• Title/Summary/Keyword: Long-term Stock Performance

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Short- and Long-Term Effects of Stock Split Disclosure: Exploring Determinants (주식분할 공시에 대한 장·단기 효과: 결정요인 분석을 중심으로)

  • Jin-Hwon Lee;Kyung-Soon Kim
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.73-91
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study is to re-examine the disclosure effect of stock splits and long-term performance after stock splits using stock split data over the past 10 years, and infer the motivation (signal or opportunism) of stock splits. In addition, we focus on exploring the determinants of the short- and long-term market response to stock splits. Design/methodology/approach - We measure the short-term market response to a stock split and the long-term stock performance after the stock split announcement using the event study method. We analyze whether there is a difference in the long-term and short-term market response to a stock split according to various company characteristics through univariate analysis and regression analysis. Findings - In the case of the entire sample, a statistically significant positive excess return is observed on the stock split announcement date, and the excess return during the 24-month holding period after the stock split do not show a difference from zero. In particular, the difference between short-term and long-term returns on stock splits is larger in companies with a large stock split ratio, small companies, large growth potential, and companies with a combination of financial events after a stock split. Research implications or Originality - The results of this study suggest that at least the signal hypothesis for a stock split does not hold in the Korean stock market. On the other hand, it suggests that there is a possibility that a stock split can be abused by the manager's opportunistic motive, and that this opportunism can be discriminated depending on the size of the stock split, corporate characteristics, and financing plan.

A Study of Effects of Stock Option on Firm's Performance (주식매수선택권이 기업성과에 미친 영향에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Yeon-Soo
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2006
  • This study is to test the influence of stock option granting information on the firm's performance. The important issue in stock option is that agent cost is the important determinant factor for the long term performance. The agent cost arises between the manager and shareholders. So many study are concentrated in diminishing the agent cost, and develop some substitute tools to measure the agent cost. The event study about stock option analyzes returns around event date at a time. Event study provides estimation periods and cumulative returns. Announcements about stock option are generally associated with positive abnormal returns in short term period, but not showing positive effect in long term period. It is important to investigate the responses of stocks to new information contained in the announcements of stock option. Therefore it is important to study the long term performance in the case of stock option. The event time portfolio approach exists the CAR model, BHAR model and WR model. And the calendar time portfolio approach has the 3 factor model, 4 factor model, CTAR model, and RATS model. This study is forced to develop and arrange two approach method in evaluating the performance, the event time portfolio approach and calendar time portfolio approach.

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An Approach for Stock Price Forecast using Long Short Term Memory

  • K.A.Surya Rajeswar;Pon Ramalingam;Sudalaimuthu.T
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.166-171
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    • 2023
  • The Stock price analysis is an increasing concern in a financial time series. The purpose of the study is to analyze the price parameters of date, high, low, and news feed about the stock exchange price. Long short term memory (LSTM) is a cutting-edge technology used for predicting the data based on time series. LSTM performs well in executing large sequence of data. This paper presents the Long Short Term Memory Model has used to analyze the stock price ranges of 10 days and 20 days by exponential moving average. The proposed approach gives better performance using technical indicators of stock price with an accuracy of 82.6% and cross entropy of 71%.

Long-term Performance of Stock Splits (주식분할의 장기성과)

  • Byun, Jong-Cook;Jo, Jeong-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.1-27
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we investigated the market long-term performance of stock splits by using the Korean Stock Market data from 1998 through 2002. We measured the performance by the event-time portfolio approach with the buy-and-hold abnormal return(BHAR) and the cumulative average abnormal return(CAAR). Also, the calendar-time portfolio approach with one-factor and three factor model were used for avoiding the misspecification model problem. The first of main results in this study was that the stock splits had significantly positive abnormal returns around the month of the stock splits announcements. However, the period BHAR and CAAR after the announcement month were significantly negative. This negative long-term abnormal returns were confirmed by the calendar-time portfolio approach. The results suggested that the abnormal return followed by the stock splits seemed to be positive in the short-term period. Second, there was no the difference of the long term performance between the high and the low split ratios. The operating income performance in the periods followed by the stock splits announcements grew worse. Therefore, the signalling effects, the managers of the firm under considering the stock splits would make use of splits as a form of signals for the upward changes in the cash flow or profits, could not be found. Finally, in contrast to Fama, Fisher, Jensen and Roll(1969), the significant negative abnormal returns following the stock splits were still found irrespective of the change of dividend payout ratio.

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The Performance-based Executive Stock Options and Firm Value (성과연동형 스톡옵션 부여와 기업가치 : 한국 금융업을 대상으로)

  • Kim, Soo-Jung;Sul, Won-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.85-114
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    • 2010
  • Using the financial institutions that have adopted performance-based stock option plan, this paper examines whether performance-based executive stock options improves effectively firm value. Over the period 2002~2005, we investigate short-term and long-term effects of the performance-based stock options on stock price. The empirical results are summarized as follows. First, the announcement of plain vanilla stock options generates no significant effects on firm value. Meanwhile, the announcement of performance-based stock options results in negative and significant abnormal returns, which is contrary to the expectation. In addition, we find that there are strong, significant and negative announcement effects when banks grant performance-based stock options. Secondly, there is no significant difference between the long-term performance of the sample granting stock options and that of the benchmarks, which is similar to the findings of the previous research. Also, we fail to get any evidence that performance-based stock option awards have improved the long-term firm value.

