• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term decomposition

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Application of Nonlinear Dynamics and Wavelet Theory for Discharge and Water Quality Data in Youngsan River Basin (영산강 유역의 유출량 및 수질자료에 대한 비선형 동역학과 웨이블렛 이론의 적용)

  • Oh, Chang-Ryeol;Jin, Young-Hoon;Park, Sung-Chun
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.551-560
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    • 2007
  • The present study analyzed noise reduction and long/short-term components for discharge, TOC concentration, and TOC load data in order to understand the data characteristics better. For the purpose, wavelet transform which can reduce noise from raw data and has flexible resolution in time and frequency domain was applied and the theory of nonlinear dynamics was also used to determine the last decomposition level for wavelet transform. Wavelet function of 'db10' and the 7th level for the last decomposition of wavelet transform were applied for the all data in the present study. Also the results revealed that the energy ratios of approximation components with 187-hour periodicity decomposed from 7th level of wavelet transform were 94.71% (discharge), 99.00% (TOC concentration), and 93.84% (TOC load), respectively. In addition, the energy ratios of detail components showed the range between 1.00% and 6.17%, which were extremely small comparing to the energy ratios of approximation components, therefore, the first and second detail components might be considered as noise components included in the raw data.

The Impact of Pandemic Crises on the Synchronization of the World Capital Markets (팬데믹 위기가 세계 자본시장 동조화에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Dong Soo;Won, Chaehwan
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.183-208
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The main purpose of this study is to widely investigate the impact of recent pandemic crises on the synchronization of the world capital markets through 25 stock indices from major developed countries. Design/methodology/approach - This study collects 25 stock indices from major developed countries and the time period is between January 5, 2001 and February 24, 2022. The data sets used in the study include finance.yahoo.com and Investing.com.. The Granger causality analysis, unit-root test, VAR analysis, and forecasting error variance decomposition were hired in order to analyze the data. Findings - First, there are significant inter-relations among 25 countries around recent major pandemic crises(such as SARS, A(H1N1), MERS, and COVID19), which is consistent result with previous literature. Second, COVID19 shows much stronger impact on the world-wide synchronization than other pandemics. Third, the return volatility of each stock market varies, unit root tests show that daily stock index data are unstable while daily stock index returns are stable, and VAR(Vector Auto Regression) analyses presents significant inter-relations among 25 capital markets. Fourth, from the impulse response function analyses, we find that each market affects the other markets for short term periods, about 2~4 days, and no long term effect was not found. Fifth, Granger causality tests show one-side or two-sides synchronization between capital markets and we estimate, through forecasting error variance decomposition method, that the explanatory portions of each capital market on other markets vary from 10 to 80%. Research implications or Originality - The above results all together show that pandemic crises have strong effects on the synchronization of world capital markets and imply that these synchronizations should be carefully considered both in the investment decisions by individual investors and in the financial and economic policies by governments.

The Effect of Foreign Direct Investment Inflow on Exports: Evidence from Vietnam

  • DO, Duc Anh;SONG, Yinghua;DO, Huu Tung;TRAN, Thi Thu Hien;NGUYEN, Thanh Thuy
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.325-333
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    • 2022
  • Foreign direct investment (FDI) and export are now often regarded as two of the most important drivers of economic growth on a worldwide scale. The impact of foreign direct investment on Vietnam's exports is investigated in this study. The data for the time period 1985-2020 was obtained from the World Bank and the Vietnam General Statistics Office. The years 1985 to 2020 were chosen to evaluate the evolution of macroeconomic parameters since 1986. The impact of the Covid-19 epidemic on renovation reform. The Johansen co-integration test proved that FDI and domestic investment (DI) had a long-term positive impact on Vietnam's export growth. The Granger causality test revealed that there is a one-way relationship between FDI and export in the near term, but no such relationship exists between DI and export. The result of the variance decomposition study demonstrates that the FDI sector has a bigger impact on Vietnam's export growth than the DI sector. Furthermore, export activities are vulnerable to FDI sector shocks. As a result, in recent years, FDI has been regarded as the most important factor of export growth in Vietnam.

