• 사회경제평론
• /
• 제31권3호
• /
• pp.1-27
• /
• 2018

본 연구에서는 문재인 정부 출범 후 1년 간 실시된 소득주도 성장정책을 평가하고 소득주도성장의 외연확장 과제를 모색해 보았다. 분수효과를 확대하고 낙수효과를 복원하며, 증세 규모를 뛰어넘는 재정의 확대가 필요함을 강조하였다. 그러나 한국경제가 여전히 풀기 어려운 두 가지 난제는, 인구감소에 따른 저성장의 기본 추세를 되돌리기 어렵다는 점과 한국 특유의 독과점 구조가 고착되어 자원배분의 경화현상이 치유하기 힘들 정도로 악화되었다는 점이다. 소득주도성장론에 입각한 정책이 분배를 조금 개선하는 정도의 노력에 머무른다면 그 효과는 제한적일 것이다. 진정으로 패러다임 전환을 원한다면 소득주도성장의 취지를 살리는 동시에 광범위한 개혁 과제에 도전해야 한다.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
• /
• 제21권4_spc호
• /
• pp.485-499
• /
• 2014

Sharing Economy is the modern main item with ICT Development. Of course sharing economic item is the old and long run mainstream, but by the ICT technological development sharing economy is the fostering and affluent factors in the world economic growth. Though, in Korea, till now sharing economy is minimal, that will growth sharply. We can track various business models of sharing economy. Sharing economy is to buy use right not ownership. With the sharing economic business model wee can make also financial sharing model. In finance model we can divide two kind models. First, we can trace small size lending model with p2p type. And second, we can make financial information transaction model. But till now sharing economic system is not activated, because of many reasons. To activate, first we have to set law and various standards, and also government actively support many sharing economy firms and institutions. To catch up developed countries in the field of sharing economy we have to make aggressive and flexible rules and standards.

• 지역연구
• /
• 제15권3호
• /
• pp.33-51
• /
• 1999

After the 1997 currency crisis, the real estate prices had been rapidly dropped and the deregulation in the Korean real estate merket has been performed. It is analyzed whether these transactions caused a structural change in real estate market, or not. The Pettitt test shows there exists a turing point in real estate prices in 1998. It is found that the degrees of co-movement between the change in real estate prices and real GDP growth rate are increased. Consequently, the factor, represented as real GDP growth rate, determining the market fundamental of real estate prices will effect on the behavioral pattern and the real estate prices in the long run. While the factors determining the portfolio selection behaviors, such as interest rate and stock prices, will cause short-term variations.

• Asian Journal of Business Environment
• /
• 제2권1호
• /
• pp.19-23
• /
• 2012

The economic exchanges have become increasingly frequent between China and Korea and the average annual growth rate of the total trade volume has increased by 30% since the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries. With the rapid economic growth and industrial upgrading of China, there are changes in the investment of Korea in China and domestic demand of China, and the trade structure of Sino- Korea has changed a lot in recent years. The changes have mainly manifested in the following aspects, including the increased proportion of high-tech products, raw materials and the intra-industry trade, the decreased proportion of consumer goods, the inter-industry trade and the trade deficit of China. With the development of the situation of international economy, the scale of Korea and China trade will continue to expand and the structure of Korea and China trade will also keep on changing in the long run.

• 무역학회지
• /
• 제45권4호
• /
• pp.95-105
• /
• 2020

Vietnam has experienced a high economic growth since early 2000s. One of the reasons for this successful economic growth is foreign direct investment that has been invested mainly in manufacturer sector in Vietnam. In this paper, we examine the impacts of foreign direct investment to Vietnam on its exports using quarterly data from 2000:1 to 2017:4. Since all the variables in our model is subject to I(1), we apply Fully Modified OLS(FMOLS) to estimate a cointegration vectors. Our results show that there exists a long-run relationship among Export, FDI, Exchange rate and G20 countries' GDP. Also, we find that FDI has a positive effect on Vietnam's export, which was statistically significant. Our results support the hypothesis that the FDI to Vietnam since 2000 has an export-oriented feature.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제28권4호
• /
• pp.583-615
• /
• 2019

본 논문은 1990~2016년 기간의 우리나라 온실가스 배출량과 경제성장 간 비동조화 수준에 대한 장단기 분석을 실시하였다. 환경쿠즈네츠곡선 존재 여부에 초점을 맞추어 수행된 기존 연구와 달리 본 연구는 온실가스와 경제성장 간 관계(온실가스 배출의 소득탄력성)의 단기 변동성에 초점을 맞추어 분석을 수행하였다. 분석결과 장기적으로는 온실가스 - 경제성장 - 화석연료 간 견고한 인과관계가 존재하여 비동조화로 평가하기에 어려운 것으로 나타난 반면, 단기적으로는 상대적 비동조화가 뚜렷하게 확인되었다. 이를 통해 현재 국가 온실가스 배출전망 및 감축목표 상에 배출 소득탄력성의 단기 변동성을 고려하지 못하는 한계점을 제기하였으며, 국가 단위 내 화석연료소비, 특히 발전부문의 화석연료 의존도가 온실가스 배출 소득탄성치의 단기 변동성을 낮추는 주요 요인임을 제시하였다.

