• The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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• v.15 no.4
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• pp.725-732
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• 2020

This paper uses variables following as : to follow me well(0-9), it takes a lot of time to make a decision (0-9), lethargy(0-9) during physical activity in the exercise learning program of the children in the marginalized class. This paper classifies 'gender', 'physical education classroom', and 'upper, middle and lower' of age, and observe changes in ego-resiliency and self-control through sports rehabilitation therapy to find out changes in mental health. To achieve this, the data acquired was merged and the characteristics of large and small numbers were removed using the Label encoder and One-hot encoding. Then, to evaluate the performance by applying each algorithm of MLP, SVM, Dicesion tree, RNN, and LSTM, the train and test data were divided by 75% and 25%, and then the algorithm was learned with train data and the accuracy of the algorithm was measured with the Test data. As a result of the measurement, LSTM was the most effective in sex, MLP and LSTM in physical education classroom, and SVM was the most effective in age.

• Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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• v.24 no.5
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• pp.870-878
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• 2019

In this paper, we propose an Attention-based BLSTM for predicting the video compression standard of a video. Recently, in NLP, many researches have been studied to predict the next word of sentences, classify and translate sentences by their semantics using the structure of RNN, and they were commercialized as chatbots, AI speakers and translator applications, etc. LSTM is designed to solve the gradient vanishing problem in RNN, and is used in NLP. The proposed algorithm makes video compression standard prediction possible by applying BLSTM and Attention algorithm which focuses on the most important word in a sentence to a bitstream of a video, not an sentence of a natural language.

• The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.42-52
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• 2022

Bus Information System (BIS) services are expanding nationwide to small and medium-sized cities, including large cities, and user satisfaction is continuously improving. In addition, technology development related to improving reliability of bus arrival time and improvement research to minimize errors continue, and above all, the importance of information accuracy is emerging. In this study, accuracy performance was evaluated using LSTM, a machine learning method, and compared with existing methodologies such as Kalman filter and neural network. As a result of analyzing the standard error for the actual travel time and predicted values, it was analyzed that the LSTM machine learning method has about 1% higher accuracy and the standard error is about 10 seconds lower than the existing algorithm. On the other hand, 109 out of 162 sections (67.3%) were analyzed to be excellent, indicating that the LSTM method was not entirely excellent. It is judged that further improved accuracy prediction will be possible when algorithms are fused through section characteristic analysis.

• The Journal of Information Systems
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• v.31 no.3
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• pp.197-220
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• 2022

Purpose The purpose of this study is to identifies the demand pattern categorization of repair parts of Automotive After-sales Service(A/S) and proposes a demand prediction model for Auto repair parts using Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) of artificial neural networks (ANN). The optimal parts inventory quantity prediction model is implemented by applying daily, weekly, and monthly the parts demand data to the LSTM model for the Lumpy demand which is irregularly in a specific period among repair parts of the Automotive A/S service. Design/methodology/approach This study classified the four demand pattern categorization with 2 years demand time-series data of repair parts according to the Average demand interval(ADI) and coefficient of variation (CV²) of demand size. Of the 16,295 parts in the A/S service shop studied, 96.5% had a Lumpy demand pattern that large quantities occurred at a specific period. lumpy demand pattern's repair parts in the last three years is predicted by applying them to the LSTM for daily, weekly, and monthly time-series data. as the model prediction performance evaluation index, MAPE, RMSE, and RMSLE that can measure the error between the predicted value and the actual value were used. Findings As a result of this study, Daily time-series data were excellently predicted as indicators with the lowest MAPE, RMSE, and RMSLE values, followed by Weekly and Monthly time-series data. This is due to the decrease in training data for Weekly and Monthly. even if the demand period is extended to get the training data, the prediction performance is still low due to the discontinuation of current vehicle models and the use of alternative parts that they are contributed to no more demand. Therefore, sufficient training data is important, but the selection of the prediction demand period is also a critical factor.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2023.05a
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• pp.150-150
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• 2023