Low-costBacksheet Materials with Excellent Resistance to Chemical Degradation for Photovoltaic Modules (태양전지모듈용 고내구성 저가형 백시트)

  • Pyo, Se Youn;Lee, Chang Hyun
    • Membrane Journal
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.287-294
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    • 2015
  • Photovoltaic (PV) modules are environmentally friendly energy-conversion devices to generate electricity via the photovoltaic effect of semiconductors on solar energy. One of key elements in PV modules is "Backsheet," a multi-layered film to protect the devices from a variety of chemicals including water vapor. A representative Backsheet is composed of polyvinyl fluoride (PVF) and poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET). PVF is relatively expensive, while showing excellent resistance to chemical attacks. Thus, it is necessary to develop alternatives which can lower its high production cost and guarantee lifetime applicable to practical PV modules at the same time. In this study, PET films with certain levels of crystallinity were utilized instead of PVF. Since it is well known that PET is suffering from trans-esterification and hydrolysis under a wide pH range, it is needed to understand decomposition behavior of the PET films under PV operation conditions. To evaluate their chemical decomposition behavior within a short period of times, accelerated decomposition test protocol is developed. Moreover, electrochemical long-term performances of the PV module employing the PET-based Backsheet are investigated to prove the efficacy of the proposed concept.

Effects of Municipal LFG Characteristics on Settlement (도시폐기물 매립지의 LFG 특성이 침하에 미치는 영향)

  • Ahn, Tae-Bong;Jin, Han-Kyu;Park, Dae-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2004.03b
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    • pp.461-468
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    • 2004
  • The amount of $CO_2$ and $CH_4$ that were produced during biodegradation with were measured as function of time. Also, the settlements of landfill lysimeters were measured at the same time, and the relation with LFF(landfill gas) production was investigated. The effects of leachate recycle on the acceleration of settlement were studied by comparing two lysimeters. The gas production rate constant, $^{\kappa}_{LFG}$ is obtained to predict future gas production and settlement. These will be key role factors to predict gas production patterns and residual long-term settlement.

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The long-term decay rate and nutrient dynamics during leaf litter decomposition of Pinus densiflora and Pinus thunbergii (한반도 중부지역 조림지 소나무와 곰솔의 장기적 낙엽 분해율 및 분해과정에 따른 영양염류 동태변화)

  • Lee, Il-hwan;Jo, Soo-un;Lee, Young-sang;Won, Ho-yeon
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.374-382
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    • 2021
  • In the present study, we analyzed the decay rate and nutrient dynamics during leaf litter decomposition of Pinus densiflora and Pinus thunbergii in Gongju for 60 months, from 2014 to 2019. P. thunbergii leaf litter decomposed faster than that of P. densiflora. The decay constant of P. densiflora and P. thunbergii leaf litter after 60 months was 3.02 and 3.59, respectively. The initial C/N ratio of P. densiflora and P. thunbergii leaf litter were 14.4 and 14.5, respectively. After 60 months, C/N ratio of decomposing P. densiflora and P. thunbergii leaf litter decreased to 2.26 and 3.0, respectively. The initial C/P ratio of P. densiflora and P. thunbergii leaf litter were 144.1 and 111.3. After 60 months elapsed, the C/P ratio of decomposing P. densiflora and P. thunbergii leaf litter decreased to 40.1 and 45.8, respectively. After 60 months, the percentage of the remaining N, P, K, Ca, and Mg in decomposing P. densiflora leaf litter was 231.08, 130.13, 35.68, 48.58, and 36.03%, respectively. After 60 months, the percentage of the remaining N, P, K, Ca, and Mg in decomposing P. thunbergii leaf litter was 143.91, 74.02, 28.59, 45.08, and 44.99%, respectively. The findings of the present study provide an insight into the forest ecosystem function of coniferous forests through the analysis of the amount of nutrient transfer into the soil through a long-term decomposition process; this information is intended to be used as basic data for preparing counter measures for future climate and ecosystem changes.

A Study on the Predictive Power Improvement of Time Series Model with Empirical Mode Decomposition Method (경험적 모드분해법을 이용한 시계열 모형의 예측력 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Taereem;Shin, Hongjoon;Nam, Woosung;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.12
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    • pp.981-993
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    • 2015
  • The analysis of hydrologic time series data is crucial for the effective management of water resources. Therefore, it has been widely used for the long-term forecasting of hydrologic variables. In tradition, time series analysis has been used to predict a time series without considering exogenous variables. However, many studies using decomposition have been widely carried out with the assumption that one data series could be mixed with several frequent factors. In this study, the empirical mode decomposition method was performed for decomposing a hydrologic time series data into several components, and each component was applied to the time series models, autoregressive moving average (ARMA). After constructing the time series models, the forecasting values are added to compare the results with traditional time series model. Finally, the forecasted estimates from ARMA model with empirical mode decomposition method showed better performance than sole traditional ARMA model indicated from comparing the root mean square errors of the two methods.

