 홍수유출 뿐만 아니라 융 적설을 고려한 장기유출 분석에도 활용이 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

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Evaluation of Runoff and Pollutant Loads using L-THIA 2012 Runoff and Pollutant Auto-calibration Module and Ranking of Pollutant Loads Potential (L-THIA 2012 유출 및 수질 자동 보정 모듈을 이용한 유출/비점부하량 산정 및 비점오염 부하량 포텐셜 등급화)

  • Jang, Chunhwa;Kum, Donghyuk;Ha, Junsoo;Kim, Kyoung-Soon;Kang, Dong Han;Kim, Keuk-Tai;Shin, Dong Suk;Lim, Kyoung Jae
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.184-195
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    • 2013
  • Urbanization from agricultural/forest areas has been causing increased runoff and pollutant loads from it. Thus, numerous models have been developed to estimate NPS loading from urban area and Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Analysis (L-THIA) model has been used to evaluate effects of landuse changes on runoff and pollutant loads. However, the L-THIA model could not consider rainfall intensity in runoff evaluation. Therefore, the L-THIA model, capable of simulating runoff using 10-minute rainfall data, was applied to the study areas for evaluation of estimated runoff and NPS. The estimated Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient (NSE) values were over 0.6 for runoff, BOD, TN, and TP for most sites and watershed. The calibrated model was further extended to other counties for pollutant load potential evaluation. Pollutant load potential maps were developed and target areas were identified. As shown in this study, the L-THIA 2012 can be used for evaluation runoff and pollutant loads with limited data sets and its estimation could be used in identifying pollutant load hot spot areas for implementation of site-specific Best Management Practices.

Simulations of Reduction Effects on Runoff and Sediment for VFS Applications by Considering Uplands Characteristics in Iksan (익산 밭경지 특성을 고려한 초생대 유출 및 유사 저감효과 모의)

  • Lee, Seul Gi;Jang, Jeong Ryeol;Choi, Kyung Sook
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.56 no.5
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2014
  • The goal of this study was to evaluate sediment reduction effects of VFS (vegetative filter strip) applied for Iksan area in Saemangeum watershed. This study simulated runoff and sediment load from different types of uplands using VFSMOD-W. The general upland characteristics of the study area was investigated to build reasonable scenarios of the simulation. The simulation scenarios were designed by various areas, shapes, and slopes of uplands. Grass mixture was selected as VFS vegetation and the size of VFS was fixed as 10 % of uplands area. Additionally 50mm, 100mm, 150mm of daily rainfall were applied for the runoff and sediment simulation. As results, the calculated runoff and sediment loads were obtained $20.7{\sim}1,030.6m^3$ and 568.4~675,731.4 kg for the range of 0.1~1.0 ha of uplands with 7 % and 15 % slopes. The reduction effects on runoff and sediment were obtained 5~10 % and 21.0~47.7 % respectively from VFS applications. The VFSMOD-W simulations showed that runoff tended to increase as upland area and amount of rainfall increased while sediment increased when slope, length and area of uplands and amount of rainfall increased. These results indicated that rainfall amount and upland size are the critical factors for the generation of runoff and sediment load. In order to support this conclusion, further studies such as, long term monitoring, field experiments, and to calibrate and evaluate the model are necessary.