• 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
• /
• 제33권2호
• /
• pp.159-178
• /
• 2024

본 연구는 동태적 접근 방식을 이용하여, 지방 재정지출이 수질개선에 미치는 직접효과와 간접효과를 추정한다. 이를 위해 2010년부터 2018년까지 173개 시군구를 대상으로 패널자료를 구축하고, 2단계 동태패널모형을 추정한다. 실증분석 결과를 정리하면, 첫째, 수질 환경부문의 재정지출은 BOD 및 T-P 개선에 효과적인 것으로 나타났다. BOD에 비해 T-P에 대한 직접효과가 더 크게 나타났으며, 장기적으로 그 효과가 커지는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 수질개선을 위한 재정지출은 지역 소득에 긍정적인 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났으며, 지역 소득과 BOD는 '역 U자형' 관계를 보였다. 수질 개선에 대한 재정지출의 평균적인 간접효과는 BOD에 대해서만 지역 경제성장 과정에서 수질을 악화시키는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, BOD의 경우 수질개선에 대한 지방 재정지출 효과는 간접효과보다 직접효과가 컸으나, T-P의 경우 간접효과는 유의하지 않고, 직접효과에 의해서만 총효과가 결정되었다. 즉 지방 재정지출이 지역 경제성장을 통해 수질을 악화시킬 수 있지만, 수질을 직접적으로 개선하는 효과가 장·단기에 더욱 크게 나타났다.

• 한국농림기상학회지
• /
• 제6권1호
• /
• pp.61-69
• /
• 2004

A long-term growth simulation was performed at 99 land units in Yeoncheon county to test the potential adaptability of each land unit for growing soybean cultivars. The land units for soybean cultivation(CZU), each represented by a geographically referenced land patch, were selected based on land use, soil characteristics, and minimum arable land area. Monthly climatic normals for daily maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, number of rain days and solar radiation were extracted for each CZU from digital climate models(DCM). The DCM grid cells falling within a same CZU were aggregated to make spatially explicit climatic normals relevant to the CZU. A daily weather dataset for 30 years was randomly generated from the monthly climatic normals of each CZU. Growth and development parameters of CROPGRO-soybean model suitable for 2 domestic soybean cultivars were derived from long-term field observations. Three foreign cultivars with well established parameters were also added to this study, representing maturity groups 3, 4, and 5. Each treatment was simulated with the randomly generated 30 years' daily weather data(from planting to physiological maturity) for 99 land units in Yeoncheon to simulate the growth and yield responses to the inter-annual climate variation. The same model was run with input data from the Crop Experiment Station in Suwon to obtain a 30 year normal performance of each cultivar, which was used as a "reference" for evaluation. Results were analyzed with respect to spatial and temporal variation in yield and maturity, and used to evaluate the suitability of each land unit for growing a specific cultivar. A computer program(MAPSOY) was written to help utilize the results in a decision-making procedure for agrotechnology transfer. transfer.

• Ocean Science Journal
• /
• 제41권4호
• /
• pp.211-219
• /
• 2006

A comparison was made of population of the economically important cockle Anadara (=Scapharca) broughtoni (Bivalvia, Arcidae) inhabiting different areas of the Razdolnaya River estuary at the head of Amurskii Bay (Peter the Great Gulf, East Sea). Also, changes in cockle population density and structure, as well as in cockle growth rates during the last 20 years were studied. In all years of investigation, the morphometrical parameters and growth rates of cockles were smaller at the sites located close to the River mouth than farther down-estuary. The differences can be attributed to higher concentration of suspended particulate matter, decreased salinity and water temperature, as well as a longer exposure to these unfavorable environmental factors at sites located close to the River mouth, compared to farther sites. For two decades, cockle population density had decreased by almost 30 times at some sites in the River estuary. The main reason for this population decline is commercial over-fishing of the cockle. Besides, for the last 20 years, linear parameters of the cockles in the population decreased approximately by 30% and weight parameters, almost two times. Cockle growth rates also decreased for this period. Evidently, these facts are due to the damaging effect of dredging.