Conservation Scheme and Deterioration States of the Wanggung-ri Five-storied Stone Pagoda in the Iksan, Korea (익산 왕궁리 5층 석탑의 훼손현황과 보존방안 연구)

  • Yang, Hee-Jae;Lee, Chan-Hee;Kim, Sa-Dug;Choi, Seok-Won
    • 보존과학연구
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    • s.25
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    • pp.171-195
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    • 2004
  • This research presents an evaluation of the weathering and deterioration state of the Wanggung-ri five-storied stone pagoda in the Iksan (National Treasure No. 289) and suggests conservational schemes. A deterioration map of the pagoda was drawn from the aspects of petrological, physical, chemical, biological, structural and artificial weathering.The rock properties consisting of the pagoda were medium-grained biotite granite that had leucocratic phenocryst developed in parts. The body of each story suffered severely from the secondary contamination that turned the colors into light grey, pitch dark, yellowish brown, and reddish brown as well as granular decomposition, exfoliation and peel-off. The roof stones were heavy exfoliated or peeled off in most of the cases. In addition to the fine cracks, there were layered cracks on the corners. The roof stones of the3rd and 4th story in the north and west side had some stones fall-off, while those of the 2ndstory in the north side had steel reinforcement filled for a fixing purpose. Those of the 5th story showed big gaps that must have originated from cracks and were easily subject to granular decomposition and rainfall. The inside clay filler was missing in the lower part of the roof stones of the 4th and 5th story and the supporting stones, which were thus covered by light grey or pitch dark sediments. The contact area of the materials was about 70 % in the parts where there was a space due to the filler missing and washigher than 90 % in the lower parts of the pagoda. About 90 % or more of the roof stones surface of each story were covered by aerial plants that formed a thick biological mat. Thus it seemed necessary to come up with the conservational measures to remove the plans living on the surface of the stone materials, with the plans to prevent rain from falling inside, and with the water repellent and hardening treatments to postpone the surface weathering of the rock properties. All those measures and plans must be based on the results of long-term monitoring and thorough detail investigations.

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Effects of Nitrogen Deposition on Terrestrial Ecosystems (대기 질소강하물이 육상 생태계에 미치는 영향 및 국내 연구제안)

  • Gang, Ho-Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Biology
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.232-238
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    • 2001
  • Effects of atmospheric nitrogen deposition on terrestrial ecosystems were reviewed and discussed in this paper. The amount of nitrogen deposition has increased rapidly in Europe, North America and Korean due to industrialization, increase in fossil fuel combustion(automobiles in particular), and intensive agricultural activities. Nitrogen input through such deposition may enhance primary productivity at early stage, but it could cause nitrogen saturation and hence deterioration of forests of disturbance of systems in the long term. Mechanisms of the deterioration of forests by nitrogen deposition include nutrients imbalance, soil acidification, and immobilization of toxic ions. In addition, nitrogen deposition may impede the decomposition rates of soil organic matter, and induce eutrophication in aquatic ecosystems by enhanced leaching of nitrate. Finally, I propose several topics in relation to nitrogen deposition, which warrant further studies in Korea.

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EMD based hybrid models to forecast the KOSPI (코스피 예측을 위한 EMD를 이용한 혼합 모형)

  • Kim, Hyowon;Seong, Byeongchan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.525-537
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    • 2016
  • The paper considers a hybrid model to analyze and forecast time series data based on an empirical mode decomposition (EMD) that accommodates complex characteristics of time series such as nonstationarity and nonlinearity. We aggregate IMFs using the concept of cumulative energy to improve the interpretability of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) from EMD. We forecast aggregated IMFs and residue with a hybrid model that combines the ARIMA model and an exponential smoothing method (ETS). The proposed method is applied to forecast KOSPI time series and is compared to traditional forecast models. Aggregated IMFs and residue provide a convenience to interpret the short, medium and long term dynamics of the KOSPI. It is also observed that the hybrid model with ARIMA and ETS is superior to traditional and other types of hybrid models.