기작기반의 역학적 모델과 자료기반의 딥러닝 모델은 수질예측에 다양하게 적용되고 있으나, 각각의 모델은 고유한 구조와 가정으로 인해 장·단점을 가지고 있다. 특히, 딥러닝 모델은 우수한 예측 성능에도 불구하고 훈련자료가 부족한 경우 오차와 과적합에 따른 분산(variance) 문제를 야기하며, 기작기반 모델과 달리 물리법칙이 결여된 예측 결과를 생산할 수 있다. 본 연구의 목적은 주요 상수원인 댐 저수지를 대상으로 수심별 수온과 탁도를 예측하기 위해 기작기반과 자료기반 모델의 장점을 융합한 PGDL(Process-Guided Deep Learninig) 모델을 개발하고, 물리적 법칙 만족도와 예측 성능을 평가하는데 있다. PGDL 모델 개발에 사용된 기작기반 및 자료기반 모델은 각각 CE-QUAL-W2와 순환 신경망 딥러닝 모델인 LSTM(Long Short-Term Memory) 모델이다. 각 모델은 2020년 1월부터 12월까지 소양강댐 댐 앞의 K-water 자동측정망 지점에서 실측한 수온과 탁도 자료를 이용하여 각각 보정하고 훈련하였다. 수온 및 탁도 예측을 위한 PGDL 모델의 주요 알고리즘은 LSTM 모델의 목적함수(또는 손실함수)에 실측값과 예측값의 오차항 이외에 역학적 모델의 에너지 및 질량 수지 항을 제약 조건에 추가하여 예측결과가 물리적 보존법칙을 만족하지 않는 경우 penalty를 부가하여 매개변수를 최적화시켰다. 또한, 자료 부족에 따른 LSTM 모델의 예측성능 저하 문제를 극복하기 위해 보정되지 않은 역학적 모델의 모의 결과를 모델의 훈련자료로 사용하는 pre-training 기법을 활용하여 실측자료 비율에 따른 모델의 예측성능을 평가하였다. 연구결과, PGDL 모델은 저수지 수온과 탁도 예측에 있어서 경계조건을 통한 에너지와 질량 변화와 저수지 내 수온 및 탁도 증감에 따른 공간적 에너지와 질량 변화의 일치도에 있어서 LSTM보다 우수하였다. 또한 역학적 모델 결과를 LSTM 모델의 훈련자료의 일부로 사용한 PGDL 모델은 적은 양의 실측자료를 사용하여도 CE-QUAL-W2와 LSTM 보다 우수한 예측 성능을 보였다. 연구결과는 다차원의 역학적 수리수질 모델과 자료기반 딥러닝 모델의 장점을 결합한 새로운 모델링 기술의 적용 가능성을 보여주며, 자료기반 모델의 훈련자료 부족에 따른 예측 성능 저하 문제를 극복하기 위해 역학적 모델이 유용하게 활용될 수 있음을 시사한다.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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• 2022.10a
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• pp.216-218
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• 2022

Natural disasters caused by abnormal climates are continuously increasing, and the types of natural disasters that cause the most damage are flood damage caused by heavy rains and typhoons. Therefore, in order to reduce flood damage, this paper proposes a system that can predict the water level, a major parameter of flood, in real time using LSTM and GRU. The input data used for flood prediction are upstream and downstream water levels, temperature, humidity, and precipitation, and real-time prediction is performed through the pre-trained LSTM-GRU model. The input data uses data from the past 20 hours to predict the water level for the next 3 hours. Through the system proposed in this paper, if the risk determination function can be added and an evacuation order can be issued to the people exposed to the flood, it is thought that a lot of damage caused by the flood can be reduced.

• KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.1400-1418
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• 2020

In the development of commercial promotion, chatbot is known as one of significant skill by application of natural language processing (NLP). Conventional design methods are using bag-of-words model (BOW) alone based on Google database and other online corpus. For one thing, in the bag-of-words model, the vectors are Irrelevant to one another. Even though this method is friendly to discrete features, it is not conducive to the machine to understand continuous statements due to the loss of the connection between words in the encoded word vector. For other thing, existing methods are used to test in state-of-the-art online corpus but it is hard to apply in real applications such as telemarketing data. In this paper, we propose an improved chatbot design way using hybrid bag-of-words model and skip-gram model based on the real telemarketing data. Specifically, we first collect the real data in the telemarketing field and perform data cleaning and data classification on the constructed corpus. Second, the word representation is adopted hybrid bag-of-words model and skip-gram model. The skip-gram model maps synonyms in the vicinity of vector space. The correlation between words is expressed, so the amount of information contained in the word vector is increased, making up for the shortcomings caused by using bag-of-words model alone. Third, we use the term frequency-inverse document frequency (TF-IDF) weighting method to improve the weight of key words, then output the final word expression. At last, the answer is produced using hybrid retrieval model and generate model. The retrieval model can accurately answer questions in the field. The generate model can supplement the question of answering the open domain, in which the answer to the final reply is completed by long-short term memory (LSTM) training and prediction. Experimental results show which the hybrid word vector expression model can improve the accuracy of the response and the whole system can communicate with humans.

• Journal of IKEEE
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• v.24 no.2
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• pp.632-637
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• 2020

The non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) is an important way to cost-effective real-time monitoring the energy consumption and time of use for each appliance in a home or business using aggregated energy from a single recording meter. In this paper, we collect from the smart farm's power consumption data acquisition system to the server via an LTE modem, converted the total power consumption, and the power of individual electric devices into HDF5 format and performed NILM analysis. We perform NILM analysis using open source denoising autoencoder (DAE), long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU), and sequence-to-point (seq2point) learning methods.

• Journal of Korea Trade
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.17-36
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• 2021

Purpose - This study provides useful information to stakeholders by forecasting the tramp shipping market, which is a completely competitive market and has a huge fluctuation in freight rates due to low barriers to entry. Moreover, this study provides the most effective parameters for Baltic Dry Index (BDI) prediction and an optimal model by analyzing and comparing deep learning models such as the artificial neural network (ANN), recurrent neural network (RNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM). Design/methodology - This study uses various data models based on big data. The deep learning models considered are specialized for time series models. This study includes three perspectives to verify useful models in time series data by comparing prediction accuracy according to the selection of external variables and comparison between models. Findings - The BDI research reflecting the latest trends since 2015, using weekly data from 1995 to 2019 (25 years), is employed in this study. Additionally, we tried finding the best combination of BDI forecasts through the input of external factors such as supply, demand, raw materials, and economic aspects. Moreover, the combination of various unpredictable external variables and the fundamentals of supply and demand have sought to increase BDI prediction accuracy. Originality/value - Unlike previous studies, BDI forecasts reflect the latest stabilizing trends since 2015. Additionally, we look at the variation of the model's predictive accuracy according to the input of statistically validated variables. Moreover, we want to find the optimal model that minimizes the error value according to the parameter adjustment in the ANN model. Thus, this study helps future shipping stakeholders make decisions through BDI forecasts.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.64 no.6
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• pp.35-41
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• 2022

Heavy snow damage can be prevented in advance with an appropriate security system. To develop the security system, we developed a model that predicts snow depth after a few hours when the snow depth is observed, and utilized it to calculate a failure probability with various types of greenhouses and observed snow depth data. We compared the Markov chain model and Bayesian long short-term memory models with varying input data. Markov chain model showed the worst performance, and the models that used only past snow depth data outperformed the models that used other weather data with snow depth (temperature, humidity, wind speed). Also, the models that utilized 1-hour past data outperformed the models that utilized 3-hour data and 6-hour data. Finally, the Bayesian LSTM model that uses 1-hour snow depth data was selected to predict snow depth. We compared the selected model and the shifting method, which uses present data as future data without prediction, and the model outperformed the shifting method when predicting data after 11-24 hours.