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A Study about Measurement Model of Long Term Performance in Stock Split (주식분할의 장기성과 측정 모델에 대한 연구)

  • Shin, Yeon-Soo
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2006
  • The event study analyzes returns around event date at a time. Event study provides estimation periods and cumulative returns. Stock split announcements are generally associated with positive abnormal returns. It is important to investigate the responses of stocks to new information contained in the announcements of stock splits. So It is important to study the long term performance in the case of Stock Split. This Study forced to two approach method in evaluating the performance, the event time portfolio approach and calendar time portfolio approach. The event time portfolio approach exists the CAR model, BHAR model and WR model. And the calendar time portfolio approach has the 3 factor model, 4 factor model, CTAR model, and RATS model.

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Seasonality and Long-Term Nature of Equity Markets: Empirical Evidence from India

  • SAHOO, Bibhu Prasad;GULATI, Ankita;Ul HAQ, Irfan
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.741-749
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    • 2021
  • The research paper endeavors to investigate the presence of seasonal anomalies in the Indian equity market. It also aims to verify the notion that equity markets are for long-term investors. The study employs daily index data of Sensex, Bombay Stock Exchange, to understand its volatility for the period ranging from January 2001 to August 2020. To analyze the seasonal effects in the stock market of India, multiple regression techniques along with descriptive analysis, graphical analysis and various statistical tests are used. The study also employs the rolling returns at different time intervals in order to understand the underlying risks and volatility involved in equity returns. The results from the analysis reveal that daily and monthly seasonality is not present in Sensex returns i.e., investors cannot earn abnormal returns by timing their investment decisions. Hence, the major finding of this study is that the Indian stock market performance is random, and the returns are efficient. The other major conclusion of the research is that the equity returns are profitable in the long run providing investors a hope that they can make gains and compensate for the loss in one period by a superior performance in some other periods.

The Impact of Firms' Environmental, Social, and Governancial Factors for Sustainability on Their Stock Returns and Values (지속가능경영을 위한 기업의 환경적, 사회적, 지배구조적 요인이 주가수익률 및 기업 가치에 미치는 영향)

  • Min, Jae H.;Kim, Bumseok;Ha, Seungyin
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.33-49
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    • 2014
  • This study empirically examines the impact of firms' environmental (E), social (S), and governancial (G) factors on their short-term and long-term values. To measure firms' non-financial performance, we use ESG performance grades published by KCGS (Korea Corporate Governance Service). We employ stock log return as the proxy of each firm's short-term value, and Tobin's Q ratio as that of its long-term value. From a series of regression analyses, we find each of the ESG factors generally has a negative impact on stock return while it has a positive impact on the Tobin's Q ratio. These results imply that firms' effort for enhancing their non-financial performance may adversely affect their financial performance in a short term; but in the long-term point of view, firms' values increase through their good images engraved by their respective social, environmental and governancial efforts. In addition, we compare the relative strength of impact among E, S, G, the three non-financial factors on the firms' value measured in Tobin's Q ratio, and find that S (social factor) and G (governancial factor) give statistically significant impact on the firms' value respectively. This result tells us it would be advised to strategically embed CSV (creating shared value) pursuing both of profits and social responsibility in the firms' future agenda. While E (environmental factor) is shown to be an insignificant factor for the firms' value, it should be emphasized as a major concern by all the stakeholders in order to form a sound business ecosystem.

A Study on the Effect of Real Estate Acquisitions and Sales on Firm Value (부동산 취득 및 처분이 기업가치에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Byungkwon;Kim, Chun-Kyu
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.18 no.7
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    • pp.49-63
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    • 2018
  • This study examines both the announcement effect of corporate real estate acquisitions and sales and long-term stock performance. Also, we analyze long-term stock returns on the basis of the amount and the purpose (business activities, financial activities, etc.) of real estate acquisitions and sales. The major findings are as follow. First, we find that there is no significant announcement effect on the real estate acquisitions. However, the announcement day of real estate sales shows significantly positive abnormal stock returns. Second, we find that both the real estate acquisitions and sales show negative long-term stock performance. We also find the same results from the case where we classify our sample on the basis of the amount and the purpose of real estate acquisitions and sales. Third, the amount of real estate acquisitions is significantly negatively related to long-term stock returns, whereas the relation between firm value and the amount of real estate sales is positive only under the business activities. Overall, long-term stock performance decreases after the announcement day of the real estate acquisitions and sales. This results can be explained by agency theory. Also, we conclude that a decline in stock performance after the real estate sales explain an information signal on financial distress.

An Analysis on Combination Effect of Value Investment Strategy and Moving Average Method (가치투자전략과 이동평균법의 결합효과)

  • Chang, Kyung-Chun;Kim, Yeon-Gueon;Kim, Hyun-Seok
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.27
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    • pp.53-69
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    • 2008
  • In this paper we analyse performance of value strategy and moving average method among the non-financial listed companies whose fiscal year ends at December in the Korean Stock Exchange between 1996 and 2005. And we analyse combination investment performance of value investment and moving average method. After the analysis objective enterprises divide with the value stock and the growth stock, in accordance with moving average method we divide ascending stock and descending stock. And we compose 6 portfolios with combination of value stock, growth stock, ascending stock and descending stock. Using the difference of investment performance of these portfolios, when fundamental analysis and technical analysis method all considering we measure investment performance. The major findings of this research are as follows: First, the value strategy of buying value stocks and selling growth stocks were effective in the long-term investment. Second, using the moving average method, technical analysis were effective in the case of the short-term investment. Third, the portfolios combined fundamental analysis and technical analysis were more effective than investment performance of technical analysis.

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